NYSE:BBAR BBVA Banco Frances Q1 2025 Earnings Report $14.47 +0.66 (+4.78%) Closing price 03:59 PM EasternExtended Trading$14.72 +0.25 (+1.76%) As of 07:52 PM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more. ProfileEarnings HistoryForecast BBVA Banco Frances EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.28Consensus EPS $0.26Beat/MissBeat by +$0.02One Year Ago EPSN/ABBVA Banco Frances Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$667.94 millionExpected Revenue$751.69 billionBeat/MissMissed by -$751.02 billionYoY Revenue GrowthN/ABBVA Banco Frances Announcement DetailsQuarterQ1 2025Date5/21/2025TimeAfter Market ClosesConference Call DateThursday, May 22, 2025Conference Call Time11:00AM ETUpcoming EarningsBBVA Banco Frances' Q1 2026 earnings is estimated for Tuesday, May 26, 2026, based on past reporting schedules, with a conference call scheduled on Wednesday, May 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckInterim ReportEarnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by BBVA Banco Frances Q1 2025 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrMay 22, 2025 ShareLink copied to clipboard.Key Takeaways Macroeconomic stabilization: BBVA Argentina highlights moderated inflation expected to converge around 35% by year-end and projected 5.5% GDP growth in 2025 under a new IMF agreement and floating exchange rate regime. Strong Q1 earnings: Inflation-adjusted net income reached ARS 81.6 bn (+16.2% QoQ), delivering a quarterly ROE of 11.5% and a 56.9% rise in operating income driven by higher fees, net interest income, and expense control. Robust loan growth: Private sector loans rose 11.2% QoQ (pesos +8.3%, foreign currency +25.4%), with consumer loans +22.9% and mortgages +23.1%, driving the loans-to-deposits ratio to 84.7%. Improved efficiency: The efficiency ratio fell to 56.3% in Q1 from 62.2% in Q4 2024, reflecting lower operating expenses and higher income. Revised 2025 guidance: BBVA Argentina trimmed its real loan growth outlook to 45–50% (from 60–65%), deposit growth to ~25%, and maintained ROE guidance in the mid-to-low teens amid ongoing liquidity management challenges. AI Generated. May Contain Errors.Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallBBVA Banco Frances Q1 202500:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xTranscript SectionsPresentationParticipantsPresentationSkip to Participants Operator00:00:00Good morning, everyone, and welcome to BBVA Argentina's First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call. Today with us are Mr. Diego Cesarini, Head of ALM and Investor Relations; Mrs. Belén Fourcade, Investor Relations Manager; and Mrs. Carmen Morillo Arroyo, CFO, who will be available for the Q&A session. This presentation and the First Quarter 2025 earnings release are available on BBVA's Investor Relations website, ir.bbva.com.ar, and will also be available for download in the chat. First of all, let me point out that some of the statements made during this conference call may be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions found in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 under U.S. federal security law. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Operator00:01:13Additional information concerning these factors is contained in BBVA Argentina's Annual Report on Form 20F for the fiscal year 2024, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. During the company's presentation, all microphones will be disabled. At that time, we are going to open it up for questions and answers. If you have a question, please write it down in the Q&A section or click on "Raise Hand" for audio questions. You will then receive a request to activate your microphone. Please activate it and pick up your headset to provide optimum sound quality when posing your question. I will now turn the call over to Mrs. Belén Fourcade. Please go ahead. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:01:59Good morning, and thank you all for joining us today. The notable fiscal consolidation, monetary stringency, and relative exchange rate stability have contributed to a moderation process of inflation throughout 2024, which has continued at the beginning of 2025. Likewise, there are increasing signs of recovery in economic activity, which, after falling 1.7% in 2024, would expand by around 5.5% in 2025, according to BBVA research. The prospects for inflation reduction have strengthened, and the forecast is that it will converge to around 35% by the end of 2025. Recently, within the framework of a new agreement with the International Monetary Fund, the lifting of a large part of the exchange controls and implementation of a floating exchange rate scheme with wide bands were announced, which could contribute to the macroeconomic normalization process. Regarding the external environment, although the direct impact of U.S. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:03:05Tariffs could be relatively limited, the economy could be affected by a less favorable global context. Before moving on to this quarter's business dynamics and results, I would like to comment on the new global strategy of the BBVA Group for the 2025-2029 cycle. This has been launched, arising from an institutional reflection after the closing of the 2020-2024 strategic plan, which was successful in terms of growth and profitability. This redesign responds to a new global context characterized by macroeconomic stabilization, geopolitical transformation, and population aging, which poses challenges and opportunities in credit and deposit management. In this context, the strategic priorities for 2025-2029 are focused on three main pillars: one, a radical customer-centric perspective; two, value and capital generation and growth in a changing environment; and three, leveraging accelerators such as artificial intelligence for efficient data processing. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:04:16These priorities are articulated with an evolution in cultural values towards behaviors with greater empathy and demand, and a renewed purpose: support your desire to go further, which reinforces the active role of the customer as a central character of growth. Now, moving on to business dynamics, as you can see on slide four of our webcast presentation, our service offering has evolved in such a way that by the end of March 2025, new customer acquisition through digital channels reached 86% versus 81% a year ago. Retail digital sales, measured in units, reached 93% in the first quarter of 2025 and represent 86% of the bank's total sales, measured in monetary value. Digitalization, which was previously a competitive advantage, has now become a market standard, while new unregulated players and disruptive technologies such as artificial intelligence demand a redefinition of the differential value of the company's proposition. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:05:24Moving on to slide five and six, I will now comment on the bank's first quarter 2025 financial results. BBVA Argentina's inflation-adjusted net income in the first quarter of 2025 was ARS 81.6 billion, increasing 16.2% quarter over quarter. This implied a quarterly ROE of 11.5% and a quarterly ROA of 2%. The 56.9% increase in quarterly operating results was explained by higher income and lower operating expenses. Higher income was mainly due to, one, a substantial improvement in income from fees and, two, better net interest income. On the side of expenses, there was an improvement in all expense lines, in particular benefits to personnel and other operating income. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:06:16It should be noted that the income tax line in the fourth quarter of 2024 reflects a positive result, derived from a change in accounting exposure that implied a reclassification of the income tax calculation from other comprehensive income to the income statement. Net income from the net monetary position was 10.7% lower quarter over quarter, thanks to a lower net monetary position, which offset the increase in quarter inflation, which was 8.57% versus 8.03% in the fourth quarter of 2024. Turning into the P&L lines in slide six, net interest income was ARS 541.3 billion, increasing 3.3% quarter over quarter. In the first quarter of 2025, net interest income decreased less than interest in expenses in monetary terms. The former decreased due to lower income from public securities, especially CPI-linked bonds. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:07:19Expenses decreased due to lower time deposit expenses, mainly due to lower rates and interest-bearing checking accounts expenses, as the rates of these products have also declined. Interest from time deposits explained 74.4% of interest expenses versus 67.9% the previous quarter. Net income as of the first quarter of 2025 totaled ARS 99.8 billion, increasing 48.3% quarter over quarter. Fee income totaled ARS 180.1 billion, increasing 20.7% quarter over quarter. Higher income is mainly explained by credit card fees, considering a revision of provisions linked to the MISHAS BBVA loyalty program. It is important to note the increase in fees linked to loans, fees from insurance, and fees linked to loan commitments, the latter related to income from structuring of syndicated loans. On the side of fee expenses, these totaled ARS 80.8 billion, decreasing 1.9% quarter over quarter. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:08:32This is mainly explained by lower expenses on payroll promotion campaigns, followed by lower expenses from foreign trade transactions. In the first quarter of 2025, loan loss allowances increased 4.9%, explained by the real growth of the loan book in the quarter, which implied higher provisioning. During the first quarter of 2025, total operating expenses were ARS 423.8 billion, decreasing 13.8% quarter over quarter, of which 29% were personal benefit costs. Personal benefits decreased 23% quarter over quarter. In spite of wages increasing in line with inflation, the fourth quarter of 2024 was highly impacted by severance expenses and the adjustment of provisions recorded for stock of vacation days and variable remuneration, which were not present in the first quarter of 2025, reducing overall expenses. Administrative expenses decreased 4.3% quarter over quarter. This is mainly explained by, one, taxes, two, software, and three, rent. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:09:44Rent and software are related to expenses of software licenses and services contracted with the parent company. In the case of taxes, the fall is mainly explained by an accounting reclassification of taxes linked to the health and safety, which, as of this quarter, are now recorded in the turnover tax line in other operating expenses pursuant to the nature of expense. The accumulated efficiency ratio as of the first quarter of 2025 was 56.3%, below the 62.2% reported in the fourth quarter of 2024 and the 65.4% reported in the first quarter of 2024. The decrease in this ratio is due to a decrease in expenses and an increase in income, especially fee income and lower result from the net monetary position. Private loans as of the first quarter of 2025 totaled ARS 9.2 trillion, increasing 11.2% quarter over quarter. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:10:48Loans to the private sector in pesos increased 8.3% in the first quarter of 2025. During the quarter, growth is observed in most lines, but was especially driven by, one, a 22.9% increase in consumer loans, followed by, two, an 18.4% increase in overdrafts, and, three, a 16.2% increase in other loans. A 23.1% growth in mortgages is to be noted, considering the continuous progress in this product, which was relaunched by mid-2024. In all cases, the increment is boosted by genuine growth in real terms of the portfolio, levered on relative stability of market interest rates. Loans to the private sector denominated in foreign currency increased 25.4% quarter over quarter. Quarterly increase is mainly explained by a 21.4% growth in financing and pre-financing of exports and a 53.7% growth in other loans, the latter linked to financing of investment projects. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:12:00During the quarter, the commercial portfolio grew 12.5% and the retail portfolio increased 9.5%. The commercial portfolio represents 57.1% of the total portfolio from 52.5% a year ago. In nominal terms, BBVA Argentina managed to increase the retail, commercial, and total loan portfolio by 19%, 22%, and 23% respectively during the quarter, surpassing quarterly inflation levels in all cases. As of the first quarter of 2025, the total gross loans and other financing over deposits ratio was 84.7%, above the 77.5% recorded in the fourth quarter of 2024 and above the 55.9% in the first quarter of 2024. Participation of total loans over assets is 56% versus 51% in the fourth quarter of 2024 and 32% in the fourth quarter of 2024, evidencing a lower exposure to the public sector in line with the real growth of credit demand. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:13:12BBVA Argentina's consolidated market share of private sector loans reached 11.28% as of the first quarter of 2025, improving from 10.10% a year ago and sustaining the two-digit figure. As of the first quarter of 2025, asset quality ratio keeps a good performance at 1.38%, increasing quarter over quarter, mainly due to seasonal arrears in credit cards. Commercial NPLs remained with a very good behavior. On the funding side, as of the first quarter of 2025, total deposits reached ARS 11 trillion, increasing 1.8% quarter over quarter. The bank's consolidated market share of private deposits as of the first quarter of 2025 reached 9.15% compared to 7.37% a year ago. Private non-financial sector deposits in pesos totaled ARS 7.4 trillion, increasing 7.8% compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:14:21The quarterly change is mainly affected by a 163.1% increase in investment accounts and a 2.5% increase in checking accounts, mainly explained by higher funding. Private non-financial sector deposits in foreign currency expressed in pesos increased 0.8% quarter over quarter. This is mainly explained by a 20.9% increase in time deposits, partially offset by a 0.4% fall in saving accounts. BBVA Argentina continues to show strong solvency indicators on the first quarter of 2025. Capital ratio reached 21.5%. Capital excess over regulatory requirement was ARS 1.5 trillion or 161.3%. In spite of the genuine growth in the loan book, which generated greater requirements, this effect was largely offset by a central bank regulation, which changed operational risk requirements, now aligned to Basel IV regulations. These requirements fell considerably by 94.4%, improving the capital ratio by 202 basis points. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:15:39The first quarter and 2025 total public sector exposure, excluding central bank, totaled ARS 2.8 trillion, decreasing 2.9% quarter over quarter. The annual increase is mainly explained by a greater increment of public exposure to the treasury in detriment of central bank risk exposure. Exposure to the public sector, excluding central bank exposure, represents 17.1% of total assets, below the 17.9% in the fourth quarter of 2024, in line with real loan growth demand. In the quarter, liquid assets were ARS 5.4 trillion, decreasing 13.3% quarter over quarter. This was mainly driven by a 20.1% decline in cash and deposits in banks and a 12.5% fall in public securities. As of the date of this report, the bank has announced the payment of dividends in cash or in kind. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:16:40The total amount to be paid will be ARS 89.4 billion, expressed in homogeneous currency as of December 31, 2024, and according to central bank regulations, it must be updated by inflation on the payment date. This concludes our prepared remarks. We will now take your questions. Operator, please open the line for questions. Operator00:17:02Thank you. We are going to open it up for questions and answers. If you have a question, please click on raise hand for audio questions. You will then receive a request to activate your microphone. Please activate it and pick up your headset to provide optimum sound quality when posing your question. Our first question comes from Brian Flores with Citi. Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:17:31Hi, team. Good morning. Thank you for the opportunity to ask questions. I have the first one is related to guidance, right? Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:17:43Because it seems that there were some moving pieces, as you mentioned, the implementation of the regulation in March. It seems that real loan growth is actually running well ahead of perhaps very optimistic expectations. From what we remember that you mentioned in the last quarter, you were expecting to grow between 60-65% in real terms. Deposits growing around 40% in real terms, they seem to be maybe growing a bit less. I do not know if your expectation of ROE has changed a bit, but just wanted to hear from you, given the obviously very dynamic economic environment, if any of the guidance lines that I just mentioned is also changed. Also, this is the second question, perhaps an extension of the first, is on capital, right? Because you had a benefit of 200 basis points due to the regulation. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:18:37I just wanted to ask you if thinking about a 15% tier one ratio by the end of the year, that already incorporates this, let's say, benefit, one-time benefit due to the regulation. Thank you. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:18:53Hello, Brian. This is Diego Cesarini. I will address your questions. To start with, regarding loans, we have revised a ittle downwards our revision. We think that we're thinking about growth in real terms of around 45%-50% for the year. That is in line with our 11% growth in the first quarter. Regarding deposits, we are also revising downwards. We are seeing around 25% in real terms. We are still keeping our ROE guidance in the between the mid-teens to bias to low teens. Regarding capital, yes, it's true that we have our projection has been improved a little. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:19:51We are now forecasting by December a ratio around between 16% and 16.5%. When we were talking about 15%, we had this operational risk improvement in our consideration. The improvement that we are showing right now is regarding the performance of loans, which we are revising down to 45%-50%. Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:20:18Thank you, Diego. Very clear. If I can make a follow-up, so you're revising two lines in growth, right? Deposits and loans by double digits. Just wanted to, if you could expand a bit on the rationale behind it, is it more on maybe lower risk appetite? Is it more on perhaps your internal expectations of lower dynamism in the economy? Just wanted to understand a bit more on the nature of the revision. Thank you. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:20:47Our risk appetite hasn't changed. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:20:51What we are seeing is that probably liquidity could be a little concerned this year as the government is keeping a very restrictive monetary policy. It's just that. Super clear. We expect that policy to continue for some months. We have some excess of liquidity that we can still use. So we are not worried in the short term, probably for one or two quarters. We can keep growing even if deposits grow below loans. Of course, we are not certain when this policy will change. We are being a little more conservative on growth just for that. Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:21:27Okay. Super clear. Thank you. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:21:30Welcome. Operator00:21:33Our next question comes from Pedro Leduc with Itau BBA. Pedro LeducEquity Research at Itaú BBA00:21:41Hi, Belén. Diego, thank you very much for taking the question. Congratulations on the numbers. Okay. Two quick ones. Pedro LeducEquity Research at Itaú BBA00:21:47First, on SG&A, we had a nice decline there in real terms year over year, Q and Q. If you can help us see through the remainder of the year if this is a trend that's likely to continue. Second, on your NIMs, they've been declining, obviously, but declined a lot less this quarter than they had in the last ones. If you're already seeing the end of the transition in NIMs within your asset base, and maybe when can we expect this to start taking up again? Thank you. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:22:15Hi, Pedro. This is Diego again. I could not listen very well to your first question regarding your, I will ask you to repeat, but regarding your second question, NIMs have fallen around 100 basis points this quarter comparing with the fourth quarter of last year. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:22:38If you consider those NIMs in both currency, they have fallen even less. We have some changes in the mix. Dollar activity is weighting a little more than the previous quarter. Also, if you consider that monetary policy rates have fallen around 600 basis points on average, we see that NIMs have not fallen so much. As we have said before, NIMs at the beginning of last year were abnormally high. They have normalized. You have to consider that part of these high NIMs have in account that we have inflation, high inflation, rates are high because of inflation mainly. For the rest of the year, if we consider that inflation should keep going down, we should expect some decrease, some more decrease in NIMs. The speed of that decrease will not be, of course, the same as last year. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:23:41We are expecting some soft decrease in those figures. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:23:45That is very clear. Thank you. The first question was on SG&A. If we should continue to see the real-term declines in overall SG&A this year. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:23:54Hi, Pedro. Sorry. Could you repeat because we are not getting the first part? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:24:06In regards to SG&A, so personnel and other admin expenses, if they should continue declining in real terms this year as we saw the first quarter? Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:24:16You mean the improvement in expenses, you say, administrative expenses? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:24:19That is right. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:24:21Okay. In benefits to the personnel, the main contrast has to do with severance costs that you had in the fourth quarter of 2024 and in 2024 overall. I mean, you had a rotation of C-level employees, so that had a cost. You are not going to see that during 2025. That was the main moving line. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:24:51In the case of administrative expenses, we had a reclassification in the line of taxes that has to do with taxes related to health and safety. It is a specific tax here in Argentina. Because of the nature of that expense, we decided to reclass, I mean, take it from that line onto other operating expenses in the line of turnover tax. That was the main what moved the quarter in terms of expenses. Of course, this is a one-shot in the sense that this reclassification will already be set for the next quarters. You did have lower costs on the side of rent and software that has to do mainly with payments to the parent company, but that has to do with lower provisions that we made on the FX exchange rate at which we value these costs. Operator00:26:05Our next question comes from Carlos Gomez with HSBC. Hello. Carlos Gomez LopezHead of LatAm Financial Institutions at HSBC00:26:16\assumptions. Can you remind us what you expect for inflation and for the currency for this year and next year? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:26:48Thank you. Hello, Carlos. How are you? Regarding our mix of loans, as we said, we grew more in dollars. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:27:02We grew 25% in the quarter in real terms, and we grew just 8% in real terms in the peso activity. We have seen more demand in this currency in dollars. For the coming months, what we have to think is that the financial system as a whole, and even our bank, has some strong and conservative policies regarding this currency. We have faced some runoffs of deposits in the past that were very, very heavy. At the moment, we cannot expect the same speed of growth in dollar activity that we have seen in the first quarter. It will depend on funding. We are ready to see what the government is going to announce regarding dollars that could benefit our funding. We do not know. We have heard just rumors, and they are just announcing this at this moment. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:28:07To make it short, we should not expect the same degree of growth in this currency. Regarding our economic assumptions, our research department right now is expecting a 5.5% GDP growth this year and 35% inflation. Carlos Gomez LopezHead of LatAm Financial Institutions at HSBC00:28:28The exchange rate? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:28:32The exchange is a little below ARS 1,400. Carlos Gomez LopezHead of LatAm Financial Institutions at HSBC00:28:36For this year and for next year? I know nobody knows, but what do you have? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:28:43Probably it will grow in line with inflation. It will be a little below ARS 1,700. Carlos Gomez LopezHead of LatAm Financial Institutions at HSBC00:28:49Thank you so much. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:28:52You're welcome. Operator00:28:57Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please click on Raise Hand for audio questions. You will then receive a request to activate your microphone. Please activate it and pick up your headset to provide optimum sound quality. Please hold while we pull for questions. Our next question comes from Jorge Mauro with Fundamenta. You can open your microphone. Jorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at Fundamenta00:30:05Hi. Jorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at Fundamenta00:30:09Yeah, my question is regarding the growth of credit by product. When you look at credit cards, it barely grew this quarter in real terms. I just wanted to understand what's your view. I mean, do you think that there is potential for credit cards or because this is a product that has been mainstream for a longer period of time historically, there is much less growth than in other products? How are you approaching this? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:30:37Hi, Jorge. You know that the financial system has been very small. It is still very small for many years and very based on transactions in the past. In that context, credit card was the product bank used to make contact with new customers. People's decisions were also very short-term based. That's where we mainly grew. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:31:06Credit cards, loans weighed around 40-45% of our balance sheet or loan banks two or three years ago. That is changing for good. People with stability, people are taking more long-term decisions. We are seeing more growth in consumer loans, car loans, mortgages. We do not want to stop our growth on credit cards, but other products will grow more probably in the coming years. That is mainly our opinion on this subject. Jorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at Fundamenta00:31:46Okay, but do you think that credit cards still have potential or the level we have seen today is the credit penetration of credit cards that Argentina may have? Very limited growth in a way. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:32:04No, I think we think that they still have potential. As I said before, mortgages come from scratch. They weigh nothing in banks' balance sheets. The same happens with other long-term loans. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:32:22They should grow more. Credit cards, we think that they will still be growing above inflation, but not as much as the other lines. In the case of our bank, we are strong on credit cards. We have a market share that is above our average market share. We feel very comfortable with that level. Probably we will keep that high market share in the future. Jorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at Fundamenta00:32:48Thank you very much. Operator00:32:52Next question from Brian Flores with Citi. Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:32:56Hi, team. Just a quick follow-up on the last question. I think it is a very interesting point. Just wanted to understand, are you seeing on average the duration of your portfolio already increasing, or is this something that should happen still? Just wanted to understand how quickly this could be happening or not. Thank you. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:33:20Hi, Brian. Yes, yes. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:33:25We see that our duration is increasing mainly because of consumer loans. We have also grown last year and this year on SMEs loans that have longer terms than we had in the past. In the past, the usual product for an SME was discount of checks, documents, very short term, 60 days, 90 days. Since mid-year of 2024, we have seen more demand on investing lines. Yes, definitely, the duration is growing. On average, we are still short in our presentation. We have some figures, some charts regarding durations, and you can see that most of our loans still are below one-year tenor. In the future, we can expect duration to go longer. We are also growing on mortgages. It does not represent an important part of our loan portfolio, but in the future, we could also expect that line to weigh more. Perfect. Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:34:38Sorry for the follow-up here, but on the last point, do you think securitization or the ability to do securitization is, I would say, a requirement for us to see mortgages in your portfolio to really gain relevance or even for the system? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:34:58We think that you cannot keep this level of growth in mortgages in the long term if we do not have long-term funding. Securitization is one alternative, but we could also have, as in other countries, some long-term bond market. We have that in Argentina, but it is still a very shallow market with small volume, short terms. For example, you cannot issue a bond of more than a year and a half or two years, and volumes would still be very, very low. Yes, definitely, we need some change in funding to keep this trend in mortgages. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:35:43At this moment, we cannot be sure that that will happen. If we think that Argentina is normalizing, our capital markets should also get more complex, and some long-term investors should be able to buy mortgages or to provide us with some long-term funding. That is our expectation in the short term and midterm. We can still grow on these lines, but for the long term, we need some changes in our funding. Jorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at Fundamenta00:36:16Thank you. Thank you very much. Operator00:36:19Please hold while we pull for questions. We are showing no further questions at this time. This concludes the question and answer section. I would now like to turn it over to BBVA's team for closing remarks. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:36:42Thank you all for joining us today. If you have any further questions, do not hesitate to reach out. Have a nice day. Have a nice week. Thank you. Operator00:36:56This concludes the presentation. You may disconnect now and have a nice day.Read moreParticipantsAnalystsBelén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA ArgentinaCarlos Gomez LopezHead of LatAm Financial Institutions at HSBCBrian FloresVice President and Equity Research at CitiJorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at FundamentaPedro LeducEquity Research at Itaú BBADiego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVAPowered by Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckInterim Report BBVA Banco Frances Earnings HeadlinesBanco BBVA Argentina Sets April 28, 2026 Shareholders Meeting With Dividend and Capital Allocation PlanMay 5 at 2:04 PM | theglobeandmail.comBanco BBVA Argentina SA (NYSE:BBAR) Q4 2025 earnings call transcriptMarch 6, 2026 | msn.comYour $29.97 book is free todayWhy Some Traders Skip Stocks Entirely You don't need a big account to trade options. In fact, options can give you up to 12 times the leverage of stocks — with a fraction of the capital tied up. This free guide lays it all out in plain English — from A to Z, with step-by-step examples you can follow in your own account.May 5 at 1:00 AM | Profits Run (Ad)Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. (BBAR) Q4 2025 Earnings Call TranscriptMarch 5, 2026 | seekingalpha.comBanco BBVA Argentina S.A. 2025 Q4 - Results - Earnings Call PresentationMarch 5, 2026 | seekingalpha.comBBVA Argentina announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial ResultsMarch 4, 2026 | businesswire.comSee More BBVA Banco Frances Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like BBVA Banco Frances? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on BBVA Banco Frances and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About BBVA Banco FrancesBBVA Banco Francés is one of Argentina’s leading financial institutions, operating as a subsidiary of the global banking group BBVA. The bank provides a full range of retail and commercial banking services to individuals, small and medium‐sized enterprises, large corporations and institutional clients. Its product suite spans deposit accounts, mortgages, personal and auto loans, credit and debit cards, transactional banking and digital solutions designed to meet the evolving needs of customers in both urban and regional markets. Founded in Buenos Aires in the late 19th century, Banco Francés has developed a longstanding presence in Argentina’s financial sector. In the mid‐1990s, the bank joined BBVA’s international network, gaining access to global expertise and technology platforms. Over time, it has expanded its branch and ATM network nationwide while investing heavily in online and mobile banking channels, allowing clients to manage accounts, execute payments and access value‐added services remotely. BBVA Banco Francés offers specialized services such as corporate and investment banking, treasury management and asset‐management solutions. Its insurance division provides life, property and casualty products, and the bank maintains strategic alliances to distribute mutual funds and pension plans. Committed to digital innovation and financial inclusion, BBVA Banco Francés continues to enhance its technology infrastructure and customer experience initiatives to support economic development across Argentina.View BBVA Banco Frances ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Latest Articles Palantir Drops After a Blowout Q1—What Investors Should KnowShopify’s Valuation Crisis Creates Opportunity in 2026onsemi Stock Dips After Earnings: Why the Dip Is BuyableTSLA: 3 Reasons the Stock Could Hit $400 in MayNebius Breaks Out to All-Time Highs—Here's What's Driving It.3 Reasons Analysts Love DexComMonolithic Power Systems: AI Stock Beat, Raised and Upgraded Post-Earnings Upcoming Earnings ARM (5/6/2026)AppLovin (5/6/2026)DoorDash (5/6/2026)Fortinet (5/6/2026)Marriott International (5/6/2026)Warner Bros. 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PresentationSkip to Participants Operator00:00:00Good morning, everyone, and welcome to BBVA Argentina's First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call. Today with us are Mr. Diego Cesarini, Head of ALM and Investor Relations; Mrs. Belén Fourcade, Investor Relations Manager; and Mrs. Carmen Morillo Arroyo, CFO, who will be available for the Q&A session. This presentation and the First Quarter 2025 earnings release are available on BBVA's Investor Relations website, ir.bbva.com.ar, and will also be available for download in the chat. First of all, let me point out that some of the statements made during this conference call may be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions found in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 under U.S. federal security law. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Operator00:01:13Additional information concerning these factors is contained in BBVA Argentina's Annual Report on Form 20F for the fiscal year 2024, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. During the company's presentation, all microphones will be disabled. At that time, we are going to open it up for questions and answers. If you have a question, please write it down in the Q&A section or click on "Raise Hand" for audio questions. You will then receive a request to activate your microphone. Please activate it and pick up your headset to provide optimum sound quality when posing your question. I will now turn the call over to Mrs. Belén Fourcade. Please go ahead. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:01:59Good morning, and thank you all for joining us today. The notable fiscal consolidation, monetary stringency, and relative exchange rate stability have contributed to a moderation process of inflation throughout 2024, which has continued at the beginning of 2025. Likewise, there are increasing signs of recovery in economic activity, which, after falling 1.7% in 2024, would expand by around 5.5% in 2025, according to BBVA research. The prospects for inflation reduction have strengthened, and the forecast is that it will converge to around 35% by the end of 2025. Recently, within the framework of a new agreement with the International Monetary Fund, the lifting of a large part of the exchange controls and implementation of a floating exchange rate scheme with wide bands were announced, which could contribute to the macroeconomic normalization process. Regarding the external environment, although the direct impact of U.S. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:03:05Tariffs could be relatively limited, the economy could be affected by a less favorable global context. Before moving on to this quarter's business dynamics and results, I would like to comment on the new global strategy of the BBVA Group for the 2025-2029 cycle. This has been launched, arising from an institutional reflection after the closing of the 2020-2024 strategic plan, which was successful in terms of growth and profitability. This redesign responds to a new global context characterized by macroeconomic stabilization, geopolitical transformation, and population aging, which poses challenges and opportunities in credit and deposit management. In this context, the strategic priorities for 2025-2029 are focused on three main pillars: one, a radical customer-centric perspective; two, value and capital generation and growth in a changing environment; and three, leveraging accelerators such as artificial intelligence for efficient data processing. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:04:16These priorities are articulated with an evolution in cultural values towards behaviors with greater empathy and demand, and a renewed purpose: support your desire to go further, which reinforces the active role of the customer as a central character of growth. Now, moving on to business dynamics, as you can see on slide four of our webcast presentation, our service offering has evolved in such a way that by the end of March 2025, new customer acquisition through digital channels reached 86% versus 81% a year ago. Retail digital sales, measured in units, reached 93% in the first quarter of 2025 and represent 86% of the bank's total sales, measured in monetary value. Digitalization, which was previously a competitive advantage, has now become a market standard, while new unregulated players and disruptive technologies such as artificial intelligence demand a redefinition of the differential value of the company's proposition. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:05:24Moving on to slide five and six, I will now comment on the bank's first quarter 2025 financial results. BBVA Argentina's inflation-adjusted net income in the first quarter of 2025 was ARS 81.6 billion, increasing 16.2% quarter over quarter. This implied a quarterly ROE of 11.5% and a quarterly ROA of 2%. The 56.9% increase in quarterly operating results was explained by higher income and lower operating expenses. Higher income was mainly due to, one, a substantial improvement in income from fees and, two, better net interest income. On the side of expenses, there was an improvement in all expense lines, in particular benefits to personnel and other operating income. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:06:16It should be noted that the income tax line in the fourth quarter of 2024 reflects a positive result, derived from a change in accounting exposure that implied a reclassification of the income tax calculation from other comprehensive income to the income statement. Net income from the net monetary position was 10.7% lower quarter over quarter, thanks to a lower net monetary position, which offset the increase in quarter inflation, which was 8.57% versus 8.03% in the fourth quarter of 2024. Turning into the P&L lines in slide six, net interest income was ARS 541.3 billion, increasing 3.3% quarter over quarter. In the first quarter of 2025, net interest income decreased less than interest in expenses in monetary terms. The former decreased due to lower income from public securities, especially CPI-linked bonds. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:07:19Expenses decreased due to lower time deposit expenses, mainly due to lower rates and interest-bearing checking accounts expenses, as the rates of these products have also declined. Interest from time deposits explained 74.4% of interest expenses versus 67.9% the previous quarter. Net income as of the first quarter of 2025 totaled ARS 99.8 billion, increasing 48.3% quarter over quarter. Fee income totaled ARS 180.1 billion, increasing 20.7% quarter over quarter. Higher income is mainly explained by credit card fees, considering a revision of provisions linked to the MISHAS BBVA loyalty program. It is important to note the increase in fees linked to loans, fees from insurance, and fees linked to loan commitments, the latter related to income from structuring of syndicated loans. On the side of fee expenses, these totaled ARS 80.8 billion, decreasing 1.9% quarter over quarter. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:08:32This is mainly explained by lower expenses on payroll promotion campaigns, followed by lower expenses from foreign trade transactions. In the first quarter of 2025, loan loss allowances increased 4.9%, explained by the real growth of the loan book in the quarter, which implied higher provisioning. During the first quarter of 2025, total operating expenses were ARS 423.8 billion, decreasing 13.8% quarter over quarter, of which 29% were personal benefit costs. Personal benefits decreased 23% quarter over quarter. In spite of wages increasing in line with inflation, the fourth quarter of 2024 was highly impacted by severance expenses and the adjustment of provisions recorded for stock of vacation days and variable remuneration, which were not present in the first quarter of 2025, reducing overall expenses. Administrative expenses decreased 4.3% quarter over quarter. This is mainly explained by, one, taxes, two, software, and three, rent. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:09:44Rent and software are related to expenses of software licenses and services contracted with the parent company. In the case of taxes, the fall is mainly explained by an accounting reclassification of taxes linked to the health and safety, which, as of this quarter, are now recorded in the turnover tax line in other operating expenses pursuant to the nature of expense. The accumulated efficiency ratio as of the first quarter of 2025 was 56.3%, below the 62.2% reported in the fourth quarter of 2024 and the 65.4% reported in the first quarter of 2024. The decrease in this ratio is due to a decrease in expenses and an increase in income, especially fee income and lower result from the net monetary position. Private loans as of the first quarter of 2025 totaled ARS 9.2 trillion, increasing 11.2% quarter over quarter. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:10:48Loans to the private sector in pesos increased 8.3% in the first quarter of 2025. During the quarter, growth is observed in most lines, but was especially driven by, one, a 22.9% increase in consumer loans, followed by, two, an 18.4% increase in overdrafts, and, three, a 16.2% increase in other loans. A 23.1% growth in mortgages is to be noted, considering the continuous progress in this product, which was relaunched by mid-2024. In all cases, the increment is boosted by genuine growth in real terms of the portfolio, levered on relative stability of market interest rates. Loans to the private sector denominated in foreign currency increased 25.4% quarter over quarter. Quarterly increase is mainly explained by a 21.4% growth in financing and pre-financing of exports and a 53.7% growth in other loans, the latter linked to financing of investment projects. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:12:00During the quarter, the commercial portfolio grew 12.5% and the retail portfolio increased 9.5%. The commercial portfolio represents 57.1% of the total portfolio from 52.5% a year ago. In nominal terms, BBVA Argentina managed to increase the retail, commercial, and total loan portfolio by 19%, 22%, and 23% respectively during the quarter, surpassing quarterly inflation levels in all cases. As of the first quarter of 2025, the total gross loans and other financing over deposits ratio was 84.7%, above the 77.5% recorded in the fourth quarter of 2024 and above the 55.9% in the first quarter of 2024. Participation of total loans over assets is 56% versus 51% in the fourth quarter of 2024 and 32% in the fourth quarter of 2024, evidencing a lower exposure to the public sector in line with the real growth of credit demand. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:13:12BBVA Argentina's consolidated market share of private sector loans reached 11.28% as of the first quarter of 2025, improving from 10.10% a year ago and sustaining the two-digit figure. As of the first quarter of 2025, asset quality ratio keeps a good performance at 1.38%, increasing quarter over quarter, mainly due to seasonal arrears in credit cards. Commercial NPLs remained with a very good behavior. On the funding side, as of the first quarter of 2025, total deposits reached ARS 11 trillion, increasing 1.8% quarter over quarter. The bank's consolidated market share of private deposits as of the first quarter of 2025 reached 9.15% compared to 7.37% a year ago. Private non-financial sector deposits in pesos totaled ARS 7.4 trillion, increasing 7.8% compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:14:21The quarterly change is mainly affected by a 163.1% increase in investment accounts and a 2.5% increase in checking accounts, mainly explained by higher funding. Private non-financial sector deposits in foreign currency expressed in pesos increased 0.8% quarter over quarter. This is mainly explained by a 20.9% increase in time deposits, partially offset by a 0.4% fall in saving accounts. BBVA Argentina continues to show strong solvency indicators on the first quarter of 2025. Capital ratio reached 21.5%. Capital excess over regulatory requirement was ARS 1.5 trillion or 161.3%. In spite of the genuine growth in the loan book, which generated greater requirements, this effect was largely offset by a central bank regulation, which changed operational risk requirements, now aligned to Basel IV regulations. These requirements fell considerably by 94.4%, improving the capital ratio by 202 basis points. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:15:39The first quarter and 2025 total public sector exposure, excluding central bank, totaled ARS 2.8 trillion, decreasing 2.9% quarter over quarter. The annual increase is mainly explained by a greater increment of public exposure to the treasury in detriment of central bank risk exposure. Exposure to the public sector, excluding central bank exposure, represents 17.1% of total assets, below the 17.9% in the fourth quarter of 2024, in line with real loan growth demand. In the quarter, liquid assets were ARS 5.4 trillion, decreasing 13.3% quarter over quarter. This was mainly driven by a 20.1% decline in cash and deposits in banks and a 12.5% fall in public securities. As of the date of this report, the bank has announced the payment of dividends in cash or in kind. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:16:40The total amount to be paid will be ARS 89.4 billion, expressed in homogeneous currency as of December 31, 2024, and according to central bank regulations, it must be updated by inflation on the payment date. This concludes our prepared remarks. We will now take your questions. Operator, please open the line for questions. Operator00:17:02Thank you. We are going to open it up for questions and answers. If you have a question, please click on raise hand for audio questions. You will then receive a request to activate your microphone. Please activate it and pick up your headset to provide optimum sound quality when posing your question. Our first question comes from Brian Flores with Citi. Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:17:31Hi, team. Good morning. Thank you for the opportunity to ask questions. I have the first one is related to guidance, right? Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:17:43Because it seems that there were some moving pieces, as you mentioned, the implementation of the regulation in March. It seems that real loan growth is actually running well ahead of perhaps very optimistic expectations. From what we remember that you mentioned in the last quarter, you were expecting to grow between 60-65% in real terms. Deposits growing around 40% in real terms, they seem to be maybe growing a bit less. I do not know if your expectation of ROE has changed a bit, but just wanted to hear from you, given the obviously very dynamic economic environment, if any of the guidance lines that I just mentioned is also changed. Also, this is the second question, perhaps an extension of the first, is on capital, right? Because you had a benefit of 200 basis points due to the regulation. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:18:37I just wanted to ask you if thinking about a 15% tier one ratio by the end of the year, that already incorporates this, let's say, benefit, one-time benefit due to the regulation. Thank you. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:18:53Hello, Brian. This is Diego Cesarini. I will address your questions. To start with, regarding loans, we have revised a ittle downwards our revision. We think that we're thinking about growth in real terms of around 45%-50% for the year. That is in line with our 11% growth in the first quarter. Regarding deposits, we are also revising downwards. We are seeing around 25% in real terms. We are still keeping our ROE guidance in the between the mid-teens to bias to low teens. Regarding capital, yes, it's true that we have our projection has been improved a little. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:19:51We are now forecasting by December a ratio around between 16% and 16.5%. When we were talking about 15%, we had this operational risk improvement in our consideration. The improvement that we are showing right now is regarding the performance of loans, which we are revising down to 45%-50%. Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:20:18Thank you, Diego. Very clear. If I can make a follow-up, so you're revising two lines in growth, right? Deposits and loans by double digits. Just wanted to, if you could expand a bit on the rationale behind it, is it more on maybe lower risk appetite? Is it more on perhaps your internal expectations of lower dynamism in the economy? Just wanted to understand a bit more on the nature of the revision. Thank you. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:20:47Our risk appetite hasn't changed. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:20:51What we are seeing is that probably liquidity could be a little concerned this year as the government is keeping a very restrictive monetary policy. It's just that. Super clear. We expect that policy to continue for some months. We have some excess of liquidity that we can still use. So we are not worried in the short term, probably for one or two quarters. We can keep growing even if deposits grow below loans. Of course, we are not certain when this policy will change. We are being a little more conservative on growth just for that. Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:21:27Okay. Super clear. Thank you. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:21:30Welcome. Operator00:21:33Our next question comes from Pedro Leduc with Itau BBA. Pedro LeducEquity Research at Itaú BBA00:21:41Hi, Belén. Diego, thank you very much for taking the question. Congratulations on the numbers. Okay. Two quick ones. Pedro LeducEquity Research at Itaú BBA00:21:47First, on SG&A, we had a nice decline there in real terms year over year, Q and Q. If you can help us see through the remainder of the year if this is a trend that's likely to continue. Second, on your NIMs, they've been declining, obviously, but declined a lot less this quarter than they had in the last ones. If you're already seeing the end of the transition in NIMs within your asset base, and maybe when can we expect this to start taking up again? Thank you. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:22:15Hi, Pedro. This is Diego again. I could not listen very well to your first question regarding your, I will ask you to repeat, but regarding your second question, NIMs have fallen around 100 basis points this quarter comparing with the fourth quarter of last year. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:22:38If you consider those NIMs in both currency, they have fallen even less. We have some changes in the mix. Dollar activity is weighting a little more than the previous quarter. Also, if you consider that monetary policy rates have fallen around 600 basis points on average, we see that NIMs have not fallen so much. As we have said before, NIMs at the beginning of last year were abnormally high. They have normalized. You have to consider that part of these high NIMs have in account that we have inflation, high inflation, rates are high because of inflation mainly. For the rest of the year, if we consider that inflation should keep going down, we should expect some decrease, some more decrease in NIMs. The speed of that decrease will not be, of course, the same as last year. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:23:41We are expecting some soft decrease in those figures. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:23:45That is very clear. Thank you. The first question was on SG&A. If we should continue to see the real-term declines in overall SG&A this year. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:23:54Hi, Pedro. Sorry. Could you repeat because we are not getting the first part? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:24:06In regards to SG&A, so personnel and other admin expenses, if they should continue declining in real terms this year as we saw the first quarter? Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:24:16You mean the improvement in expenses, you say, administrative expenses? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:24:19That is right. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:24:21Okay. In benefits to the personnel, the main contrast has to do with severance costs that you had in the fourth quarter of 2024 and in 2024 overall. I mean, you had a rotation of C-level employees, so that had a cost. You are not going to see that during 2025. That was the main moving line. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:24:51In the case of administrative expenses, we had a reclassification in the line of taxes that has to do with taxes related to health and safety. It is a specific tax here in Argentina. Because of the nature of that expense, we decided to reclass, I mean, take it from that line onto other operating expenses in the line of turnover tax. That was the main what moved the quarter in terms of expenses. Of course, this is a one-shot in the sense that this reclassification will already be set for the next quarters. You did have lower costs on the side of rent and software that has to do mainly with payments to the parent company, but that has to do with lower provisions that we made on the FX exchange rate at which we value these costs. Operator00:26:05Our next question comes from Carlos Gomez with HSBC. Hello. Carlos Gomez LopezHead of LatAm Financial Institutions at HSBC00:26:16\assumptions. Can you remind us what you expect for inflation and for the currency for this year and next year? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:26:48Thank you. Hello, Carlos. How are you? Regarding our mix of loans, as we said, we grew more in dollars. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:27:02We grew 25% in the quarter in real terms, and we grew just 8% in real terms in the peso activity. We have seen more demand in this currency in dollars. For the coming months, what we have to think is that the financial system as a whole, and even our bank, has some strong and conservative policies regarding this currency. We have faced some runoffs of deposits in the past that were very, very heavy. At the moment, we cannot expect the same speed of growth in dollar activity that we have seen in the first quarter. It will depend on funding. We are ready to see what the government is going to announce regarding dollars that could benefit our funding. We do not know. We have heard just rumors, and they are just announcing this at this moment. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:28:07To make it short, we should not expect the same degree of growth in this currency. Regarding our economic assumptions, our research department right now is expecting a 5.5% GDP growth this year and 35% inflation. Carlos Gomez LopezHead of LatAm Financial Institutions at HSBC00:28:28The exchange rate? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:28:32The exchange is a little below ARS 1,400. Carlos Gomez LopezHead of LatAm Financial Institutions at HSBC00:28:36For this year and for next year? I know nobody knows, but what do you have? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:28:43Probably it will grow in line with inflation. It will be a little below ARS 1,700. Carlos Gomez LopezHead of LatAm Financial Institutions at HSBC00:28:49Thank you so much. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:28:52You're welcome. Operator00:28:57Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please click on Raise Hand for audio questions. You will then receive a request to activate your microphone. Please activate it and pick up your headset to provide optimum sound quality. Please hold while we pull for questions. Our next question comes from Jorge Mauro with Fundamenta. You can open your microphone. Jorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at Fundamenta00:30:05Hi. Jorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at Fundamenta00:30:09Yeah, my question is regarding the growth of credit by product. When you look at credit cards, it barely grew this quarter in real terms. I just wanted to understand what's your view. I mean, do you think that there is potential for credit cards or because this is a product that has been mainstream for a longer period of time historically, there is much less growth than in other products? How are you approaching this? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:30:37Hi, Jorge. You know that the financial system has been very small. It is still very small for many years and very based on transactions in the past. In that context, credit card was the product bank used to make contact with new customers. People's decisions were also very short-term based. That's where we mainly grew. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:31:06Credit cards, loans weighed around 40-45% of our balance sheet or loan banks two or three years ago. That is changing for good. People with stability, people are taking more long-term decisions. We are seeing more growth in consumer loans, car loans, mortgages. We do not want to stop our growth on credit cards, but other products will grow more probably in the coming years. That is mainly our opinion on this subject. Jorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at Fundamenta00:31:46Okay, but do you think that credit cards still have potential or the level we have seen today is the credit penetration of credit cards that Argentina may have? Very limited growth in a way. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:32:04No, I think we think that they still have potential. As I said before, mortgages come from scratch. They weigh nothing in banks' balance sheets. The same happens with other long-term loans. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:32:22They should grow more. Credit cards, we think that they will still be growing above inflation, but not as much as the other lines. In the case of our bank, we are strong on credit cards. We have a market share that is above our average market share. We feel very comfortable with that level. Probably we will keep that high market share in the future. Jorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at Fundamenta00:32:48Thank you very much. Operator00:32:52Next question from Brian Flores with Citi. Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:32:56Hi, team. Just a quick follow-up on the last question. I think it is a very interesting point. Just wanted to understand, are you seeing on average the duration of your portfolio already increasing, or is this something that should happen still? Just wanted to understand how quickly this could be happening or not. Thank you. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:33:20Hi, Brian. Yes, yes. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:33:25We see that our duration is increasing mainly because of consumer loans. We have also grown last year and this year on SMEs loans that have longer terms than we had in the past. In the past, the usual product for an SME was discount of checks, documents, very short term, 60 days, 90 days. Since mid-year of 2024, we have seen more demand on investing lines. Yes, definitely, the duration is growing. On average, we are still short in our presentation. We have some figures, some charts regarding durations, and you can see that most of our loans still are below one-year tenor. In the future, we can expect duration to go longer. We are also growing on mortgages. It does not represent an important part of our loan portfolio, but in the future, we could also expect that line to weigh more. Perfect. Brian FloresVice President and Equity Research at Citi00:34:38Sorry for the follow-up here, but on the last point, do you think securitization or the ability to do securitization is, I would say, a requirement for us to see mortgages in your portfolio to really gain relevance or even for the system? Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:34:58We think that you cannot keep this level of growth in mortgages in the long term if we do not have long-term funding. Securitization is one alternative, but we could also have, as in other countries, some long-term bond market. We have that in Argentina, but it is still a very shallow market with small volume, short terms. For example, you cannot issue a bond of more than a year and a half or two years, and volumes would still be very, very low. Yes, definitely, we need some change in funding to keep this trend in mortgages. Diego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVA00:35:43At this moment, we cannot be sure that that will happen. If we think that Argentina is normalizing, our capital markets should also get more complex, and some long-term investors should be able to buy mortgages or to provide us with some long-term funding. That is our expectation in the short term and midterm. We can still grow on these lines, but for the long term, we need some changes in our funding. Jorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at Fundamenta00:36:16Thank you. Thank you very much. Operator00:36:19Please hold while we pull for questions. We are showing no further questions at this time. This concludes the question and answer section. I would now like to turn it over to BBVA's team for closing remarks. Belén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA Argentina00:36:42Thank you all for joining us today. If you have any further questions, do not hesitate to reach out. Have a nice day. Have a nice week. Thank you. Operator00:36:56This concludes the presentation. You may disconnect now and have a nice day.Read moreParticipantsAnalystsBelén FourcadeInvestor Relations Manager at BBVA ArgentinaCarlos Gomez LopezHead of LatAm Financial Institutions at HSBCBrian FloresVice President and Equity Research at CitiJorge MauroPartner and Equity Analyst at FundamentaPedro LeducEquity Research at Itaú BBADiego CesariniHead of Investor Relations at BBVAPowered by