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Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto Group logo
GBX 7,056 +102.00 (+1.47%)
As of 10/2/2026 12:10 PM Eastern

Rio Tinto Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
1
Hold
5
Buy
1

Based on 7 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 7 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 5 have given a hold rating, and 1 has given a buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

GBX 7,707.14
According to the 7 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto Group, the average price target is GBX 7,707.14. The highest price target for RIO is GBX 8,600, while the lowest price target for RIO is GBX 6,100. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 9.23% from the current price of GBX 7,056.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/4/25 to 10/4/26
1 Month Ago
9/4/25 to 9/4/26
3 Months Ago
7/6/25 to 7/6/26
1 Year Ago
10/4/24 to 10/4/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
1 Buy rating(s)
1 Buy rating(s)
0 Buy rating(s)
2 Buy rating(s)
Hold
5 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
6 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price TargetGBX 7,707.14GBX 7,707.14£178.69GBX 5,325
Consensus RatingHoldHoldReduceHold

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
Skip Chart & View Analyst Rating History

RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Rio Tinto Group Stock vs. The Competition

TypeRio Tinto GroupMaterials Companies
Consensus Rating Score
2.00
2.57
Consensus RatingHoldModerate Buy
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent RIO News
Neutral News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
7/30/2026 Reiterated RatingHoldGBX 7,400+2.78%
7/30/2026
Berenberg Bank logo
Berenberg Bank
2 of 5 stars
 UpgradeHold ➝ BuyGBX 8,100 ➝ GBX 8,600+20.40%
7/29/2026 Reiterated RatingUnderperformGBX 6,100-12.38%
7/28/2026 Lower TargetNeutralGBX 8,270 ➝ GBX 8,200+20.27%
7/10/2026 Lower TargetNeutralGBX 8,280 ➝ GBX 8,250+22.04%
6/9/2026 Reiterated RatingHoldGBX 8,500 ➝ GBX 8,500+11.33%
6/2/2026 Lower TargetHoldGBX 7,400 ➝ GBX 6,900-14.30%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 01:29 PM ET.


Should I Buy Rio Tinto Group Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto Group
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

  • The stock is currently trading at $6,954.00, which is below the consensus price target of 7,707.14 set by seven research firms, suggesting potential for price appreciation as the market aligns with analyst expectations.
  • Rio Tinto Group recently reported a 28 percent growth in EBITDA, a metric that measures operating profitability before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating strong operational efficiency and cash flow generation.
  • The company offers a dividend yield of 4.94%, providing a substantial income stream for investors, which is particularly attractive given the recent news of an interim dividend shaping the company's financial outlook.
  • Recent strategic moves include the acquisition of an Australian bauxite project from Glencore and Mitsubishi, as well as commissioning an industrial-scale carbon capture trial facility with Shougang Group, positioning the company to benefit from the energy transition and decarbonization trends.
  • The stock has a beta of 0.66, which is lower than the market average of 1.0, meaning it tends to be less volatile than the broader market, offering a potentially more stable investment during periods of market uncertainty.

Rio Tinto Group
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

  • The consensus rating from seven research firms is "Hold," with five analysts issuing a hold rating and one issuing a sell rating, indicating a lack of strong bullish conviction among professional investors.
  • Recent news highlights concerns about iron ore prices and inflation worries, which have caused the stock to slip, suggesting that the company's primary revenue driver is facing headwinds from macroeconomic factors.
  • Insider trading activity shows a pattern of selling, with insider Peter Cunningham selling shares in July 2026, April 2026, and December 2025, which can be interpreted as a lack of confidence from those with the most knowledge of the company's internal operations.
  • The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 34.91, which, while not extreme, indicates a significant level of leverage that could become a burden if interest rates rise or if commodity prices fall, affecting the company's financial flexibility.
  • There is ongoing concern about China becoming a problem for Rio Tinto shares, as the company is heavily exposed to the Chinese market for its iron ore and other commodities, making it vulnerable to geopolitical tensions and shifts in Chinese economic policy.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 7 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto Group is GBX 7,707.14, with a high forecast of GBX 8,600 and a low forecast of GBX 6,100.

7 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto Group in the last year. There is currently 1 sell rating, 5 hold ratings and 1 buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" RIO shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in RIO, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Rio Tinto Group's stock has a predicted upside of 9.23% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto Group's stock had 2 upgrades by analysts.

Rio Tinto Group has been rated by research analysts at Berenberg Bank, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Royal Bank Of Canada in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Rio Tinto Group less than other "materials" companies. The consensus rating for Rio Tinto Group is Hold while the average consensus rating for "materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Rio Tinto Group analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 7/30/2026.
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