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BAE Systems (BA) Stock Forecast & Price Target

BAE Systems logo
GBX 1,947 -9.50 (-0.49%)
As of 09/7/2026

BAE Systems - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
4
Buy
1

Based on 5 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for BAE Systems in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 5 analysts, 4 have given a hold rating, and 1 has given a buy rating for BA.

Consensus Price Target

GBX 2,275
According to the 5 analysts' twelve-month price targets for BAE Systems, the average price target is GBX 2,275. The highest price target for BA is GBX 2,450, while the lowest price target for BA is GBX 2,100. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 16.85% from the current price of GBX 1,947.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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BA Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/8/25 to 9/8/26
1 Month Ago
8/9/25 to 8/9/26
3 Months Ago
6/10/25 to 6/10/26
1 Year Ago
9/8/24 to 9/8/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
1 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
Hold
4 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
1 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price TargetGBX 2,275GBX 2,267.50GBX 2,228GBX 1,964.25
Consensus RatingHoldModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

BA Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
Skip Chart & View Analyst Rating History

BA Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

BAE Systems Stock vs. The Competition

TypeBAE SystemsIndustrials Companies
Consensus Rating Score
2.20
2.30
Consensus RatingHoldHold
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent BA News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
8/11/2026 Reiterated RatingSector performGBX 2,200-1.96%
8/10/2026 Boost TargetHoldGBX 2,140 ➝ GBX 2,325+3.61%
7/31/2026 Boost TargetOverweightGBX 2,400 ➝ GBX 2,450+19.51%
7/31/2026 Reiterated RatingHoldGBX 2,100+2.44%
3/5/2026 Boost TargetHoldGBX 2,000 ➝ GBX 2,300+1.37%
9/5/2025 Reiterated RatingOverweight
7/31/2025 Boost TargetBuyGBX 2,145 ➝ GBX 2,192+22.80%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Tuesday at 12:38 PM ET.


Should I Buy BAE Systems Stock? BA Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, September 7, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these BAE Systems pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

BAE Systems
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in BAE Systems plc:

  • Recent contract wins demonstrate strong demand for the company's naval capabilities, including a $149.8 million contract for the maintenance and repairs of the USS Boxer and a $253 million award for Navy Aegis Radio Communication Systems, which supports revenue growth and operational stability.
  • The company has advanced to Phase 2 of DARPA’s THREADS program, a U.S. defense initiative focused on advanced semiconductor and electronic technologies, positioning BAE Systems to secure future research, development, and production work in high-tech defense sectors.
  • Insider confidence is evident through recent purchases, such as John Pettigrew buying 7,000 shares at an average price of GBX 2,228 and Brad Greve acquiring shares at GBX 2,259, suggesting that company leadership believes the stock is undervalued relative to its potential.
  • With the current stock price at $1956.50, the company offers a dividend yield of 2.47%, providing a steady income stream for investors while the stock trades below its 52-week high of $1415.25, indicating potential for capital appreciation as defense demand supports recent growth.
  • BAE Systems is involved in the development of the next generation of combat air capability through the GCAP program, which enhances its long-term competitive position in the aerospace and defense market by securing future fighter jet contracts.

BAE Systems
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in BAE Systems plc for these reasons:

  • The stock carries a high valuation with a P/E ratio of 33.57, which is significantly above the market average, meaning investors are paying a premium for earnings that may not be sustained if defense spending slows or contract awards decrease.
  • Analyst consensus has shifted to a "Hold" recommendation, with four out of six ratings firms advising caution, and the average twelve-month target price of GBX 2,275 offers limited upside from the current trading levels, suggesting the stock may be fully valued.
  • The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 73.96, indicating a significant level of leverage that could constrain financial flexibility and increase risk during periods of economic uncertainty or rising interest rates.
  • Recent insider selling by Tom Arseneault, who sold 44,140 shares at an average price of GBX 2,032, may signal that some insiders are taking profits, which could weigh on stock price momentum and investor sentiment.
  • Geopolitical sensitivities surrounding the use of BAE Systems-linked drones in conflicts, such as reports of their use by Ukraine in attacks inside Russia, could lead to regulatory scrutiny or diplomatic complications that impact the company's international operations and reputation.

BA Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 5 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for BAE Systems is GBX 2,275, with a high forecast of GBX 2,450 and a low forecast of GBX 2,100.

5 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for BAE Systems in the last year. There are currently 4 hold ratings and 1 buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" BA shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in BA, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, BAE Systems's stock has a predicted upside of 16.85% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

BAE Systems has been rated by research analysts at Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, Jefferies Financial Group, JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Royal Bank Of Canada in the past 90 days.

Analysts like BAE Systems less than other "industrials" companies. The consensus rating score for BAE Systems is 2.20 while the average consensus rating score for "industrials" companies is 2.30. Learn more on how BA compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for BAE Systems analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/11/2026.
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