Stride Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: Fiscal 2026 results were solid: revenue increased 4.7% to $2.518 billion, adjusted operating income rose nearly 7% to $498.4 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew 8.2% to $617.6 million.
  • Positive Sentiment: Career Learning remained a key growth engine, with revenue up 19% and enrollment up 14%, offsetting a 2% revenue decline and 2.5% enrollment decrease in General Education.
  • Neutral Sentiment: Early fiscal 2027 indicators are mixed: applications are slightly below last year, but conversion and re-registration rates are higher. Management expects a difficult year-over-year count-date comparison, while indicating that in-year enrollment growth should resume and formal guidance will come with first-quarter results.
  • Positive Sentiment: Stride appointed longtime board member Bob Knowling as CEO to lead its next growth phase, with a focus on student outcomes, technology, product expansion, and go-to-market execution; the company also extended its $311 million share-repurchase authorization through October 2027.
  • Negative Sentiment: Stride acknowledged performance issues at Lone Star Online Academy, which led Roscoe Independent School District not to renew its contract, creating a risk of additional contract losses despite efforts to place affected families in other Texas programs.
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Earnings Conference Call
Stride Q4 2026
00:00 / 00:00

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Operator

Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us. Welcome to the Stride fourth quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings call. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. I will now hand the conference over to Eliza Henson, Manager of Investor Relations. Eliza, please go ahead.

Eliza Henson
Eliza Henson
Manager of Investor Relations at Stride

Thank you. Good afternoon. Welcome to Stride's fourth quarter and year-end earnings call for fiscal year 2026. With me on today's call are Bob Knowling, Chief Executive Officer, and Donna Blackman, Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, today's conference call and webcast are accompanied by a presentation that can be found on the Stride investor relations website. Please be advised that today's discussion of our financial results may include certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of these measures is provided in the earnings release issued this afternoon and can also be found on our investor relations website. In addition to historical information, this call will also involve forward-looking statements. The company's actual results could differ materially from any forward-looking statements due to several important factors as described in the company's earnings release and latest SEC filings, including our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and subsequent filings.

Eliza Henson
Eliza Henson
Manager of Investor Relations at Stride

These statements are made on the basis of our views and assumptions regarding future events and business performance at the time we make them. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Following our prepared remarks, we will answer questions you may have. I'll turn the call over to Bob.

Bob Knowling
Bob Knowling
CEO at Stride

Thanks, Eliza. Good afternoon, everyone. Before we discuss our results, I would like to address the leadership transition that we announced last Thursday. The board executed this leadership change after careful evaluation and deliberation. Ultimately, the board determined that for Stride to reach its full potential, a new leader was needed to take the reins. Having made that decision, the board enacted our succession plan to appoint me as the new CEO. We collectively believed that it was best to do this immediately so that I could hit the ground running. I appreciate the board's confidence in making me Stride's CEO. A strong consideration was putting in place a leader with strong tech and education experience and a track record of building strong teams. Those qualities align with my background. I've been an independent member of the Stride board since 2018.

Bob Knowling
Bob Knowling
CEO at Stride

On the education front, I served as the inaugural CEO of the NYC Leadership Academy, which was a nationally recognized nonprofit organization committed to improving outcomes for students, particularly the most vulnerable students, through high-quality educational leadership. I was a founding member of the organization, which was crafted under Mayor Michael Bloomberg and Chancellor Joel Klein. It was during my tenure there that I grew to truly understand the importance of driving student outcomes. I believe this is the ultimate measure of educational success. Investments in curriculum, technology, and support services must translate into meaningful academic achievement. Educators, institutions, and policymakers expect this from Stride. This will be one of my top priorities. On the tech side, I spent the early part of my career in the Bell System at Ameritech and U.S. West.

Bob Knowling
Bob Knowling
CEO at Stride

As Executive Vice President of Operations and Technology at U.S. West, I oversaw every technical function in the company. Subsequently, I became CEO at Covad Communications, which I took public, and have served as CEO of Symantec Technologies and Telwares as well. I have also served on the board at a variety of Fortune 500 companies, bringing a lens of delivering long-term shareholder value through board oversight. I've been a leader on every board on which I have served, whether as chairman of the board or committee chair. Given my experience on Stride's board, I have a strong understanding of our business. I've got an appreciation for our mission and our people who deliver on that mission every day. If you were to summarize my experience in a few words, I have a proven track record as an operator.

Bob Knowling
Bob Knowling
CEO at Stride

I'm known for building strong teams, and I get quite deep in the details as that is my comfort zone. Second, I have a strong blend of tech and education experience. Then third, I bring a shareholder-driven mindset from my board experiences. There is a lot to continue to build on here at Stride. I'm incredibly excited by the opportunity ahead of us. Stride is a market leader with several competitive advantages. We have a significant and scaled base of students across more than 30 geographies. The management team is committed to growing the business deeper where we already have students, as well as planting flags in new geographies. The management team has exhibited disciplined fiscal management. As a result, we have a balance sheet that enables us to make prudent investments in the growth of our company.

Bob Knowling
Bob Knowling
CEO at Stride

An example of this is the extension of our share repurchase authorization until October 31st, 2027. Once our trading window opens at the end of October, I intend to actively consider opportunistic stock repurchases as part of our capital allocation strategy. Stride has a tremendous amount of talent throughout the organization, from the management team all the way to our front line. That's why I'm eager to roll up my sleeves alongside this group. I do recognize there is room for improvement. While we have strong foundational elements, we also have many students that we could still be serving. To grow our market share, in large part, we must improve student outcomes. This includes better leveraging our suite of products and services, such as our live and AI tutoring platforms and our Tallo career and digital curriculum platforms.

Bob Knowling
Bob Knowling
CEO at Stride

We've done a nice job over the years of adding capabilities, but I believe that there's even more we can do to extend our suite of products and help students to reach their goals. Improving our go-to-market has huge potential. As we execute our strategy, I am confident that we will better meet the needs of our students, which will in turn create more value for our shareholders. Let me now pivot to talk about our performance. As you've heard the team talk about in the past, Stride has made significant investments in our technology platforms to improve the long-term scalability of the business. We have improved the customer experience, we've strengthened our operational foundation, and we've positioned the business for future growth. As a result of the steps we have taken to date, we have delivered 4.2% enrollment growth and 4.7% revenue growth.

Bob Knowling
Bob Knowling
CEO at Stride

Turning briefly to the previously announced decision by Roscoe Independent School District to not renew their contract for our Lone Star Online Academy. While we're disappointed by the district's decision, Texas remains an important state for us, and our commitment to serving families across the state remains unchanged. We continue to operate multiple schools in Texas, and we're actively placing Roscoe Independent School District-impacted families in our other programs. As we look towards the upcoming school year, it is still early in the enrollment season. Families will continue to make enrollment decisions throughout the fall and increasingly throughout the school year. With that caveat, we are encouraged by the indications we are seeing so far. Applications are tracking slightly behind this time last year, but we're seeing improved conversion metrics and re-registration activity continues to track slightly ahead of last year.

Bob Knowling
Bob Knowling
CEO at Stride

While I'm just getting started in the CEO role, it's clear to me that there is much to be excited about. I have relocated to Virginia, and I'm full steam ahead. I believe we can build upon what this leadership team has accomplished and reach even greater heights. Thank you for your attention, I'll now turn the call over to Donna.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

Thank you, Bob, and good afternoon. As Bob discussed, FY 2026 was a year of meaningful progress for Stride. We continue to see strong demand for our programs, made progress on a number of strategic priorities, and delivered solid financial results. While the year was not without challenges, we believe the progress we made positions us well for the future. I want to thank our employees, school partners, and our students and families for their continued commitment throughout the year. I'd like to provide some detail on our fiscal 2026 financial results. For the full year, revenue was $2.518 billion, an increase of 4.7% over fiscal 2025. Adjusted operating income was $498.4 million, up nearly 7%. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $617.6 million, up 8.2% from last year. Adjusted earnings per share were $8.33. Overall, these results reflect another year of resilient demand and disciplined financial management.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

Looking more closely at our business, revenue from our Career Learning middle and high school programs was $1.04 billion, an increase of 19% from last year. Full year Career Learning enrollments totaled 109.7 thousand, up 14%. General Education revenue totaled $1.42 billion, decreasing 2% from FY 2025. Enrollments in General Education totaled 134.2 thousand, down 2.5% for the year. Taken together, we served approximately 243.9 thousand students during the year, just over 4% more than last year, reflecting sustained demand for the educational choices we provide. Total revenue per enrollment across both lines of revenue was $9,914, compared to $9,677 last year. FY 2026 revenue per enrollment continued to reflect differences in state funding, program mix, and enrollment timing. Looking ahead to FY 2027, most of our partner states have now finalized their educational budgets. While funding decisions vary across states, the overall funding environment remains supportive.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

As with any year, revenue per enrollment may be impacted by state mix and yield. While it's still early in the enrollment season, given the current environment, we expect full year FY 2027 revenue per enrollment to be relatively flat to up slightly versus FY 2026. As always, revenue per enrollment may continue to fluctuate modestly based on state and program mix, as well as enrollment yield throughout the year. Now turning to profitability. Gross margins for the year were 37.8%, down 140 basis points. As we mentioned previously, our investments affected our near-term margins, but they also strengthened the business and have positioned us well for the years ahead.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

While many of the one-time implementation costs associated with these initiatives are now behind us, we will continue to incur some ongoing expenses associated with the new platforms as we focus on realizing the long-term operational benefits, and we will continue to invest in our strategic priorities. Selling General and Administrative expenses totaled $499.8 million, down 4.7% from last year. Stock-based compensation for the year was $40.3 million, and our effective tax rate for FY 2026 was 23.3%. Now turning to our balance sheet. Capital expenditures for the year were $78.8 million. Free cash flow, which we define as cash from operations, less capital expenditures, totaled $355 million, down $17.8 million from last year. We finished the year with cash equivalents, and marketable securities of approximately $1.034 billion. During FY 2026, we continued executing against our share repurchase authorization, purchasing approximately $189 million of our common stock.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

These repurchases reflect our confidence in the long-term value of the business while maintaining the financial flexibility to continue investing in our strategic priorities. We end of the year with approximately $311 million remaining under the current repurchase authorization, which now extends to October 31st, 2027. Even as we continue executing against our share repurchase authorization, our capital allocation priorities remain unchanged. We will continue to invest first in opportunities that support organic growth, evaluate strategic acquisitions that strengthen our business, and return excess capital to shareholders when we believe it creates long-term value. Our balance sheet gives us the flexibility to pursue each of these priorities while maintaining a strong financial position. Now, before I wrap up, let me offer a few thoughts on FY 2027. As Bob mentioned, we're encouraged by what we're seeing early in the enrollment cycle.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

At the same time, I remind investors that the first-quarter count date enrollment growth will face a more difficult comparison than it has for the last couple of years. Because we moderated in-year enrollment growth during FY 2026, we won't have the same carryover benefit entering this school year. As a result, even with healthy demand and solid execution, year-over-year count date growth may appear more modest than what we've seen over the past few years. Keeping that in mind, for FY 2027, seasonality should remain generally consistent with years prior. CapEx and SG&A as a % of revenue are anticipated to be relatively flat. We expect growth margins will be flattish to last year, and we expect to see somewhat of an uptick in both stock-based compensation and tax rate from this year.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

As we typically do, we will provide formal enrollment and financial guidance when we report our first quarter results in October. It is still early in the enrollment season, and with August and September being our busiest months, there is still a lot of work ahead of us, and we remain confident in our ability to execute. FY 2026 was an important year for Stride. We believe the foundation we've built positions us well for the coming year, and we believe we are on track to achieve our FY 2028 financial targets. Thank you for your time today. I'll turn the call back over to the operator for your questions. Operator?

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question from the line of Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets. Jeff, your line is open. Please go ahead.

Jeff Silber
Jeff Silber
Analyst at BMO Capital Markets

Thank you so much. Wanted to start with Lone Star Online Academy. I think this is the first opportunity you've had to discuss this publicly. Can you give us a little bit more color what happened? I know the outcomes there were a little bit subpar. Is that the reason that Roscoe decided not to renew? And if that's the case, how do you make sure that things like this don't happen at other schools?

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

As you know, Jeff Silber, as we have talked about previously, we were in conversations with Roscoe about renewing the contract. As you have indicated, we certainly had some performance issues with that school. I think the district decided not to renew the contract. As you also know that, in any given year, we could have schools that do not decide to renew their contract. To get to the second part of your question about how do you ensure that this doesn't happen in the future. We will never be able to ensure. We will have contracts leave us. As part of the business, we have contracts that leave us, and we sign on new contracts. What I can say is Bob Knowling is really focused on student outcomes. We are continuing to invest in our student outcomes.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

That will help us to enable us to ensure that we deliver to our students the outcomes that they've come to expect.

Jeff Silber
Jeff Silber
Analyst at BMO Capital Markets

Okay. I appreciate that. I know you're not providing guidance for fiscal 2027. You mentioned a few times it's still early in the year. Based on what you know now, at least directionally, should we see enrollment revenue and earnings growth in fiscal 2027?

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

Jeff Silber, I'm not going to get ahead of myself. We did that a little bit last year. Here's what I will say. The funding environment looks favorable. I said that in my prepared remarks. While our application volumes are strong, they're trailing slightly behind last year, but still strong. What I'm encouraged by is the fact that our conversion rates are higher as well as our re-registration rates are higher. Other than saying those things, I don't want to get too far ahead of saying what 2027 numbers will look like. Hopefully those data points are helpful for you. I just don't want to get ahead of ourselves because we are so early in the enrollment season.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

August and September is a really busy time for us, and our team is working really hard to make sure that we enroll as many students as possible and have them have the best experience as possible.

Jeff Silber
Jeff Silber
Analyst at BMO Capital Markets

Okay. I understand that. I'll get back in the queue. Thanks so much.

Operator

Your next question from the line of Alex Paris with Barrington Research. Alex, your line is open. Please go ahead.

Alex Paris
Alex Paris
Analyst at Barrington Research

Thank you. I appreciate the opportunity to ask a question or two. First, just to follow on the previous question by Jeff. Last year, from Q4 to Q1, you brought on 12,400 students to get us to where we were. This year, you alluded to it in your prepared remarks, you're starting with fewer students because you held down in-year enrollments. If you added the same number of students, 12,400 from Q4 to Q1 this year, you'd be pretty flat, down four-tenths of a % on a year-over-year basis as of the count date. Are you expecting some growth in the fall? I know you don't want to commit to a number or what have you. If you were able to do 12,400 last year, can you do 12,400 this year, I guess is what I'm asking.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

Yeah. Look, I think the important thing to note is where we're ending the year, right? Because we're ending the year lower than what we began the year, and in the past few years, that was not the case, right? We ended the year with enrollment higher than we began the year. The starting point was much easier for us to be able to grow. The comparison from a count date perspective will certainly be a tough comparison because of that. I know you want me to give you an enrollment number, and I'm probably not going to give you an enrollment number that's going to make you happy. Last year was sort of a one-time thing. I've had conversations with investors that say we're not going to do that again.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

I do think it's important for you to know where we're seeing things in terms of the conversion rates, where we're seeing things in terms of re-reg, and where we're seeing things in terms of for next year in terms of application volumes. While things are pointing in the right direction, August and September is when we're really, really busy. Parents are making decisions about the upcoming school year, even as late as August and September. I don't want to get ahead of ourselves for fall 2027. The other thing I will point out to you is that we cut off our enrollments last year earlier than usual.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

While it's still early to say what that will look like for FY 2027, what I can say is I would not expect for us to cut off our in-year enrollment to the same capacity that we did on last year. I hope that information is helpful for you.

Alex Paris
Alex Paris
Analyst at Barrington Research

It is. Just a clarifying question on that last comment. Would you expect in-year enrollment this year, like we saw in the three years prior to FY 2026? Regardless of where you start.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

Look, based on where I sit today, I would expect us to have in-year enrollment growth. In 2025, from Q2 to Q3, we had pretty significant in-year enrollment growth. So I don't know if I would commit that we're going to have that in-year enrollment growth consistent in 2027. What I will say is that we're not going to have all the windows closed to the same extent that we had them closed in 2026.

Alex Paris
Alex Paris
Analyst at Barrington Research

Got you. Then the last one, still related, is obviously, investors were concerned by what seemed like the sudden CEO succession announcement last week, Thursday. A lot of investors voted with their feet, with the sell-off in the shares 15% or 18%, thinking that this had something to do with a disappointing fall enrollment season. Was that part of the decision, or is it more, Bob, like you said earlier, changing horses for the next phase of accelerated growth?

Bob Knowling
Bob Knowling
CEO at Stride

Thanks for the question. It is the latter. There was no consideration about any forward-thinking, forward-looking performance, but a need and a desire to move to the next level of growth and development of this enterprise. As you probably all know, leadership transitions are tough. The decision was made, and we made it to be an immediate in effect, so that I'd really have a chance at the end of the fiscal year to hit the ground running relative to 2027.

Alex Paris
Alex Paris
Analyst at Barrington Research

Okay, because it sounds like all the comments I appreciate that. It sounds like all the comments are the fall term expectations are not too different from the Q3 call or the Q2 call.

Donna Blackman
Donna Blackman
CFO at Stride

I think that's fair.

Alex Paris
Alex Paris
Analyst at Barrington Research

Okay, great. Thanks for answering my questions.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.

Executives
    • Eliza Henson
      Eliza Henson
      Manager of Investor Relations
    • Bob Knowling
      Bob Knowling
      CEO
    • Donna Blackman
      Donna Blackman
      CFO
Analysts