Q3 EPS Estimates for Genius Sports Cut by Analyst

Key Points

• Northland Securities cut Genius Sports’ Q3 2026 EPS estimate to a loss of $0.04 per share from a projected profit of $0.03. The firm estimates FY2026 EPS at a loss of $0.43.
• Genius Sports reported Q2 EPS of negative $0.28, missing analyst expectations of negative $0.07, although revenue rose 64.7% year over year to $195.5 million and exceeded forecasts.
• Analyst sentiment remains favorable, with the stock carrying a “Moderate Buy” consensus rating and an average price target of $11.44 versus its recent price of $7.60.

Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI - Free Report) - Northland Securities reduced their Q3 2026 EPS estimates for Genius Sports in a note issued to investors on Friday, August 7th. Northland Securities analyst G. Gibas now anticipates that the company will post earnings of ($0.04) per share for the quarter, down from their previous estimate of $0.03. The consensus estimate for Genius Sports' current full-year earnings is ($0.12) per share. Northland Securities also issued estimates for Genius Sports' Q4 2026 earnings at $0.08 EPS and FY2026 earnings at ($0.43) EPS.

A number of other research firms also recently issued reports on GENI. Freedom Capital upgraded shares of Genius Sports to a "strong-buy" rating in a research report on Monday, July 20th. Stifel Nicolaus boosted their target price on shares of Genius Sports from $5.00 to $7.00 and gave the stock a "hold" rating in a research note on Wednesday, July 22nd. Wells Fargo & Company reissued an "equal weight" rating and issued a $8.00 price objective on shares of Genius Sports in a research note on Friday. Citigroup decreased their target price on shares of Genius Sports from $9.00 to $8.00 and set a "buy" rating on the stock in a research note on Friday, May 8th. Finally, The Goldman Sachs Group restated a "buy" rating and set a $10.50 target price on shares of Genius Sports in a report on Friday. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have issued a Buy rating, three have issued a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock currently has an average rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average target price of $11.44.

Genius Sports Stock Up 0.1%

GENI stock opened at $7.60 on Tuesday. The firm has a 50 day moving average of $6.60 and a 200 day moving average of $5.93. The stock has a market capitalization of $1.87 billion, a PE ratio of -11.18 and a beta of 1.90. Genius Sports has a 52 week low of $3.83 and a 52 week high of $13.73. The company has a quick ratio of 0.97, a current ratio of 0.97 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10.

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI - Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, August 6th. The company reported ($0.28) EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of ($0.07) by ($0.21). Genius Sports had a negative net margin of 22.99% and a negative return on equity of 23.83%. The business had revenue of $195.50 million for the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $184.43 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the company posted ($0.21) EPS. The business's revenue for the quarter was up 64.7% on a year-over-year basis.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of large investors have recently bought and sold shares of GENI. Parallel Advisors LLC acquired a new position in shares of Genius Sports in the 1st quarter worth approximately $25,000. Baer Investment Advisory LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Genius Sports during the first quarter worth about $61,000. UMB Bank n.a. purchased a new position in shares of Genius Sports in the fourth quarter valued at approximately $63,000. Lexington Hill Partners LLC purchased a new position in shares of Genius Sports in the second quarter valued at approximately $64,000. Finally, Pacer Advisors Inc. grew its holdings in shares of Genius Sports by 29.1% in the first quarter. Pacer Advisors Inc. now owns 15,270 shares of the company's stock valued at $68,000 after purchasing an additional 3,440 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 81.91% of the company's stock.

About Genius Sports

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.

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