StandardAero Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: Q3 earnings growth outpaced revenue: Revenue rose 4% to $1.56 billion, while adjusted EBITDA increased 15% and adjusted EPS grew 30%; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 130 basis points to 14.4%.
  • Positive Sentiment: 2026 guidance was raised again: StandardAero now expects revenue growth of about 9%, adjusted EBITDA growth of 13%, and adjusted EPS growth of 26%. It maintained adjusted free cash flow guidance of $270 million–$300 million.
  • Positive Sentiment: Aftermarket demand and visibility remain strong: Management reported no meaningful macro-driven change in bookings or planned engine inductions, with demand visibility extending into 2028. LEAP and CFM56 DFW reached profitability earlier this year, and the company remains on track to exceed $1 billion in annual LEAP revenue by 2030.
  • Positive Sentiment: Share repurchases are expanding: The company increased its authorization to $1.01 billion and announced a $350 million accelerated repurchase. Management expects year-end net leverage below 2.7 times after the repurchase.
  • Negative Sentiment: Some near-term margin pressures remain: Delayed military-related inputs and repair activity, particularly on training platforms, weighed on component repair margins. Management also cautioned that Q3’s unusually favorable used-serviceable-material contribution may not recur and that rising LEAP and CFM56 DFW volumes could dilute Q4 Engine Services margins.
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Earnings Conference Call
StandardAero Q3 2026
00:00 / 00:00

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Operator

As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Rama Bondada, Senior Vice President of Strategic Finance and Investor Relations. Please proceed.

Rama Bondada
Rama Bondada
Senior Vice President of Strategic Finance and Investor Relations at StandardAero

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to StandardAero's third quarter 2026 earnings call. I am joined today by Russell Ford, our Executive Chairman, Paul McElhinney, our Chief Executive Officer, and Dan Satterfield, our Chief Financial Officer. Alongside today's call, you can find our earnings release as well as the accompanying presentation on our website at ir.standardaero.com. An audio replay of this call will also be made available, which you can access on our website or by phone. The phone number for the audio replay is included in the press release announcing this call. Before we begin, as always, I would like to remind everyone that today's earnings release and statements made during this call include forward-looking statements under federal securities laws. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections.

Rama Bondada
Rama Bondada
Senior Vice President of Strategic Finance and Investor Relations at StandardAero

Such risks and uncertainties include the factors set forth in the earnings release and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including in the risk factors section of our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025. We assume no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except as required by law. Additionally, during today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted net income, adjusted earnings per share, adjusted free cash flow, and net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio. The definition and reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release and in the appendix to the earnings slide presentation on our website at ir.standardaero.com.

Rama Bondada
Rama Bondada
Senior Vice President of Strategic Finance and Investor Relations at StandardAero

Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to and not as a substitute for GAAP measures. With that out of the way, I would now like to turn the call over to Russ. Russ?

Russell Ford
Russell Ford
Executive Chairman at StandardAero

Thank you, Rama, and thank you to everyone for joining our call today. As you know, this is my final earnings call following my tenure as StandardAero's CEO, and I am especially pleased to be joined today by Paul McElhinney, who assumed the role of CEO in October. Paul will be sharing his perspectives on the business and our strategic priorities later in today's call. Let me begin on slide three with an overview of our third quarter performance. StandardAero delivered another strong quarter with continued revenue growth across all three major end markets, 30% year-over-year adjusted EPS growth, 15% adjusted EBITDA growth, and 130 basis points adjusted EBITDA margin expansion to 14.4%, underscoring the resilience of our diversified portfolio and the progress of our operational initiatives.

Russell Ford
Russell Ford
Executive Chairman at StandardAero

We intentionally built StandardAero with the breadth and resilience to sustain double-digit earnings growth over time, even when individual end markets or engine platforms experience periods of slower growth. This balanced portfolio allows us to navigate different market cycles while capturing growth opportunities across the enterprise. Looking at our end markets, commercial aerospace revenue grew at a high single-digit rate year-over-year, excluding the impact of lower pass-through materials revenue. Demand across the commercial aerospace engine aftermarket remains robust, with visibility into our customer demand and revenue forecast now extending into 2028. Aircraft utilization remains strong, industry MRO capacity continues to be constrained, and the growing maintenance requirements of the global fleet are supporting sustained demand for our services. Our growing backlog and sustained bookings momentum provide meaningful visibility and reinforce our confidence in the long-term outlook.

Russell Ford
Russell Ford
Executive Chairman at StandardAero

Business aviation grew 7.4% year-over-year, supported by demand across the mid-size and super mid-size engine platforms we serve. We continue to benefit from the strategic investments we have made to expand our capabilities and capacity, particularly on the HTF7000 platform. Military and helicopter revenue increased 7.2% year-over-year, supported by continued demand across our military engine portfolio and the ongoing ramp of previously awarded programs. As we have discussed in prior quarters, increasing defense spending, higher operational tempo, and a growing focus on aircraft readiness and sustainment are creating attractive long-term opportunities for StandardAero. While the timing of certain military engine and component inputs have created near-term challenges, particularly within our component repair service segment, we remain confident in the attractive long-term growth opportunity in this end market.

Russell Ford
Russell Ford
Executive Chairman at StandardAero

Stepping back from the quarter, I am particularly pleased with the progress we have made on the strategic investments that we have discussed with you over the past several years. Our LEAP and CFM56 DFW programs reached profitability earlier this year, and we continue to move down the learning curve as these programs scale. Our CF34 and business aviation investments are supporting growth and margin expansion, and our component repair services business continues to expand its repair capabilities across the broader enterprise. These strategic investments were made with a long-term view, and we are beginning to see the benefits in our operating performance. I believe we are still in the early stages of realizing their full potential. As I reflect on my time leading StandardAero, what I am most proud of is not just what we have accomplished, but the people and the culture that have made it possible.

Russell Ford
Russell Ford
Executive Chairman at StandardAero

We built a company with a process-oriented culture where we hold ourselves accountable, honor our commitments, and take tremendous pride in serving our customers. That culture has been the foundation of our success, enabling us to consistently execute our strategy of building leading positions on attractive engine platforms, investing ahead of demand, continuously improving our operations, deploying capital with discipline, and creating long-term shareholder value. I firmly believe that our people and culture are among StandardAero's greatest competitive advantages and will remain central to our success for many years to come. I have worked closely with Paul for more than seven years, and I have tremendous confidence in his ability to lead StandardAero through its next phase of growth.

Russell Ford
Russell Ford
Executive Chairman at StandardAero

He brings deep engine MRO experience, an exceptional understanding of our business and industry, and a shared commitment to the values, disciplined execution, and customer relationships that have defined the 115-year history of StandardAero. Paul also brings a fresh perspective and new ideas on how we can build upon the strong foundation already in place. I believe the opportunities ahead of StandardAero are significant. Our markets remain attractive, our investments are delivering results, and our strategy continues to provide a clear path to sustained double-digit earnings growth and long-term shareholder value creation. I cannot think of a better leader than Paul to guide StandardAero through this next chapter. I want to express my sincere gratitude to our employees around the world for their dedication and commitment, to our customers for the trust they place in us, and to our shareholders for their continued support.

Russell Ford
Russell Ford
Executive Chairman at StandardAero

It has been an extraordinary privilege to lead this company, and I cannot be more proud of what our team has accomplished together. With that, it is my great pleasure to turn the call over to Paul McElhinney, our new Chief Executive Officer, who will walk you through our strategic priorities and outlook. Paul?

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Thank you, Russ, for those kind words, and more importantly, for your extraordinary leadership and everything you have done for StandardAero. Having worked closely with Russ and the team, I have had the opportunity to see firsthand the culture, customer relationships, and operating capabilities that make this company so special. I have spent more than 30 years in the aerospace and industrial aftermarket, about half of that time in the aviation finance and leasing space, and half on the industrial side, including leading GE Aerospace's global aftermarket business and also leading GE Vernova's global aftermarket business. That experience gives me strong conviction in StandardAero's differentiated position, a purposefully diversified portfolio combined with compelling long-term opportunities across all of its major end markets. Having served on the board for more than seven years, I have been closely involved in the company's strategic direction.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

In many ways, I believe we are only beginning to capture the earnings potential of those investments and decisions. I believe strongly in the strategy that Russ and the team have established. My focus is on building upon that foundation, accelerating execution, and converting the significant opportunities ahead of us into sustained earnings growth, cash generation, and long-term shareholder value. Turning to slide four, our first strategic priority is LEAP, which is an engine program that I have personally been involved with for well over a decade as part of my earlier GE career. I believe LEAP represents one of the most compelling long-term growth opportunities in the aerospace aftermarket. LEAP and the opportunity it represents for StandardAero were among the key reasons I was excited to take on this CEO role.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

StandardAero's premier MRO authorization, its investments in capacity and technical capabilities, and its strong customer relationships have established what I believe is a highly attractive competitive position in the LEAP aftermarket. Importantly, we believe this growth opportunity is still in its early stages. As Russ alluded to, we reached profitability on the program earlier this year, and our focus now is on continuing to improve productivity, expand our component repair capabilities, and increase margins as volume scale. We remain on track towards our objective of exceeding $1 billion in annual LEAP revenue by the end of this decade, with an opportunity to grow to several billion dollars as the aftermarket matures into the 2030s. Our next priority is productivity and operational execution. Over the past several years, StandardAero has made significant investments in its facilities, capabilities, and workforce to support the next phase of growth.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

As those investments mature, we see a substantial opportunity to drive higher throughput, improve turnaround times, and realize greater operating leverage across the business. The completion of our Winnipeg facility expansion marks another important milestone in supporting the continued growth of our CF34 business. Equally important is our continued emphasis on operational excellence and continuous improvement across our facilities. We have leading positions on attractive engine platforms. Our focus now is on leveraging those positions and investments to drive sustained productivity gains, margin expansion, and stronger cash flow. Our next priority is component repair services, where I see significant opportunity to expand our capabilities, increase repair content, drive attractive long-term growth. CRS is a strategically important business for StandardAero, not only because of its attractive economics, but also because of the value it brings to our customers and our broader engine services operations.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

By developing new repair capabilities and increasing internal repair capture, we can lower material costs, improve turnaround times, and deliver more cost-effective solutions to our customers. We will continue investing in new repair development across both the engine platforms we service and the broader aerospace market. The acquisition of Unified Turbines is a good example of this strategy in action, adding differentiated technical capabilities with meaningful opportunities for both revenue and cost synergies over time. I have strong conviction in the long-term growth and margin opportunity in our repair business because of the tangible value it delivers to customers and the broader StandardAero network. Our final priority is disciplined capital deployment, which will be an important area of focus for me as the CEO. StandardAero has a strong track record of generating attractive returns through organic investments, strategic acquisitions, and expanding our capabilities on the engine platforms we serve.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

We see meaningful opportunities to continue to deploy capital in these areas, particularly through strategic M&A that strengthens our competitive position and enhances our long-term earnings power. At the same time, we believe share repurchases represent an attractive use of capital when our stock is trading at a meaningful discount to our assessment of intrinsic value. Today, we are announcing an increase to the share repurchase authorization, taking it to over $1 billion. In conjunction, we are also announcing a $350 million accelerated share repurchase. We have already repurchased $160 million year to date, and after completing our ASR, we will have $500 million remaining on the authorization. This decision reflects our confidence in StandardAero's long-term outlook, the cash-generating ability of our business, and our belief that repurchasing shares at current levels represents a compelling opportunity to create value for shareholders.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Our approach is not to favor one form of capital deployment over another. It is to allocate capital where we believe we can generate the greatest long-term return for shareholders while maintaining appropriate balance sheet and financial flexibility. Based on our current assumptions, we expect to end the year at net leverage below 2.7 times after these actions, thus preserving meaningful flexibility to pursue additional attractive opportunities. Ultimately, our objective is straightforward: to translate StandardAero's attractive growth opportunities and increasing cash generation into sustained long-term per-share value creation. Finally, turning to our outlook, I am pleased that we are once again raising our full-year 2026 guidance. We now expect revenue growth of approximately 9% year-over-year versus our previous guide of 6%, adjusted EBITDA growth of 13% versus 11%, and adjusted EPS growth of 26% versus our previous guide of 23%.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

We are reiterating our adjusted free cash flow guidance, which represents a 36% growth year-over-year. Our improved outlook reflects the strength of underlying aftermarket demands, the progress we are making in our growth programs, and continued productivity improvements across the business. Stepping back, I want to reinforce that StandardAero's long-term investment thesis remains firmly intact. We operate in attractive, structurally growing markets. We have leading positions on critical engine platforms, differentiated repair capabilities, and a diversified portfolio that provides resilience across market cycles. Our opportunity is to continue converting those advantages into sustained double-digit earnings growth, improving free cash flow generation, and delivering attractive returns on invested capital. The strategy is proven. The opportunities ahead are significant, and my focus is on execution and delivering consistent long-term value creation for our shareholders.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

With that, I'll turn the call over to Dan to walk you through our financial results and guidance in greater detail. Dan?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Thank you, Paul. I will begin on slide five with a brief overview of our third quarter financial results, focusing on the key drivers of performance across our segments, cash flow, and balance sheet. For the third quarter, StandardAero generated revenue of $1.56 billion, an increase of 4% year-over-year, with continued growth across both operating segments. Adjusted EBITDA increased 15% to $225 million, with margins expanding 130 basis points year-over-year to 14.4%. Our continued earnings growth reflects improving productivity across the business, particularly in engine services, increased availability and utilization of used serviceable material, or USM, and continued progress down the learning curve on our LEAP and CFM56 DFW growth programs. In addition, the elimination of low to no margin pass-through revenue continues to benefit our reported margin profile, yet creates a temporary reduction in top-line growth as anticipated.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Net income increased 36% to $93 million, while adjusted diluted EPS grew 30% to $0.39, reflecting stronger operating earnings and the benefit of share repurchases. Turning to engine services on slide six. The segment delivered another strong quarter with revenue increasing 3.5% year-over-year and segment adjusted EBITDA increasing a robust 24% to $205 million. Margins expanded 250 basis points year-over-year to 15%, reflecting several factors. First, continued productivity improvements across our engine programs and across all three end markets. Second, LEAP and CFM56 DFW, both of which reached profitability earlier this year and continue to progress down the learning curve. Third, increased availability and utilization of USM across several commercial platforms, which has supported better material economics and operating performance. Fourth, the continued elimination of low to no margin pass-through material revenue from restructured customer contracts.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Taken together, these factors are driving meaningful improvements in the underlying profitability of engine services, and we remain encouraged by the progress we are making. Moving to component repair services on slide seven. Revenue increased 7.3% year-over-year to $189 million, supported by continued strength in commercial aerospace repairs, particularly on the CFM56, GTF, V2500, and CF34 platforms, as well as growth in our aeroderivative business. Segment adjusted EBITDA was approximately $49 million, with margins of 25.8%, reflecting unfavorable mix and the timing of certain military programs. In particular, we continue to experience delays in material inputs and repair activity on select military platforms, especially training-related programs. We also experienced some residual costs associated with the ramp of new labor capacity that dragged over from the last quarter.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Despite these timing-related headwinds, our commercial component repair business continues to grow, supported by strong demand and an expanding portfolio of repair capabilities. We remain confident in the long-term growth and earnings potential of CRS, although the timing of a recovery in military-related activity remains a factor we are closely monitoring. Turning to free cash flow on slide eight. We generated approximately $100 million of adjusted free cash flow in the third quarter, compared with $50 million in the second quarter. This improvement was supported by higher earnings and continued progress on working capital management, including the benefits of our company-wide supply chain initiatives and improved material planning. Net working capital represented a use of approximately $37 million during the quarter, while capital expenditures were approximately $30 million.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

We continue to focus on improving working capital efficiency as our growth programs scale, particularly by reducing turnaround times, optimizing inventory levels, and improving the timing of material purchases. We remain on track to deliver our full-year adjusted free cash flow guidance of $270 million-$300 million, supported by improving operating earnings and our continued working capital initiatives, even as supply chain constraints persist. Turning to our balance sheet on slide nine. We ended the third quarter with net debt to adjusted EBITDA of 2.66 times, compared to 2.9 times in the third quarter last year. As Paul discussed, the board has increased the share repurchase authorization to $1.01 billion, of which year to date we have purchased $160 million of shares, including $50 million in the third quarter. This leaves $850 million under the authorization.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

In addition to the authorization increase, we are entering a $350 million ASR. We will have $500 million left on the authorization after completing the ASR. Based on our guidance, we expect to end the year well within our long-term target range of two to three times, which leaves us with substantial flexibility to fund organic growth investments and M&A while practicing disciplined capital deployment. Finally, turning to slide 10. We are raising full-year revenue guidance by $148 million at the midpoint to a range of $6.525 billion-$6.645 billion, with this increase reflected in our updated revenue guidance for the engine services segment. This implies an 8.6% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. We are also raising our adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $905 million-$920 million, or 13% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

As a result, we are raising our adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $1.57-$1.62. This increase, which implies 26% year-over-year growth, is supported by higher earnings and a lower tax rate and share count. We are reiterating our adjusted free cash flow guidance of $270 million-$300 million. From an end market perspective, we continue to expect commercial aerospace growth in the low double digit to mid-teens range once the pass-through material revenue that was eliminated is normalized. We expect business aviation growth in the high single digit to low double digit range, and military and helicopters growth in the low double digit range. This quarter is another strong demonstration of the resilience and earnings power of the StandardAero business model.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

We have deliberately built a diversified portfolio across engine platforms and markets and customers, each with distinct growth drivers and complementary operating cycles. Ultimately, what sets StandardAero apart is our ability to consistently compound earnings and free cash flow over the long term. We believe that sustained enterprise-wide performance, rather than short-term fluctuations in any single platform or end market, is the true measure of our earnings power and long-term shareholder value creation. With that, I'll turn it back over to Paul.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Thank you, Dan. Before we open the call for questions, I want to leave you with a few final thoughts. As I mentioned earlier, I am incredibly excited about the opportunity ahead for StandardAero. We have an exceptional portfolio of engine platforms, strong customer relationships, and a team with the technical expertise and operational capabilities to capitalize on the long-term growth in the aftermarket. I also want to express my sincere appreciation to our talented team of more than 8,000 employees around the world, whose dedication, expertise, and unwavering commitment to our customers are the foundation of our success. We have made significant investments over the past several years, and we are now beginning to realize their benefits.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

My focus will be on continuing to execute against our strategy, accelerating growth where we see the greatest opportunities, and translating those investments into sustained earnings growth, strong cash generation, and attractive returns for our shareholders. I also want to take one final opportunity to recognize Russ. On behalf of our employees, our leadership team, and our board, thank you for your extraordinary leadership, your friendship, and everything you have done for this company. I am personally grateful for your trust and support, and I look forward to continuing to work closely with you. Finally, to our shareholders and the broader investment community, I look forward to meeting many of you personally over the coming months, hearing your perspectives, and sharing more about our vision for StandardAero's future. Thank you all again for joining us today, and with that, operator, we will now open it up for questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two to remove yourself from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question comes from the line of Ken Herbert with RBC Capital Markets. You may proceed with your question.

Ken Herbert
Ken Herbert
Analyst at RBC Capital Markets

Yeah. Hi. Good evening, and let me congratulate Russ and Paul on the transition, and congratulations, Russ, and good luck in retirement. First, maybe if I could, just to Obviously, you are not talking about 2027 in detail yet, but how do we think about visibility in engine services, in particular just with the increasing concern around what could be slower demand for engine maintenance activity as a result of lower capacity growth or higher fuel prices? Just can you talk at all about what you are seeing in terms of backlogs across the MRO shops, and if you have seen any signals yet that we could see any softening of demand in the next year?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Great, Ken. It's Dan. How you doing?

Ken Herbert
Ken Herbert
Analyst at RBC Capital Markets

Hey, Dan. Great.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Great. Yes. Listen, as we've said last quarter, we've seen zero impact from the macro on our business. No meaningful changes observed in bookings, and as a matter of fact, backlog has increased since the conflict began. It's true, in the comments we made on the call, we've got clear visibility all the way through early 2028, and revenue is spoken for in large part for 2027. Why is that? There's scheduled engine maintenance. We've got customer deposits on hand. We have, as you know, often the flight cycle hour reporting on these engines. We know when they're coming in. Again, our long-term arrangements stretch out many years. So that's providing the visibility, and we would not call a macro event impact on the business at this time.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Ken, I'll just add a couple of comments. First of all, thanks for the welcome. I've spent a lot of time, even in these first four weeks, I've spent a lot of time talking to customers and our OEM partners. Really, nobody is seeing any impact on demand, just like Dan has said. So our visibility is actually quite good through to 2028, and so no change in customer behavior, no impact on inductions and planned inductions. So nothing that we are seeing or hearing that would change anything.

Ken Herbert
Ken Herbert
Analyst at RBC Capital Markets

Okay. That is great. If I could, just on supply chain, I know material availability has been a major headwind as you think about the revenue growth and turnaround times. What are you seeing on material availability or material flow as it relates to the LEAP or the CFM56, and are you seeing improvements there that might also be a tailwind as we think about confidence in the next year?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Yeah, Ken. Thanks. Listen, first of all, LEAP had a great quarter. A lot of our profitability growth is coming from both LEAP and CFM56 in Dallas having fantastic quarters, just as we called it, right? Last quarter, they hit profitability. Now they are ramping up, and so we are really proud of that. Material availability for LEAP and all of our programs continues to be constrained. If I had to call it, probably LEAP might be in a little bit better shape than the other programs. Now, of course, there is no USM available on LEAP, where CFM56 can take advantage of that, although those are constrained as well. The supply chain environment, we are saying, listen, it is kind of the way it has been all year. LEAP is probably benefiting from a little bit of better availability than other programs.

Ken Herbert
Ken Herbert
Analyst at RBC Capital Markets

Great. Thanks, Dan.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Myles Walton with Wolfe Research. You may proceed with your question.

Myles Walton
Myles Walton
Analyst at Wolfe Research

Thanks. Good evening, and best wishes, Russ, and welcome, Paul. You raised the engine services revenue guide by about $170 million, and about $50 million of that, I guess, is the low-margin pass-through. What was the bigger source of the uplift, aside from the pass-through? Looking at it sequentially, it does look like a pretty steep ramp sequentially. Is there a lot that has to happen in terms of USM availability remaining really high or other aspects?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Hey, Myles. Yeah, it's Dan. Thanks for the call-out. I think you're referring to the earnings growth. You said revenue. Earnings growth, fantastic, right? 15%, 250 basis point. Sorry, 24% on engine services, 250 basis points. That came kind of equally, LEAP and CFM56, like I said earlier to Ken's comments, that together with the pass-through impact is a little bit less than half of the total 250 basis point improvement. Those two programs coming down the learning curve and achieving on their milestones. The rest of it is kind of split equally between the USM opportunity and general productivity. On USM is the following. I wouldn't say that USM is generally better, more available market-wise. We had some great opportunities in Q3 that we took advantage of. We have a dedicated team out there sourcing USM.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

At some of our better platforms, they did a really great job on USM. Those were really great lifts for the company. We'll continue to take advantage of USM as it's opportunistically available, and we'll continue to see the LEAP and CFM Dallas programs become more profitable.

Myles Walton
Myles Walton
Analyst at Wolfe Research

Dan, I was actually asking about revenue. I think in the full year guidance of revenue, you did raise ES revenue by $170 million, and I think the pass-through was lower by about $50 million. So there's $120 million of business revenue raised there. Could you just tell us what was that higher outlook coming from?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Yeah. On the commercial side, we are seeing fantastic growth, primarily on LEAP and CFM56. CF34 is having a fantastic year as well, and the turboprop programs. All of those are leading to that. The material pass-through number we are taking down just a little bit, but that really is not impacting the revenue guide. The revenue guide is coming up, and it is coming up with incremental margins.

Myles Walton
Myles Walton
Analyst at Wolfe Research

Okay. All right. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of David Strauss with Wells Fargo. David, your line is now live.

David Strauss
David Strauss
Analyst at Wells Fargo

Great. Thanks. Congrats to you both. Dan, I just wanted to ask about some of the moving pieces on working capital year to date and what to expect in the fourth quarter, specifically looking at the big increase in receivables year to date, and then I think inventory has been a source, but contracts assets have been a drag. If you could just walk through those and what to expect in the fourth quarter.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

No, great question. Thank you. First of all, we are really proud of the $100 million of free cash flow in the quarter, up from $50 million in Q2. Within the working capital build of only $37 million, inventory has come down, right? It came down big in Q1. We kind of held it flat in Q2. In Q3, it is a nice decrease. That is a direct result of the effort we are putting into material ordering practices. Contract assets did increase, but this is becoming clear that this is our cycle, a big increase before the big shipment unwind in Q4, just like we have achieved last quarter. Sorry, last Q4, where Q1 is a build, Q2 is kind of a decline, Q3 is a big build right prior to the Q4 big shipment period.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

This is a sort of expected increase in contract assets along with billed accounts receivable. Those are up as well, also following kind of a similar pattern where Q1 goes up, Q2 is a big collections quarter, Q3 climbs, and then Q4 is a big collections quarter, all on the way to the cash flow guide that we have given you, midpoint $285 million. Nothing really unusual here, except we are reaping the benefits of our sales and operations planning discipline and material ordering practices.

David Strauss
David Strauss
Analyst at Wells Fargo

Okay. On the license agreement, you have talked about the EBITDA contribution over the next couple years. What can we expect from a revenue standpoint, how much that is going to add in revenue?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Yeah, we have not called that. What we have called on the license expansion, by the way, we are super excited about that. Those are new variants of engines that we already serve. It is about $25 million next year. It is going to be going to a total of about $30 million of earnings, kind of on normal ES margins. You can reverse engineer the revenue figure.

David Strauss
David Strauss
Analyst at Wells Fargo

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Sheila Kahyaoglu with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

Sheila Kahyaoglu
Sheila Kahyaoglu
Analyst at Jefferies

Thank you, and congrats again, Russ, and congratulations, Paul, as well. Maybe just to follow up on just the Q4 margins implied for engine services is, I guess, how do we think about the implied margins of about 14% versus the 15% in Q3, despite sales accelerating to low teens. Can you walk us through some of the puts and takes on the relatively high sales growth versus the margin disconnect there, and what you are assuming for the material pass-through?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Hey, Sheila. Good question. It is primarily the USM opportunity that we took advantage of here in Q3. I would like to say that USM is going to be sort of an increasing entitlement that we have on a very consistent basis. Unfortunately, as you know, it is not like that. We had a great opportunity on USM in Q3 that I am not going to call for Q4 being like that. Then we are also having an increase of the ramp programs, right. LEAP and CFM56 DFW, as you know, are dilutive. There will be higher revenues of those in Q4 as those programs ramp, and so that will provide some dilution as well.

Sheila Kahyaoglu
Sheila Kahyaoglu
Analyst at Jefferies

Okay. Got it. That is super helpful. Maybe if you could just talk about what is going on with military. I feel like this is the second quarter in a row where military is coming a little bit lighter. I guess, how do we think about what is driving some of that slowness within the military training platforms and how you are thinking about the pickup in Q4 and into 2027?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Yeah. The military, in particular on the component repair side, the inputs have fallen significantly. We are seeing that this is an impact of the Middle Eastern conflict, and we are calling it really not a shift in funding, but a shift in outlays, right? As engines remain in theater for longer and for operational readiness of the conflict, maintenance, in particular on some of the training platforms that make up a large part of component repair military platforms, are suffering. Not forever, as you know. Engine maintenance is not discretionary. It will come back, although I do not think this is going to be something, and I am not going to call how long the conflict is going to last. But as long as it does, we are going to see some shift between outlays between programs.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Now, you are not seeing that as much on the total military end market, and that has to do with the Q2 announced new business that we are receiving on NATO platforms unrelated to the component repair business.

Sheila Kahyaoglu
Sheila Kahyaoglu
Analyst at Jefferies

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Seth Seifman with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question. Seth, your line is now live.

Seth Seifman
Seth Seifman
Analyst at JPMorgan

Can you hear me?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Yeah. Hey, Seth.

Seth Seifman
Seth Seifman
Analyst at JPMorgan

Oh, hey. Sorry. Yeah. Russ, congrats, and it has been a pleasure. Paul, congrats as well. I wanted to ask, just starting off on the sales from component repair into engine services. As engine services has grown, we have not really seen growth in the internal sales. When would you expect that to pick up, and what does the trajectory of that look like in the coming years?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Yeah, thanks. That is the insourcing effort that we have talked about. That continues, right? As you know, when we launched this insourcing activity, the lower-hanging fruits we have taken advantage of. Now there is additional work to do. There was a business, a discrete business piece that we lost that is going to impact that insourcing impact. We are continuing to proceed on it, and in Q3, it was up 1% versus the prior year.

Rama Bondada
Rama Bondada
Senior Vice President of Strategic Finance and Investor Relations at StandardAero

Seth, we talked about it last quarter. It was the, quote, unquote, "contract." We are still getting the parts for the part repair side of it, but we no longer run that contract on the ES side. That is parts that are now reported as external sales, so that affects the insourcing number.

Seth Seifman
Seth Seifman
Analyst at JPMorgan

Okay. Excellent. Then maybe as a follow-up, Paul, when you talk about making it a priority to be the leader in LEAP MRO over the next few decades, what does it take to be that leader? Do you have kind of the capacity for that? Is that something that will require more capacity over time? Is there something about the customers that you have gathered thus far or see potential to gather in the future? What is going to sort of differentiate StandardAero and allow you to have that leadership position?

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Thanks, Seth. Yeah. Interestingly, as I said in the comments earlier, I have spent probably 15 years of my career on the other side of the table in LEAP. LEAP was one of the big program launches that we had when I was running the aftermarket. I was heavily involved in designing the aftermarket strategy for LEAP from a GE perspective and a Safran perspective. Honestly, it is one of the real reasons I thought about taking the job as CEO. This is, my opinion, this will become the most successful commercial engine in history. It is already proving that in orders. We have made significant investments to prepare for LEAP volume. We are well on our way and tracking closely to what we have told you and others for some time, which is we turned profitable this year.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

We see a very clear sight to $1 billion of revenue by 2030. The pipeline is quite strong. A lot of demand, constrained supply, constrained capacity. I am very confident, firstly about the overall LEAP volumes that are coming for the industry, and then inside that set, I would say I am particularly confident about the positioning of StandardAero and what we can do as a partner to CFM and what we can do for our customers, and that is proving itself every day as we win additional contracts.

Seth Seifman
Seth Seifman
Analyst at JPMorgan

Great. Thanks. Thanks very much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ronald Epstein with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.

Andrew Steinhardt
Andrew Steinhardt
Analyst at Bank of America

Hi. This is Andrew Steinhardt on for Ron. Thanks for taking my question here, and congrats, Russ, on your retirement, and Paul, on the transition. I wanted to ask if you guys could quantify the impact of the pass-through eliminations on commercial revenue in Q3. What would underlying growth be excluding the pass-through eliminations? For the full year, if you could ballpark commercial end market growth accounting for those eliminations, that would be helpful too. Thanks.

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

That's right. Yeah. Commercial was, what, 1.3% growth. Excluding that, it's high single digits. You'll see that on the page. Then for the full year, commercial growth, we're calling high teens, ex material takeout.

Andrew Steinhardt
Andrew Steinhardt
Analyst at Bank of America

Could you quantify it with the takeout?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

That's right. We called the material takeout for the full year, we were saying $350 million-$400 million. It's now going to be closer to $300 million. As you recall, in Q1, it was a minimal impact, then Q2, it was significant, and Q3 and Q4 are going to be right in line with expectations. We kind of lost a quarter, and we're saying the full material takeout impact, instead of $350 million-$400 million, it'll be closer to $300 million for the full year.

Andrew Steinhardt
Andrew Steinhardt
Analyst at Bank of America

Got you. Okay. Just on CRS margins, can you talk about how the work migration efforts have progressed since last quarter?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Yeah. There is a great opportunity there that we launched between some of our back shops and the Cincinnati site, where capability on that repair was already in place. That continues to occur, and there are even more opportunities out in the future that we are going to take advantage of across our We have 50 sites in total at StandardAero. Most of the MRO sites have what are called back shops that do component repair for the engines in the shop, right, for a quick turnaround. When these back shops have additional capability and capacity, that is an opportunity for the overloaded CRS sites to offload, and we are taking full advantage of that.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Andrew, this is Paul. Just a couple of comments. Firstly, CRS is a very strategic part of the business. I have spent a lot of my career running repair businesses in the aftermarket. Quite apart from the fact that they are financially very attractive for the company, their impact on customers is very important and very impactful to their turnaround times, lowering the cost of maintenance. So it is a key part of our offering to our customers. In the first three weeks here, I have spent time with our repair teams in both Dallas and Cincinnati, which are two of our larger repair locations. Demand is not an issue here. Commercial demand, very robust, I would say. The entire focus of the team is on internal execution, increasing and improving throughput.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

You can expect me to be spending quite a bit of time with that team, and I look forward to sharing some of the results of the work we are doing here, improving that as we go forward.

Andrew Steinhardt
Andrew Steinhardt
Analyst at Bank of America

Got you. I appreciate the color. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Kristine Liwag with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.

Kristine Liwag
Kristine Liwag
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Hey, congrats, Russ. We will miss you on the earnings call, and welcome, Paul. I guess, Paul, given your involvement in shaping the LEAP's aftermarket strategy in your prior role, how do you assess StandardAero's competitive position today? You must have seen good things for you to join the company. Are there any areas you want to invest in more or expand capabilities to be able to capture more market share or a greater share of the aftermarket economics as the platform matures?

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Thanks for the question, Kristine. The company has positioned itself extraordinarily well for LEAP. You are right, LEAP is near and dear to my heart as an engine product. It is exciting for me to now sit on this side of the table and be able to talk to customers about how we support them and their needs. We are quoting shop visit slots all the way out to the mid-2030s at this stage. Really robust demand. I like where StandardAero is competitively. We will continue to invest. You can expect us to continue to invest in repair development. You can continue to expect us to work on attractive commercial offerings for our customers that allow them to lower their maintenance costs over time.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

But I feel really good about LEAP, and I feel good about what that will be, candidly, for StandardAero for three decades or more to come.

Kristine Liwag
Kristine Liwag
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Great. Super helpful. If I could add a second question. On the Q4 CRS margins, they implied for the quarter will be 27.5%, so a sequential increase versus this quarter. How much visibility do you have into that recovery? Is that sequential margin expansion dependent on the return of the military programs you guys had previously discussed?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Yeah. Thanks, Kristine. The decline in margins we called out had to do with two things, really. The residual effects from the labor ramp, and don't forget, the commercial business at CRS is booming. A lot of strong volumes there. Their volumes are being somewhat depressed because of the military issues that we mentioned before, due to the outlay changes as a result of the Middle Eastern conflict. What that has as an impact on the margin rates is that military business is pretty good business. Losing that has a negative mix impact. Then we have some residual effects from the labor ramp on the commercial business, which is quite strong. That we're working through. That we have a better line of sight to recovery than on the military side, which is dependent on the macro.

Kristine Liwag
Kristine Liwag
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Got you. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Gavin Parsons with UBS. Please proceed with your question.

Gavin Parsons
Gavin Parsons
Analyst at UBS

Thanks. Good evening.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Hey, Gavin.

Gavin Parsons
Gavin Parsons
Analyst at UBS

Russ and Paul, congrats to you guys both. Paul, I guess sort of echoing Seth's question a little bit on CRS, which you brought up as a priority and have talked about. I mean, it's a smaller growing business, but one that I would think would have more idiosyncratic growth opportunities. I've been a little surprised that one's grown slower than ES for a couple years now. Just any insights you can shed on that and how you might quantify the growth opportunity there over the medium term would be helpful.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Thanks for the question, Gavin. CRS is very strategic for me, a very important part of our customer toolset and the offerings that we can give them. I would say, right now, I see a lot of demand. I see good backlog, and frankly, I'll spend my time on working with the teams and accelerating some of the efficiency, productivity, throughput, turnaround time activity that's already going on in the company. We have a lot of capacity across the network. Dan talked about the fact that we've been involved in this work transfer from Cincinnati to some of the other back shops. That's complicated work, frankly. It's not something that happens overnight, but it is something that I intend to continue to focus on.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

I think you should expect to see CRS continue to be a big piece of the business in terms of strategic importance, both to us and to our customers. And I intend to spend a fair amount of time with the team, helping them get to where we need to be with the offerings.

Gavin Parsons
Gavin Parsons
Analyst at UBS

Thanks for that. And then on the military side, I think you guys do have a lot of exposure to deployed assets. I am thinking like C-130, V-22. I mean, any way to help us frame your exposure to those versus, say, the training platforms where the drag is today? Rough order of magnitude?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Yeah. So we are really Those are our fixed-wing transport aircraft that we support. And they are in good shape. When we talk about the military issues, it is primarily related, in large part, to these training programs that are The demand is not going away. It will definitely come back. These are programs that the U.S. Air Force needs more pilots on. As far as the C-130 or the AE2100 and the Osprey or the AE1107 programs, those are looking good, and that is why we are having still a strong military guide, low double digits for the full year.

Gavin Parsons
Gavin Parsons
Analyst at UBS

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Andre Madrid with U.S. Bancorp. Please proceed with your question.

Ned Morgan
Ned Morgan
Analyst at U.S. Bancorp

Good afternoon. This is Ned Morgan on for Andre. Russ, congrats on a great tenure as CEO, and Paul, we look forward to working with you.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Thank you.

Ned Morgan
Ned Morgan
Analyst at U.S. Bancorp

As we start thinking about 2027, I understand you are not going to provide any guidance today, but are you willing to rank the growth outlook across commercial, business aviation, and military?

Dan Satterfield
Dan Satterfield
CFO at StandardAero

Yeah, the 2027 guide, we're going to give you better information on that out in February.

Ned Morgan
Ned Morgan
Analyst at U.S. Bancorp

Okay. Sounds good.

Rama Bondada
Rama Bondada
Senior Vice President of Strategic Finance and Investor Relations at StandardAero

You mean the rank order of end markets?

Ned Morgan
Ned Morgan
Analyst at U.S. Bancorp

Yeah.

Rama Bondada
Rama Bondada
Senior Vice President of Strategic Finance and Investor Relations at StandardAero

It should be roughly about the same. I mean, it's just the general growth of those end markets, right?

Ned Morgan
Ned Morgan
Analyst at U.S. Bancorp

Okay. Thank you. Then another, GE lowered its CFM56 retirement outlook. Just curious on the puts and takes of that for you guys and what it means for you on the CFM56 platform.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Yeah. CFM56, a very strong platform for us. It is still actually quite early in the life cycle of that motor. So, two-thirds of those engines have not even seen their second shop visit yet. So, I think that you are going to see continued strength, certainly in StandardAero, on CFM56. A lot of customer demand for us, constrained capacity. But yeah, as I look at that program, I see continued growth. The retirement rate, which GE called to 1.5%-2% of the fleet, frankly not having an impact on the demand that we are seeing for slots from our customers.

Rama Bondada
Rama Bondada
Senior Vice President of Strategic Finance and Investor Relations at StandardAero

Ned, keep in mind, the OEMs, when they refer to their shop visits, it is shop visits with 500 labor hours or more. So it does not include module swaps, exchanges, those type of things that we do quite a bit of.

Ned Morgan
Ned Morgan
Analyst at U.S. Bancorp

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We have reached the end of the question and answer session. I would like to turn the floor back to Paul McElhinney for closing remarks.

Paul McElhinney
Paul McElhinney
CEO at StandardAero

Thanks very much. Thank you all for joining us, and for your continued interest in our company. We look forward to sharing more details with you on our next call.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your line at this time. We thank you for your participation.

Executives
    • Rama Bondada
      Rama Bondada
      Senior Vice President of Strategic Finance and Investor Relations
    • Russell Ford
      Russell Ford
      Executive Chairman
    • Paul McElhinney
      Paul McElhinney
      CEO
    • Dan Satterfield
      Dan Satterfield
      CFO
Analysts