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Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Stock Price Down 1.2% - Should You Sell?

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Key Points

  • Microsoft shares fell 1.2% to $507.29 in mid-day trading, while volume was about 30% below the average session level.
  • Analysts remain broadly positive, with a “Moderate Buy” consensus, an average price target of $560.27, and support from strong quarterly results: adjusted earnings and revenue exceeded estimates, while revenue rose 17.7% year over year.
  • Microsoft’s AI expansion, including its HUMAIN partnership and sustained cloud infrastructure demand, offers growth potential, but investors face risks from data-center costs, service disruptions, Windows update issues, and recent insider stock sales.
  • Five stocks we like better than Microsoft.

Shares of Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT - Get Free Report) fell 1.2% during mid-day trading on Monday . The stock traded as low as $506.39 and last traded at $507.29. Approximately 25,570,194 shares were traded during trading, a decline of 30% from the average session volume of 36,588,777 shares. The stock had previously closed at $513.53.

More Microsoft News

Here are the key news stories impacting Microsoft this week:

  • Positive Sentiment: Expanded AI partnership: Microsoft and Saudi-backed HUMAIN announced new enterprise AI applications and AI-enabled PCs. The agreement supports Microsoft’s strategy to expand Azure and Copilot-related AI adoption internationally. Microsoft and HUMAIN Expand Strategic Collaboration
  • Positive Sentiment: AI infrastructure spending remains strong: Goldman Sachs expects elevated AI capital expenditures to continue into 2027. Sustained spending by cloud customers could support demand for Azure services, although it also increases Microsoft’s investment requirements. Goldman Sachs AI Capital Expenditure Outlook
  • Positive Sentiment: Analyst and fundamental support: Citizens analyst Patrick Walravens expects Microsoft to move back toward its record high over the next year, while Erste Group raised its fiscal 2027 EPS estimate. Recent commentary also points to Azure and Copilot sales strength and a valuation below Microsoft’s typical range. Wall Street Analyst Microsoft Price Target
  • Positive Sentiment: Dividend increase anticipated: Microsoft has raised its dividend for more than a decade, with its last six increases ranging from 9% to 11%. Expectations for another annual increase in September may provide support for income-oriented investors. Microsoft Dividend Increase Outlook
  • Neutral Sentiment: Technical momentum: Microsoft is nearing a bullish “golden cross,” reinforcing the recent recovery narrative, though technical signals do not address valuation or execution risks. Microsoft Golden Cross Technical Signal
  • Negative Sentiment: Outlook service disruption: An outage temporarily disrupted email access for Microsoft Outlook users, raising concerns about service reliability and creating a near-term reputational overhang. Microsoft Outlook Outage
  • Negative Sentiment: Data-center concerns: Investors remain focused on the electricity, water, connectivity and capital required to scale AI infrastructure. These bottlenecks could pressure margins and delay returns on Microsoft’s AI investments. Microsoft Data Center Concerns
  • Negative Sentiment: Windows update problems: Microsoft acknowledged that a Windows 11 update can cause mouse-cursor issues and black wallpapers, adding another short-term product-quality concern. Windows 11 Update Problems

Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth

A number of equities analysts recently weighed in on the company. Dbs Bank reduced their price target on Microsoft from $678.00 to $573.00 in a report on Thursday, May 7th. Weiss Ratings raised Microsoft from a "hold (c)" rating to a "hold (c+)" rating in a report on Thursday. Guggenheim restated a "buy" rating and issued a $586.00 price objective on shares of Microsoft in a research report on Monday, July 27th. BMO Capital Markets upped their target price on Microsoft from $500.00 to $515.00 and gave the stock an "outperform" rating in a research note on Thursday, July 30th. Finally, Citizens Jmp reissued a "market outperform" rating and issued a $550.00 price target on shares of Microsoft in a research note on Tuesday, July 28th. Forty-two equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and five have assigned a Hold rating to the company's stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, Microsoft presently has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average price target of $560.27.

View Our Latest Analysis on Microsoft

Microsoft Trading Down 1.2%

The company has a 50 day simple moving average of $430.87 and a 200 day simple moving average of $412.43. The company has a market capitalization of $3.77 trillion, a PE ratio of 28.25, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.65 and a beta of 1.10. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, a quick ratio of 1.22 and a current ratio of 1.23.

Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT - Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Wednesday, July 29th. The software giant reported $4.74 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $4.24 by $0.50. Microsoft had a return on equity of 31.98% and a net margin of 40.31%.The business had revenue of $90.01 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $87.62 billion. During the same quarter last year, the business posted $3.65 earnings per share. The business's quarterly revenue was up 17.7% compared to the same quarter last year. Analysts anticipate that Microsoft Corporation will post 19.59 earnings per share for the current year.

Microsoft Announces Dividend

The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, September 10th. Shareholders of record on Thursday, August 20th will be issued a $0.91 dividend. The ex-dividend date is Thursday, August 20th. This represents a $3.64 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 0.7%. Microsoft's dividend payout ratio (DPR) is presently 20.27%.

Insider Buying and Selling at Microsoft

In other news, EVP Takeshi Numoto sold 4,810 shares of the firm's stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, August 4th. The shares were sold at an average price of $496.48, for a total value of $2,388,068.80. Following the transaction, the executive vice president directly owned 42,677 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $21,188,276.96. This trade represents a 10.13% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available at this link. Also, CEO Judson Althoff sold 10,000 shares of the business's stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, August 5th. The stock was sold at an average price of $487.89, for a total transaction of $4,878,900.00. Following the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 100,447 shares in the company, valued at $49,007,086.83. The trade was a 9.05% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. In the last ninety days, insiders have sold 21,810 shares of company stock worth $10,110,874. 0.03% of the stock is currently owned by corporate insiders.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several institutional investors and hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in the stock. Vanguard Group Inc. boosted its holdings in Microsoft by 2.3% in the 4th quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 717,942,580 shares of the software giant's stock valued at $347,211,391,000 after purchasing an additional 15,955,898 shares during the last quarter. State Street Corp raised its stake in shares of Microsoft by 2.1% in the 4th quarter. State Street Corp now owns 306,150,608 shares of the software giant's stock valued at $148,060,557,000 after acquiring an additional 6,388,930 shares during the period. Geode Capital Management LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Microsoft by 1.1% in the 4th quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC now owns 182,618,400 shares of the software giant's stock worth $88,056,019,000 after acquiring an additional 1,911,142 shares during the last quarter. Morgan Stanley lifted its holdings in shares of Microsoft by 0.8% in the 4th quarter. Morgan Stanley now owns 121,220,561 shares of the software giant's stock worth $58,624,690,000 after acquiring an additional 980,439 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Norges Bank purchased a new position in shares of Microsoft during the 4th quarter worth approximately $50,664,631,000. 71.13% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

About Microsoft

(Get Free Report)

Microsoft Corporation is a global technology company headquartered in Redmond, Washington. Founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen, Microsoft develops, licenses and supports a broad range of software products, services and devices for consumers, enterprises and governments worldwide. Its operations span personal computing, productivity software, cloud infrastructure, enterprise applications, developer tools and gaming.

Microsoft's product portfolio includes the Windows operating system and the Microsoft 365 suite of productivity and collaboration tools (Office apps, Outlook, Teams).

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