Brokers Offer Predictions for USA Rare Earth Q1 Earnings

Key Points

• Northland Securities projects Q1 2026 EPS of ($0.09) for USA Rare Earth and rates the stock Outperform with a $45 price target (company consensus full‑year EPS is ($0.76)).
• USA Rare Earth is advancing its mine‑to‑magnet strategy—agreeing to buy Serra Verde in Brazil and commissioning Phase 1a magnet production in Stillwater—which analysts say supports long‑term valuation upside.
• The company reported a Q3 miss (EPS of ($0.19) vs. consensus ($0.12)) with only $1.64M in revenue, raising short‑term valuation concerns versus a $4.76B market cap, even as insiders (notably Director Michael Blitzer) have recently bought shares and the consensus rating is a Moderate Buy (consensus PT $34.20).

USA Rare Earth Inc. (NASDAQ:USAR - Free Report) - Equities researchers at Northland Securities issued their Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for USA Rare Earth in a note issued to investors on Thursday, April 23rd. Northland Securities analyst J. Grampp forecasts that the company will post earnings of ($0.09) per share for the quarter. Northland Securities has a "Outperform" rating and a $45.00 price target on the stock. The consensus estimate for USA Rare Earth's current full-year earnings is ($0.76) per share. Northland Securities also issued estimates for USA Rare Earth's Q2 2026 earnings at ($0.06) EPS and Q3 2026 earnings at ($0.11) EPS.

USA Rare Earth (NASDAQ:USAR - Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings results on Monday, March 30th. The company reported ($0.19) EPS for the quarter, missing analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.12) by ($0.07). The business had revenue of $1.64 million during the quarter.

A number of other equities research analysts have also recently commented on the company. Roth Mkm set a $30.00 price target on USA Rare Earth in a report on Monday, April 20th. Wedbush began coverage on USA Rare Earth in a report on Monday, April 20th. They issued an "outperform" rating and a $29.00 target price on the stock. Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of USA Rare Earth in a report on Friday, March 27th. Benchmark began coverage on USA Rare Earth in a report on Wednesday, January 21st. They issued a "buy" rating on the stock. Finally, Cantor Fitzgerald lifted their target price on USA Rare Earth from $28.00 to $35.00 and gave the stock an "overweight" rating in a report on Friday, January 30th. Eight analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and a consensus price target of $34.20.

USA Rare Earth Stock Down 0.0%

NASDAQ:USAR opened at $21.85 on Monday. The business's 50-day simple moving average is $18.43 and its two-hundred day simple moving average is $18.75. The stock has a market cap of $4.76 billion, a PE ratio of -7.28 and a beta of 1.34. USA Rare Earth has a 52 week low of $8.00 and a 52 week high of $43.98.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several institutional investors and hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in USAR. Larson Financial Group LLC grew its position in USA Rare Earth by 217.5% in the fourth quarter. Larson Financial Group LLC now owns 2,092 shares of the company's stock worth $25,000 after acquiring an additional 1,433 shares in the last quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC boosted its position in shares of USA Rare Earth by 158.2% during the second quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 2,324 shares of the company's stock valued at $25,000 after buying an additional 1,424 shares during the period. Center for Financial Planning Inc. purchased a new position in shares of USA Rare Earth during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $28,000. Havemeyer Place LP purchased a new position in shares of USA Rare Earth during the fourth quarter valued at approximately $33,000. Finally, National Bank of Canada FI boosted its position in shares of USA Rare Earth by 110.0% during the third quarter. National Bank of Canada FI now owns 2,100 shares of the company's stock valued at $36,000 after buying an additional 1,100 shares during the period.

Insider Activity

In other news, Director Michael Blitzer bought 100,000 shares of USA Rare Earth stock in a transaction dated Thursday, January 29th. The shares were purchased at an average cost of $21.44 per share, with a total value of $2,144,000.00. Following the completion of the acquisition, the director owned 847,500 shares of the company's stock, valued at $18,170,400. This trade represents a 13.38% increase in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through the SEC website. Also, Director Carolyn Trabuco purchased 1,300 shares of the company's stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, January 29th. The stock was bought at an average price of $22.60 per share, with a total value of $29,380.00. Following the transaction, the director owned 1,300 shares of the company's stock, valued at $29,380. This represents a ∞ increase in their position. The SEC filing for this purchase provides additional information. Insiders own 46.60% of the company's stock.

Key USA Rare Earth News

Here are the key news stories impacting USA Rare Earth this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Acquisition + downstream progress — USA Rare Earth agreed to buy Serra Verde Group (Pela Ema mine/processing in Brazil) and has commissioned Phase 1a magnet production in Stillwater, advancing its mine‑to‑magnet strategy, which supports long‑term valuation upside. Article Title
• Positive Sentiment: New analyst coverage with upward bias — Northland started coverage with an “Outperform” and $45 price target (implies >100% upside vs. current levels), which can support investor interest and bid‑tone in the shares. Article Title
• Positive Sentiment: Additional research coverage — Wedbush initiated research coverage, adding liquidity of analyst attention and potential catalysts from institutional interest. Article Title
• Positive Sentiment: Strategic supply‑chain narrative gains visibility — Coverage pieces emphasize a $2.8B strategy to secure an independent rare‑earth chain (Brazil acquisition + European processing tie‑ups), reinforcing the company’s long‑term strategic story. Article Title
• Neutral Sentiment: Regional exploration activity — Nearby junior Canamera reported strong REE auger results in Minas Gerais, Brazil; this highlights regional prospectivity but is not a direct read‑through to USAR’s assets. Article Title
• Positive Sentiment: Management message — CEO comments that the U.S. is in the “early innings” of rare‑earth independence reinforce the policy/tailwind narrative (domestic supply chain, potential government support). Article Title
• Negative Sentiment: Weak near‑term fundamentals and valuation concerns — The company reported a March quarter EPS miss (loss; minimal revenue), and the stock’s market cap is large relative to current revenues, which raises questions about near‑term profitability and justifies volatility.
• Negative Sentiment: Short‑term profit taking and technical pullback — After recent gains and heightened media/analyst attention, some investors appear to be taking profits, contributing to downward pressure despite constructive headlines.

USA Rare Earth Company Profile

USA Rare Earth NASDAQ: USAR is a development-stage critical minerals company focused on advancing a fully integrated rare earth element (REE) and lithium project in the United States. Its flagship asset is the Round Top deposit in West Texas, a large, polymetallic concentration of light and heavy rare earth elements, lithium and other co-products. The company seeks to move this asset through resource delineation, pilot-scale processing and eventual commercial production to address growing domestic demand for secure REE supply chains.

In addition to exploration, USA Rare Earth is engineering an on-site separation facility that will utilize dry magnetic separation and hydrometallurgical flowsheets to produce mixed rare earth carbonates.

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