Geo Group Stock Earnings Estimates Increased by Sidoti

Key Points

• Sidoti raised GEO’s Q4 2026 EPS estimate to $0.37 from $0.30, while projecting continued earnings growth through 2028. The current full-year consensus EPS estimate is $1.33.
• Analyst sentiment is broadly positive: GEO has an average “Buy” rating and a $40 price target, with UBS reaffirming Buy, Zacks upgrading the stock to Strong Buy, and JonesTrading initiating coverage with Buy.
• GEO’s latest quarterly results exceeded expectations, with EPS of $0.37 versus a $0.29 consensus and revenue of $732.1 million, up 15.1% year over year. Institutional investors own 76.1% of the stock, while insiders have recently sold shares.

Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO - Free Report) - Research analysts at Sidoti upped their Q4 2026 EPS estimates for shares of Geo Group in a research report issued on Thursday, October 8th. Sidoti analyst B. Mccarthy now expects that the real estate investment trust will post earnings per share of $0.37 for the quarter, up from their previous estimate of $0.30. The consensus estimate for Geo Group's current full-year earnings is $1.33 per share.

A number of other research analysts have also weighed in on GEO. UBS Group reaffirmed a "buy" rating on shares of Geo Group in a research report on Tuesday, October 6th. Zacks Research upgraded Geo Group from a "hold" rating to a "strong-buy" rating in a report on Monday, July 20th. Weiss Ratings reissued a "hold (c+)" rating on shares of Geo Group in a research report on Friday, September 4th. Noble Financial reissued an "outperform" rating on shares of Geo Group in a research report on Monday, August 10th. Finally, JonesTrading restated a "buy" rating and set a $40.00 price objective on shares of Geo Group in a research note on Tuesday, October 6th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, four have assigned a Buy rating and one has given a Hold rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company has an average rating of "Buy" and an average price target of $40.00.

Geo Group Stock Performance

Shares of Geo Group stock opened at $31.18 on Monday. The company has a market cap of $4.10 billion, a PE ratio of 14.71, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.67 and a beta of 0.77. Geo Group has a 52 week low of $12.51 and a 52 week high of $33.17. The business has a 50 day moving average price of $31.27 and a 200-day moving average price of $26.76. The company has a quick ratio of 1.65, a current ratio of 1.65 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, August 6th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.37 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts' consensus estimates of $0.29 by $0.08. The business had revenue of $732.07 million during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $721.43 million. Geo Group had a return on equity of 10.42% and a net margin of 10.31%. The company's quarterly revenue was up 15.1% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter in the previous year, the business earned $0.22 EPS.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Geo Group

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the business. Pentwater Capital Management LP purchased a new stake in Geo Group during the second quarter worth about $312,698,000. Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC boosted its stake in Geo Group by 14.2% in the first quarter. Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC now owns 5,314,006 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock valued at $89,328,000 after acquiring an additional 661,281 shares during the last quarter. Militia Capital Management LLC purchased a new position in Geo Group in the first quarter valued at about $3,634,000. Legal & General Group Plc purchased a new position in Geo Group in the second quarter valued at about $9,165,000. Finally, Hsbc Holdings PLC bought a new position in shares of Geo Group during the 2nd quarter valued at approximately $118,673,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 76.10% of the company's stock.

Insider Activity

In other Geo Group news, VP Matthew Albence sold 11,797 shares of the company's stock in a transaction dated Friday, September 11th. The shares were sold at an average price of $31.45, for a total value of $371,015.65. Following the completion of the sale, the vice president directly owned 87,602 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $2,755,082.90. This represents a 11.87% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through the SEC website. Also, insider Ronald A. Brack sold 7,000 shares of the company's stock in a transaction dated Friday, August 21st. The stock was sold at an average price of $32.00, for a total transaction of $224,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the insider directly owned 71,614 shares of the company's stock, valued at $2,291,648. The trade was a 8.90% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Over the last 90 days, insiders have sold 28,797 shares of company stock worth $911,916. 4.98% of the stock is owned by corporate insiders.

Key Geo Group News

Here are the key news stories impacting Geo Group this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Zacks upgraded GEO to Rank #1, Strong Buy, citing growing optimism about the company’s earnings prospects. The upgrade may attract momentum-oriented investors and provide a near-term catalyst. Geo Group Upgraded to Strong Buy
• Positive Sentiment: GEO was also included in Zacks’ list of top momentum stocks for October 9, reinforcing the view that improving earnings expectations and recent price strength could continue drawing investor interest. Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for October 9th
• Positive Sentiment: Sidoti raised its EPS forecasts across several periods, including FY2026 to $1.37 from $1.30, FY2027 to $1.86 from $1.67, Q1 2027 to $0.40 from $0.34, Q2 2027 to $0.47 from $0.42, Q3 2027 to $0.49 from $0.44, and Q4 2027 to $0.51 from $0.47. Sidoti projects FY2028 EPS of $1.98, signaling expectations for continued earnings growth. Sidoti Geo Group estimates
• Positive Sentiment: JonesTrading initiated coverage with a Buy rating, adding to the favorable analyst backdrop. Geo Group Earns Buy Rating from JonesTrading
• Neutral Sentiment: GEO amended and restated its $550 million credit facility, described as providing greater financial and shareholder flexibility. The change may improve liquidity management, although the announcement did not disclose a major change to debt levels or operating performance. Geo Group Enhances Credit Facility and Shareholder Flexibility

About Geo Group

The GEO Group, Inc NYSE: GEO is a provider of correctional, detention and community-reentry services. The company designs, finances, develops and manages secure facilities for federal, state and local government agencies, as well as certain international government clients. Its facilities house individuals in pretrial detention, immigration detention and correctional programs.

GEO also provides correctional and behavioral healthcare, transportation and security services, and electronic monitoring technologies.

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