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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Stock Forecast & Price Target

AvalonBay Communities logo
$184.06 0.00 (0.00%)
As of 08/17/2026

AvalonBay Communities - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
15
Buy
3

Based on 18 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for AvalonBay Communities in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 18 analysts, 15 have given a hold rating, and 3 have given a buy rating for AVB.

Consensus Price Target

$196.87
6.96% Upside
According to the 18 analysts' twelve-month price targets for AvalonBay Communities, the average price target is $196.87. The highest price target for AVB is $214.00, while the lowest price target for AVB is $172.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 6.96% from the current price of $184.06.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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AVB Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/17/25 to 9/17/26
1 Month Ago
8/18/25 to 8/18/26
3 Months Ago
6/19/25 to 6/19/26
1 Year Ago
9/17/24 to 9/17/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
3 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
5 Buy rating(s)
Hold
15 Hold rating(s)
15 Hold rating(s)
13 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$196.87$196.87$195.13$218.42
Forecasted Upside6.96% Upside6.96% Upside9.91% Upside13.36% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldHold

AVB Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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AVB Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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AvalonBay Communities Stock vs. The Competition

TypeAvalonBay CommunitiesReal Estate CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.17
2.31
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside6.96% Upside45.50% Upside18.17% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent AVB News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
8/19/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald logo
Cantor Fitzgerald
5 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingNeutral$190.00+3.23%
8/17/2026
Barclays PLC logo
Barclays
3 of 5 stars
Richard Hightower
Richard Hightower
3 of 5 stars
Boost TargetEqual Weight$205.00 ➝ $206.00+11.79%
8/6/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 DowngradeHold (C+)Hold (C)
7/22/2026 UpgradeHold
7/21/2026Boost TargetNeutral$195.00 ➝ $210.00+10.14%
7/9/2026Boost TargetSector Perform$187.00 ➝ $195.00+2.76%
6/16/2026Boost TargetBuy$201.00 ➝ $202.00+8.52%
6/1/2026 UpgradeOutperform$209.00+14.41%
5/14/2026Lower TargetNeutral$191.00 ➝ $189.00+2.97%
4/29/2026Boost TargetSector Perform$180.00 ➝ $188.00+1.70%
4/23/2026Lower TargetOverweight$193.00 ➝ $191.00+10.71%
3/26/2026Reiterated RatingOverweightEqual Weight$208.00 ➝ $203.00+24.09%
2/13/2026Lower TargetNeutral$212.00 ➝ $198.00+11.87%
1/20/2026 DowngradeBuyHold$172.00-3.58%
12/4/2025Reiterated RatingBuyNeutral$200.00 ➝ $195.00+7.35%
11/24/2025Lower TargetNeutral$199.00 ➝ $191.00+5.88%
11/3/2025Reiterated RatingIn-Line$214.00+22.81%
9/29/2025 DowngradeOutperformNeutral
6/17/2025Lower TargetOverweight$251.00 ➝ $249.00+20.23%
4/4/2025DowngradeOutperformMarket Perform$220.00+7.01%
2/13/2025UpgradeNeutralOutperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Thursday at 07:22 AM ET.


Should I Buy AvalonBay Communities Stock? AVB Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, September 15, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these AvalonBay Communities pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

AvalonBay Communities
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in AvalonBay Communities, Inc.:

  • The company recently completed a historic merger with Equity Residential, which includes $742 million in Bay Area multifamily acquisitions, signaling significant growth and portfolio expansion opportunities for shareholders.
  • AvalonBay Communities, Inc. offers a high dividend yield of 3.87%, providing a substantial income stream for investors, with a recent quarterly dividend of $1.78 per share paid in July 2026.
  • The stock is currently trading at $184.06, which is below the average analyst price target of $196.87, suggesting potential upside value for investors who believe in the company's long-term stability.
  • Institutional investor confidence remains strong, with 92.61% of the company's stock owned by hedge funds and institutional investors, including new positions from major entities like Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Co and Bank of New York Mellon Corp in the second quarter.
  • The company demonstrated revenue resilience in the most recent quarter, reporting $777.77 million in revenue, which exceeded the analyst consensus estimate of $772.37 million, indicating solid operational performance.

AvalonBay Communities
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in AvalonBay Communities, Inc. for these reasons:

  • The company missed its earnings per share expectations in the most recent quarter, reporting $1.11 EPS compared to the consensus estimate of $1.23, which may raise concerns about profitability margins.
  • The consensus rating from analysts is "Hold," with fifteen analysts issuing a Hold rating and only three issuing a Buy rating, reflecting a cautious outlook on the stock's near-term growth potential.
  • The payout ratio is currently 116.34%, meaning the company is paying out more in dividends than it is earning in net income, which could signal financial strain or a reliance on debt to sustain shareholder returns.
  • The stock has a relatively high price-to-earnings ratio of 30.08, which may indicate that the stock is overvalued relative to its current earnings power compared to other sectors.
  • Short interest has been increasing in recent months, with shares shorted rising to 2,752,879 in the latest reporting period, suggesting that some market participants are betting against the stock's price appreciation.

AVB Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 18 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for AvalonBay Communities is $196.87, with a high forecast of $214.00 and a low forecast of $172.00.

18 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for AvalonBay Communities in the last twelve months. There are currently 15 hold ratings and 3 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" AVB shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in AVB, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, AvalonBay Communities's stock has a predicted upside of 6.96% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, AvalonBay Communities's stock had 3 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

AvalonBay Communities has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Cantor Fitzgerald, Jefferies Financial Group, Piper Sandler, Scotiabank, and Weiss Ratings in the past 90 days.

Analysts like AvalonBay Communities less than other "real estate" companies. The consensus rating score for AvalonBay Communities is 2.17 while the average consensus rating score for "real estate" companies is 2.31. Learn more on how AVB compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for AvalonBay Communities analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/19/2026.
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