What is Sidoti's Forecast for ARLP FY2026 Earnings?

Key Points

• Sidoti lowered its FY2026 EPS forecast for Alliance Resource Partners to $2.90 from $3.00, matching the current consensus estimate. The firm also projected $0.74 EPS for Q1 2028.
• Analyst sentiment remains generally favorable, with two Buy ratings and one Hold rating giving ARLP a consensus “Moderate Buy” rating.
• ARLP declared a quarterly dividend of $0.60 per unit, or $2.40 annualized, representing an approximately 9.0% yield; institutional investors own 18.11% of the company.

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (NASDAQ:ARLP - Free Report) - Investment analysts at Sidoti lowered their FY2026 earnings estimates for shares of Alliance Resource Partners in a research note issued on Thursday, October 29th. Sidoti analyst M. Mathison now anticipates that the energy company will post earnings of $2.90 per share for the year, down from their prior estimate of $3.00. The consensus estimate for Alliance Resource Partners' current full-year earnings is $2.90 per share. Sidoti also issued estimates for Alliance Resource Partners' Q1 2028 earnings at $0.74 EPS.

Several other research analysts also recently issued reports on ARLP. Zacks Research downgraded shares of Alliance Resource Partners from a "strong-buy" rating to a "hold" rating in a research report on Monday, August 17th. Weiss Ratings lowered shares of Alliance Resource Partners from a "buy (b)" rating to a "buy (b-)" rating in a report on Wednesday, October 21st. Finally, Wall Street Zen upgraded shares of Alliance Resource Partners from a "hold" rating to a "buy" rating in a research report on Saturday, August 15th. Two analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and one has assigned a Hold rating to the company's stock. According to MarketBeat.com, Alliance Resource Partners currently has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy".

Alliance Resource Partners Stock Performance

ARLP opened at $26.70 on Monday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28, a quick ratio of 1.32 and a current ratio of 1.75. The stock has a market cap of $3.44 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.12 and a beta of 0.30. The stock's 50 day moving average price is $25.77 and its 200-day moving average price is $25.62. Alliance Resource Partners has a one year low of $23.01 and a one year high of $29.45.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several large investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Energy Income Partners LLC grew its position in Alliance Resource Partners by 145.9% during the first quarter. Energy Income Partners LLC now owns 737,328 shares of the energy company's stock worth $20,387,000 after buying an additional 437,486 shares in the last quarter. Bank of America Corp DE raised its position in Alliance Resource Partners by 74.2% during the first quarter. Bank of America Corp DE now owns 269,655 shares of the energy company's stock valued at $7,456,000 after acquiring an additional 114,880 shares in the last quarter. Adams Asset Advisors LLC increased its position in shares of Alliance Resource Partners by 2.2% during the 3rd quarter. Adams Asset Advisors LLC now owns 264,797 shares of the energy company's stock worth $6,432,000 after purchasing an additional 5,784 shares during the last quarter. Mizuho Markets Americas LLC acquired a new stake in Alliance Resource Partners during the 1st quarter worth $6,830,000. Finally, First Trust Advisors LP grew its holdings in Alliance Resource Partners by 2.9% in the first quarter. First Trust Advisors LP now owns 192,532 shares of the energy company's stock valued at $5,324,000 after purchasing an additional 5,450 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors own 18.11% of the company's stock.

Alliance Resource Partners Dividend Announcement

The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, November 13th. Investors of record on Friday, November 6th will be paid a $0.60 dividend. The ex-dividend date is Friday, November 6th. This represents a $2.40 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 9.0%. Alliance Resource Partners's dividend payout ratio (DPR) is presently 100.00%.

Alliance Resource Partners News Summary

Here are the key news stories impacting Alliance Resource Partners this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Sidoti raised multiple earnings forecasts. The firm increased its Q4 2026 EPS estimate to $0.80 from $0.73, FY2027 EPS to $2.98 from $2.89, and FY2028 EPS to $3.14 from $3.08. It also lifted estimates for several 2027–2028 quarters, indicating improved expectations for ARLP’s future profitability. These forecasts compare with the current full-year consensus of $3.00 per share. Sidoti earnings estimate updates
• Positive Sentiment: Strong third-quarter performance supports the bullish case. ARLP reportedly delivered a double beat, with revenue rising 5.5% year over year and EPS increasing 47.9%. Coal margin per ton expanded to $18.29, helped by lower costs and record Illinois Basin production, while distribution coverage improved to 1.76x and leverage remained conservative at 0.89x. The stock’s approximately 9% yield may also appeal to income-focused investors. Alliance Resource: The Surprise Quarter Should Push The Stock Higher
• Neutral Sentiment: Investors remain focused on the sustainability of ARLP’s yield. Recent coverage highlights that strong earnings are supporting the distribution, but the stock’s high yield has prompted debate about how durable the payout and coal-sector cash flows will be. Alliance Resource Partners Stock Drifts As Q3 Earnings Fuel Yield Debate
• Negative Sentiment: Noble Financial issued a negative earnings estimate for ARLP. The negative forecast contrasts with Sidoti’s upward revisions and could limit enthusiasm by reinforcing concerns about earnings volatility in the coal market. Noble Financial Issues Negative Estimate for ARLP Earnings

About Alliance Resource Partners

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. NASDAQ: ARLP is a diversified natural resource company headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma. The company's primary business is the production and marketing of coal, which it supplies to electric utilities and industrial customers in the United States.

Alliance Resource Partners operates coal mines in the Illinois Basin and Appalachia, producing primarily thermal coal used for electricity generation. Its operations include underground and surface mining, coal processing, transportation and marketing activities.

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