Penumbra Q4 2024 Earnings Report

Penumbra EPS Results

• Actual EPS: $0.97
• Consensus EPS: $0.88
• Beat/Miss: Beat by +$0.09
• One Year Ago EPS: N/A

Penumbra Revenue Results

• Actual Revenue: $315.52 million
• Expected Revenue: $311.63 million
• Beat/Miss: Beat by +$3.89 million
• YoY Revenue Growth: N/A

Penumbra Announcement Details

• Quarter: Q4 2024
• Date: 2/18/2025
• Time: After Market Closes
• Conference Call Date: Tuesday, February 18, 2025
• Conference Call Time: 4:30PM ET

Penumbra (NYSE:PEN) is a global healthcare company specializing in the development and manufacture of innovative medical devices that address neurovascular and peripheral vascular conditions. The company focuses on products designed to improve patient outcomes in acute ischemic stroke, aneurysm treatment and peripheral thrombectomy. Penumbra’s technologies are used by interventional neuroradiologists, neurosurgeons and interventional cardiologists in hospitals and clinics around the world.

At the core of Penumbra’s portfolio is its mechanical thrombectomy platform, which includes aspiration catheters and accessory devices engineered to remove blood clots in acute stroke cases. The company also offers embolization coil systems and flow-diversion devices for the treatment of cerebral aneurysms and vascular lesions. In its peripheral vascular line, Penumbra markets aspiration thrombectomy systems and small-vessel clot retrieval tools designed for limb salvage and treatment of pulmonary embolism.

Founded in 2004 by engineer Arani Bose, Penumbra launched its first commercial thrombectomy product in 2007 and has since expanded into new geographies and indications. The company maintains its headquarters in Alameda, California, with additional operations in Europe and Asia Pacific. Over the years, Penumbra has invested in R&D facilities and regulatory approvals to support product launches across more than 100 countries.

Under the leadership of President and Chief Executive Officer Adam Elsesser, Penumbra continues to advance its pipeline of next-generation devices, focusing on catheter design, clot visualization and real-time feedback technologies. The company collaborates with academic institutions and clinical specialists to refine procedural techniques and drive evidence generation in stroke and vascular care.

Penumbra Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

• Q4 revenue $321.3 M, +12.9% Y/Y on an adjusted basis and full-year revenue of $1.2 B, with U.S. Thrombectomy sales up 27.3% and the VTE franchise up 41%.
• Q4 gross margin improved to 67.4% (+170 bps) and operating margin reached 15.1% (+200 bps); management remains on track for a >70% gross margin by end-2026.
• 2025 guidance calls for $1.34–1.36 B in revenue (+12–14% Y/Y), U.S. Thrombectomy growth of 19–20%, gross margin >67%, and operating margin of 13–14%.
• International revenue declined 9.4% in Q4 (9.1% in constant currency), driven largely by a China revenue drop, with residual headwinds expected in H1 2025.
• Investments include building a new manufacturing facility in Costa Rica and advancing the CAVT product pipeline, notably the Thunderbolt neurovascular device pending FDA submission.

Presentation

[Operator]

Good afternoon. My name is Rob, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Penumbra's fourth quarter 2024 conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press Star, followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press Star one. Thank you. I would like to introduce Ms. Cecilia Furlong, Business Development and Investor Relations for Penumbra. Ms. Furlong, you may begin your conference.

[Cecilia Furlong, Director of Business Development and Investor Relations at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you, Operator, and thank you all for joining us on today's call to discuss Penumbra's earnings release for the fourth quarter and full year 2024. A copy of the press release and financial tables, which includes a GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation, can be viewed under the Investors tab on our company website at www.penumbrainc.com. During the course of this conference call, the company will make forward-looking statements pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding our financial performance, commercialization, clinical trials, regulatory status, quality, compliance, and business trends. Actual results could differ materially from those stated or implied by our forward-looking statements due to certain risks and uncertainties, including those referenced in our 10-K for the year ended December 31st, 2024, which is scheduled to be filed with the SEC on February 18, 2025.

[Cecilia Furlong, Director of Business Development and Investor Relations at Penumbra Inc]

As a result, we caution you against placing undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, and we encourage you to review our periodic filings with the SEC, including the 10-K previously mentioned, for a more complete discussion of these factors and other risks that may affect our future results or the market price of our stock. Penumbra disclaims any duty to update or revise our forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events, developments, or otherwise. On this call, Q4 2024 and full year 2024 financial results are on a non-GAAP basis. Non-GAAP revenue, gross profit, gross margin, operating income, and operating margin exclude a $5.8 million reserve pertaining to Italian payback legislation.

[Cecilia Furlong, Director of Business Development and Investor Relations at Penumbra Inc]

In addition, the full year 2024 non-GAAP operating expenses, operating income, and operating margin exclude expenses associated with Immersive Healthcare impairment charges of $76.9 million, wind down of Immersive Healthcare business expenses of $5 million, non-recurring litigation expenses of $4.8 million, and amortization of finite lived intangible assets of $4.8 million. The corresponding GAAP measures and reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures are provided in our posted press release. Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 and full year 2024, respectively, excludes the Italian payback reserve, one-time Immersive Healthcare impairment charges, Immersive Healthcare wind down expenses, non-recurring litigation-related expenses, stock compensation expense, depreciation and amortization, provision for income taxes, and interest income expenses. Adam Elsesser, Penumbra's Chairman and CEO, will provide a business update.

[Cecilia Furlong, Director of Business Development and Investor Relations at Penumbra Inc]

Maggie Yuen, our Chief Financial Officer, will then discuss our financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, and Jason Mills, our Executive Vice President of Strategy, will discuss our 2025 guidance. With that, I would like to turn over the call to Adam Elsesser.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you, Cecilia. Good afternoon. Thank you for joining Penumbra's fourth quarter and full year 2024 conference call. In the fourth quarter, we generated revenue of $321.3 million when excluding the Italian payback adjustment, representing underlying year-over-year growth of 12.9% on an adjusted basis and 13% on a constant currency basis. Our U.S. thrombectomy business continued to lead our growth, with our comprehensive and proprietary CAVT portfolio delivering another dominant performance, gaining momentum throughout the quarter and exiting the year in a strong position. Fourth quarter U.S. thrombectomy sales increased 27.3% year-over-year to $180.6 million, with our U.S. VTE franchise delivering robust year-over-year revenue growth of 41%. The balance of our U.S. thrombectomy franchise continued to perform very well, in line with our expectations. Our fourth quarter capped an overall solid 2024 performance, with full year revenue increasing 13.4% year-over-year to over $1.2 billion, and our U.S.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Thrombectomy business delivering revenue of $646.7 million, a 26.8% increase versus 2023. During the year, we evolved and expanded our commercial team, concentrated and enhanced our focus on our interventional business via our exit from Immersive Healthcare, and invested in generating high-quality clinical and health economic data to further support and highlight CAVT's value, all while continuing to prioritize innovation. We introduced nine new products to the U.S. commercial market, including the new CAVT products, Flash 2.0, Lightning Bolt 6F with TRX, and Lightning Bolt 12. Internationally, we expanded CAVT's footprint into Europe and additional OUS geographies and took steps to optimize our geographic presence to support long-term growth and profitability. At the same time, 2024 also demonstrated the strong profitability profile of our business.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

In the fourth quarter, gross margin of 67.4% expanded 170 basis points over the prior year period, while operating income of $48.6 million, or 15.1% of revenue, increased 200 basis points over the prior year period. In the quarter, we generated $49.1 million in operating cash. Looking forward, we are on track to achieve a gross margin profile over 70% by the end of 2026, which is consistent with the timeline we previously communicated, and we expect operating margin expansion to outpace gross margin expansion for the foreseeable future. In addition, we recently signed a contract to build a manufacturing facility in Costa Rica for efficiently expanding our manufacturing capacity. Therefore, we are well positioned, leveraging favorable product mix, operating efficiencies, and disciplined spend to continue to increase our profitability and operating cash flow going forward. Turning to our U.S.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

peripheral business, Lightning Flash 2.0 continued to lead overall growth in the fourth quarter with its competitive benefits versus analog technologies, namely the speed and safety with which Flash 2.0 removes blood clots in VTE patients, driving expanded physician interest and adoption, as well as broader and deeper account penetration. In the quarter, we also commenced the commercial rollout of Lightning Bolt 12, introducing our proprietary modulated aspiration technology to the venous anatomy and larger arteries, offering the latest generation CAVT solution for these vessel sizes. Initial feedback has been very positive, and we look forward to continuing to roll out the technology on a broader scale in 2025. Overall, our U.S. VTE franchise continued to gain momentum and market share throughout the fourth quarter, with December representing our highest month of VTE procedure volumes ever. In our U.S.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

arterial business, Lightning Bolt 7 delivered another strong performance, supporting sequential growth acceleration in our arterial franchise. Lightning Bolt 6F provided initial contributions in the fourth quarter, with Bolt 6F's commercial introduction expanding our arterial-focused CAVT portfolio's reach to smaller vessels, including arteries that are below the knee. While early feedback on Bolt 6F and our increasingly comprehensive arterial CAVT portfolio is positive, and looking to 2025, we view a meaningful opportunity for the combination of Bolt 7 and Bolt 6F to accelerate physician conversion from open surgery or the use of lytics to CAVT. Similar to our venous business, in December, we treated more patients in the U.S. suffering from arterial clot than in any prior month. The proprietary mechanism of our CAVT technology consistently removes blood clots faster and safer than analog technology.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

That said, we are in the early stages of reaching and treating the over 800,000 patients annually in the U.S. who suffer from VTE and arterial clot, as well as the even greater number of patients internationally with venous and arterial clot burden. To further expand CAVT's reach and ability to treat a greater number of patients, we commenced what we refer to as our Market Access Initiatives. These initiatives are focused on increasing awareness not only of CAVT's clinical benefits, but also of the economic benefit to hospital systems. This past November, during a late-breaking session at the VIVA Conference in Las Vegas, Dr. Parag Patel presented the first public view of some of the results of our Market Access Initiatives. The retrospective outcomes analysis presented by Dr. Patel looked at intermediate-risk PE patients treated with either CAVT or anticoagulation, catheter-directed lytics, or other forms of mechanical thrombectomy.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

The data demonstrated that compared to other treatment modalities, treatment with CAVT resulted in a reduction in composite complications, as well as a significant improvement in the economics for hospitals. We intend to continue to update our analysis to reflect the benefits of our latest generation CAVT technologies and look forward to highlighting Flash 2.0's outcomes in the future. Looking ahead, we are scheduled to present additional data sets focused on CAVT's utilization in DVT and arterial patients at a major medical conference in the next few months. Shifting to our neurovascular business, our U.S. stroke thrombectomy business once again posted strong results, with revenue accelerating versus the third quarter. For the full year, our market-leading FDA-cleared aspiration portfolio, led by RED 72 with our proprietary SENDit technology and RED 43, alongside RED 62, RED 68, and RED 72, grew nearly 20% versus 2023, well ahead of underlying U.S. stroke growth market growth.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

We enter 2025 as the dominant market leader, and looking forward, we are preparing to bring Thunderbolt, our proprietary CAVT technology, to the neurovascular field. Follow-up in our Thunder trial completed as expected in late December, and we will provide additional future updates as appropriate. We have seen the benefits our proprietary bolt technology delivers to patients with peripheral vascular clot, specifically the speed with which the technology can extract a range of clot morphologies in a safe and simple procedure. We are excited to bring this technology to the neurovascular field, ushering in a new chapter in the treatment of stroke and further enhancing our market-leading position in the field of stroke thrombectomy. We enter 2025 with significant momentum behind our CAVT technology portfolio. With CAVT, we are driving a shift from analog to digital.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

We are positioning our organization to be able to intensely focus on the meaningful thrombectomy opportunity ahead for CAVT, while also augmenting our leadership position in both embolization and access through additional innovation and commercial focus. As we demonstrate in 2024, we will continue to drive gross margin expansion and operating efficiencies and deliver increasing profitability while investing aggressively in innovation, clinical and health economic data, and our commercial team to expand and strengthen our position as the world's leading thrombectomy company. I'll now turn the call over to Maggie to go over our financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024.

[Maggie Yuen, CFO at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you, Adam. Good afternoon, everyone. Today, I will discuss the financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024. Financial results on this call are on a non-GAAP basis, which excludes the adjustment highlighted by Cecilia, including the $5.8 million reserve pertaining to the Italian government's legislation requiring medical device companies to contribute to any deficit created by Italian budget overspending on medical devices from 2015 to 2023, which was recently upheld as constitutional by the Italian courts. Given that this amount related to prior years, we have normalized for this amount when calculating our anticipated revenue growth rates for 2025. The corresponding GAAP measures and our reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures are provided in our posted press release.

[Maggie Yuen, CFO at Penumbra Inc]

For the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2024, our total revenues were $321.3 million, an increase of 12.9% adjusted and 13% in constant currency compared to the fourth quarter of 2023. Our geographic mix of sales for the fourth quarter 2024 was 77.2% U.S. and 22.8% international. Our U.S. region reported growth of 21.7%, driven by 27.3% growth in our thrombectomy franchise. Our international regions decreased 9.4% adjusted and 9.1% in constant currency, primarily due to a decline in China revenue of $15.4 million, partially offset by an increase of $7.8 million in all other international regions. The sequential growth in our total revenue of 6.7% was primarily driven by an increase in U.S. thrombectomy revenue of $18.6 million and relatively flat revenue internationally.

[Maggie Yuen, CFO at Penumbra Inc]

Moving to revenue by products, revenue from our global thrombectomy business grew to $222.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of 16.8% adjusted and 16.9% in constant currency compared to the same period last year. Our U.S. growth of 27.3% is primarily due to strong growth in both vascular and neurothrombectomy. Our international business declined 13.9%, primarily driven by a decrease in China revenue of $15.8 million, partially offset by an increase in all other international regions as compared to the same period last year. Revenue from embolization and access business was $98.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of 5% adjusted and 5.1% in constant currency, which is in line with our expectation and primarily driven by an increase in the U.S.

[Maggie Yuen, CFO at Penumbra Inc]

Gross margin for the fourth quarter of 2024 is 67.4% compared to 65.7% for the fourth quarter of 2023, which represents a 170 basis point improvement driven by favorable thrombectomy product mix across all regions and strong productivity improvements. Sequentially, we had an 80 basis point improvement in our gross margin, which reflects higher thrombectomy product mix due to new product launches and favorable regional mix. Total operating expense for the quarter was $167.9 million or 52.3% of revenue, compared to $149.6 million or 52.5% of revenue for the same quarter last year. Our research and development expenses for Q4 2024 were $20 million or 6.2% of revenue, compared to $21.9 million or 7.7% of revenue for Q4 2023. SG&A expenses for Q4 2024 were $147.9 million or 46.1% of revenue, compared to $127.7 million or 44.8% of revenue for Q4 2023.

[Maggie Yuen, CFO at Penumbra Inc]

We recorded operating income of $48.6 million or 15.1% of revenue, compared to an operating income of $37.4 million or 13.1% of revenue for the same period last year. We posted adjusted EBITDA of $63.7 million or 19.8% of total revenue, compared to $53.4 million or 18.8% in the fourth quarter last year. Full year for the full year 2024, our total revenue was $1.2 billion, which represents an increase of 13.4% adjusted and in constant currency compared to full year 2023. Our geographic mix of sales in the year were 75.1% U.S. and 24.9% international. For the full year 2024, U.S. reported growth of 19.1% was primarily driven by growth from our vascular thrombectomy business, while our international regions decreased 1% adjusted and 1.1% in constant currency, primarily due to a reduction in China revenue of $39.5 million, partially offset by an increase in all other international regions.

[Maggie Yuen, CFO at Penumbra Inc]

Revenue from our global thrombectomy business for the full year of 2024 was $818.1 million, an increase of 20.8% adjusted and in constant currency. Revenue from our global embolization and access business for the full year of 2024 was $382.3 million, an increase of 0.3% adjusted and 0.2% in constant currency. Our gross margin for the year was 63.4%, which includes a one-time $33.4 million Immersive Healthcare inventory write-off compared to 64.5% of revenue for the full year of 2023. In 2025, after removing this one-time item, which had a 280 basis points impact to our gross margin in 2024, we target at least 100 basis points expansion in gross margin to over 67% for full year 2025. This reflects continued favorable thrombectomy product mix, productivity improvements, and investment to support new product launches.

[Maggie Yuen, CFO at Penumbra Inc]

We had operating income for the full year of $106.6 million, which includes a one-time $33.4 million Immersive Healthcare inventory write-off compared to operating income of $101.3 million for 2023. To provide an update on impact of winding down the Immersive Healthcare business, we had GAAP operating expense savings for 2024 of approximately $16 million, and we are still on track to create GAAP operating expense annualized savings of approximately $40 million. Our Adjusted EBITDA in 2024 was $171 million or 14.2% of total revenue compared to 16.1% last year. Looking forward to 2025, as Jason will discuss soon, we forecast operating margin to expand to a range of 13%-14% of total revenue.

[Maggie Yuen, CFO at Penumbra Inc]

Turning to cash flow and balance sheet, we ended the fourth quarter with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities balance of $340.1 million and no debt, which is an increase of $49.1 million sequentially, driven by strong operating profitability and improvement in working capital management. We expect positive operating cash flow trends to continue in 2025 and beyond. And now I'd like to turn the call over to Jason to discuss our 2025 guidance.

[Jason Mills, EVP of Strategy at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you, Maggie, and good afternoon, everyone. Consistent with our guidance philosophy communicated on our second quarter 2024 earnings call, our total revenue guidance for 2025 is a range of $1.34 billion-$1.36 billion, which represents year-over-year growth of 12%-14% compared to 2024 GAAP total revenue. For our U.S. thrombectomy business, we expect growth in the range of 19%-20% year-over-year. Moving down the income statement, we expect both gross margin and operating margin to expand in 2025. For gross margin, after excluding the one-time expense Maggie described earlier, we forecast at least 100 basis points of expansion in 2025 to more than 67% for the full year. On the operating margin line, we expect expansion to 13%-14% of total revenue for full year 2025 compared to operating margin in 2024, which excludes the one-time expense previously described.

[Jason Mills, EVP of Strategy at Penumbra Inc]

Looking forward, as Adam said in his remarks, we are on track to achieve a gross margin profile over 70% by the end of 2026, which is consistent with the timeline we previously communicated, and we expect operating margin expansion to outpace gross margin expansion for the foreseeable future. This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, we can now open the call to questions.

[Operator]

At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. And your first question comes from the line of Larry Biegelsen from Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

[Larry Biegelsen, Analyst at Wells Fargo]

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. Congrats on a strong finish to the year here. Adam, I had one on the guidance and one on Thunder. So I think you did 13.5% or 13.4% adjusted revenue growth in 2024. You're guiding to 12%-14% in 2025. Why shouldn't we see an acceleration in 2025, given the one-time headwinds in 2024, such as the delay in the European launches, some of the sales impact in China, and Thunderbolt? So how are you thinking about the guidance this year from a philosophical standpoint and getting back some of those headwinds we saw in 2024? And I had one follow-up.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah, Larry, thanks for the question, and I think it's an appropriate one. I think we tried to be pretty clear in giving that guidance that this was sort of in line with the philosophy that we talked about in the second quarter of not getting ahead of ourselves, so obviously, there are a number of things that we don't yet totally control. Thunderbolt being your follow-up question, one of them, so we're not going to put that into the guidance until we have more information around that. So you're correct to acknowledge that we had a lot of headwinds last year that we got through and that we don't have most of them this year, and we're going to, in our minds, guide appropriately so we don't get into the same trouble we got in last year.

[Larry Biegelsen, Analyst at Wells Fargo]

That's helpful. And Adam, just my follow-up is on Thunder. It sounds like the follow-up is done. How should we think about the timeline for data readout, filing, and clearance? And as a follow-up, we did see three negative medium and distal vessel trials at ISC a couple of weeks ago. What are the implications for Penumbra? Thank you.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah, so on Thunderbolt, we will definitely update you as appropriate when there's more information to update you on, as to both when it gets cleared and presentation of the data and so on. It's just premature to do that and start to put guesses out there, obviously. I think you appreciate that. As it relates to the distal trials, it was a little bit sort of déjà vu. As you know, those trials primarily used stent retrievers and the use of stent retrievers in particularly distal vessels as a primary mechanism as opposed to an adjunct, for the most part, not something that should be done primarily. And I don't think we were surprised with that result. We've always talked about the opportunity really including just large vessel occlusions, which is the M1, not the more distal.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

I know people have had great success using aspiration, particularly our smaller catheters, RED 43 and RED 62, in some of those distal vessels, and I think, like everything, particularly as we've watched over 20 years in stroke, the story is not written yet, and I think we'll see the constant move toward aspiration as the primary mechanism, in part because it's just logical, in part from studies like that.

[Larry Biegelsen, Analyst at Wells Fargo]

All right. Thanks so much.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from a line of Robbie Marcus from JPMorgan. Your line is open.

[Robbie Marcus, Analyst at JPMorgan]

Oh, great. I'll echo congratulations on a good quarter. I wanted to ask on the rest of the business, embolization and access, what you're seeing there. If I'm doing my math right, it implies flat to minus 5% sales growth in 2025. So just wanted to get a sense of what you're seeing there, U.S. versus OUS, and how to think about what's driving the guide for 2025. Thanks a lot.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. So when you look at our embolization and access business, we have an incredibly strong business in both those segments. We're really the market leader in the vascular side on coils and access on the neuro side. And that is an incredibly important part of our business. We're very proud of it. I think you heard in my prepared remarks that we're not done innovating in those areas. And I think that will be something that we'll watch and focus on as the year progresses. And also, as we've gotten bigger and our interest in the CAVT has expanded so dramatically, we need to make sure we have the ability to focus. And I use that term very particularly. So I think there are a lot of opportunities, particularly in the U.S., in the short term, to continue to see that grow.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

By definition, last year, we did a little bit of retrenching. We specifically said in markets where we weren't successful, and we're going to sort of go into the areas and double down on areas where we can be more successful internationally as well. There's a lot of demand, and with the ability to, particularly for non-U.S. markets, but U.S. markets, if appropriate, as we expand our manufacturing facility into Costa Rica, there's an opportunity to have a cost basis that is also more appropriate for some of these markets as well.

[Robbie Marcus, Analyst at JPMorgan]

Great. Thanks a lot, Adam.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from a line of Margaret Kaczor from William Blair. Your line is open.

[Macaulay Cobain, Analyst at William Blair]

Hi, everyone. This is Macaulay on for Margaret tonight. Thanks for taking our question, so wanted to follow up around the question on guidance and appreciate the comment on U.S. thromb specifically, but just given the 41% VT growth in the U.S. we saw this quarter, just wondering if you can help parse out what that includes, either for vascular versus neuro, and no, that does not include Thunderbolt launch or just any commentary focusing on vascular in particular between PE, DVT, and arterial in the U.S.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. Look, the guide is a holistic guide for all of the businesses. We don't break it out by each segment in the form of a guide. But obviously, given how we exited 2024, we're feeling particularly confident about the markets where CAVT is driving that growth. And that's the focus, obviously, that you saw the outsized number, the 41% in the VTE business. We also have a fairly tenacious competitor in that market, and we still were able to have that kind of growth because the product gets the clot out faster and safer. We've said that for a bit. All products are not the same. You can't just have one and be part of the market. You have to have something that does it as well as the current best in class. And I think that's pretty clear right now that CAVT is making that mark.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

So by definition, as we look out, we're going to be careful not to get ahead of ourselves. We're not going to. How much more share is there? How much market growth is there? And we're going to watch all of those things on a quarterly basis, and we'll update them as appropriate. But obviously, we want to be appropriate as we start the year with our current guide.

[Macaulay Cobain, Analyst at William Blair]

understand. And then maybe just as a follow-up, wanted to—or saw there was an update to the RED 72 510(k) status the other day. And Adam, can't help but notice you emphasized the FDA cleared aspect in your script. So was there any modification made to the catheter there? Or I guess, bigger picture, what should we expect from that pipeline of catheters moving forward?

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah, I think it's a fair question. I'm glad that you picked that up. So as I think you all know, we are constantly improving our products. That has been the hallmark of our success for the better part of 20 years. We've never sort of said we're done. And RED 72 was launched now, what, three, four years ago? I've lost track of time. And so it's natural that we would update that catheter with technology that we've developed as we've developed additional catheters. So this is just making the RED 72 that much more trackable. We just got cleared at the end of last week. We've already done, I think, roughly half of our evaluation cases in a short period of time. And we'll give more information as we go.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

But obviously, having a suite of catheters that contract to the clot faster and better than anything else on the market, and then you add Thunderbolt on top of that when it gets cleared, it puts us in a position for being able to help the maximum number of patients that we can help. And you combine that with the best-in-class sales team. And I think we're going to have a pretty good opportunity to have additional impact this year with our stroke business.

[Macaulay Cobain, Analyst at William Blair]

Sounds good. Thanks for taking the questions and congrats on the quarter again.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from a line of Pito Chickering from Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.

[Pito Chickering, Analyst at Deutsche Bank]

Hey, guys. Good afternoon. Thanks for my questions. Looking at the U.S. thrombectomy guide here, 19%-20%, end of the year, obviously, 27%. How should we think about the seasonality of that growth, like comps you had in 2024? Your fourth quarter exit rate was such a high number that if we straight line that growth, it's almost flat sequentially, which we haven't really seen that since you launched and you talked about how strong December was.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. Let me start, and Jason can speak to sort of the rhythm a little more. There's always a combination of seasonality based on, I mean, we've always sort of seen the fourth quarter, maybe it's the stress of the holidays and so on. For example, the stroke business goes up and things like that. That being said, we've also overlaid various launches. And obviously, we haven't talked about launches and timing for 2025. But that changes, again, the ability to just straight line things out and run it out. And then you also add the thing I alluded to in the answer to the last question, that as you are taking share, whether it's in stroke or in VTE, that share doesn't come in an even way. It sort of comes in chunks and then sort of pause, and then you take more.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

And we've seen that for many, many, many years. With that sort of as a baseline, Jason can add some color to that.

[Jason Mills, EVP of Strategy at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah, Pito, thanks for the question. As you can see, the fourth quarter was the biggest quarter in terms of sequential growth in the U.S. thrombectomy business. And on a year-over-year growth perspective, as you can also see, it was one of the fastest. It was an outstanding quarter from a U.S. thrombectomy, which sets up the fourth quarter of 2025 just in those terms to be the most challenging comp, which would therefore suggest that as you're modeling within that 19%-20% range, you can probably start in the beginning of the year at the midpoint or better. And then the fourth quarter can reflect the fact that we don't have Thunderbolt in our guidance and can be sort of at the midpoint or lower. So more of a front-end loaded year from the standpoint of the growth guidance we gave.

[Pito Chickering, Analyst at Deutsche Bank]

Okay. And then sticking with that 27% growth this quarter, is there any color on what the pricing versus volume was in the quarter? And should we be thinking about 2025 in terms of U.S. thrombectomy pricing versus volume within the guidance range?

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. At this stage, we're several years into this. It's volume. It's volume. There's not a pricing element now. This was just.

[Pito Chickering, Analyst at Deutsche Bank]

Great. Thanks so much.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

That's why I went out of my way to say we ended the year with the strongest case volume we've ever seen, both in VTE and in arterial.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from a line of Bill Plovanic from Canaccord. Your line is open.

[Bill Plovanic, Analyst at Canaccord]

Great. Thanks. Good evening, and thanks for taking my questions. Just first up on Thunderbolt, I just wanted to clarify. One, have you submitted to the FDA? Two, have you had discussions with them yet? And three, are they asking for any additional information, including any additional clinical studies? Just trying to figure out where we're in the process. Then I have a follow-up.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Those are a good series of questions. I'll make it easy. We have not yet submitted. So therefore, we have not had any of those conversations.

[Bill Plovanic, Analyst at Canaccord]

Okay.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Again, just less than a month plus ago, we finished the trial and got all the data. And obviously, it takes a little bit of time to get that organized and adjudicated. And there's a process there. So the fact that it could be ready earlier now would mean you were obviously skipping a step along the way, which we obviously don't do.

[Bill Plovanic, Analyst at Canaccord]

No, thank you. And then just on R&D, $20 million is really a low point that we haven't seen in almost two years. Is this a new normal in terms of kind of the R&D spend nominally? And should we use this as a base point going forward and expect most of the leverage off of this in terms of operating margin expansion? Thanks for taking my questions.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. I mean, I think it was pretty clear that we're, I think I used the term, we're going to aggressively invest in innovation. So R&D spend changes quarter by quarter depending on what's on the docket, whether we have certain types of testing or certain this and that. And so you're going to see that move around based on the work that's in front of us, not by some kind of sort of organized or sort of artificial spend budget. So I wouldn't read anything into the quarter per se. Our general spend has been a pretty accurate way to read it. And I think everyone would agree. Launching nine products last year, we have a pretty efficient R&D department and a team that can continue to innovate incredibly effectively and at a decent amount of spend. But we are not going to back away from that.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

There is a lot of innovation ahead. I think we have years of continued innovation ahead of us. We won't get into the specifics, but we're going to not stop innovating for quite a while.

[Jason Mills, EVP of Strategy at Penumbra Inc]

And Bill, the only thing I would add to that is Maggie in her remarks mentioned the savings to date so far with the Immersive Healthcare exit. A very solid percentage of those expenses are in R&D. We don't break out the investments on the interventional side vis-à-vis the investments we were once making in R&D and Immersive Healthcare. Suffice it to say, as Adam said in his prepared remarks, we continue to aggressively invest in innovation, obviously on the interventional side.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from a line of Richard Newitter from Truist Securities. Your line is open.

[Richard Newitter, Analyst at Truist Securities]

Hi. Thanks for taking the questions. Congrats on the performance and the solid finish to the year. Maybe I think, Adam, you had mentioned several new product launches, and the ebbs and flows of when those hit can dictate quarterly performance. Can you just remind us? You said nine launches in 2024. How many are you thinking about in 2025? And any direction on where those could be value-add and fill the gap where there's an unmet need that you don't have today?

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. I mean, I'm not going to specify, just like we didn't last year. We didn't start the year saying we're going to have nine launches, and we don't even announce them. I think the three that were CAVT-related, everyone knows, but the other six, I don't think most people have focused on. They have had a very positive impact on our overall business as well. So we're not going to go through that. The only one that obviously is possible on that list, we've talked about a couple of times already, Dan, that's Thunderbolt, of course. But the rest, we're going to wait till we get those products cleared, and then we'll be happy to talk about them.

[Richard Newitter, Analyst at Truist Securities]

Okay. And just to be clear, though, Thunderbolt is not needed to hit your guidance range. In other words, it's not explicitly.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. Revenue for Thunderbolt is not currently in our guide for the simple reason, not because we don't think it's a great product, not because we're not incredibly confident about where we stand on it, but because we don't totally control that process. And because of that, we're going to be careful so we don't have to change our guide based on something we don't control.

[Richard Newitter, Analyst at Truist Securities]

Okay. Thank you. And just one last one on Thunderbolt. Do we expect you to have this presented at a conference, or is this something that we could get press released midyear? Just how are you thinking about that?

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. It depends on the timing. There are really two major U.S. conferences, since it's a U.S. approval, one in July and one in November. And so to the extent that the clearance happened in a time when no one, it's not right around that time. We would obviously not wait to present the data to launch the product, which means obviously there's a possibility of hearing about it before the formal presentation of the data.

[Richard Newitter, Analyst at Truist Securities]

Thank you very much.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from a line of Matthew O'Brien from Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

[Samantha Graham, Analyst at Piper Sandler]

This is Samantha on for Matt. Thank you for taking our question. There's a handful of clinical trials going on for aspiration-based thrombectomy devices, kind of both on the peripheral and the neuro side. How are you thinking about enrollment in these trials potentially impacting sales growth in the near term or potentially helping grow the market in the longer term?

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. There's a handful of them. I think you described it the right way. It's not really an impact on our sales, obviously. I think that was pretty obvious this quarter. I think when you actually speak to the physicians using a lot of those products, it sort of gives you the real story. And I think we'll focus. We don't think that changes our strategy, changes our momentum, or anything like that.

[Samantha Graham, Analyst at Piper Sandler]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from a line of Michael Sarcone from Jefferies. Your line is open.

[Michael Sarcone, Analyst at Jefferies]

Good afternoon, and thanks for taking my question. Just to start, China was a pretty big headwind in 2024, maybe 300 or 350 basis points. Could you just talk about what kind of assumptions you've got for China baked into 2025? Guide? Is it kind of stabilized from here? How are you thinking about that?

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. There are no questions. China, as everyone's talking about the market and what it means for U.S.-based medical device companies, our deal that we outlined had a number of different elements to it. But the element that mattered at this phase would have been sort of for the U.S.-based or manufactured product. And that market really isn't available for a while. There's a little bit of headwind at the beginning of the year. But more than that, I think we sort of have that behind us. And again, I think if you think about what we've said and the opportunity we have, there are international markets that will matter a lot. And we've talked about those markets. What matters in terms of scale and growth, it changes from year to year.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

And I think we've, to just remind everyone, we've been selling internationally for 18-plus years, and we have a pretty good knowledge of the international markets and what's viable and not. It's also why you're going to see a continued outsized growth in the U.S. with the scale of patients. Again, 800,000 patients in the U.S. alone, more than 90% of the market available to us if we do the work that we outlined, which is continued taking share and continued the market access work so we can grow the market through the hospitals doing the work necessary to make sure they're treating everyone that they can treat. When you add that together, I think we're in a really, really strong position for a number of years. And then the international markets ebb and flow based on sort of their own economies and all that as we go forward.

[Jason Mills, EVP of Strategy at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. Michael, just to add to that, you're right. The headwinds just from China alone in 2024 were actually slightly greater than what you posed in your answer. And as Adam mentioned, we're going to see sort of the last headwinds of that in 2025, such that next year the headwinds will be de minimis to nothing. It won't be quite as much of a headwind in 2025 as 2024, but some headwind, especially in the first half of the year. So as you're looking at our guidance and you're parsing out the U.S. growth versus international growth, if you exclude China, there's actually an acceleration in growth across businesses. And the headwind from China, again, will land in the first half of the year.

[Jason Mills, EVP of Strategy at Penumbra Inc]

So as it relates to the 12%-14% guidance, you'll see that hit in the first half of the year in terms of the year-over-year growth because of China.

[Michael Sarcone, Analyst at Jefferies]

Got it. That's helpful. Thanks, Adam and Jason, and maybe just for the follow-up, we've seen some M&A activity in the space earlier this year. Just wanted to get your sense on whether or not you're bracing for any change in competitive dynamics or if there's any potential disruption coming down the pike that you may be able to capitalize on. Thank you.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

I'm not going to sort of get into particular tactics and things like that competitively at this stage. I can tell you that generally, overall, we certainly welcome new ownership into the field, but it really doesn't have any change on our strategy or we believe our momentum in the field right now.

[Michael Sarcone, Analyst at Jefferies]

Great. Thank you, Adam.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from a line of Ryan Zimmerman from BTIG. Your line is open.

[Ryan Zimmerman, Analyst at BTIG]

Hey, thanks for taking my question. I want to ask about gross margins for a bit, just because doing the math, it does imply a pretty significant step up in 2026 in gross margins to hit that 70% exiting 2026. Help me understand. I mean, is that just a—go ahead. Or Maggie.

[Maggie Yuen, CFO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah, yeah. Thanks for the question. Well, basically, there's no fundamental changes in our underlying drivers that you have seen this year. I mean, the majority of our margin expansion drivers came from better product mix, and also regional mix. If you look back at 2024, I mean, you have seen pretty good momentum in our sequential quarterly growth. We expect a similar trend to continue in 2025. And if you continue that momentum, I think you can see us reaching exactly at our target of 70% sometime in 2026.

[Ryan Zimmerman, Analyst at BTIG]

Okay. But just to be clear, Maggie, that is just a function of product mix. That is not a function of any pricing strategies or anything else that you're contemplating to kind of get you that extra effort in margins in 2026.

[Maggie Yuen, CFO at Penumbra Inc]

No, nothing. It is primarily product mix. And of course, I mean, our operations team has been very focused on leveraging our overhead spend and scaling our capacity. So all those drivers will altogether.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

It is between product mix and manufacturing efficiency that is driving it. It is definitely not price.

[Ryan Zimmerman, Analyst at BTIG]

Okay. Very clear. And then the second question, Adam, I guess, is directed to you, is the scale-up in sales force and the amount of additional heads you've hired to grow your thrombectomy business. And so what I want to understand is just where you're at in that process, how you think about that kind of coming into its own and its contributions in either now or early 2025. And similarly, that same question on market access, which is arguably underappreciated in how you're attacking kind of the market with the market access initiatives. But when do you expect the impacts of both of those dynamics to be felt from your efforts? Thank you.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

If you competed with us in VTE, you certainly felt it in the fourth quarter. I think that's pretty obvious. I think we've started that process. I've always said it's not linear, and nothing in this field is. I want to be very clear that it is not linear. That being said, we have done a great job hiring an incredible team. Right now, I really, really mean this. We have the best commercial team ever assembled in MedTech. I know a lot of people say that about their teams, and I appreciate it, and I'm glad they do. It really is true. Our team is extraordinary.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

And when you add the data that we now have and that we're talking to hospitals about directly and opening their eyes to what they could be doing to help more and more patients, you're in a really good spot. Again, it's not a linear process. It never has been, but I think we have started that process. A lot of that is because we now have technology with CAVT that is worth doing that for. It is clearly better. You can get the clot out faster and safer. We've shown that over and over again. We have now data, large quantity of data that says the same thing. And I think that's just crystal clear. So I think that will continue.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

And again, it will be a multi, multi-year effort because we're only 10% penetrated with this market, and we're going to keep going until we get them all and help all these patients. If you will indulge me with a short story, we had our national sales meeting several weeks ago, and a patient came to discuss and share with the entire vascular team what happened. She had a massive PE. If I'm not mistaken from her story, she had coded. She was revived and turned out to have a great recovery. And at the end of her telling her story, she asked the entire commercial team that was assembled to do one thing. And she said, "I have one request of everyone in this room, and that is don't stop until everyone that can benefit from this technology gets this technology." We didn't ask her to say that.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

We didn't set her up for it. She said it from the bottom of her heart as somebody who received the best technology available. And that's going to motivate us. It certainly did in the room. And that's what we're going to do for many, many years.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from a line of Shagun Singh from RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

[Shagun Singh, Analyst at RBC Capital Markets]

Great. Thank you so much. Just a quick one for me. For your U.S. venous thrombectomy business, 41% year-over-year growth. How should we think about the durability of that? And given that we've seen that growth rate accelerate sequentially in the past few quarters, I'm just wondering if there is anything else going on. Is it just your commercial team expansion? Are you seeing greater acceptance given the benefits you talked about, greater ability to get into the door? Just anything incremental to what you've shared that you may be able to share with us. Thank you.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. Again, I want to stress no growth rates in a situation where there's market growth and share shift is linear. So it just can't be seen that way, and it's not. That being said, obviously both are happening, and that is not so much a direct impact on we have more people, therefore we can sell more. It's the product. The product is that good. It takes out the blood clot faster than any other product on the market. And therefore, as people hear about it, as people want to try it and move from analog technology to digital technology, they have to be trained. They have to go through the process. But that will continue, I think, for quite a while. You overlay the opportunity to treat more and more people.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

As more and more hospitals become aware of that information and what they can do to do that, I think you're going to see continued strong growth, not in a linear fashion quarter by quarter, but over the course of the next number of years, you're going to see particularly strong growth continue.

[Shagun Singh, Analyst at RBC Capital Markets]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Your final question comes from the line of Mike Kratky from Leerink Partners. Your line is open.

[Mike Kratky, Analyst at Leerink Partners]

Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking our question. So obviously, great acceleration in U.S. thrombectomy growth, 41% U.S. VTE growth. Sorry to bother you with another one on guidance, but without providing specifics, can you help frame where you're expecting your different verticals between VTE, arterial, stroke, and coronary to land relative to that 19%-20% overall U.S. growth?

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. I think it's premature to give you that kind of detail at this stage. Obviously, all of those have drivers. We have Flash 2.0 that's continuing to attract a lot more customers together with the market access work. We have the arterial, which has new products as well. And then, of course, whatever happens ultimately with Thunderbolt, which isn't technically in our guide, so we can't include it, but obviously is going to have an impact. That's not even talking about the new RED 72 catheter, which if it continues to do what the first three days of cases show, is going to be a significant benefit as well. So I think we have a lot of drivers. So the exact numbers within that, let's wait and see, and we'll give you more updates when we have more information.

[Mike Kratky, Analyst at Leerink Partners]

Understood. And maybe just as one follow-up, can you comment on some of the early adoption trends for Lightning Flash and Lightning Bolt 7 in Europe following the recent launches?

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Yeah. Again, the limitation is there's some countries that aren't yet at a place where they're fully reimbursable. And so it's not in every single country in a big way, but where it is, we're seeing the same benefit that we're seeing in the U.S. Again, the clot is taken out faster and safer. And obviously, I've yet to meet a physician who says that's not a positive goal.

[Mike Kratky, Analyst at Leerink Partners]

Understood. Thanks very much.

[Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you.

[Operator]

This concludes the Q&A portion of today's conference call. Ms. Furlong, I turn the call back over to you.

[Cecilia Furlong, Director of Business Development and Investor Relations at Penumbra Inc]

Thank you, operator. On behalf of our management team, thank you all again for joining us today and for your interest in Penumbra. We look forward to updating you on our first quarter call.

[Operator]

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

Participants

Executives

• Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO
• Jason Mills, EVP of Strategy
• Cecilia Furlong, Director of Business Development and Investor Relations
• Maggie Yuen, CFO

Analysts

• Mike Kratky, Analyst at Leerink Partners
• Richard Newitter, Analyst at Truist Securities
• Bill Plovanic, Analyst at Canaccord
• Macaulay Cobain, Analyst at William Blair
• Shagun Singh, Analyst at RBC Capital Markets
• Robbie Marcus, Analyst at JPMorgan
• Larry Biegelsen, Analyst at Wells Fargo
• Pito Chickering, Analyst at Deutsche Bank
• Samantha Graham, Analyst at Piper Sandler
• Michael Sarcone, Analyst at Jefferies
• Ryan Zimmerman, Analyst at BTIG