NASDAQ:FRPT Freshpet Q2 2025 Earnings Report $69.99 +4.14 (+6.29%) Closing price 08/4/2025 04:00 PM EasternExtended Trading$69.48 -0.50 (-0.72%) As of 04:00 AM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. ProfileEarnings HistoryForecast Freshpet EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.33Consensus EPS $0.12Beat/MissBeat by +$0.21One Year Ago EPS-$0.03Freshpet Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$264.69 millionExpected Revenue$269.75 millionBeat/MissMissed by -$5.06 millionYoY Revenue Growth+12.50%Freshpet Announcement DetailsQuarterQ2 2025Date8/4/2025TimeBefore Market OpensConference Call DateMonday, August 4, 2025Conference Call Time8:00AM ETConference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by Freshpet Q2 2025 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrAugust 4, 2025 ShareLink copied to clipboard.Key Takeaways Positive Sentiment: Freshpet's focus on operational efficiencies lifted adjusted gross margin to 46.9% in Q2 and new bag‐making technologies are expected to further narrow roll vs. bag margin gaps. Positive Sentiment: Company lowered 2025–26 CapEx by at least $100 million to ~$175 million for 2025, reducing capital intensity and aiming to be free cash flow positive in 2026. Negative Sentiment: 2025 net sales growth guidance was cut to 13–16% (from 15–18%), and the long‐term $1.8 billion net-sales target for 2027 was removed due to economic headwinds, though growth above category is expected. Neutral Sentiment: Management plans new media campaigns emphasizing the health benefits of fresh, broader digital/social/CTV spend, club and mass distribution expansion, and value‐focused bundles to drive penetration. Positive Sentiment: Digital sales grew 40% in Q2 and now account for 13% of net sales, with online momentum set to benefit from Freshpet's 28,000+ in‐store fridge network and last-mile partnerships. AI Generated. May Contain Errors.Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallFreshpet Q2 202500:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xTranscript SectionsPresentationParticipantsPresentationSkip to Participants Operator00:00:00As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Rachel Ulsh, Vice President, Investor Relations for Freshpet. Thank you. You may begin. Rachel UlshVP - IR & Corporate Communications at Freshpet00:00:11Good morning, and welcome to Freshpet's Second Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Call and Webcast. On today's call are Billy Cyr, Chief Executive Officer and Todd Comfort, Chief Financial Officer. Nikki Beatty, Chief Operating Officer, will also be available for Q and A. Before we begin, please remember that during the course of this call, management may make forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These include statements related to our prospects and plans for growth, efficiencies of NS operations, timing and impact of new technology, capital spending, adequacy of capacity, expectations to be free cash flow positive in 2026, and our outlook for 2025 and long term. Rachel UlshVP - IR & Corporate Communications at Freshpet00:00:50They involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from any forward looking statements made today, including those associated with these statements and those discussed in our earnings press release and in our most recent filings with the SEC, including our 2024 annual report on Form 10 ks, which are all available on our website. Please note that on today's call, management will refer to certain non GAAP financial measures such as EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA, among others. While the company believes these non GAAP financial measures provide useful information for investors, the presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to today's press release for how management defines such non GAAP measures, why management believes such non GAAP measures are useful, a reconciliation of the non GAAP financial measures to the most comparable measures compared in accordance with GAAP, and limitations associated with such non GAAP measures. Finally, the company has produced a presentation that contains many of the key metrics that will be discussed on this call. Rachel UlshVP - IR & Corporate Communications at Freshpet00:01:52That presentation can be found on the company's investor website. Management's commentary will not specifically walk through the presentation on the call, rather as a summary of the results and guidance they will discuss today. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Billy Cyr, Chief Executive Officer. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:02:07Thank you, Rachel, and good morning, everyone. The message I would like you to take away from today's call is that against the backdrop of subdued dog food category demand, Freshpet's growth continues to significantly outperform the category, and we are driving the operational improvements and capital efficiencies necessary to deliver our long term margin and free cash flow target even if the current economic constraints persist. Freshpet is a growth company and we expect to continually deliver outsized growth. We are also a very nimble company, one that has a long track record of adapting to changing environments. Looking back over the past six plus months, it is now apparent that the dog food category has faced a sizable headwind for the first time in years. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:02:50We've seen economic uncertainty result in consumers hesitating to trade up their dog food, defer well visits to the vet, decline medical treatments for their pets, and defer getting a new dog or replacing a recently deceased dog. Return to office mandates and the high cost of housing have not helped either. This has resulted in declining growth rates for most leading pet food brands, including the leading DTC brands. The effect has been most pronounced amongst dogs as opposed to cats, as cats are typically lower maintenance and lower cost making them a relatively attractive pet to have in times like these. The current environment has challenged our ability to grow at the same rates as the past several years. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:03:32To adapt to that we've modified our plans and put in place what we believe are the necessary drivers to reaccelerate our net sales growth which I'll review in a few minutes and we've seen some early encouraging signs. We're also increasing the intensity of our focus on the things that we can control so that no matter how long it takes for the economic climate to improve, we can still deliver strong financial results. We've made tremendous progress in our operations and are quite bullish about our long term prospects for the potential margins, profits and cash generation of the business. Our focus on operating improvements has driven a healthy improvement in our adjusted gross margin, But more importantly, those efforts in combination with new technologies we have developed will enable us to significantly reduce our CapEx while still expanding our manufacturing capacity to meet our long term demand. As a result, today we are lowering our CapEx estimates for 2025 and 2026 by a total of at least $100,000,000 While the operational progress we've made has touched virtually every aspect of our operations, some of the most significant achievements are: Ennis has become our most profitable plant. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:04:44This happened sooner than we had planned and is the result of strong leadership at that site and a testament to the vision and thoughtfulness that went into the design of that kitchen. It is evidence that we've been able to convert our operating experience into continual improvements that will ideally put us well ahead of any potential competitor in our mastery of fresh pet food manufacturing. Further, because Ennis is expected to provide more than 50% of our production volume within the next few years, its productivity advantages will have a greater and greater impact on the company's total profits over time. Second, development of new production technologies. We have previously indicated that we have created a new way to make our bag products and expect to start up our first new production scale line with that new technology in Q4 of this year. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:05:33If it works as we expect it to, we believe it will deliver higher quality product at lower cost through increased yields and throughput. It has the potential to significantly narrow the gap between the margins we make on our rolls and on our bags And this technology could potentially be the basis for new bag lines going forward. Additionally, we've recently developed a light version of the same technology that can deliver many, but not all, of the same benefits and could be retrofitted to our existing lines at relatively low cost with minimal disruption. We plan to test the lite version on one of our existing baglines in the 2026 and it could be reapplied to several of our other bag lines by the 2027 if successful. The pilot test runs of this technology indicate that it will work and would enable us to deliver more capacity per line from our already installed production base. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:06:28And number three, ability to reduce capital spending by a combined total of at least $100,000,000 in twenty twenty five-twenty twenty six. We've made exceptional progress at improving our throughputs, yields and operating effectiveness and that is enabling us to get more output from the existing lines and staffing leading to lower quality costs and improving margins. In combination with our new technologies, we now believe that we can defer at least $100,000,000 in CapEx from twenty twenty five-twenty twenty six and still meet the demand we expect to generate for the foreseeable future. This reduction in CapEx will have a direct impact on our cash flow to make the business much less capital intensive for the next few years. To be clear, some of this reduction is the result of slowing demand we've seen so far this year, but the remainder of the reduction is due to the improved operating efficiencies and new technologies we expect to implement over the next two years. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:07:22We are very proud of our team for its ability to adapt to the current environment and still deliver such exceptionally strong performance, which provides the foundation for even greater financial and strategic advantages. We pioneered this category and fully intend to maintain our advantages as the category grows, matures, and attracts new competition. With a strong footing, we are in a very good position to drive the growth of Freshpet. As you know, this has been a particularly challenging year on the top line, something that has typically not been an issue for us. Our media model has driven strong and predictable growth for a very long time, and the performance we saw earlier this year caused many to question it or if we had saturated our TAM. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:08:03Our data suggests that neither is true, I. E. Our media model is in fact still working and we still have a large and untapped TAM. We are growing across all channels, income groups and generations. The sales growth is just not as robust as we would like it to be today. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:08:21We believe our growth rate versus year ago has now stabilized and we are encouraged by some green shoots. However, given that we have not seen a greater increase in our year over year net sales growth yet, we believe it's prudent to adjust our net sales guidance for the year. Our updated guidance assumes the macroeconomic environment stays relatively the same and that we execute our plans focusing on areas that are in our control. The three key areas we are most concentrated on are: first, marketing. We've updated advertising on air that better explains the difference that fresh food can make and plan to launch another media campaign later this month that we believe will help drive greater household penetration. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:09:01We've also shifted marketing dollars to other channels like digital social and connected TV where we've been underdeveloped previously and we can be more targeted with MVPs. Second, distribution expansion. We are working on greater visibility and value channels such as club and mass, expanding our small DTC business called Freshpet Custom Meals, as well as several other opportunities. Digital orders, which we previously referred to as e commerce, continue to have outsized growth and were up 40 in the second quarter. Digital now accounts for 13% of our sales. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:09:35Our revised top line guidance also incorporates a much greater level of certainty on our expansion within the club channel specifically. As of last week, we've expanded our test in a leading club retailer and are now in 125 stores and we are optimistic we will be in more stores later this year. Other customers have also committed to adding second fridges and have expressed interest in testing some of the island fridges we previously shared sometime later this year or early next year. Third, value focused products. We are launching a new complete nutrition bag product and rolling out new multi packs and bundles of rolls and bags both online and in store later this year. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:10:15These will be available in select retailers. Now I'd like to briefly provide some highlights from the second quarter. Second quarter net sales were $264,700,000 up 12.5% year over year, primarily driven by volume growth. This was slightly lower than our expectations as shipment growth lagged consumption growth due to a small shift in orders from the June to early July. Adjusted gross margin in the second quarter was 46.9% compared to 45.9% in the prior year period. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:10:47Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter was $44,400,000 up approximately 9,000,000 or 26% year over year. From a category perspective, we continue to be the number one dog food brand in U. S. Food with a 95% market share within the gently cooked fresh frozen branded food dog segment in Nielsen brick and mortar customers defined as XAOC plus pet. We compete in the $54,000,000,000 U. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:11:13S. Pet food category per Nielsen omni channel data for the fifty two weeks ended sixtwenty eighttwenty five and we have only a 3.6% market share within the $37,000,000,000 U. S. Dog food and treats segment. From a retail standpoint, our products are now in 29,141 stores, 24% of which have multiple fridges in The U. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:11:34S. And we expect that percentage to continue to grow as we focus on adding second and third fridges in the highest velocity stores. We ended the second quarter with 37,985 fridges or more than 2,000,000 cubic feet of retail space with an average of 20.8 SKUs in distribution. Our percent ACV in grocery, where we're the dog food market leader, was 79% at quarter end and in ex AOC only 68%. Discussions with retail customers continue to be very positive as they recognize the growth in the category has been and we believe will continue to be led by fresh pet food. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:12:12Household penetration as of June 29 was 14,400,000 households, up 11% year over year, and total buy rate was $110 up 6% year over year. Our heaviest users, what we refer to as MVPs, are growing even faster and totaled 2,200,000 of those households, up 18% year over year. MVPs represented 70% of our sales in the latest twelve months with an average buy rate of $5.00 $1 Turning to capacity. As I mentioned earlier, we are expanding capacity to keep up with demand and are able to push out capital expenditures because of the progress we've made operationally. Our operating efficiencies, particularly in Ennis, are well ahead of our glide path and that frees up significant capacity with no incremental capital. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:12:58We currently have 15 lines across our manufacturing footprint with an additional bag line expected to commence production in the fourth quarter this year. As I said earlier, this new bag line will be the first time we are testing our new technology at scale, not just at a pilot plant level, but we are very encouraged by its potential. Now turning to our outlook. For fiscal year twenty twenty five, we now expect net sales growth of 13% to 16% year over year. We are reiterating our adjusted EBITDA guidance of 190,000,000 to $210,000,000 and now expect capital expenditures of approximately $175,000,000 Todd will walk through more details of our 2025 guidance in a few minutes. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:13:39In regard to our long term outlook, today we are removing the $1,800,000,000 net sales target and the related 20,000,000 household target in fiscal year twenty twenty seven. The sizable reduction in the category growth rate and new pet additions have made it increasingly difficult to maintain our previously projected rate of growth, so we believe it is prudent to remove those targets. To be clear, we do expect to grow at a rate well in excess of the category thus increasing our market share. We have a large and growing TAM and believe it will provide many years of sustained growth. Additionally, our strong operating performance has given us increased confidence in our ability to deliver our 48 adjusted gross margin and 22% adjusted EBITDA margin targets in 2027, even without the benefits of the added scale, as long as our sales volume growth remains at least in the teens. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:14:32As a reminder, the new production technology was excluded from the long term margin targets, which allows even more upside to margins if it works. In summary, we believe we have an incredible opportunity to improve the lives of pets everywhere through the power of fresh natural food and we've not lost sight of that mission. We are taking actions to adapt to the current macro environment and our scale advantages make us better positioned now than ever to address those challenges. We have a healthy balance sheet, solid operating performance, ample capacity, and we are a stronger organization than we were a few years ago. We've always been resilient and nimble, and our scale today gives us the flexibility to lean into certain areas such as marketing, new technology and innovation to develop solutions to consumer uncertainty today while also expanding our competitive moat. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:15:21Now let me turn it over to Todd to walk through the details of the second quarter results and our updated guidance. Todd? Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:15:27Thank you, Billy, and good morning, everyone. The second quarter results demonstrated strong operational effectiveness and profitability improvement, but were slightly below our expectations on sales. Now I'll give you some more color on our financials and updated guidance. Second quarter net sales were 264,700,000 up 12.5% year over year. Volume contributed 10.8% growth and we had positive price mix of 1.7%, primarily driven by mix. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:15:59We saw broad based consumption growth across channels. For Nielsen measured dollars, we saw 13% growth in ex AOC, 13% in total US Pet Retail plus 12% in US Food and 6% growth in Pet Specialty. Consumption growth in the quarter was approximately 14%. However, we saw a slight shift in timing of orders from the June to early July that impacted net sales growth by about a point. Second quarter adjusted gross margin was 46.9% compared to 45.9% in the prior year period. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:16:39The 100 basis point increase was driven by lower input costs as a result of higher yields and leverage from our Ennis Chicken processing facility and reduced quality costs, partially offset by reduced leverage on plant expenses. Second quarter adjusted SG and A was 30.1% of net sales compared to 31% in the prior year period. This decrease was primarily due to lower variable compensation accrual, partially offset by increased media as a percentage of net sales. We spent 15% of net sales on media in the quarter, up from 12.2% of net sales in the prior year period. Logistics costs were 5.7% of net sales in the quarter compared to 5.8% in the prior year period. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:17:31Second quarter adjusted EBITDA was $44,400,000 compared to $35,100,000 in the prior year period. This improvement was primarily driven by higher gross profit, partially offset by higher adjusted SG and A expenses. Capital spending for the second quarter was $33,400,000 while operating cash flow was $33,900,000 and we had cash on hand of $243,700,000 at the end of the quarter. We are confident in our ability to be free cash flow positive in 2026 and intend to utilize support our growth going forward. Now turning to guidance for 2025. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:18:17As Billy said earlier, we now expect net sales growth of 13% to 16% compared to our previous guidance of 15% to 18% growth year over year. We are assuming the macro environment and consumer uncertainty stays relatively the same and have adapted our strategy to reaccelerate growth. In terms of cadence, we expect a sequential increase in net sales per quarter. We invested more heavily in Media in the second quarter to drive household penetration growth in the second half. We will be launching a new marketing campaign later this month, adding more value oriented offerings in the fall and expect to increase distribution throughout the remainder of the year, including our expanded test in the club channel. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:19:06We continue to expect adjusted EBITDA in the range of 190,000,000 to $210,000,000 For Cadence, we expect adjusted EBITDA to be back half weighted with sequential adjusted EBITDA dollar and margin improvement throughout the rest of the year. Media as a percent of sales is expected to be greater than 2024. However, we are monitoring the spend closely and will pull back if we are not seeing the returns. We still anticipate modest adjusted gross margin expansion year over year driven by operational improvements and do not anticipate any material inflation or pricing actions. In regards to tariffs, we are currently seeing a small impact on vegetables sourced from York and spare parts and mitigating them where we can. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:19:57Capital expenditures are now projected to be approximately $175,000,000 this year compared to our guidance last quarter of approximately $225,000,000 and original estimate of $250,000,000 Some impact from tariffs, particularly on the cost of steel for new construction and new equipment, is included in the updated CapEx projection. The majority of our CapEx spend is focused on the installation of new capacity to support demand in the out years, but we are seeing greater capital efficiencies that are allowing us to reduce our spend both this year and next year. We anticipate 2026 CapEx will be the same or less than what we are spending in fiscal year twenty five, which gives us even more confidence in our ability to be free cash flow positive in 2026. Based on today's guidance for 2025, it is evident that our ability to hit our 2027 net sales target is unlikely, so we believe it's prudent to formally remove the $1,800,000,000 target. We believe we will have industry leading growth and if we are able to maintain net sales growth in the teens on an annualized basis, we are confident in our ability to manage costs, operate effectively, and still achieve our long term margin targets of 48% adjusted gross margin and 22% adjusted EBITDA margin. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:21:20In summary, while this year is not where we plan from a top line perspective, we are aggressively managing costs and are very pleased with our performance on the bottom line. By focusing on the areas of the business we can control, we are seeing operational efficiencies continuing to drive margin expansion and reduce capital requirements as we further build capacity. We are also further strengthening our competitive position via new, more efficient production technologies, expanded distribution, and operating expertise that is delivering greater consumer experiences at lower operating costs. We are building a stronger, more profitable business and believe we have a significant runway for growth. That concludes our overview. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:22:11We will now be glad to answer your questions. And as a reminder, we ask that you please focus your questions on the quarter, guidance, and the company's operations. Operator? Operator00:22:22Thank A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press 2, if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question comes from the line of Peter Benedict with Baird. Please proceed with your question. Peter BenedictSenior Research Analyst at Baird00:22:54Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Curious on the path to 22% in 2027. It sounds like from a top line perspective, you kind of preempted that question, which is, I guess, it's a 13% to 16% that you're going to do this year in top line growth. Peter BenedictSenior Research Analyst at Baird00:23:14If you do that, that's still sufficient to support 22%. My question is, are there can you help us with maybe the SG and A buckets, Todd? Like what underlies that 22% within your OpEx? And is there any kind of a timing step up maybe with the new technologies that would make, the path there, maybe heavier in 2027 versus 2026? Just conceptually, not looking for specific guidance. But that's my question. Thank you. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:23:42Sure. As we've talked about, as long as we're in the mid teens growth over the next couple of years, we feel very good about the 48% and the 22%. The 48%, look, we're going to be close to 47% this year. We probably have a little bit some of these technologies kick in the way we think they're going to kick in over the next two years. There's likely some upside to that 48%, number one. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:24:09Number two is that sales growth in the teens will allow us to get significant G and A leverage, so we feel terrific about that. We probably have a little bit more to go on logistics. And then media will probably stick with sales over the next couple of years. We'll see how it plays out. There could be a little upside in margin on media, but it's probably going to likely grow with sales. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:24:33But I think the big upside is leverage both up in gross margin and leverage in G and A is how we feel we can get to 22% with confidence. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:24:43Hey, Peter, I just want to amplify two points in there. One is the operating performance we're having is so strong, it's what is driving that confidence in the 48%. The second piece is, as we said in the prepared remarks, the tech benefits from the new production technology are not factored into that target. And that's the basis for Todd's confidence in our ability to exceed the 48% if those technologies work out. Peter BenedictSenior Research Analyst at Baird00:25:09Great. That's helpful. Thanks guys. Operator00:25:15Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Brian Holland with D. A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question. Brian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. Davidson00:25:23Yeah, thanks. Good morning. So maybe just a clarifying point here. Is the expectation that you remove the net sales target, but you're sticking with the gross margin and EBITDA margin targets predicated on, it sounds like, I guess, low to mid teen growth. Brian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. Davidson00:25:43So is that generally where you're directionally guiding the market towards or how you expect to be judged through this cycle through 2027? Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:25:53Yes, I mean, not specifically. What we're saying is to hit 22% EBITDA margin probably requires us to be in that range that you just described. If we would slow down to 10% or lower, getting that 22% would very challenging just because of the lack of G and A leverage. So look, are we confident that we can be in that kind of range over the next few years? Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:26:21Look, we think we can be in double digit growth. The question is, just with the uncertainty right now, are we going to be closer to 10 or are we going to be closer to 20? So we're not giving specific guidance over the next few years. We'll probably come back at some point in time and do that. But the assumption is if we can hit that low to mid teens number, the 22 is very achievable. Brian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. Davidson00:26:45Okay, thanks. And then maybe just asking about the dynamics between household penetration and buy rates. I think the implied media per household looks not quite as bad as feared, but the buy rate did slow a bit. So it seems like you are acknowledging some pressures with trying to attract new households, and that seems to be weighing on the trend in household penetration. But on buy rates, I guess I would have assumed that the buy rate would do better if the household penetration was slowing at the rate it has. Brian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. Davidson00:27:24So maybe just comment on what exactly you're seeing there. Brian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. Davidson00:27:29Is this a byproduct of the more vulnerable consumer within your household penetration that may be switching with elevated promotion in the category? What are you seeing that's weighing on the buy rate right now? Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:27:44So, first of all, the buy rate is right now, for the reason you cited, is running above the growth rate is a little bit above what our long term sustaining growth rate is on the buy rate, in part because of the growth in household penetration is not what it used to be. So mathematically, it works out that way. Clearly, there is an impact of consumers not being willing to trade up as much as they have in the past. And that implies not just moving from their dry dog food to a product like Freshpet, but also it implies moving within our platform from more of the lower cost items in our lineup to the higher cost items. Now we say that, and I just want to be clear, there's a lot of different consumers and a lot of different behavior out there. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:28:29One of our fastest growing parts of our lineup right now is our Homestyle Creations, which is our most expensive product in our lineup. And so there are some really nice green shoots that we're seeing. When you find consumers who are looking to make a change or trade up in their products, it's just how many of them are there out there. Operator00:28:53Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bill Chappell with Truist Securities. Please proceed with your question. Bill ChappellManaging Director at Truist Securities00:29:01Thanks. Good morning. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:29:03Good morning. Bill ChappellManaging Director at Truist Securities00:29:04Just a question or a thought on is household penetration now is 11%. And I don't know if the current environment changes your thought of where that can be in terms of I understand you're saying consumers aren't trading up like they used to be, but is there a point of maybe we're starting to tap out the number of consumers that will buy the high end or super high end super premium dog food. So I'm just trying to understand, does that change your thought? Do you think there's anything else going on with the slowdown? Household penetration seems to be kind of the key metric and just didn't know if you would change your ceiling outlook for Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:29:49Hi, well, is Nikki. Our household penetration, we've done a lot of work recently on what we believe our TAM, our total addressable market can be for the future. And within that, we've also looked at where our brand positioning is and how strong we believe our proposition is to grow into that TAM. So when we take a step back and look at it, we've got around 14,000,000, 14,500,000 households at the moment. We still believe we've got tremendous runway to around the mid thirties total addressable market goal. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:30:23And then within that, we've done a lot of work on these MVPs, these most valuable pet parents that we're really going after. And we're still very nascent, I would say, in our journey to grabbing those consumers that are very interested in our brand. So we've got some goals out there whereby we believe over time we can go from just over 2,000,000 MVPs to around 7,000,000 MVPs that have a very high level of interest in a fresh, less processed, healthy, strong premium brand proposition. Think the other point maybe to build on is our MVPs are actually already in the category. So the other piece of work we've also looked at is within those MVPs, we've actually got 90% that are already in the category today. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:31:15So by going after more MVPs, we become a little bit less dependent on that category growth rate for the future. Bill ChappellManaging Director at Truist Securities00:31:25Thanks. No, I appreciate the color. And then, Todd, one question on the variable commentary. Was it just a lower accrual this quarter and I'm assuming for the remainder of the year? Or was there a reversal? Bill ChappellManaging Director at Truist Securities00:31:39Just trying to understand did that have a where things came versus kind of your internal expectations? Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:31:45Yeah. No reversal. We had a super strong year last year and obviously had a very high incentive comp payout. We are trending lower this year. So it's just a year over year delta, reversal. Bill ChappellManaging Director at Truist Securities00:32:01Perfect. Thanks so much. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:32:04Thanks. Operator00:32:06Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steve Powers with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question. Steve PowersEquity Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank00:32:13Hey, great and good morning. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:32:14Good morning. Steve PowersEquity Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank00:32:15I was hoping you could just go maybe a little bit deeper on back half plans to drive demand and what will be different from what we've seen year to date. I guess, within that, maybe drill a little bit into how big a role the push on value will play. And then also any thoughts around competition both indirect and direct. I think Blue Buffalo's upcoming launch is top of mind for many investors. To the extent that that's impacted your plans, that would be helpful to understand as well. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:32:46Yes. Thanks, Steve. I'll start and then Nikki will fill in some more thoughts. But first of all, as we think about the back half, the big drivers are going to be the drivers that we've historically leaned on pretty heavily, which is advertising, but with a different message. We actually have a different message on air today and we have a new campaign coming and Nikki can give you a little bit more color on what that's all about. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:33:09The second is expanded distribution. You heard in the prepared remarks, we've expanded significantly the club store test that we've been describing in the past. We're now in 125 of those stores. And we feel good about what's coming behind that. So that's factored into our expectations for the balance of the year. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:33:28The third part is the product innovation that we described last quarter. The complete nutrition product that is a bag version of the roll we launched a year ago, That is not yet in any of our numbers. It's going to show up in roughly September, October. So, it's not going to have a big impact this year. And we don't expect to have a big impact overall. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:33:47It's really a driver of household penetration. It's an easier way to enter the franchise. And that's scheduled to roll out in September, October, but it's not a big contributor to the actual net sales this year. The bigger pieces will be the advertising and the retail availability expansions. Don't know, Nick, you want to add to that? Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:34:03Great. Hi, Steve. The bit of color I would bring is that we've just got testing results back for the new creative campaign and we feel really good about where that's coming in at the moment. You will see us start to tell the next layer of the Freshpet story, much more going after our health credentials and we think we're right on trend at the moment. It's definitely with less processed food being a key focus for humans and we feel that this is really a rich space for us, especially in kind of more of a clean label environment too. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:34:37So I think you'll see that coming through the back end of the year. The other part I would say on retail visibility is retail engagement is extremely strong. We're already ahead of our targets in terms of both new store, new fridges and also multiples when we look at this stage in the year with commitments that are strong for the back end of the year. And then in terms of that product innovation, Billy obviously mentioned the new value entry level bag, but we also will push heavier into multi pack and also what we call virtual bundles, which will offer that little bit of a discount and a saving, especially for those heavier consumers. Steve PowersEquity Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank00:35:14Okay. That's very helpful. And then, Nikki, just on the second half media efforts, is the focus there on continued MVP expansion, or is the goal to widen the net, go broader and build the funnel for future MVP development? What's the balance Yes. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:35:35That's a great question, Steve. So I think that we will still from a media standpoint, we will at a very early stage still with the brand development and a big headroom for brand awareness. So you will absolutely see us drive that brand awareness to the maximum number of households. So that will be really going after general dog population in the main. But what you will see coming as new from Freshpet is you will see an a heavier up weight in areas like social, digital, and other channels that will allow us more of a targeted approach to our story. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:36:10So you're gonna see a balance coming through. We've tested all of our new creative both with MVPs but also general dog population, and we feel good about where the results are coming out. Steve PowersEquity Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank00:36:22Alright. Appreciate it. Thanks to you all. Operator00:36:27Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Robert Moskow with TD Cowen. Please proceed with your question. Robert MoskowManaging Director at TD Cowen00:36:34Hi. I was wondering if you could talk a little more about the nature of the new advertising. I thought I saw some things online already from Freshpet that seem to draw a big distinction between fresh dog food and kibble and saying that kibble is overly processed and fresh is therefore better. To what extent is that part of the messaging? And then like, do you foresee any confusion with consumers? Robert MoskowManaging Director at TD Cowen00:37:03Because I think your competitor will be actively marketing Fresh in conjunction with Kibble. And I think a lot of your consumers already use it in conjunction with Kibble. So maybe I'm in too much in the weeds, but how are you thinking about that balance? Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:37:21Great. I think it's a really fair question as it stands. So, I think that we've got a lot of MVPs that will absolutely be looking for mixing as their key behavior. So whether that is a kibble and fresh food, whether that's with wet food, mixing is very much part of the behavior. We want to make sure that there's a strong understanding of the health benefits that really come from feeding fresh, whether you choose to feed it as a mixer or whether you choose to feed it as a main meal. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:37:55And I think for us, we've got big runway and headroom to be able to grow in both mixer behavior and also main meal behavior and really drive also that buy rate and new household penetration. So you've seen a little bit coming through online, but you'll see some different creative and more creative that will appeal to those different MVP subsets as we go through the back half of the year. Robert MoskowManaging Director at TD Cowen00:38:25Okay. Thanks. Appreciate it. Operator00:38:30Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Lavery with Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question. Michael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler Companies00:38:38Thank you. Good morning. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:38:39Good morning. Michael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler Companies00:38:40I just wanted to come back to the competitive dynamics and maybe just understand how you think about the impact of something like Blue Buffalo's push. They've been clear they plan to do a good bit of spending themselves. Is it your expectation that that can drive faster category growth that it would sort of maybe leave you unchanged? Could it drive even better momentum for you? Do you think more competition splits the same pie as or it's a more conservative? Michael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler Companies00:39:15How do you think about what that impact on your outlook is and how investors should be thinking about it? Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:39:22Yes, Michael. We obviously think that this is the first, it's a proof point that this is a very attractive, high growth, long term potential category. We're attracting lots of people, not just the Blue Buffalo entry, but there are others who have decided to enter this space in various ways. And it's just validation that this is the future of pet food. The second piece is history will show that over time, category creators like us, if you execute well, tend to end up with a lion's share of the category that they've created. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:39:56But what also happens is when well entrenched competitors in the space decide that they want to enter this segment and they do so with a lot of investment, it tends to drive the total category size and everybody who's in that space wins. So we frankly think, just as we've said previously related to the farmer's dog, we think when the farmer's dog advertises, it helps us. It helps create this perception that there's a better way to feed your pet than just feeding with kibble and can. And we think that to the extent that General Mills spends a lot of time and money telling people that there is a better way to feed your pet, that's good. If they decide to use it as a topper message, that doesn't hurt. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:40:35It helps create awareness for the category, creates validation for the category. In the end though, the category or the segment that we're in, the fresh segment, will get bigger. And then at the end of the day, we feel very good about the competitive position that we're in. We have significant scale both at retail as well as in operations. We're able to deliver a broad product lineup. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:40:55We have a very well entrenched consumer base. So we feel very good about the position we're in. And frankly, we're looking forward to the benefit of the increased awareness in the category. Michael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler Companies00:41:05That's really helpful. And we've touched on the advertising a decent amount already, but one more follow-up on that is, can you just maybe give a sense of what insight drove the change? Or what was the starting point of looking for an evolution in the message? How did you decide to make a bit of a pivot there? Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:41:27Yeah. I'll take this one, Billy. So in terms of what we've learned really about the brand is we've done a terrific job as Fresh pet in really establishing in our advertising, and I'm sure many of you have seen it for the last couple of years, that very strong bond that you have between yourself and your dog. And that comes through very powerfully. You are gonna make no compromises in your life. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:41:50You're gonna take your dog on holiday with you. You're gonna do everything, and your dog's gonna be the primary member of your household. But when we really take a little bit of a step back, we felt that we're now ready to tell that next stage in our Freshpet story, and there was a big opportunity from certainly a number of our MVPs asking questions around, hey. You are really healthy. The ingredients that you're using are absolutely fresh. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:42:17They have some really strong health benefits. Why are you not talking more really about these areas? So for us, it's not an either or. It really is sort of continuing. If you prioritize your dog as a favored member of your family, it's building out from that message, and it's layering in those new health credentials. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:42:36And this is why we feel good really about that new advertising direction. It will still have that fresh pet tone, that fresh pet humor that many have come to love and expect from us. But it's really gonna start to bring in why we think we're special, why we think we're unique, and why we think we are the best way to to feed your dog. Michael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler Companies00:42:59Okay. Very helpful. Thanks. Operator00:43:04Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Kamal Gajrawala with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question. Kaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial Group00:43:12Everyone, good morning. I guess a couple of questions on retail. First is, last quarter there was some issues with the distributor getting into pet specialty. Just curious where you are with that process? Is it sort of all resolved now? Kaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial Group00:43:27And then on the expansion into club, I guess you went from test to 01/2025 is incorporated in your guidance to go from 01/2025 to full national? Or is it the sort of thing that it sort of keeps building from here and more of it happens in 'twenty six? Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:43:45Kamal, yeah. The pet specialty distributor issue has been worked out. It created a lot of disruption in Q1. But we pretty much got it all cleaned up by the end of Q1. There's still some pockets where they're not as effective as we had been previously, but there's other places where they're very, very strong. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:44:03So on balance, we feel pretty good about what our situation is in the Pet Specialty distribution channel and didn't have any material impact on the quarter. In terms of the club piece, obviously, we're very encouraged by the progress there and the expansion to the 125 stores that we're in. Our guidance for the balance of the year assumes what we believe is the plan. Obviously, we won't communicate what our customer specific plan is, but what we believe the plan is embedded in the guidance that we provided. But I would say that the results that we've seen so far in the stores that we're in and recognize that we've only been in we were in the first store back since April. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:44:38The remainder of the stores has only been the last two or so weeks. So it's hard to get any long term data on those stores. But the first store has done so well, it's made us very bullish. And I frankly think our customer is pretty bullish as well. So that's embedded into our thinking and the guidance we've provided. Kaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial Group00:44:55Got it. I guess that's why the guidance also is for sequential improvement. EBITDA, Kaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial Group00:45:02I guess you've lowered your top line a few times over the course of the year. EBITDA has stayed the same. Is it was that always sort of going to be the plan that this efficiency was here and you just weren't sure if it was going to come through or at what rate it would come through that if sales was higher there'd be more leverage or was there an extra push? Did you find something new that helped maintain that EBITDA level even though the sales figure will be a little bit lower? Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:45:29Look, we were optimistic from a margin perspective this year, but the plants just are just over kind of delivering even our optimistic expectations. As we mentioned in the call, NS has now gone from being our least profitable facility to our most profitable facility in the first half. We never dreamed that would happen so quickly. So we're thrilled about the progress there. The quality costs, 2% in the quarter are much lower than even our most optimistic assumptions. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:46:02So things are just we're operating really, really well. It's a shame actually we don't have more volume going through the plants right now because we'd be delivering even more superior gross margin and EBITDA dollars. But the operations is the really positive side of the story this year. And once we get the top line a little bit more, you'll see more drop to the bottom line. Kaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial Group00:46:27Got it. Thank you. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:46:28Thank you. Operator00:46:31Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Rupesh Parikh with Oppenheimer and Company. Please proceed with your question. Rupesh ParikhSenior MD & Equity Research Analyst at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.00:46:39Good morning and thanks for taking my question. I guess just going back to the consumer, just curious what you're seeing within different income brackets. And then as you look at your portfolio, are you seeing any shifts within your portfolio? Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:46:52Hi, Rupesh. In terms of what we're seeing really across income groups, think as Billy sort of highlighted first up, we're still growing across all income groups and we're also growing across all demographics as well and all channels within that. So I think we're feeling good overall that the Freshpet proposition is working for all. In terms of where we are seeing higher returns, certainly within MVPs, it's really coming through that higher income bracket. So we are a little bit disproportionate with MVPs into higher income overall, which is again probably what you would expect to see in the current consumer environment too. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:47:31And then when we sort of take a little bit of a step back and we think about where things are going a bit more in the future, I think as we start to increase the growth rate of MBPs coming through, I do think that we will start to see a little bit more of a trend into higher income. And I think that we will see an expansion in particular within millennials and Gen X, which is already where we are strong. And then within the portfolio, as Billy mentioned, Homestyle Creations is performing extraordinarily well at the moment. We've also launched new innovation earlier this year in the Homestyle Creations Chicken Bites, which has far exceeded our expectations. So we see this part of the portfolio being a big opportunity for future innovation over the coming years as well. Rupesh ParikhSenior MD & Equity Research Analyst at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.00:48:21Great. Thank you. I'll pass it along. Operator00:48:27Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Peter Galba with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question. Peter GalboDirector - Head of US Consumer Staples Equity Research at Bank of America00:48:34Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Todd, maybe just two kind of cleanups. One, I think you said it was about one point of shipments that shifted from Q2 to Q3, so we should see that point obviously come back or outpace scanner, I guess, the upcoming quarter. Peter GalboDirector - Head of US Consumer Staples Equity Research at Bank of America00:48:51Then the second one, just to clarify, the CapEx, the $100,000,000 that's kind of lower over the next couple of years. I know you said a part of it was lower demand versus the efficiency, but maybe you could just split out kind of how much of it is the demand piece versus what you've actually done better. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:49:06Yeah, so on your first part, Peter, total consumption was actually, with measured and unmeasured, was about 14% for the quarter. And obviously, with 12.5% net sales growth, we did shift behind consumption. We saw that shift, that 3,000,000 to $4,000,000 go out of June into July. So we had a nice July performance from a net sales growth. So we felt very confident that that shift did occur. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:49:36We've seen it come through in the July results. So that's very positive. The quarter probably, just the POS, it's stable, which is great, but it's not increasing. And we're a little frustrated it's not popping up a little bit sooner. So net sales growth is probably going to be similar or slightly above kind of what we just put up for Q2. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:50:00Regarding your CapEx question, it's difficult to say exactly how much of that $100,000,000 was growth versus the efficiency. The big push out, the big savings in that $100,000,000 over the next couple of years is the delay in phase three of tennis, which is a big ticket item. So obviously, some of it is the slowdown in growth. But when you look at the OEE efficiencies that we've made over the last year, they are substantial. When you look at the ability in the new technology, both the new line that we're having in Bethlehem, which we're very confident about, plus the light version that we mentioned that we can put on several lines, and we've run tests on that, we're very confident that that will add incremental capacity. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:50:59And there's other things that we can do within our four walls that will increase capacity. There's different other areas that we're focused on which are going to drive incremental capacity with very little to no capital expenditures. So we're looking right now with the capacity that we have installed, not staffed, but installed, we have about $1,500,000,000 worth of capacity. So that gives us tremendous confidence that we can lower the amount of CapEx over the next couple of years. And again, the big push is phase three and NS we can delay. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:51:41Again, of that's clearly to slow down the business, but we would not be able to delay that capital if we didn't have the efficiency gains that we're seeing right now. As I mentioned earlier, Ennis has just made a huge turnaround. And the improvement in yields, the improvement in OEE, that team is just working really, really well together. And that gives us confidence to push capital out. So that's the big driver. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:52:05Yeah, Peter, I just want to amplify. It's a little bit wonky, but we are really fixated on yields and throughputs in our manufacturing operations. And both the new technologies that we're working on and the existing OEE efforts, the overall equipment effectiveness efforts, are focused on driving those. And the results that we've seen have been really remarkable. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:52:29I'd say we're about a year ahead where we thought we'd be on the OEE. And the technologies are icing on the cake on top of that. And those things are just it's basically free money You get more production per hour of labor and you get more output per dollar of ingredients you put in at the beginning. It's pretty darn remarkable return for us. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:52:48And so we're going to continue to invest in those kinds of programs and it reduces the CapEx at the end of the day. That's a really big win for us. Peter GalboDirector - Head of US Consumer Staples Equity Research at Bank of America00:52:55Okay. Very helpful. Thanks, guys. Operator00:53:00Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jim Salera with Stephens Inc. Please proceed with your question. Jim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens Inc00:53:09Good morning. Thanks for taking our question. Billy, I wanted to dig into something that you said at the beginning of your prepared remarks, which is just in addition to kind of the overall economic malaise, you're seeing a little bit of drag on from return to office and housing costs increasing. And those seem like trends that are probably a little bit more durable than the economic waxing and waning. So just any comments on do we see maybe a peak number of dogs per household post COVID? Jim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens Inc00:53:41Do you have any sense for kind of where that might progress moving forward and maybe just the overall number of dogs per household is kind of in a slower growth trajectory? Just how you think about that presents any kind of persistent challenges moving Yes. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:53:55As you can imagine, Jim, we spent a lot of time looking at this. There's been a theory out there that there was a huge pull forward on dog adoptions in the pandemic and we're just eating back into that pull forward. And there's legitimacy to that argument. But I'd also say that I think we're now five years in to that period. And I think we're pretty much at the end of that tail. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:54:16There's another dynamic, and you referenced to the housing piece and the return to office. That has a generational element to it as well. One of the things that we are seeing in the data is you'd naturally expect that the high income baby boomers, who are now later in life, have a dog that might pass away. And they're less likely to replace that dog because they want to spend time with the grandkids, they want to go on a cruise, they are whatever. And dogs limit their abilities to do that. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:54:44And that's a natural pattern. It's happened forever. But what's usually been there to counteract and replace it is the younger generations would be in that household formation stage where they would be getting a pet. And that's the part that's not happening. It's not happening at the rate that it should because people are now worried, I have to leave the dog at home. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:55:04My landlord won't let me get a dog. I can't afford a house. So those pieces are there and they're present and they're impacting the ability of the younger generations to get the pet, that they would get. It's not a huge part of our volume dynamic, but it is a piece of the puzzle. But those markets, as you point out, are very cyclical And that over time, you'd expect that those things would return to a more normalized growth rate, because the reality is the desire to get a dog doesn't change. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:55:32People still have the desire to get it and they will get the dog at some point. It just may not be this year or next year. Our focus is on the things that we can control. And what we can control is we have the most compelling advertising message, which is what Nikki described, getting really focused on the benefits of fresh, getting the right availability, the right product assortment, right innovation, and delivering the products at the right cost. And as long as we do that, we feel very good that as Todd said, we'll outperform the category. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:55:59We will outperform the category by quite a bit and this will become a very big segment of the market. We just can't change the housing market and the return to work policies. Those things will take time and will naturally occur. But when those things return to a more normalized path, we'll be there and we'll be winning. Jim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens Inc00:56:16Great. And then maybe just pulling on that thread a little bit more. You also mentioned some of those dynamics maybe favor cat ownership versus dog ownership in some scenarios. I know cat food is a much smaller piece of your business. Is there any potential we could see on the innovation side, maybe some more pivot towards expanding the cat offering? Jim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens Inc00:56:37And if could just offer any thoughts, I don't know if that would require any substantial change to equipment or how you run the lines or anything. Maybe just some thoughts there would be helpful. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:56:45Yes. I mean, Jim, we obviously are very interested in the cat food market because as you point out, it is growing. It's right now while the dog food market is down in the low single digits, the cat food market is up in mid single digits. And it's for the reasons that we cited and you reiterated in your comment. We do have a small cat food business. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:57:03We'd like to have a bigger cat food business. It's going to take some time. Cats have a very different way of eating than dogs. Dogs have big jaws, they like to chew. Cats tend to eat with their tongue, they lap food. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:57:13And so it has very different requirements. There are very different requirements for the product on a cat food. And you also have to have fridges in the right places, you have the right messaging. We're working on it. We have an interest in that area, but it's not something that's going to happen this year. Jim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens Inc00:57:30Got it. I appreciate all the thoughts back in queue. Operator00:57:33Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mark Turande with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your question. Marc TorrenteVP - Equity Research at Wells Fargo00:57:43Hey, good morning and thanks for fitting me in. I guess just building on the last reply, maybe more philosophically, how are you prioritizing top line growth at this point? Are current trends leading you to accelerate other potential opportunities that have been discussed in the past such as new channels, international or adjacent categories? Or are you comfortable letting the business grow at current rates and continuing to pace your scale out? Thanks. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:58:10Yeah. I would start with our we're clearly focused on The US based dog food business as our A number one priority. First, because it's where we have the greatest strength. And secondly, because we think the opportunity there is still enormous. We're still a very small share of a very large pie. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:58:25It doesn't mean that we aren't looking at and continuing to do some development work in cat food, as I just mentioned. Our business in Canada is one of those that we've been looking at our UK business. We're trying to figure out exactly what the right investment profile is for each of those areas. But we are a US based dog food business, and that's where you're going to see the bulk of our investment going forward. In terms of managing the top line, we're going to invest when we get good returns. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:58:50And when we don't get great returns, we won't invest. We're in a very good position from a margins perspective, from a cash generation perspective, from a capacity perspective, organizational capability. So we have lots of choices, frankly a lot more choices than we had a few years ago. We just need to be judicious about it. We don't want to chase growth at all costs. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:59:10But we are a growth company, we need to deliver growth. And so we're going to do that. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:59:16Would say the opportunity in the digital world is enormous. We're growing very nicely around 40%. It's only about 13% of our net sales today. For the category, it's probably around the mid-30s. I'll let Nikki talk about some of the things we're doing and the team that she is building. But there's an enormous opportunity on the digital side. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:59:40Thanks Todd. I think that that's one of the, if I had to say, three focus areas that I would have as I start to look at where our biggest growth opportunities are. E comm in particular and then building out digital from a marketing standpoint is, I think, very significant overall for us with 35% of the pet category going through online. We have an incredibly low share in this space and it's something that we are looking at where our partnership is and then also looking at how we can leverage. We've got 28,000 fridge network, which are like micro fulfillment centers really across The U. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet01:00:21S. And we're seeing some very good returns with last mile delivery partners like Instacart and others as well as very strong growth with our Click and Collect business. So expect to see more from us in this space as well as we start to go through next year. Operator01:00:43Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our time for questions. I'll turn the floor back to Mr. Seer for any final comments. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet01:00:49Great. Thank you everyone and thank you for your interest. I want to end with a thought for you. This quote is from an unknown source. The quote is, If your dog is fat, you're not getting enough exercise. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet01:01:01To which I would add, A Freshpet meal will get any dog off the couch and give them the energy to help you work off unwanted pounds. Thank you very much for your interest. Operator01:01:11Thank you. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.Read moreParticipantsExecutivesRachel UlshVP - IR & Corporate CommunicationsBilly CyrCEO & DirectorTodd CunferCFONicki BatyCOOAnalystsPeter BenedictSenior Research Analyst at BairdBrian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. DavidsonBill ChappellManaging Director at Truist SecuritiesSteve PowersEquity Research Analyst at Deutsche BankRobert MoskowManaging Director at TD CowenMichael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler CompaniesKaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial GroupRupesh ParikhSenior MD & Equity Research Analyst at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.Peter GalboDirector - Head of US Consumer Staples Equity Research at Bank of AmericaJim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens IncMarc TorrenteVP - Equity Research at Wells FargoPowered by Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) Freshpet Earnings HeadlinesCautious Hold Rating on Freshpet Amid Sales Shortfall and Competitive Pressures1 hour ago | tipranks.comFreshpet Inc (FRPT) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Digital Sales and Margin ...5 hours ago | gurufocus.comNew Federal Land Rush About to Start?A $100 Trillion Wealth Shift Is Already Underway Lithium. Oil. Gold. Trillions in U.S. resources are being quietly opened to the public, and former hedge fund firm manager Whitney Tilson believes this is the best chance in years to turn a small stake into huge gains. He's naming one $10 stock leading this "US: IPO" boom. | Stansberry Research (Ad)Q2 2025 Freshpet Inc Earnings Call Transcript5 hours ago | gurufocus.comFreshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Q2 2025 Earnings Call TranscriptAugust 4 at 1:15 PM | seekingalpha.comFreshpet CEO Says 'Outsized Growth' Expected Despite Lowered Sales TargetAugust 4 at 11:58 AM | benzinga.comSee More Freshpet Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Freshpet? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Freshpet and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About FreshpetFreshpet (NASDAQ:FRPT), together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. It sells dog food, cat food, and dog treats under the Freshpet brand name; and Dognation and Dog Joy labels through various classes of retail, including grocery, mass, club, pet specialty, and natural, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Secaucus, New Jersey.View Freshpet ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Amazon's Earnings: What Comes Next and How to Play ItApple Stock: Big Earnings, Small Move—Time to Buy?Why Robinhood Just Added Upside Potential After a Q2 Earnings DipMicrosoft Blasts Past Earnings—What’s Next for MSFT?Visa Beats Q3 Earnings Expectations, So Why Did the Market Panic?Spotify's Q2 Earnings Plunge: An Opportunity or Ominous Signal?RCL Stock Sinks After Earnings—Is a Buying Opportunity Ahead? 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PresentationSkip to Participants Operator00:00:00As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Rachel Ulsh, Vice President, Investor Relations for Freshpet. Thank you. You may begin. Rachel UlshVP - IR & Corporate Communications at Freshpet00:00:11Good morning, and welcome to Freshpet's Second Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Call and Webcast. On today's call are Billy Cyr, Chief Executive Officer and Todd Comfort, Chief Financial Officer. Nikki Beatty, Chief Operating Officer, will also be available for Q and A. Before we begin, please remember that during the course of this call, management may make forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These include statements related to our prospects and plans for growth, efficiencies of NS operations, timing and impact of new technology, capital spending, adequacy of capacity, expectations to be free cash flow positive in 2026, and our outlook for 2025 and long term. Rachel UlshVP - IR & Corporate Communications at Freshpet00:00:50They involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from any forward looking statements made today, including those associated with these statements and those discussed in our earnings press release and in our most recent filings with the SEC, including our 2024 annual report on Form 10 ks, which are all available on our website. Please note that on today's call, management will refer to certain non GAAP financial measures such as EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA, among others. While the company believes these non GAAP financial measures provide useful information for investors, the presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to today's press release for how management defines such non GAAP measures, why management believes such non GAAP measures are useful, a reconciliation of the non GAAP financial measures to the most comparable measures compared in accordance with GAAP, and limitations associated with such non GAAP measures. Finally, the company has produced a presentation that contains many of the key metrics that will be discussed on this call. Rachel UlshVP - IR & Corporate Communications at Freshpet00:01:52That presentation can be found on the company's investor website. Management's commentary will not specifically walk through the presentation on the call, rather as a summary of the results and guidance they will discuss today. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Billy Cyr, Chief Executive Officer. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:02:07Thank you, Rachel, and good morning, everyone. The message I would like you to take away from today's call is that against the backdrop of subdued dog food category demand, Freshpet's growth continues to significantly outperform the category, and we are driving the operational improvements and capital efficiencies necessary to deliver our long term margin and free cash flow target even if the current economic constraints persist. Freshpet is a growth company and we expect to continually deliver outsized growth. We are also a very nimble company, one that has a long track record of adapting to changing environments. Looking back over the past six plus months, it is now apparent that the dog food category has faced a sizable headwind for the first time in years. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:02:50We've seen economic uncertainty result in consumers hesitating to trade up their dog food, defer well visits to the vet, decline medical treatments for their pets, and defer getting a new dog or replacing a recently deceased dog. Return to office mandates and the high cost of housing have not helped either. This has resulted in declining growth rates for most leading pet food brands, including the leading DTC brands. The effect has been most pronounced amongst dogs as opposed to cats, as cats are typically lower maintenance and lower cost making them a relatively attractive pet to have in times like these. The current environment has challenged our ability to grow at the same rates as the past several years. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:03:32To adapt to that we've modified our plans and put in place what we believe are the necessary drivers to reaccelerate our net sales growth which I'll review in a few minutes and we've seen some early encouraging signs. We're also increasing the intensity of our focus on the things that we can control so that no matter how long it takes for the economic climate to improve, we can still deliver strong financial results. We've made tremendous progress in our operations and are quite bullish about our long term prospects for the potential margins, profits and cash generation of the business. Our focus on operating improvements has driven a healthy improvement in our adjusted gross margin, But more importantly, those efforts in combination with new technologies we have developed will enable us to significantly reduce our CapEx while still expanding our manufacturing capacity to meet our long term demand. As a result, today we are lowering our CapEx estimates for 2025 and 2026 by a total of at least $100,000,000 While the operational progress we've made has touched virtually every aspect of our operations, some of the most significant achievements are: Ennis has become our most profitable plant. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:04:44This happened sooner than we had planned and is the result of strong leadership at that site and a testament to the vision and thoughtfulness that went into the design of that kitchen. It is evidence that we've been able to convert our operating experience into continual improvements that will ideally put us well ahead of any potential competitor in our mastery of fresh pet food manufacturing. Further, because Ennis is expected to provide more than 50% of our production volume within the next few years, its productivity advantages will have a greater and greater impact on the company's total profits over time. Second, development of new production technologies. We have previously indicated that we have created a new way to make our bag products and expect to start up our first new production scale line with that new technology in Q4 of this year. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:05:33If it works as we expect it to, we believe it will deliver higher quality product at lower cost through increased yields and throughput. It has the potential to significantly narrow the gap between the margins we make on our rolls and on our bags And this technology could potentially be the basis for new bag lines going forward. Additionally, we've recently developed a light version of the same technology that can deliver many, but not all, of the same benefits and could be retrofitted to our existing lines at relatively low cost with minimal disruption. We plan to test the lite version on one of our existing baglines in the 2026 and it could be reapplied to several of our other bag lines by the 2027 if successful. The pilot test runs of this technology indicate that it will work and would enable us to deliver more capacity per line from our already installed production base. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:06:28And number three, ability to reduce capital spending by a combined total of at least $100,000,000 in twenty twenty five-twenty twenty six. We've made exceptional progress at improving our throughputs, yields and operating effectiveness and that is enabling us to get more output from the existing lines and staffing leading to lower quality costs and improving margins. In combination with our new technologies, we now believe that we can defer at least $100,000,000 in CapEx from twenty twenty five-twenty twenty six and still meet the demand we expect to generate for the foreseeable future. This reduction in CapEx will have a direct impact on our cash flow to make the business much less capital intensive for the next few years. To be clear, some of this reduction is the result of slowing demand we've seen so far this year, but the remainder of the reduction is due to the improved operating efficiencies and new technologies we expect to implement over the next two years. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:07:22We are very proud of our team for its ability to adapt to the current environment and still deliver such exceptionally strong performance, which provides the foundation for even greater financial and strategic advantages. We pioneered this category and fully intend to maintain our advantages as the category grows, matures, and attracts new competition. With a strong footing, we are in a very good position to drive the growth of Freshpet. As you know, this has been a particularly challenging year on the top line, something that has typically not been an issue for us. Our media model has driven strong and predictable growth for a very long time, and the performance we saw earlier this year caused many to question it or if we had saturated our TAM. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:08:03Our data suggests that neither is true, I. E. Our media model is in fact still working and we still have a large and untapped TAM. We are growing across all channels, income groups and generations. The sales growth is just not as robust as we would like it to be today. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:08:21We believe our growth rate versus year ago has now stabilized and we are encouraged by some green shoots. However, given that we have not seen a greater increase in our year over year net sales growth yet, we believe it's prudent to adjust our net sales guidance for the year. Our updated guidance assumes the macroeconomic environment stays relatively the same and that we execute our plans focusing on areas that are in our control. The three key areas we are most concentrated on are: first, marketing. We've updated advertising on air that better explains the difference that fresh food can make and plan to launch another media campaign later this month that we believe will help drive greater household penetration. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:09:01We've also shifted marketing dollars to other channels like digital social and connected TV where we've been underdeveloped previously and we can be more targeted with MVPs. Second, distribution expansion. We are working on greater visibility and value channels such as club and mass, expanding our small DTC business called Freshpet Custom Meals, as well as several other opportunities. Digital orders, which we previously referred to as e commerce, continue to have outsized growth and were up 40 in the second quarter. Digital now accounts for 13% of our sales. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:09:35Our revised top line guidance also incorporates a much greater level of certainty on our expansion within the club channel specifically. As of last week, we've expanded our test in a leading club retailer and are now in 125 stores and we are optimistic we will be in more stores later this year. Other customers have also committed to adding second fridges and have expressed interest in testing some of the island fridges we previously shared sometime later this year or early next year. Third, value focused products. We are launching a new complete nutrition bag product and rolling out new multi packs and bundles of rolls and bags both online and in store later this year. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:10:15These will be available in select retailers. Now I'd like to briefly provide some highlights from the second quarter. Second quarter net sales were $264,700,000 up 12.5% year over year, primarily driven by volume growth. This was slightly lower than our expectations as shipment growth lagged consumption growth due to a small shift in orders from the June to early July. Adjusted gross margin in the second quarter was 46.9% compared to 45.9% in the prior year period. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:10:47Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter was $44,400,000 up approximately 9,000,000 or 26% year over year. From a category perspective, we continue to be the number one dog food brand in U. S. Food with a 95% market share within the gently cooked fresh frozen branded food dog segment in Nielsen brick and mortar customers defined as XAOC plus pet. We compete in the $54,000,000,000 U. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:11:13S. Pet food category per Nielsen omni channel data for the fifty two weeks ended sixtwenty eighttwenty five and we have only a 3.6% market share within the $37,000,000,000 U. S. Dog food and treats segment. From a retail standpoint, our products are now in 29,141 stores, 24% of which have multiple fridges in The U. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:11:34S. And we expect that percentage to continue to grow as we focus on adding second and third fridges in the highest velocity stores. We ended the second quarter with 37,985 fridges or more than 2,000,000 cubic feet of retail space with an average of 20.8 SKUs in distribution. Our percent ACV in grocery, where we're the dog food market leader, was 79% at quarter end and in ex AOC only 68%. Discussions with retail customers continue to be very positive as they recognize the growth in the category has been and we believe will continue to be led by fresh pet food. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:12:12Household penetration as of June 29 was 14,400,000 households, up 11% year over year, and total buy rate was $110 up 6% year over year. Our heaviest users, what we refer to as MVPs, are growing even faster and totaled 2,200,000 of those households, up 18% year over year. MVPs represented 70% of our sales in the latest twelve months with an average buy rate of $5.00 $1 Turning to capacity. As I mentioned earlier, we are expanding capacity to keep up with demand and are able to push out capital expenditures because of the progress we've made operationally. Our operating efficiencies, particularly in Ennis, are well ahead of our glide path and that frees up significant capacity with no incremental capital. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:12:58We currently have 15 lines across our manufacturing footprint with an additional bag line expected to commence production in the fourth quarter this year. As I said earlier, this new bag line will be the first time we are testing our new technology at scale, not just at a pilot plant level, but we are very encouraged by its potential. Now turning to our outlook. For fiscal year twenty twenty five, we now expect net sales growth of 13% to 16% year over year. We are reiterating our adjusted EBITDA guidance of 190,000,000 to $210,000,000 and now expect capital expenditures of approximately $175,000,000 Todd will walk through more details of our 2025 guidance in a few minutes. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:13:39In regard to our long term outlook, today we are removing the $1,800,000,000 net sales target and the related 20,000,000 household target in fiscal year twenty twenty seven. The sizable reduction in the category growth rate and new pet additions have made it increasingly difficult to maintain our previously projected rate of growth, so we believe it is prudent to remove those targets. To be clear, we do expect to grow at a rate well in excess of the category thus increasing our market share. We have a large and growing TAM and believe it will provide many years of sustained growth. Additionally, our strong operating performance has given us increased confidence in our ability to deliver our 48 adjusted gross margin and 22% adjusted EBITDA margin targets in 2027, even without the benefits of the added scale, as long as our sales volume growth remains at least in the teens. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:14:32As a reminder, the new production technology was excluded from the long term margin targets, which allows even more upside to margins if it works. In summary, we believe we have an incredible opportunity to improve the lives of pets everywhere through the power of fresh natural food and we've not lost sight of that mission. We are taking actions to adapt to the current macro environment and our scale advantages make us better positioned now than ever to address those challenges. We have a healthy balance sheet, solid operating performance, ample capacity, and we are a stronger organization than we were a few years ago. We've always been resilient and nimble, and our scale today gives us the flexibility to lean into certain areas such as marketing, new technology and innovation to develop solutions to consumer uncertainty today while also expanding our competitive moat. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:15:21Now let me turn it over to Todd to walk through the details of the second quarter results and our updated guidance. Todd? Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:15:27Thank you, Billy, and good morning, everyone. The second quarter results demonstrated strong operational effectiveness and profitability improvement, but were slightly below our expectations on sales. Now I'll give you some more color on our financials and updated guidance. Second quarter net sales were 264,700,000 up 12.5% year over year. Volume contributed 10.8% growth and we had positive price mix of 1.7%, primarily driven by mix. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:15:59We saw broad based consumption growth across channels. For Nielsen measured dollars, we saw 13% growth in ex AOC, 13% in total US Pet Retail plus 12% in US Food and 6% growth in Pet Specialty. Consumption growth in the quarter was approximately 14%. However, we saw a slight shift in timing of orders from the June to early July that impacted net sales growth by about a point. Second quarter adjusted gross margin was 46.9% compared to 45.9% in the prior year period. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:16:39The 100 basis point increase was driven by lower input costs as a result of higher yields and leverage from our Ennis Chicken processing facility and reduced quality costs, partially offset by reduced leverage on plant expenses. Second quarter adjusted SG and A was 30.1% of net sales compared to 31% in the prior year period. This decrease was primarily due to lower variable compensation accrual, partially offset by increased media as a percentage of net sales. We spent 15% of net sales on media in the quarter, up from 12.2% of net sales in the prior year period. Logistics costs were 5.7% of net sales in the quarter compared to 5.8% in the prior year period. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:17:31Second quarter adjusted EBITDA was $44,400,000 compared to $35,100,000 in the prior year period. This improvement was primarily driven by higher gross profit, partially offset by higher adjusted SG and A expenses. Capital spending for the second quarter was $33,400,000 while operating cash flow was $33,900,000 and we had cash on hand of $243,700,000 at the end of the quarter. We are confident in our ability to be free cash flow positive in 2026 and intend to utilize support our growth going forward. Now turning to guidance for 2025. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:18:17As Billy said earlier, we now expect net sales growth of 13% to 16% compared to our previous guidance of 15% to 18% growth year over year. We are assuming the macro environment and consumer uncertainty stays relatively the same and have adapted our strategy to reaccelerate growth. In terms of cadence, we expect a sequential increase in net sales per quarter. We invested more heavily in Media in the second quarter to drive household penetration growth in the second half. We will be launching a new marketing campaign later this month, adding more value oriented offerings in the fall and expect to increase distribution throughout the remainder of the year, including our expanded test in the club channel. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:19:06We continue to expect adjusted EBITDA in the range of 190,000,000 to $210,000,000 For Cadence, we expect adjusted EBITDA to be back half weighted with sequential adjusted EBITDA dollar and margin improvement throughout the rest of the year. Media as a percent of sales is expected to be greater than 2024. However, we are monitoring the spend closely and will pull back if we are not seeing the returns. We still anticipate modest adjusted gross margin expansion year over year driven by operational improvements and do not anticipate any material inflation or pricing actions. In regards to tariffs, we are currently seeing a small impact on vegetables sourced from York and spare parts and mitigating them where we can. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:19:57Capital expenditures are now projected to be approximately $175,000,000 this year compared to our guidance last quarter of approximately $225,000,000 and original estimate of $250,000,000 Some impact from tariffs, particularly on the cost of steel for new construction and new equipment, is included in the updated CapEx projection. The majority of our CapEx spend is focused on the installation of new capacity to support demand in the out years, but we are seeing greater capital efficiencies that are allowing us to reduce our spend both this year and next year. We anticipate 2026 CapEx will be the same or less than what we are spending in fiscal year twenty five, which gives us even more confidence in our ability to be free cash flow positive in 2026. Based on today's guidance for 2025, it is evident that our ability to hit our 2027 net sales target is unlikely, so we believe it's prudent to formally remove the $1,800,000,000 target. We believe we will have industry leading growth and if we are able to maintain net sales growth in the teens on an annualized basis, we are confident in our ability to manage costs, operate effectively, and still achieve our long term margin targets of 48% adjusted gross margin and 22% adjusted EBITDA margin. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:21:20In summary, while this year is not where we plan from a top line perspective, we are aggressively managing costs and are very pleased with our performance on the bottom line. By focusing on the areas of the business we can control, we are seeing operational efficiencies continuing to drive margin expansion and reduce capital requirements as we further build capacity. We are also further strengthening our competitive position via new, more efficient production technologies, expanded distribution, and operating expertise that is delivering greater consumer experiences at lower operating costs. We are building a stronger, more profitable business and believe we have a significant runway for growth. That concludes our overview. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:22:11We will now be glad to answer your questions. And as a reminder, we ask that you please focus your questions on the quarter, guidance, and the company's operations. Operator? Operator00:22:22Thank A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press 2, if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question comes from the line of Peter Benedict with Baird. Please proceed with your question. Peter BenedictSenior Research Analyst at Baird00:22:54Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Curious on the path to 22% in 2027. It sounds like from a top line perspective, you kind of preempted that question, which is, I guess, it's a 13% to 16% that you're going to do this year in top line growth. Peter BenedictSenior Research Analyst at Baird00:23:14If you do that, that's still sufficient to support 22%. My question is, are there can you help us with maybe the SG and A buckets, Todd? Like what underlies that 22% within your OpEx? And is there any kind of a timing step up maybe with the new technologies that would make, the path there, maybe heavier in 2027 versus 2026? Just conceptually, not looking for specific guidance. But that's my question. Thank you. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:23:42Sure. As we've talked about, as long as we're in the mid teens growth over the next couple of years, we feel very good about the 48% and the 22%. The 48%, look, we're going to be close to 47% this year. We probably have a little bit some of these technologies kick in the way we think they're going to kick in over the next two years. There's likely some upside to that 48%, number one. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:24:09Number two is that sales growth in the teens will allow us to get significant G and A leverage, so we feel terrific about that. We probably have a little bit more to go on logistics. And then media will probably stick with sales over the next couple of years. We'll see how it plays out. There could be a little upside in margin on media, but it's probably going to likely grow with sales. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:24:33But I think the big upside is leverage both up in gross margin and leverage in G and A is how we feel we can get to 22% with confidence. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:24:43Hey, Peter, I just want to amplify two points in there. One is the operating performance we're having is so strong, it's what is driving that confidence in the 48%. The second piece is, as we said in the prepared remarks, the tech benefits from the new production technology are not factored into that target. And that's the basis for Todd's confidence in our ability to exceed the 48% if those technologies work out. Peter BenedictSenior Research Analyst at Baird00:25:09Great. That's helpful. Thanks guys. Operator00:25:15Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Brian Holland with D. A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question. Brian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. Davidson00:25:23Yeah, thanks. Good morning. So maybe just a clarifying point here. Is the expectation that you remove the net sales target, but you're sticking with the gross margin and EBITDA margin targets predicated on, it sounds like, I guess, low to mid teen growth. Brian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. Davidson00:25:43So is that generally where you're directionally guiding the market towards or how you expect to be judged through this cycle through 2027? Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:25:53Yes, I mean, not specifically. What we're saying is to hit 22% EBITDA margin probably requires us to be in that range that you just described. If we would slow down to 10% or lower, getting that 22% would very challenging just because of the lack of G and A leverage. So look, are we confident that we can be in that kind of range over the next few years? Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:26:21Look, we think we can be in double digit growth. The question is, just with the uncertainty right now, are we going to be closer to 10 or are we going to be closer to 20? So we're not giving specific guidance over the next few years. We'll probably come back at some point in time and do that. But the assumption is if we can hit that low to mid teens number, the 22 is very achievable. Brian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. Davidson00:26:45Okay, thanks. And then maybe just asking about the dynamics between household penetration and buy rates. I think the implied media per household looks not quite as bad as feared, but the buy rate did slow a bit. So it seems like you are acknowledging some pressures with trying to attract new households, and that seems to be weighing on the trend in household penetration. But on buy rates, I guess I would have assumed that the buy rate would do better if the household penetration was slowing at the rate it has. Brian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. Davidson00:27:24So maybe just comment on what exactly you're seeing there. Brian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. Davidson00:27:29Is this a byproduct of the more vulnerable consumer within your household penetration that may be switching with elevated promotion in the category? What are you seeing that's weighing on the buy rate right now? Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:27:44So, first of all, the buy rate is right now, for the reason you cited, is running above the growth rate is a little bit above what our long term sustaining growth rate is on the buy rate, in part because of the growth in household penetration is not what it used to be. So mathematically, it works out that way. Clearly, there is an impact of consumers not being willing to trade up as much as they have in the past. And that implies not just moving from their dry dog food to a product like Freshpet, but also it implies moving within our platform from more of the lower cost items in our lineup to the higher cost items. Now we say that, and I just want to be clear, there's a lot of different consumers and a lot of different behavior out there. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:28:29One of our fastest growing parts of our lineup right now is our Homestyle Creations, which is our most expensive product in our lineup. And so there are some really nice green shoots that we're seeing. When you find consumers who are looking to make a change or trade up in their products, it's just how many of them are there out there. Operator00:28:53Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bill Chappell with Truist Securities. Please proceed with your question. Bill ChappellManaging Director at Truist Securities00:29:01Thanks. Good morning. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:29:03Good morning. Bill ChappellManaging Director at Truist Securities00:29:04Just a question or a thought on is household penetration now is 11%. And I don't know if the current environment changes your thought of where that can be in terms of I understand you're saying consumers aren't trading up like they used to be, but is there a point of maybe we're starting to tap out the number of consumers that will buy the high end or super high end super premium dog food. So I'm just trying to understand, does that change your thought? Do you think there's anything else going on with the slowdown? Household penetration seems to be kind of the key metric and just didn't know if you would change your ceiling outlook for Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:29:49Hi, well, is Nikki. Our household penetration, we've done a lot of work recently on what we believe our TAM, our total addressable market can be for the future. And within that, we've also looked at where our brand positioning is and how strong we believe our proposition is to grow into that TAM. So when we take a step back and look at it, we've got around 14,000,000, 14,500,000 households at the moment. We still believe we've got tremendous runway to around the mid thirties total addressable market goal. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:30:23And then within that, we've done a lot of work on these MVPs, these most valuable pet parents that we're really going after. And we're still very nascent, I would say, in our journey to grabbing those consumers that are very interested in our brand. So we've got some goals out there whereby we believe over time we can go from just over 2,000,000 MVPs to around 7,000,000 MVPs that have a very high level of interest in a fresh, less processed, healthy, strong premium brand proposition. Think the other point maybe to build on is our MVPs are actually already in the category. So the other piece of work we've also looked at is within those MVPs, we've actually got 90% that are already in the category today. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:31:15So by going after more MVPs, we become a little bit less dependent on that category growth rate for the future. Bill ChappellManaging Director at Truist Securities00:31:25Thanks. No, I appreciate the color. And then, Todd, one question on the variable commentary. Was it just a lower accrual this quarter and I'm assuming for the remainder of the year? Or was there a reversal? Bill ChappellManaging Director at Truist Securities00:31:39Just trying to understand did that have a where things came versus kind of your internal expectations? Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:31:45Yeah. No reversal. We had a super strong year last year and obviously had a very high incentive comp payout. We are trending lower this year. So it's just a year over year delta, reversal. Bill ChappellManaging Director at Truist Securities00:32:01Perfect. Thanks so much. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:32:04Thanks. Operator00:32:06Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steve Powers with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question. Steve PowersEquity Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank00:32:13Hey, great and good morning. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:32:14Good morning. Steve PowersEquity Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank00:32:15I was hoping you could just go maybe a little bit deeper on back half plans to drive demand and what will be different from what we've seen year to date. I guess, within that, maybe drill a little bit into how big a role the push on value will play. And then also any thoughts around competition both indirect and direct. I think Blue Buffalo's upcoming launch is top of mind for many investors. To the extent that that's impacted your plans, that would be helpful to understand as well. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:32:46Yes. Thanks, Steve. I'll start and then Nikki will fill in some more thoughts. But first of all, as we think about the back half, the big drivers are going to be the drivers that we've historically leaned on pretty heavily, which is advertising, but with a different message. We actually have a different message on air today and we have a new campaign coming and Nikki can give you a little bit more color on what that's all about. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:33:09The second is expanded distribution. You heard in the prepared remarks, we've expanded significantly the club store test that we've been describing in the past. We're now in 125 of those stores. And we feel good about what's coming behind that. So that's factored into our expectations for the balance of the year. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:33:28The third part is the product innovation that we described last quarter. The complete nutrition product that is a bag version of the roll we launched a year ago, That is not yet in any of our numbers. It's going to show up in roughly September, October. So, it's not going to have a big impact this year. And we don't expect to have a big impact overall. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:33:47It's really a driver of household penetration. It's an easier way to enter the franchise. And that's scheduled to roll out in September, October, but it's not a big contributor to the actual net sales this year. The bigger pieces will be the advertising and the retail availability expansions. Don't know, Nick, you want to add to that? Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:34:03Great. Hi, Steve. The bit of color I would bring is that we've just got testing results back for the new creative campaign and we feel really good about where that's coming in at the moment. You will see us start to tell the next layer of the Freshpet story, much more going after our health credentials and we think we're right on trend at the moment. It's definitely with less processed food being a key focus for humans and we feel that this is really a rich space for us, especially in kind of more of a clean label environment too. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:34:37So I think you'll see that coming through the back end of the year. The other part I would say on retail visibility is retail engagement is extremely strong. We're already ahead of our targets in terms of both new store, new fridges and also multiples when we look at this stage in the year with commitments that are strong for the back end of the year. And then in terms of that product innovation, Billy obviously mentioned the new value entry level bag, but we also will push heavier into multi pack and also what we call virtual bundles, which will offer that little bit of a discount and a saving, especially for those heavier consumers. Steve PowersEquity Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank00:35:14Okay. That's very helpful. And then, Nikki, just on the second half media efforts, is the focus there on continued MVP expansion, or is the goal to widen the net, go broader and build the funnel for future MVP development? What's the balance Yes. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:35:35That's a great question, Steve. So I think that we will still from a media standpoint, we will at a very early stage still with the brand development and a big headroom for brand awareness. So you will absolutely see us drive that brand awareness to the maximum number of households. So that will be really going after general dog population in the main. But what you will see coming as new from Freshpet is you will see an a heavier up weight in areas like social, digital, and other channels that will allow us more of a targeted approach to our story. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:36:10So you're gonna see a balance coming through. We've tested all of our new creative both with MVPs but also general dog population, and we feel good about where the results are coming out. Steve PowersEquity Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank00:36:22Alright. Appreciate it. Thanks to you all. Operator00:36:27Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Robert Moskow with TD Cowen. Please proceed with your question. Robert MoskowManaging Director at TD Cowen00:36:34Hi. I was wondering if you could talk a little more about the nature of the new advertising. I thought I saw some things online already from Freshpet that seem to draw a big distinction between fresh dog food and kibble and saying that kibble is overly processed and fresh is therefore better. To what extent is that part of the messaging? And then like, do you foresee any confusion with consumers? Robert MoskowManaging Director at TD Cowen00:37:03Because I think your competitor will be actively marketing Fresh in conjunction with Kibble. And I think a lot of your consumers already use it in conjunction with Kibble. So maybe I'm in too much in the weeds, but how are you thinking about that balance? Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:37:21Great. I think it's a really fair question as it stands. So, I think that we've got a lot of MVPs that will absolutely be looking for mixing as their key behavior. So whether that is a kibble and fresh food, whether that's with wet food, mixing is very much part of the behavior. We want to make sure that there's a strong understanding of the health benefits that really come from feeding fresh, whether you choose to feed it as a mixer or whether you choose to feed it as a main meal. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:37:55And I think for us, we've got big runway and headroom to be able to grow in both mixer behavior and also main meal behavior and really drive also that buy rate and new household penetration. So you've seen a little bit coming through online, but you'll see some different creative and more creative that will appeal to those different MVP subsets as we go through the back half of the year. Robert MoskowManaging Director at TD Cowen00:38:25Okay. Thanks. Appreciate it. Operator00:38:30Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Lavery with Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question. Michael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler Companies00:38:38Thank you. Good morning. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:38:39Good morning. Michael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler Companies00:38:40I just wanted to come back to the competitive dynamics and maybe just understand how you think about the impact of something like Blue Buffalo's push. They've been clear they plan to do a good bit of spending themselves. Is it your expectation that that can drive faster category growth that it would sort of maybe leave you unchanged? Could it drive even better momentum for you? Do you think more competition splits the same pie as or it's a more conservative? Michael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler Companies00:39:15How do you think about what that impact on your outlook is and how investors should be thinking about it? Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:39:22Yes, Michael. We obviously think that this is the first, it's a proof point that this is a very attractive, high growth, long term potential category. We're attracting lots of people, not just the Blue Buffalo entry, but there are others who have decided to enter this space in various ways. And it's just validation that this is the future of pet food. The second piece is history will show that over time, category creators like us, if you execute well, tend to end up with a lion's share of the category that they've created. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:39:56But what also happens is when well entrenched competitors in the space decide that they want to enter this segment and they do so with a lot of investment, it tends to drive the total category size and everybody who's in that space wins. So we frankly think, just as we've said previously related to the farmer's dog, we think when the farmer's dog advertises, it helps us. It helps create this perception that there's a better way to feed your pet than just feeding with kibble and can. And we think that to the extent that General Mills spends a lot of time and money telling people that there is a better way to feed your pet, that's good. If they decide to use it as a topper message, that doesn't hurt. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:40:35It helps create awareness for the category, creates validation for the category. In the end though, the category or the segment that we're in, the fresh segment, will get bigger. And then at the end of the day, we feel very good about the competitive position that we're in. We have significant scale both at retail as well as in operations. We're able to deliver a broad product lineup. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:40:55We have a very well entrenched consumer base. So we feel very good about the position we're in. And frankly, we're looking forward to the benefit of the increased awareness in the category. Michael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler Companies00:41:05That's really helpful. And we've touched on the advertising a decent amount already, but one more follow-up on that is, can you just maybe give a sense of what insight drove the change? Or what was the starting point of looking for an evolution in the message? How did you decide to make a bit of a pivot there? Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:41:27Yeah. I'll take this one, Billy. So in terms of what we've learned really about the brand is we've done a terrific job as Fresh pet in really establishing in our advertising, and I'm sure many of you have seen it for the last couple of years, that very strong bond that you have between yourself and your dog. And that comes through very powerfully. You are gonna make no compromises in your life. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:41:50You're gonna take your dog on holiday with you. You're gonna do everything, and your dog's gonna be the primary member of your household. But when we really take a little bit of a step back, we felt that we're now ready to tell that next stage in our Freshpet story, and there was a big opportunity from certainly a number of our MVPs asking questions around, hey. You are really healthy. The ingredients that you're using are absolutely fresh. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:42:17They have some really strong health benefits. Why are you not talking more really about these areas? So for us, it's not an either or. It really is sort of continuing. If you prioritize your dog as a favored member of your family, it's building out from that message, and it's layering in those new health credentials. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:42:36And this is why we feel good really about that new advertising direction. It will still have that fresh pet tone, that fresh pet humor that many have come to love and expect from us. But it's really gonna start to bring in why we think we're special, why we think we're unique, and why we think we are the best way to to feed your dog. Michael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler Companies00:42:59Okay. Very helpful. Thanks. Operator00:43:04Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Kamal Gajrawala with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question. Kaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial Group00:43:12Everyone, good morning. I guess a couple of questions on retail. First is, last quarter there was some issues with the distributor getting into pet specialty. Just curious where you are with that process? Is it sort of all resolved now? Kaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial Group00:43:27And then on the expansion into club, I guess you went from test to 01/2025 is incorporated in your guidance to go from 01/2025 to full national? Or is it the sort of thing that it sort of keeps building from here and more of it happens in 'twenty six? Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:43:45Kamal, yeah. The pet specialty distributor issue has been worked out. It created a lot of disruption in Q1. But we pretty much got it all cleaned up by the end of Q1. There's still some pockets where they're not as effective as we had been previously, but there's other places where they're very, very strong. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:44:03So on balance, we feel pretty good about what our situation is in the Pet Specialty distribution channel and didn't have any material impact on the quarter. In terms of the club piece, obviously, we're very encouraged by the progress there and the expansion to the 125 stores that we're in. Our guidance for the balance of the year assumes what we believe is the plan. Obviously, we won't communicate what our customer specific plan is, but what we believe the plan is embedded in the guidance that we provided. But I would say that the results that we've seen so far in the stores that we're in and recognize that we've only been in we were in the first store back since April. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:44:38The remainder of the stores has only been the last two or so weeks. So it's hard to get any long term data on those stores. But the first store has done so well, it's made us very bullish. And I frankly think our customer is pretty bullish as well. So that's embedded into our thinking and the guidance we've provided. Kaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial Group00:44:55Got it. I guess that's why the guidance also is for sequential improvement. EBITDA, Kaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial Group00:45:02I guess you've lowered your top line a few times over the course of the year. EBITDA has stayed the same. Is it was that always sort of going to be the plan that this efficiency was here and you just weren't sure if it was going to come through or at what rate it would come through that if sales was higher there'd be more leverage or was there an extra push? Did you find something new that helped maintain that EBITDA level even though the sales figure will be a little bit lower? Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:45:29Look, we were optimistic from a margin perspective this year, but the plants just are just over kind of delivering even our optimistic expectations. As we mentioned in the call, NS has now gone from being our least profitable facility to our most profitable facility in the first half. We never dreamed that would happen so quickly. So we're thrilled about the progress there. The quality costs, 2% in the quarter are much lower than even our most optimistic assumptions. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:46:02So things are just we're operating really, really well. It's a shame actually we don't have more volume going through the plants right now because we'd be delivering even more superior gross margin and EBITDA dollars. But the operations is the really positive side of the story this year. And once we get the top line a little bit more, you'll see more drop to the bottom line. Kaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial Group00:46:27Got it. Thank you. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:46:28Thank you. Operator00:46:31Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Rupesh Parikh with Oppenheimer and Company. Please proceed with your question. Rupesh ParikhSenior MD & Equity Research Analyst at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.00:46:39Good morning and thanks for taking my question. I guess just going back to the consumer, just curious what you're seeing within different income brackets. And then as you look at your portfolio, are you seeing any shifts within your portfolio? Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:46:52Hi, Rupesh. In terms of what we're seeing really across income groups, think as Billy sort of highlighted first up, we're still growing across all income groups and we're also growing across all demographics as well and all channels within that. So I think we're feeling good overall that the Freshpet proposition is working for all. In terms of where we are seeing higher returns, certainly within MVPs, it's really coming through that higher income bracket. So we are a little bit disproportionate with MVPs into higher income overall, which is again probably what you would expect to see in the current consumer environment too. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:47:31And then when we sort of take a little bit of a step back and we think about where things are going a bit more in the future, I think as we start to increase the growth rate of MBPs coming through, I do think that we will start to see a little bit more of a trend into higher income. And I think that we will see an expansion in particular within millennials and Gen X, which is already where we are strong. And then within the portfolio, as Billy mentioned, Homestyle Creations is performing extraordinarily well at the moment. We've also launched new innovation earlier this year in the Homestyle Creations Chicken Bites, which has far exceeded our expectations. So we see this part of the portfolio being a big opportunity for future innovation over the coming years as well. Rupesh ParikhSenior MD & Equity Research Analyst at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.00:48:21Great. Thank you. I'll pass it along. Operator00:48:27Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Peter Galba with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question. Peter GalboDirector - Head of US Consumer Staples Equity Research at Bank of America00:48:34Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Todd, maybe just two kind of cleanups. One, I think you said it was about one point of shipments that shifted from Q2 to Q3, so we should see that point obviously come back or outpace scanner, I guess, the upcoming quarter. Peter GalboDirector - Head of US Consumer Staples Equity Research at Bank of America00:48:51Then the second one, just to clarify, the CapEx, the $100,000,000 that's kind of lower over the next couple of years. I know you said a part of it was lower demand versus the efficiency, but maybe you could just split out kind of how much of it is the demand piece versus what you've actually done better. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:49:06Yeah, so on your first part, Peter, total consumption was actually, with measured and unmeasured, was about 14% for the quarter. And obviously, with 12.5% net sales growth, we did shift behind consumption. We saw that shift, that 3,000,000 to $4,000,000 go out of June into July. So we had a nice July performance from a net sales growth. So we felt very confident that that shift did occur. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:49:36We've seen it come through in the July results. So that's very positive. The quarter probably, just the POS, it's stable, which is great, but it's not increasing. And we're a little frustrated it's not popping up a little bit sooner. So net sales growth is probably going to be similar or slightly above kind of what we just put up for Q2. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:50:00Regarding your CapEx question, it's difficult to say exactly how much of that $100,000,000 was growth versus the efficiency. The big push out, the big savings in that $100,000,000 over the next couple of years is the delay in phase three of tennis, which is a big ticket item. So obviously, some of it is the slowdown in growth. But when you look at the OEE efficiencies that we've made over the last year, they are substantial. When you look at the ability in the new technology, both the new line that we're having in Bethlehem, which we're very confident about, plus the light version that we mentioned that we can put on several lines, and we've run tests on that, we're very confident that that will add incremental capacity. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:50:59And there's other things that we can do within our four walls that will increase capacity. There's different other areas that we're focused on which are going to drive incremental capacity with very little to no capital expenditures. So we're looking right now with the capacity that we have installed, not staffed, but installed, we have about $1,500,000,000 worth of capacity. So that gives us tremendous confidence that we can lower the amount of CapEx over the next couple of years. And again, the big push is phase three and NS we can delay. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:51:41Again, of that's clearly to slow down the business, but we would not be able to delay that capital if we didn't have the efficiency gains that we're seeing right now. As I mentioned earlier, Ennis has just made a huge turnaround. And the improvement in yields, the improvement in OEE, that team is just working really, really well together. And that gives us confidence to push capital out. So that's the big driver. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:52:05Yeah, Peter, I just want to amplify. It's a little bit wonky, but we are really fixated on yields and throughputs in our manufacturing operations. And both the new technologies that we're working on and the existing OEE efforts, the overall equipment effectiveness efforts, are focused on driving those. And the results that we've seen have been really remarkable. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:52:29I'd say we're about a year ahead where we thought we'd be on the OEE. And the technologies are icing on the cake on top of that. And those things are just it's basically free money You get more production per hour of labor and you get more output per dollar of ingredients you put in at the beginning. It's pretty darn remarkable return for us. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:52:48And so we're going to continue to invest in those kinds of programs and it reduces the CapEx at the end of the day. That's a really big win for us. Peter GalboDirector - Head of US Consumer Staples Equity Research at Bank of America00:52:55Okay. Very helpful. Thanks, guys. Operator00:53:00Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jim Salera with Stephens Inc. Please proceed with your question. Jim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens Inc00:53:09Good morning. Thanks for taking our question. Billy, I wanted to dig into something that you said at the beginning of your prepared remarks, which is just in addition to kind of the overall economic malaise, you're seeing a little bit of drag on from return to office and housing costs increasing. And those seem like trends that are probably a little bit more durable than the economic waxing and waning. So just any comments on do we see maybe a peak number of dogs per household post COVID? Jim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens Inc00:53:41Do you have any sense for kind of where that might progress moving forward and maybe just the overall number of dogs per household is kind of in a slower growth trajectory? Just how you think about that presents any kind of persistent challenges moving Yes. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:53:55As you can imagine, Jim, we spent a lot of time looking at this. There's been a theory out there that there was a huge pull forward on dog adoptions in the pandemic and we're just eating back into that pull forward. And there's legitimacy to that argument. But I'd also say that I think we're now five years in to that period. And I think we're pretty much at the end of that tail. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:54:16There's another dynamic, and you referenced to the housing piece and the return to office. That has a generational element to it as well. One of the things that we are seeing in the data is you'd naturally expect that the high income baby boomers, who are now later in life, have a dog that might pass away. And they're less likely to replace that dog because they want to spend time with the grandkids, they want to go on a cruise, they are whatever. And dogs limit their abilities to do that. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:54:44And that's a natural pattern. It's happened forever. But what's usually been there to counteract and replace it is the younger generations would be in that household formation stage where they would be getting a pet. And that's the part that's not happening. It's not happening at the rate that it should because people are now worried, I have to leave the dog at home. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:55:04My landlord won't let me get a dog. I can't afford a house. So those pieces are there and they're present and they're impacting the ability of the younger generations to get the pet, that they would get. It's not a huge part of our volume dynamic, but it is a piece of the puzzle. But those markets, as you point out, are very cyclical And that over time, you'd expect that those things would return to a more normalized growth rate, because the reality is the desire to get a dog doesn't change. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:55:32People still have the desire to get it and they will get the dog at some point. It just may not be this year or next year. Our focus is on the things that we can control. And what we can control is we have the most compelling advertising message, which is what Nikki described, getting really focused on the benefits of fresh, getting the right availability, the right product assortment, right innovation, and delivering the products at the right cost. And as long as we do that, we feel very good that as Todd said, we'll outperform the category. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:55:59We will outperform the category by quite a bit and this will become a very big segment of the market. We just can't change the housing market and the return to work policies. Those things will take time and will naturally occur. But when those things return to a more normalized path, we'll be there and we'll be winning. Jim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens Inc00:56:16Great. And then maybe just pulling on that thread a little bit more. You also mentioned some of those dynamics maybe favor cat ownership versus dog ownership in some scenarios. I know cat food is a much smaller piece of your business. Is there any potential we could see on the innovation side, maybe some more pivot towards expanding the cat offering? Jim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens Inc00:56:37And if could just offer any thoughts, I don't know if that would require any substantial change to equipment or how you run the lines or anything. Maybe just some thoughts there would be helpful. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:56:45Yes. I mean, Jim, we obviously are very interested in the cat food market because as you point out, it is growing. It's right now while the dog food market is down in the low single digits, the cat food market is up in mid single digits. And it's for the reasons that we cited and you reiterated in your comment. We do have a small cat food business. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:57:03We'd like to have a bigger cat food business. It's going to take some time. Cats have a very different way of eating than dogs. Dogs have big jaws, they like to chew. Cats tend to eat with their tongue, they lap food. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:57:13And so it has very different requirements. There are very different requirements for the product on a cat food. And you also have to have fridges in the right places, you have the right messaging. We're working on it. We have an interest in that area, but it's not something that's going to happen this year. Jim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens Inc00:57:30Got it. I appreciate all the thoughts back in queue. Operator00:57:33Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mark Turande with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your question. Marc TorrenteVP - Equity Research at Wells Fargo00:57:43Hey, good morning and thanks for fitting me in. I guess just building on the last reply, maybe more philosophically, how are you prioritizing top line growth at this point? Are current trends leading you to accelerate other potential opportunities that have been discussed in the past such as new channels, international or adjacent categories? Or are you comfortable letting the business grow at current rates and continuing to pace your scale out? Thanks. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:58:10Yeah. I would start with our we're clearly focused on The US based dog food business as our A number one priority. First, because it's where we have the greatest strength. And secondly, because we think the opportunity there is still enormous. We're still a very small share of a very large pie. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:58:25It doesn't mean that we aren't looking at and continuing to do some development work in cat food, as I just mentioned. Our business in Canada is one of those that we've been looking at our UK business. We're trying to figure out exactly what the right investment profile is for each of those areas. But we are a US based dog food business, and that's where you're going to see the bulk of our investment going forward. In terms of managing the top line, we're going to invest when we get good returns. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:58:50And when we don't get great returns, we won't invest. We're in a very good position from a margins perspective, from a cash generation perspective, from a capacity perspective, organizational capability. So we have lots of choices, frankly a lot more choices than we had a few years ago. We just need to be judicious about it. We don't want to chase growth at all costs. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet00:59:10But we are a growth company, we need to deliver growth. And so we're going to do that. Todd CunferCFO at Freshpet00:59:16Would say the opportunity in the digital world is enormous. We're growing very nicely around 40%. It's only about 13% of our net sales today. For the category, it's probably around the mid-30s. I'll let Nikki talk about some of the things we're doing and the team that she is building. But there's an enormous opportunity on the digital side. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet00:59:40Thanks Todd. I think that that's one of the, if I had to say, three focus areas that I would have as I start to look at where our biggest growth opportunities are. E comm in particular and then building out digital from a marketing standpoint is, I think, very significant overall for us with 35% of the pet category going through online. We have an incredibly low share in this space and it's something that we are looking at where our partnership is and then also looking at how we can leverage. We've got 28,000 fridge network, which are like micro fulfillment centers really across The U. Nicki BatyCOO at Freshpet01:00:21S. And we're seeing some very good returns with last mile delivery partners like Instacart and others as well as very strong growth with our Click and Collect business. So expect to see more from us in this space as well as we start to go through next year. Operator01:00:43Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our time for questions. I'll turn the floor back to Mr. Seer for any final comments. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet01:00:49Great. Thank you everyone and thank you for your interest. I want to end with a thought for you. This quote is from an unknown source. The quote is, If your dog is fat, you're not getting enough exercise. Billy CyrCEO & Director at Freshpet01:01:01To which I would add, A Freshpet meal will get any dog off the couch and give them the energy to help you work off unwanted pounds. Thank you very much for your interest. Operator01:01:11Thank you. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.Read moreParticipantsExecutivesRachel UlshVP - IR & Corporate CommunicationsBilly CyrCEO & DirectorTodd CunferCFONicki BatyCOOAnalystsPeter BenedictSenior Research Analyst at BairdBrian HollandMD & Research Analyst - Food & Beverage at D.A. DavidsonBill ChappellManaging Director at Truist SecuritiesSteve PowersEquity Research Analyst at Deutsche BankRobert MoskowManaging Director at TD CowenMichael LaveryMD & Senior Research Analyst at Piper Sandler CompaniesKaumil GajrawalaManaging Director at Jefferies Financial GroupRupesh ParikhSenior MD & Equity Research Analyst at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.Peter GalboDirector - Head of US Consumer Staples Equity Research at Bank of AmericaJim SaleraResearch Analyst at Stephens IncMarc TorrenteVP - Equity Research at Wells FargoPowered by