Free Trial

Amazon's Earnings: What Comes Next and How to Play It

Amazon logo on chip board

Key Points

  • Strong beats on the headline numbers weren't enough to send the stock popping after last night's report. 
  • The profit-taking seen in the after-hours session could turn into a full correction if momentum breaks.
  • Two clear plays off the back of this are emerging, depending on your risk appetite.
  • Want stock alerts on Amazon.com? Get 5 Weeks of MarketBeat All Access for $5. Get My Stock Alerts.

Amazon.com Today

Amazon.com, Inc. stock logo
AMZNAMZN 90-day performance
Amazon.com
$227.37 +5.42 (+2.44%)
As of 01:25 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more.
52-Week Range
$161.38
$242.52
P/E Ratio
34.66
Price Target
$262.87

Shares of tech giant Amazon.com Inc. NASDAQ: AMZN finished Thursday's session up nearly 2%, only to tumble more than 6% in after-hours trading following the company's Q2 earnings release. This sharp reversal underlines just how high expectations had gotten after the 40% rally from April's low. 

The stock's multi-month move meant anything less than a near-perfect report risked triggering a wave of profit-taking, and that appears to be exactly what's happening already. As we'll see below, however, this is also creating a couple of interesting plays for investors to consider depending on their belief in Amazon's potential over the long run, and their near-term appetite for risk.

Let's jump in and take a look. 

The Report Looked Good, But It Had to Be Great

At first glance, Amazon seemed to deliver. The company's earnings per share came in more than 25% above expectations, while revenue was up 13.3% year-over-year. Both metrics landed hot and were well above analyst expectations, adding to Amazon's impressive track record of delivering strong headline numbers quarter on quarter. 

But investors weren't satisfied based on the after-hours price action. As anticipated earlier in the week, any sign of weakness in last night's report could send the bulls running and the bears raging. And Amazon's weaker-than-expected guidance for operating income and some free cash flow concerns seem to have done just that. 

The range shared by management on the former was notably conservative, while the latter figure is now at its lowest in two years. In that context, it's perhaps not all that hard to see what investor sentiment would swing from risk-on to risk-off so quickly.

It remains to be seen how long this switch will last, but in our view, there's little to be worried about regarding Amazon's long-term potential. 

What the Market Might Be Missing

While the overnight sell-off might feel sharp, it's also arguably overdone. This was still an impressive report for Amazon, with revenue growth accelerating across the board and profitability improving at the same time. Overall growth remains strong despite ongoing infrastructure investments and competitive pricing pressures. 

The bears will point to growing concerns around the company's ability to stay in the lead group of the artificial intelligence (AI) arms race, but CEO Andy Jassy was not overly concerned. He spoke about this on the post-earnings conference call, saying, "I don't believe that we will have fully resolved the capacity we need for the amount of demand that we have in a couple of quarters. I think it will take several quarters, but I do expect that it's going to get better each quarter". 

Taken in total, there's a strong case to be made that Amazon is still in the early innings of its next growth phase, and Thursday's after-hours drop is more about positioning than fundamentals.

2 Ways to Play It

For those of us on the sidelines, what kind of plays should we be looking for? Option one might be to sit back and let the correction play out. A move down to around the $220 level would take the stock back to a key area of support, and, given how one-directional the recent rally has been, would actually be quite healthy. 

Amazon.com Stock Forecast Today

12-Month Stock Price Forecast:
$262.87
15.50% Upside
Buy
Based on 50 Analyst Ratings
Current Price$227.60
High Forecast$305.00
Average Forecast$262.87
Low Forecast$195.00
Amazon.com Stock Forecast Details

If that $220 level were to hold, and or if we were to see a fresh bullish crossover in the MACD, it would likely mark the start of the next leg higher. Waiting for confirmation here gives you better risk/reward and protects against a deeper pullback.

The other option is to start accumulating right away. This argument rests on the idea that Amazon's core thesis remains intact and the bears' concerns are already, or at least close to being, priced in after last night's drop. For big-time believers and long-term investors, this dip could be a gift - especially considering the company's strength across multiple verticals and its growing strength in high-margin, AI-driven businesses.

Remember, multiple firms have been reiterating their Buy and Overweight ratings all through 2025, and even as recently as this week. The most recent price target from the team over at UBS Group sees the stock trading north of $270, a move that points to additional upside of around 15% from current levels. Don't expect their bullishness, and that of their peers, to change anytime soon.

Should You Invest $1,000 in Amazon.com Right Now?

Before you consider Amazon.com, you'll want to hear this.

MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and Amazon.com wasn't on the list.

While Amazon.com currently has a Buy rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.

View The Five Stocks Here

7 Stocks That Could Be Bigger Than Tesla, Nvidia, and Google Cover

Looking for the next FAANG stock before everyone has heard about it? Enter your email address to see which stocks MarketBeat analysts think might become the next trillion dollar tech company.

Get This Free Report
Sam Quirke
About The Author

Sam Quirke

Contributing Author

Technical and Fundamental Analysis, Tech Stocks, Large Caps

Like this article? Share it with a colleague.

Companies Mentioned in This Article

CompanyMarketRank™Current PricePrice ChangeDividend YieldP/E RatioConsensus RatingConsensus Price Target
Amazon.com (AMZN)
4.6035 of 5 stars
$227.232.4%N/A34.62Buy$262.87
Compare These Stocks  Add These Stocks to My Watchlist 

Featured Articles and Offers

Recent Videos

Next Tech Boom: AI Robots Are Coming Sooner Than You Think!
Tech Stocks Stumble: Will Nvidia’s Report Spark a Rebound?
Follow the Money: 5 Stocks Institutions Are Buying NOW

Stock Lists

All Stock Lists

Investing Tools

Calendars and Tools

Search Headlines