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DOW   39,131.53
QQQ   436.78
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S&P 500   5,088.80
DOW   39,131.53
QQQ   436.78
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Wall Street Pushing a 'Crypto Revolution' - Will You Miss Out… AGAIN? (Ad)
A collection of the insights Warren Buffett offered in his annual letter Saturday
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Tax-free status of movie, music and games traded online is on table as WTO nations meet in Abu Dhabi
Corruption scandals cast a shadow over Portugal’s early general election and may favor populists
S&P 500   5,088.80
DOW   39,131.53
QQQ   436.78
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A collection of the insights Warren Buffett offered in his annual letter Saturday
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Charles Schwab is Making All the Right Moves

Charles Schwab is Making All the Right Moves Charles Schwab NYSE: SCHW has evolved beyond its humble beginnings as a discount broker. Even before the advent of the internet, Schwab’s niche was offering its discount brokerage services to retail investors at a cheap one-price commission garnering nearly a 51% market share of retail investors. Whereas a commission on trade could cost upwards of $150 to $300 or more at a full-service brokerage depending on the size of the transaction, it would only cost a flat $30 at Schwab. Full-service brokers administered investment advice, and provided research and recommendations, while discount brokers only offered discount commissions with no advice. For retail self-directed investors, the savings was a stark contrast. Schwab’s human brokers worked on salary, not commission like full-service brokers. The line between full-service and discount was very obvious back then 

The Poor’s Man’s Broker

Key Points

  • Schwab hit a record net income of $2 billion in Q3 2022 up 32% on 20% annual revenue growth for the strongest quarterly performance in its history, even more impressive since it was during a bear market
  • Average daily trading volume of 5.5 million was flat compared to last year’s bull market, which is impressive    
  • Schwab makes nearly half their revenues from net interest income, therefore, benefitting from interest rate hikes compared to just 17% for Morgan Stanley
  • TD Ameritrade acquisition of 2020, helped to bolster asset management and admin fees to 21% of total revenues
  • Schwab prospers in bull markets with rising trading volumes and wealth management fees and in bear markets with rising net interest income
  • 5 stocks we like better than Charles Schwab

For decades, Schwab had the stigma of being the poor kid in the lunch line with a reduced-price lunch ticket. Schwab was the embarrassing poor man’s alternative to blue shoe full-service investment bank brokerages including Goldman Sachs NYSE: GS, Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, and Salomon Smith Barney. The establishment was completely shaken up by the 2007 financial crisis causing the unthinkable as Lehman Brothers went bankrupt and Bear Stearns was acquired for pennies on the dollar by JP Morgan NYSE: JPM. Merrill Lynch was swallowed up by Bank of America NYSE: BAC. Salomon Smith Barney had been acquired by Morgan Stanley NYSE: MS. Schwab evolved to grow its online presence and include independent research, recommendations, asset management services while full-service brokers started cutting commissions as the line between full-service and discount continue to blur. 


Here’s Why the TD Ameritrade Acquisition Was Brilliant

Fast forward to the electronic age of financial markets. Schwab was the first of the major discount brokers to make the transition to zero-commission stock trades to blunt rival Robinhood NASDAQ: HOOD and fintech apps like Sofi Technologies NASDAQ: SOFI acquiring retail investors and traders with its no-commission trades, simple and gamified interface, and a multitude of services. They made perhaps one of its best moves in acquiring TD Ameritrade in 2020 despite the COVID pandemic. The acquisition brought in $121 billion in new core assets with 1.2 million new brokerage accounts that averaged nearly 6.5 million daily trades. Most considered this a play on bolstering its active trader base with the addition of Ameritrade including the Think or Swim trading platform. This would complement its nearly two-decade-old acquisition of electronic trading firm Cybertrader. However, in a bear market, the additional assets helped pump its profits from net interest rate income and conversion to wealth and asset management services while active trading volume fell. In hindsight, it was one of the most brilliant moves in the financial services industry as Schwab fully transformed itself into a complete one-stop shop for investors and traders. This prompted Morgan Stanley to acquire E*TRADE to bolster its retail base of investors and traders. Schwab also elevated its reputation and status and stock price as it continued to dominate the market share of retail investors. Trading revenues only account for 18% of total revenues. The addition of the retail customer base and assets from the TD Ameritrade acquisition helped to prop up net interest income to 51% of total revenues and asset management and administration fees to 21% of total revenues.

Charles Schwab is Making All the Right Moves

Watch These Levels on the Weekly Chart

SCHW chopped around in a barcode pattern between the $65.73 to $76.35 range until a breakout triggered to the $84.48 peak forming the first shoulder. Shares bounced off the $76.46 pullback lows to resume their uptrend to peak at $96.24 on the weekly chart to form the head. After a pullback to the $74.63 level. The bounce to a  lower high of $93.16 level formed the shoulder before shares fell back down to break the neckline at $79.50 to complete the weekly head and shoulders bearish breakdown pattern. SCHW collapsed all the way down to the $59.59 swing low by June 2022. SCHW was able to rally on the $70.63 MSL trigger breakout before chopping again in a barcode pattern between $68.30 to $77.30 range until a breakout formed on heavy volume in reaction to its Q3 2022 earnings. Upside resistances hit at the $85.59 and $93.16 double top area. Pullback levels to watch sit at the $70.63 weekly MSL trigger, 65.29 double recent swing low bottom and the $59.59 swing low.

Strongest Quarter in History

On Oct. 17, 2022, Schwab released fiscal Q3 2022 results for the quarter ending in September 2022. The Company reported an earnings per share (EPS) profit of $1.10 versus $1.05 consensus analyst estimates, beating by $0.07. Revenues grew 20.4% year-over-year (YoY) to $5.5 billion, beating analyst estimates for $5.4 billion. This marks the strongest quarter in Company history which is very impressive considering it was accomplished during a bear market.

Schwab Prospers in Both Bull and Bear Markets

Schwab CEO Walt Bettinger commented, “Our modern wealth management approach provides a wide array of investing and financial capabilities to support investors through a range of market conditions, particularly in difficult times like these.” CEO Bettinger continued, “Equity markets remained under pressure throughout the quarter including the largest percentage drop for a September since 2008 with the S&P 500 extending its year-to-date losses to 25%. The Federal Reserve assumed an increasingly hawkish stance, tightening monetary policy at the fastest rate in four decades, as it wrestled with elevated inflation and lingering effects from the global pandemic.“ He noted that the daily average trading volume was flat at 5.5 million trades with the same period last year, which is not bad considering last year was a raging bull market while this year is the complete opposite. Schwab wins in both bull and bear markets. In bull markets, Schwab gains from trading volumes and management fees on growing asset values. In bear markets, Schwab gains from growing net interest income from interest rate hikes. Rising markets should improve trading volumes and wealth management revenues, while Schwab is more than hedged against falling markets with rising net interest income from fed rate hikes. This is evidenced by having the strongest quarter in the Company’s history thanks to rate hikes.

 

 

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Companies Mentioned in This Article

CompanyMarketRank™Current PricePrice ChangeDividend YieldP/E RatioConsensus RatingConsensus Price Target
Charles Schwab (SCHW)
4.7104 of 5 stars
$64.44-0.3%1.55%25.37Hold$69.92
Morgan Stanley (MS)
4.7524 of 5 stars
$86.55+0.8%3.93%16.74Hold$94.56
The Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
4.7811 of 5 stars
$391.05+0.1%2.81%17.14Moderate Buy$409.93
Bank of America (BAC)
4.7987 of 5 stars
$33.92+0.9%2.83%11.05Moderate Buy$35.53
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
4.3453 of 5 stars
$183.99+0.5%2.28%11.34Moderate Buy$179.11
Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
3.1657 of 5 stars
$14.48+3.7%N/A-24.13Hold$13.14
SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
1.3537 of 5 stars
$8.17+0.1%N/A-21.50Hold$8.78
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Jea Yu

About Jea Yu

  • JeaYu21@gmail.com

Contributing Author

Trading Strategies

Experience

Jea Yu has been a contributing writer for MarketBeat since 2018.

Areas of Expertise

Equities, options, ETFs and futures; fundamental, qualitative, quantitative and technical analysis and pattern identification; active and swing trading; trading systems and methodology development

Education

Bachelor of Arts, University of Maryland, College Park

Past Experience

U.S. equity markets trader, writer and analyst for over 25 years. Published four books by publishers McGraw-Hill, John Wiley & Sons, Marketplace Books and Bloomberg Press. Speaker at various expos and seminars and has been quoted and featured in USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, Traders Magazine, The Financial Times and various trade publications, including Stocks & Commodities, Active Trader and Online Investor.


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