Qualcomm Q1 2026 Earnings Report

Qualcomm EPS Results

• Actual EPS: $3.50
• Consensus EPS: $3.38
• Beat/Miss: Beat by +$0.12
• One Year Ago EPS: $3.41

Qualcomm Revenue Results

• Actual Revenue: $12.25 billion
• Expected Revenue: $12.16 billion
• Beat/Miss: Beat by +$88.55 million
• YoY Revenue Growth: +4.70%

Qualcomm Announcement Details

• Quarter: Q1 2026
• Date: 2/4/2026
• Time: After Market Closes
• Conference Call Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
• Conference Call Time: 4:45PM ET

Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) (NASDAQ: QCOM) is a technology company that develops wireless communications technologies, semiconductors and related intellectual property. Headquartered in San Diego, California, the company serves customers and partners worldwide across the mobile, automotive, consumer electronics and industrial markets.

Through its Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT) business, Qualcomm designs and supplies integrated circuits, system software and hardware platforms. Its products include Snapdragon mobile platforms, 5G and other wireless modems, radio-frequency components, connectivity solutions, processors and artificial intelligence technologies. The company also develops solutions for automotive applications, including digital cockpits, vehicle connectivity and advanced driver-assistance systems, as well as products for the Internet of Things, edge computing and industrial devices.

Qualcomm’s Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL) business manages the company’s extensive portfolio of patents covering wireless communications technologies and licenses those technologies to manufacturers and other industry participants. Qualcomm’s innovations have contributed to the development and adoption of digital cellular standards, including CDMA, 3G, 4G LTE and 5G.

Founded in 1985, Qualcomm is led by Cristiano Amon, who serves as president and chief executive officer. The company continues to invest in wireless connectivity, on-device artificial intelligence, automotive technologies and other connected-device markets.

Qualcomm Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

• Positive Sentiment: Record fiscal Q1 results — total revenue of $12.3 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $3.50, with record QCT revenue of $10.6 billion driven by flagship handsets and strength in automotive and IoT.
• Negative Sentiment: Qualcomm warns the handset industry will be constrained by memory availability and rising DRAM prices as capacity shifts to HBM for AI data centers, causing OEMs to cut chipset inventory and guiding Q2 handset revenues at roughly $6 billion.
• Positive Sentiment: Strong automotive and IoT momentum — QCT automotive revenue reached a record $1.1 billion (up 15% YoY), Qualcomm signed a letter of intent with Volkswagen Group, reported 10 Snapdragon Elite design wins, and expects Q2 automotive growth >35% YoY.
• Positive Sentiment: Progress on data-center strategy and roadmap — completed acquisitions of Alphawave and Ventana, advancing a RISC-V CPU and a power-efficient inference/memory architecture with encouraging hyperscaler engagements and expected revenue contributions starting in fiscal 2027.
• Positive Sentiment: Shareholder returns — Qualcomm returned $3.6 billion this quarter, including $2.6 billion in share repurchases and $949 million in dividends.

Presentation

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Qualcomm Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. If you'd like to ask a question during this time, press Star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press Star, then the number 2. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the numbers. Please limit your questions to one question and one follow-up. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded, February 4, 2026. The playback number for today's call is 877-660-6853. International callers, please dial 201-612-7415. The playback reservation number is 13758127.

[Operator]

I would now like to turn the call over to Mauricio Lopez-Hodoyan, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mauricio Lopez-Hodoyan, please go ahead.

[Mauricio Lopez-Hodoyan, VP of Investor Relations at Qualcomm]

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Today's call will include prepared remarks by Cristiano Amon and Akash Palkhiwala. In addition, Alex Rogers will join the question-and-answer session. You can access our earnings release and its live presentation that accompany this call on our investor relations website. In addition, this call is being webcast on Qualcomm.com, and a replay will be available on our website later today. During the call today, we will use non-GAAP financial measures as defined in Regulation G, and you can find the related reconciliations to GAAP on our website. We will also make forward-looking statements, including projections and estimates of future events, business or industry trends, or business or financial results. Actual events or results could differ materially from those projected in our forward-looking statements.

[Mauricio Lopez-Hodoyan, VP of Investor Relations at Qualcomm]

Please refer to our SEC filings, including our most recent 10-K, which contain important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. Now to comments from Qualcomm's President and Chief Executive Officer, Cristiano Amon.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Thank you, Mauricio, and good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. In fiscal Q1, we delivered record revenues of $12.3 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.50. Within QCT, record revenues of $10.6 billion were driven by strength in flagship handsets. We also saw another quarter of record revenues in automotive and positive momentum in IoT across industrial, edge networking applications, and smart glasses. Licensing business revenues were $1.6 billion. While global consumer demand for handsets, especially premium and high-tier, exceeded our expectations, with healthy sell-through observed through fiscal Q1 in the first few weeks of 2026, in the coming quarters, the handset industry will be constrained by the availability and pricing of memory, particularly DRAM.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

As memory suppliers redirect manufacturing capacity to HBM to meet AI data center demand, the resulting industry-wide memory shortage and price increases are likely to define the overall scale of the handset industry through the fiscal year. Given the current environment, several handset OEMs, especially in China, are taking a cautious approach in reducing their chipset inventory. This is reflected in our guidance for the upcoming quarter. We will continue to work closely with our customers and suppliers as the situation evolves. Akash will share more details on the memory impact in his prepared remarks.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Now some key highlights from the business. We are pleased with the continued expansion of the premium and high-tier smartphone segments and traction of Snapdragon platforms, including broad OEM adoption for dual flagship product strategy. For Samsung's upcoming family of premium-tier devices, we expect approximately 75% share, consistent with prior expectations.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

It's important to note that during the quarter, ByteDance launched the first agentic AI smartphone powered by the Snapdragon 8 Elite. This is a significant milestone in the transition toward AI-native smartphones and the precursor to the agentic experiences shaping the future of mobile. With the development of agents and AI becoming the new UI, intelligent wearables are evolving into personal AI companions and quickly emerging as the next mobile computing category. Our early investments in this area, including powerful and power-efficient chipsets, advanced connectivity, including Micro Power Wi-Fi, as well as ambient sensing and perception technologies, position Snapdragon XR, Wear, and Sound as the platforms of choice for the industry. We're pleased to be working with seven of the nine largest cloud companies globally, and more than 40 personal AI devices are in production or development.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

In PCs, we introduced the Snapdragon X2 Plus, an expansion of our second-generation platforms, purpose-built for the enterprise and commercial segment. The X2 Plus is powered by the third-generation Qualcomm Oryon CPU, which delivers up to 35% faster single-core performance and up to 3.5 times faster multi-core performance compared to the competition in previous generations. Our Hexagon NPU provides up to 5.7 times and 3.4 times faster inferencing versus competitors' NPU and GPU, respectively. 18 Snapdragon-powered PCs debuted at CES from ASUS, HP, Lenovo, and Microsoft. The ASUS Zenbook A16 was one of the standouts, featuring the Snapdragon X2 Elite Extreme and is the fastest Snapdragon-powered laptop to date.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

It features our 18-core, third-generation Oryon CPU, an 80 TOPS Hexagon NPU for AI workloads, and an Adreno GPU, delivering up to a 2.3 times improvement in performance per watt versus the prior generation. X2 Elite Extreme enables desktop-class performance, advanced graphics, and more than 21 hours of battery life in an ultra-light 16-inch form factor. We remain on track to commercialize 150 Snapdragon X-powered PCs this year. Demand for our Snapdragon Digital Chassis solutions remains incredibly strong, and we announced several collaborations with top automakers, OEMs, and service providers during the quarter. We signed a letter of intent for a long-term supply agreement with Volkswagen Group, which spans many brands, including Audi and Porsche. Under this intended agreement, we would provide advanced infotainment and connectivity capabilities, powered by our Digital Chassis across multiple vehicle segments, price tiers, and markets.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

We would also serve as a group's primary technology provider for its software-defined vehicle architecture, developed through its joint venture with Rivian Automotive. In addition, we're collaborating with the group's automated driving alliance, formed by CARIAD and Bosch, to accelerate development of highly automated driving systems. We're very proud that the newly launched RAV4, Toyota's top-selling vehicle globally and one of the best-selling cars worldwide, is powered by our Snapdragon Cockpit Platform, delivering premium AI-enabled in-vehicle experiences. We also announced new and expanded collaborations with Hyundai Mobis, Leapmotor, Li Auto, Zeekr, Great Wall Motor, NIO, and Chery, bringing our total design wins for Snapdragon Elite platforms to 10 programs. In industrial IoT, we continue to expand our portfolio of advanced computing, connectivity, and AI solutions for an increasing number of verticals.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

With the recent acquisition of Augentix, we augmented our Dragonwing vision portfolio and Qualcomm Insight platform with its AI-based, low-power image signal processing solution. At CES, we also introduced two new Dragonwing processors, delivering on-device intelligence for security-focused drones, smart cameras and industrial vision, AI TVs, media hubs, and video collaboration systems. Additionally, the launch of our new Dragonwing IQX series marked our entry into the industrial PC space with best-in-class compute performance and efficient edge AI, engineered for PLCs, advanced HMIs, edge controls, and panel and box PCs.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

This quarter, we formally announced our expansion into advanced robotics and introduced a full suite of robotics technologies and solutions, including the Dragonwing IQ10 series. Our general-purpose robotics architecture supports advanced perception and motion planning using models such as VLAs and VLMs, allowing robots to perceive, reason, adapt, and act in real-world environments.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

As part of a complete hardware-to-software stack, IQ 10 is designed to accelerate commercialization of household, industrial, and humanoid robots. It combines heterogeneous edge compute, safety-grade SoCs, and end-to-end AI. In a short period of time, we have engaged with Advantech, APLEX, AutoCore, Booster, Figure, KUKA Robotics, Robotec.ai, and VinMotion to help define the compute architecture for their robotics and humanoid platforms. The physical AI and robotics space is experiencing rapid growth, driven by advances in edge AI and sensor fusion, and Qualcomm is one of the best-positioned companies to enable this next frontier of AI.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

We will do this by leveraging our strengths in high performance, power-efficient computing, connectivity, and edge intelligence, as well as our experience in ADAS and autonomy, industrial and safety-grade silicon, and perception and sensing technologies. Many of the drivers of our leadership in automotive are applicable to advanced robotics.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Finally, we continue to develop our data center solutions and engage with leading hyperscalers, cloud service providers, sovereign AI projects, and other global partners. We remain encouraged by the positive feedback on our CPU and innovative AI processing and memory architecture for next-generation inferencing data centers. Additionally, the recent developments in the industry validate Qualcomm's view of the importance of specialized and power-efficient AI platforms as inferencing becomes the key driver of data center growth. In fiscal Q1, we completed the Alphawave Semi acquisition, adding high-speed wire connectivity technologies to further strengthen our platforms. We also acquire Ventana Microsystems, reinforcing our leadership and commitment to expanding the RISC-V standard and ecosystem, and development of our high-speed RISC-V CPU for data center workloads. We look forward to providing more information, including an update on our roadmap at our next investor event.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

We'll also share our progress in robotics, automotive, and next-generation autonomy, industrial IoT, and 6G. I will now turn the call to Akash.

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

Thank you, Cristiano, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me begin with our strong first fiscal quarter results. Total revenues of $12.3 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $3.50 were both records, with non-GAAP EPS coming in at the high end of our guidance. QTL revenues of $1.6 billion and EBT margin of 77% were at the high end of our guidance, driven by higher units and favorable mix. We delivered record revenues in QCT of $10.6 billion, including strong year-over-year growth across automotive and IoT. QCT handset revenues reached a record $7.8 billion, reflecting the benefit of recently launched flagship smartphones. QCT IoT revenues of $1.7 billion grew 9% year-over-year, driven by demand across consumer and networking products.

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

In QCT Automotive, we delivered another record quarter, with revenues growing to $1.1 billion, up 15% versus the year-ago period on increased demand for our Snapdragon Digital Chassis platforms. QCT EBT margin of 31% came in line with expectations, exceeding our long-term target of 30%. Lastly, we returned $3.6 billion to stockholders, including $2.6 billion in stock repurchases and $949 million in dividends. Before turning to guidance, I'd like to address the impact of the memory industry dynamics on our financial outlook. The fundamentals of our handset business remain favorable, with a stable global economic environment, total handset shipments exceeding expectations in the December quarter, especially in the premium and high tier, and a strong design win pipeline for our Snapdragon chipsets.

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

However, increasing demand for memory solutions in AI data centers is driving near-term uncertainty in memory supply and pricing for handset OEMs. As a result, the handset OEMs are taking a cautious approach in planning their business. We've seen several OEMs, especially in China, take actions to reduce their handset build plans and channel inventory. Our guidance for the upcoming quarter reflects the latest signals from these customers, which includes reduced chipset orders aligned with their scaled-back expectations for build plans. We expect to return to our prior run rate and growth trajectory for QCT handset revenues when these conditions normalize. Now, turning to guidance. In the second fiscal quarter, we are forecasting revenues of $10.2 billion-$11 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $2.45-$2.65.

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

In QTL, we estimate revenues of $1.2 billion-$1.4 billion and EBT margins of 68%-72%, reflecting normal sequential trend. In QCT, we expect revenues of $8.8 billion-$9.4 billion and EBT margins of 26%-28%. We are forecasting QCT handset revenues to be approximately $6 billion as a result of the impact of memory constraints I just outlined. We anticipate QCT IoT revenues to grow by low teens% versus the year-ago period, driven by growth across industrial and consumer products. In QCT Automotive, following another record quarter, we expect year-over-year revenue growth to accelerate to greater than 35% in the fiscal Q2. Lastly, we expect non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately $2.6 billion in the quarter.

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

The sequential increase is driven by typical calendar year resets for certain employee-related costs and completion of our acquisition of Alphawave to further strengthen our platforms for next-generation AI data centers. In closing, we are pleased with our strong Q1 performance, delivering record results across the following metrics: Total company revenue, non-GAAP EPS, QCT revenues, QCT handset revenues, and QCT automotive revenues. While near-term QCT handset guidance is being impacted by memory industry dynamics, the underlying fundamentals around consumer demand for handsets and Snapdragon product leadership remain strong. Our Q2 guidance reflects the continued revenue acceleration across automotive and IoT, with their combined growth outpacing the run rate required to achieve our long-term revenue targets. Our product announcements and strong customer engagement at CES 2026 further demonstrated our momentum across multiple growth vectors.

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

In automotive, we have reinforced our technology leadership with 10 design wins for Snapdragon Ride Elite and Cockpit Elite, 8 global programs for Snapdragon Ride Flex, and continued success in building an automated driving stack ecosystem for our customers. In robotics, we announced a full suite of technologies, including the industry-leading Dragonwing IQ10 chipset platform and engagement with several players in the ecosystem to drive commercialization of our products. In industrial, we showcased our ability to serve a wide spectrum of customers, from global enterprises to local developers, with an expanded portfolio that offers advanced edge computing and AI solutions across industry verticals. This concludes our prepared remarks. Back to you, Mauricio.

[Mauricio Lopez-Hodoyan, VP of Investor Relations at Qualcomm]

Thank you, Akash. Operator, we're now ready for questions.

[Operator]

Thank you. To queue a question, press star, then the number one. To withdraw your question, press star two. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the numbers. One moment please, for the first question. First question comes from the line of Joshua Buchalter with TD Cowen. Please proceed with your questions.

[Joshua Buchalter, Managing Director - Senior Analyst, Semiconductors Equity Research at TD Cowen]

Hey, guys. Thank you for taking my question. You know, I wanted to start with the handset outlook. Any other factors that are driving the weakness beyond the memory pricing? It was good to hear the reiterated Samsung share. But I think, you know, most importantly, you know, how should we think about the TAM for the year, and do you feel like this inventory correction is sort of the last shoe to drop in the March quarter that you're seeing? Thank you.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Thanks, Joshua, for the question. I will start, and I will ask Akash to add more color. It's 100%, related to memory. Actually, I'll say the microeconomic indicators has been strong. We look at the handset demand has been strong. I think because of our licensing business, we have a good understanding of the overall demand. We look at sell-through data, also very strong. But unfortunately, I think what we saw in Q1, as we go to Q2, is 100% sized by the availability of memory. So as we all know, as all the indication shows, the DRAM availability for consumer electronics, especially handsets, is actually down bias on a year-over-year because of the prioritization of HBM for data centers. I think the market is gonna be sized by that.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

I think we saw the reaction right away from our customers are adjusting, I think, their build production to the memory they have available. I don't know if, Akash, you'd like to add some more color to that?

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

No, I think that covers it.

[Joshua Buchalter, Managing Director - Senior Analyst, Semiconductors Equity Research at TD Cowen]

Okay. Thank you, Cristiano. I guess, to follow up, I mean, just backing into the guidance you just gave on QCT, I mean, that auto number is implying a pretty sharp acceleration sequentially. You know, is this some of the ADAS wins that you've talked about previously layering in? And maybe you could speak to, you know, the, both the drivers and the durability of this higher watermark that you're guiding to. Thank you.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

No, thank you very much. As we have said consistently, I think, you know, the pipeline we have built in automotive, it continues to translate into revenue, especially as new cars ramp and new cars launches. And I think that's why we continue to see, you know, record revenues in automotive. We know we don't move with the industry. We move primarily with our share gains. I think we're very excited about, you know, the trajectory. I will say, we feel good about all the projections we have made about the size of the revenue. When you look at our targets for fiscal 2029, it's all going the right direction, and we continue to have more design wins. I think our position in the industry becomes stronger.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

I think with the platform, we're seeing traction with flex, which both, you know, the ability to bring ADAS and and digital cockpit in the same chipset across other tiers. We're seeing now some of the major, I think, volume drivers achieving SOP. We did announce a very broad partnership with Volkswagen Group. And to your comment, it is correct. We're getting more traction with ADAS once OEMs were able to see the stack that we launched with BMW, that was an option for them. We're seeing interest, and those things are progressing very well.

[Operator]

The next question is from the line of Samik Chatterjee with J.P. Morgan. Please proceed with your questions.

[Samik Chatterjee, Senior Equity Research Analyst, Managing Director at JP Morgan]

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. I have one on data center and one on the smartphone side. Maybe on the data center, Cristiano, if you can give us an update in terms of the progress with your customers on that front. And given sort of the volatility we are seeing in memory, is that sort of being more disruptive to making progress with your customers, or instead, is it sort of augmenting some of the pace of the discussions, given sort of big focus on that side of the sort of bill of materials as well? And I have a follow-up. Thank you.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Thank you so much, Samik. So let me start with the data center. Look, I think everything is going in the way we have planned. I think the only public customer announced today is Humane. That is progressing well. We have started shipping. We have been working with them and ISV on third-party workloads. We're encouraged about the progress our teams are doing on our roadmap. We continue to get very positive feedback, I think, from broad engagements. You would imagine that a company at our size would be engaged in conversations with some of the largest hyperscalers and cloud service providers in the industry. We have something very unique. We always said we have a dedicated platform for the disaggregated data center.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

We do very, very well in certain workloads, such as decode, with our different approach to compute and memory. If anything, I think the transaction of Groq kind of validates that, when you think about disaggregated data center, you have specialized hardware versus, you know, just a GPU that will do everything. And we're getting good traction. Where we're really focused right now is on execution. I think we had identified some of the milestones. We're executing on two fronts. It's CPU. We added a RISC-V CPU now to our roadmap, in addition to Oryon, which is Arm compatible, and we're executing on AI 250 with our new memory architecture. And we will provide details of our roadmap in our investor event. But so far, everything it's on track.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

We still restate that we expect 27 to start showing in revenues, and we feel good. We're just going to keep executing that. And if I don't know, Akash, you want to add anything before I go to memory?

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

No, I think the only thing I'll add on data center is, we've mentioned previously that we expect this to be a multi-billion revenue opportunity in a couple of years, and so everything that Cristiano outlined kind of just reiterates that opportunity for us.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Okay, so the memory thing, and look, I think we're going to see how this thing played out. I'm going to give you maybe a little bit of the dynamics. When we step back and we look at the business, we're very happy with everything in the business. We just wish there was more memory. And you know, and the handsets get hit the most, given its scale and its cycle time. So we expect that the impact is going to be more muted in other business. For example, automotive is a little bit less sensitive to memory price increases. As you pointed out, the impact on handsets and the bond.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Having said that, when we go back to situations that we saw in the past, I think the best proxy is what happened during the pandemic. The premium and high tier has proven to be more resilient to price increases, and we think that that may be a factor that play out. But the most important thing is. That issue is not just the price, the issue is just availability. So I think the memory availability will determine the overall size of the handset market. OEMs are very likely to prioritize premium and high tier, how they have done in the past. That could be less impacted, and we will see the reaction on consumers as their price increases for the finished product. I do, I do stand by what I said.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

I think the whole fiscal year, mobile handset size will be determined by memory availability, and we're just going to monitor this on a quarter as, you know, as phones get repriced, tiers kind of shift towards high-end premium, and we'll see what happens in the marketplace.

[Samik Chatterjee, Senior Equity Research Analyst, Managing Director at JP Morgan]

Sorry, if I just can quickly follow up on that question. On the OEMs prioritizing the higher tier, I mean, within that higher tier, do you expect them to downshift in terms of the tiering of the chipsets or the SOCs that they go for, just to be able to manage their overall cost, in relation to what they need to pass on to consumers? That's it from me. Thank you.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

So, as a general trend, and I, you know, I wanted to emphasize what we saw in the quarter. You know, yes, there's a memory shortage, but when there was memory, we saw the results was very good. Consumer demand was very good. And what we have seen, which is being going on like for years now, the premium tier continues to expand. In a market that is being relatively flat, which is the handset market, we have seen growth in the mix, with the premium tier expanding. So I think that's a factor that is likely going to drive OEMs to continue to be focused on the premium tier.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

I did, I did mention one thing on my prepared remarks, which is, a dual flagship, strategy that we have adopted, and that has been, also very well received, I think, by the market. You probably see that when you think of different OEMs, how they have, like, ultra or different categories, and they have multiple tiers of the premium tier. I expect that's going to play, but overall, our hope is that the premium tier will be more resilient. Granted, the memory that is available is the memory that's available.

[Operator]

The next question comes from the line of Ross Seymore with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your questions.

[Ross Seymore, Managing Director at Deutsche Bank]

Hi, guys. Thanks for asking the question. You mentioned a couple different things on the handset side for my first question, but I guess what it comes down to is: What percentage of your handset business do you think is in China, considering that you cited them as being especially hit? And do you think normal seasonality is likely to occur after this step down in the March quarter, or is that too difficult to tell?

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

Yeah, I think on your first question, Ross, we don't really kind of break down by regions. But if you think about, the percent of volume that is driven by the Chinese OEMs, but then adjusted down for the tiers that they play in, so our exposure would be less than what you would just see based on the units.

[Ross Seymore, Managing Director at Deutsche Bank]

The seasonality side?

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

The seasonality on the handset side, I think you should, you should think of the seasonality in the demand from the consumers is going to be consistent with what we've seen in the past. I think consumers will wait for premium tier launches, and, and there is significant purchases that happen when that, that plays out. I think to Cristiano's earlier point, it's really a question of how supply aligns against the demand. We don't have a demand issue as I as we said earlier, the demand continues to be strong. Our design win pipeline continues to be strong, and then it's just a question of supply alignment with it over the next few months.

[Ross Seymore, Managing Director at Deutsche Bank]

Then I guess just for my follow-up on the OpEx side of things, you gave a good explanation why it's popping up a bit in the March quarter. After that, are there any adjustments, given what you're saying in the memory side, or are you guys kind of investing right through this?

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

I think it's... The way we've guided the March quarter is a reasonable way of thinking about the rest of the year. I think our focus, as we've said before, is the following framework on OpEx. Really kind of reduce the investments in mature businesses and use it to fund the diversification priorities. And then we have these acquisitions, including Alphawave, kind of driving incremental expense and investment in data center. But it's really just focused on those things, as we've been extremely disciplined over the last several years... and grown OpEx significantly slower than revenue and gross profit, that framework for our operating plan doesn't change going forward.

[Ross Seymore, Managing Director at Deutsche Bank]

Thank you.

[Operator]

The next question is in the line of Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein Research. Please proceed with your questions.

[Stacy Rasgon, Managing Director and Senior Analyst at Bernstein Research]

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. So the first one, I wanna ask that seasonality question a different way, and I think it was really getting at June. Like, you usually, just seasonally, I know your revenues step down in June, and so you're guiding $6 billion on handsets. You're guiding $6 billion in March quarter, which is down about 13% year-over-year. Are you expecting, just given what you're seeing in the memory market right now, a similar, and what you can be supplied, a similar type of year-over-year growth, like, for handsets in June? Or do you think this, like, $6 billion number, given it is sort of supply concern, is like a good number to have, given the current supply that is out there until things normalize?

[Stacy Rasgon, Managing Director and Senior Analyst at Bernstein Research]

Like, just how do we think about June in the context of March, given the March decline in the context of the memory situation?

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

Yeah. So Stacy, we're given the uncertainty in the market, we're obviously not guiding beyond the Q2 at this point. But as Cristiano said earlier, when you think about the demand, demand fundamentals, they're strong, and really, it's a question of how supply aligns against it. And we expect that supply will really define the financial forecast for the year, for the rest of the fiscal year. Specifically, kind of between quarters, you should think of March as a reasonable way to model June as well; it is really kind of similar seasonality profile that you would've seen in other years.

[Stacy Rasgon, Managing Director and Senior Analyst at Bernstein Research]

Got it. Thank you. And for my follow-up, I wanna ask just about QTL. So again, it sounds like the demand is there, but we just don't know how many handsets are gonna be able to be built. I guess in that context, how are you thinking about sort of like just the typical QTL run rates in the various quarters through the year? Do you think they're similar to what we've seen in the past? I think your guidance is maybe in line to maybe slightly below what we would typically see for March.

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

Yeah, Stacy-

[Stacy Rasgon, Managing Director and Senior Analyst at Bernstein Research]

Below. I mean, how do you think about that?

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

Yeah, Stacy, it's Akash. So let me try to address it a couple ways. I think first is just strong performance in December quarter. We saw units, handset units higher than expectation in the quarter. I think as you go into the next quarter, we are guiding QTL just slightly below what we did last year, so pretty consistent with with trend, but of course, that's subject to supply considerations. As you think about the full year at this point, given the supply, we have a negative bias on units, but really, we're gonna have to see how it plays out as we go through the next several months.

[Stacy Rasgon, Managing Director and Senior Analyst at Bernstein Research]

Got it. So maybe a touch below, though, similar to what we saw in March, seems reasonable, given what we know right now?

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

I think that's the framework that I outlined is the way we are thinking about it.

[Stacy Rasgon, Managing Director and Senior Analyst at Bernstein Research]

Got it. Okay. Thank you, guys.

[Operator]

The next question is from the line of Timothy Arcuri with UBS. Please proceed with your questions.

[Timothy Arcuri, Managing Director at UBS]

Thanks a lot. Akash, I wanted to ask about the op margin guidance in QCT. The drop-through is more than 100%. I mean, it's not surprising that margins would come down, but they seem to be coming down pretty quickly, like, faster than I would've thought. Is there, is there something else going on there? I know that, you know, wafer costs are going up, and, you know, MediaTek said on their call that they're still gaining share at the high end. Is there something going on to make the drop through more than a, you know, 100% on the op line for March?

[Akash Palkhiwala, CFO at Qualcomm]

No, there, there isn't, Tim. I think we're expecting gross profit to be large, gross profit margin to be largely in line with the December quarter, and so it's just the scale of the revenue coming through and the OpEx guidance that we provided.

[Timothy Arcuri, Managing Director at UBS]

Okay.

[Alex Rogers, President at Qualcomm]

And then, do you... I'm sorry, Tim. Just wanna add one thing. No, look, we saw how, I think the other company reported as well, very consistent view, I think, on what we're seeing, you know, sequentially on the quarter. It's just the whole market is kind of being adjusted to the new build-out reality. So we actually don't see anything other than that. And remind you of the seasonality that we always have. Regardless of this memory issue, a lot of the premium tier launch in Chinese New Year, so you actually normally see some of the Chinese go down on a sequential basis because they just, you know, build for the premium launches.

[Timothy Arcuri, Managing Director at UBS]

Okay, thanks. And then, do you have any update on the, Huawei license? I know we're still waiting for it, and maybe what's the sticking point, and is there risk? We talked about this before, but is there risk and precedent for, for the big customer if you don't sign a license with Huawei? Thanks.

[Alex Rogers, President at Qualcomm]

Thanks for that. This is Alex. Really no update on the Huawei discussions. The discussions are still underway. In terms of sticking points, I really can't get into what are confidential discussions. I see these two sets of negotiations as, you know, fairly distinct, actually significantly distinct, operating on different paths. And as you know, with the other, with the other company, whenever we see a renewal date, on the horizon, we start discussions, very well in advance. And so that's underway, and we don't have any update on that.

[Timothy Arcuri, Managing Director at UBS]

Okay. Thank you.

[Operator]

The next question is from the line of C.J. Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please proceed with your questions.

[C.J. Muse, Senior Managing Director at Cantor Fitzgerald]

... Yeah, good afternoon. Thank you for taking the question. I, I guess, curious, you know, obviously the, the DRAM makers have been talking about satisfying only 50%-70% of the demand, and they're, they're highlighting, you know, shortages into 2028. So curious, you know, how, you're, you're planning for, you know, a situation where this could be sustained? You know, are, are, are your Chinese customers looking to design in CXMT, and, you know, could you get qualified inside of that? I would assume your business with Samsung would be strong, given their internal, supply from, from DRAM, and as well as your supply chain in terms of, you know, your wafer commits to TSM. I, I guess, how are you, you know, managing all of that, given all this great uncertainty?

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Look, very good question, and I'm gonna, I know it's obvious, but just in case, I'm gonna use this opportunity for clarification. For handsets, we don't buy memory. I think that, you know, there are some memory that get stacked on modems, but the majority of the memory is purchased directly by our customers. You should expect, given our scale, we're probably among the first to be qualified with every memory provider, every single memory you can imagine, CXMT and other smaller companies, we have been qualified. And also we have flexibility versus some of the other companies. If you actually double-click, you're gonna see we have flexibility about working with new versions of memory, as well as older version of memory on our platforms. We have multi-generation memory controllers.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

So from a platform perspective, we're gonna work with whatever is available. I think that's kind of the approach we always took when you have shortage. So the second part of the question, which is the bigger question. Look, the trend, I think, of growth in the data center continues, and it's pretty obvious. I think the memory vendors have prioritized the build-out of HBM, and I think some of the data that you just provided is kind of what we see. As I said before, it's very clear indication that as of today, the availability of memory for consumer electronics year-over-year has been below the demand, and we see that in handsets. You start to see commentary on gaming consoles and other consumer electronics devices.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

We can't really predict if this will continue for 2027 or 2028. I think there's capacity build-out in plans. It all depends also on how much the trend on data center continues to accelerate. It is fair to assume at this point that for the fiscal year, the size of the handset market, which one that is probably getting the brunt of the impact in our business, is gonna be defined by the availability of DRAM. And, C.J., on your second part of your question on wafers for leading nodes. As you know, kind of leading nodes are constrained on the wafer side as well, but we have great relationships with our suppliers, and so we're confident that we'll have enough wafers to address the demand.

[C.J. Muse, Senior Managing Director at Cantor Fitzgerald]

Thank you. I guess as a follow-up, curious if we do see a mix shift higher Snapdragon, but you know, unit volume's lower, how should we think about that impacting your QCT EBITDA margins?

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Yeah, I mean, as you know well, C.J., we do very well in the premium and high tiers, and so as the volume shift up-shifts up, that is usually a benefit for us.

[Operator]

The next question is from the line of Ben Reitzes with Melius Research. Please proceed with your questions.

[Ben Reitzes, Managing Director and Head of Technology Research at Melius Research]

Yeah. Hey, guys. Wanted to just kind of keep going on the, the memory side. You know, as we, you know, kind of look at Apple and their, their propensity for double-digit growth, maybe even the whole year, it just seems like they are gonna continue to get disproportionate, you know, share of the available DRAM. Is it possible... You know, how do you kind of navigate that with, with all your partners? And, you know, I, I guess the question would be: Does that add to some of the uncertainty that could linger into the next fiscal year, with, with one vendor, you know, getting disproportionately this kind of unit growth and obviously, the kind of allocation they get?

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Look, it's hard to make prediction, but I will also probably remind you that we have another large customer that also have the memory division as well. So I think it's, as a general statement, it's probably a fact that OEMs with larger scale will have probably better ability to, you know, have enough memory, and they will make priority calls than OEMs with smaller scale. But I think that this problem is probably going to be industry-wide. I don't think any OEM has been immune. In general, I think the statements we have seen broader in the industry is not a demand issue; it's all supply constraint.

[Ben Reitzes, Managing Director and Head of Technology Research at Melius Research]

Okay. Well, look, there's been a lot of questions on that. Just, just my next one, I just wanted to double-click on the data center. And, you know, I know you got asked about whether there'll be memory available for that, but, just in terms of the recent events that validate, you know, I believe the decoding aspect of your solution, I was wondering if you could just, you know, provide a little bit of an update there. What's happened since Groq with NVIDIA and, you know, how are discussions going beyond Humane, and just that overall trend, and your ability to play? Thanks.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

Look, I'll... Here's what I can say without, I think, front-running our investor event. First of all, I think, we are, I would describe it like this: I think there's a lot of companies right now, they recognize, I think, the technology and the technical capability of Qualcomm. I think, you know, our track record on technology execution has been very successful, and I think we also understand some of the dynamics on compute and memory. I think, given, you know, the breadth of our IP roadmap. We're probably one of the few companies that go from sub-5 watts to now all the way to 500 watts.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

We have said in the past, as, as we're gonna enter this market, we needed to kind of intercept where the market is going, and we're gonna be really, really focused on, on inference and especially the disaggregated. I think you're, you're pointed at the right, way. I think, for example, decode applications, we believe we're incredibly competitive, not only from a power consumption, but also from an overall TCO, compute density, memory density. We're really focused on execution. The feedback we have been given, from a lot of the large companies on the technical side and on the product side, is very positive. Now, the ball is in our courts to execute, have hardware available, and, and, and kind of show the results, and we're just gonna be continue doing that.

[Operator]

Thank you. That concludes today's question and answer session. Mr. Amon, do you have anything further to add before adjourning the call?

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

The only thing I wanna add, look, you know, it's unfortunately, I think that the whole sector is impacted by memory, but we remain incredibly encouraged about, I think, the foundation we set up at the company to be relevant to many industries. We are on track to the commitments we made on the diversification revenues for the company for fiscal 2029. We have, in a record time, I think, been having a very good traction in the future opportunity of robotics. Physical AI in a robot is the best example I can provide, other than autonomous driving, of what Edge AI is. And we believe that we are creating really a completely different company with relevance in many, many markets. And what we continue-- we'll just continue to execute, I think, on our roadmap.

[Cristiano Amon, President and CEO at Qualcomm]

I would like to thank all of our partners, suppliers that are dealing with us in this memory shortage, and our employees, and we look forward to talk to you next quarter.

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

Participants

Executives

• Akash Palkhiwala, CFO
• Alex Rogers, President
• Cristiano Amon, President and CEO
• Mauricio Lopez-Hodoyan, VP of Investor Relations

Analysts

• Ben Reitzes, Managing Director and Head of Technology Research at Melius Research
• C.J. Muse, Senior Managing Director at Cantor Fitzgerald
• Joshua Buchalter, Managing Director - Senior Analyst, Semiconductors Equity Research at TD Cowen
• Ross Seymore, Managing Director at Deutsche Bank
• Samik Chatterjee, Senior Equity Research Analyst, Managing Director at JP Morgan
• Stacy Rasgon, Managing Director and Senior Analyst at Bernstein Research
• Timothy Arcuri, Managing Director at UBS