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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Stock Forecast & Price Target

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AVB Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 9/23/25 to 9/23/26	1 Month Ago 8/24/25 to 8/24/26	3 Months Ago 6/25/25 to 6/25/26	1 Year Ago 9/23/24 to 9/23/25
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	3 Buy rating(s)	3 Buy rating(s)	4 Buy rating(s)	5 Buy rating(s)
Hold	15 Hold rating(s)	15 Hold rating(s)	13 Hold rating(s)	8 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$196.87	$196.87	$195.13	$218.42
Forecasted Upside	6.96% Upside	6.96% Upside	4.85% Upside	12.40% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Hold	Hold

AVB Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

AVB Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

AvalonBay Communities Stock vs. The Competition

Type	AvalonBay Communities	Real Estate Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.17	2.30	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	6.96% Upside	44.89% Upside	17.94% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent AVB News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export

Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
8/19/2026	Cantor Fitzgerald 5 of 5 stars	Richard Anderson Not Rated	Reiterated Rating	Neutral	$190.00	+3.23%
8/17/2026	Barclays 3 of 5 stars	Richard Hightower 3 of 5 stars	Boost Target	Equal Weight	$205.00 ➝ $206.00	+11.79%
8/6/2026	Weiss Ratings 5 of 5 stars		Downgrade	Hold (C+) ➝ Hold (C)
7/22/2026	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold
7/21/2026	Piper Sandler Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Alexander Goldfarb Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$195.00 ➝ $210.00	+10.14%
7/9/2026	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Nicholas Yulico Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Sector Perform	$187.00 ➝ $195.00	+2.76%
6/16/2026	Truist Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Michael Lewis Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$201.00 ➝ $202.00	+8.52%
6/1/2026	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Outperform	$209.00	+14.41%
5/14/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Brent Dilts Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral	$191.00 ➝ $189.00	+2.97%
4/29/2026	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Brad Heffern Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Sector Perform	$180.00 ➝ $188.00	+1.70%
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4/23/2026	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	James Feldman Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Overweight	$193.00 ➝ $191.00	+10.71%
3/26/2026	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Adam Kramer Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight	$208.00 ➝ $203.00	+24.09%
2/13/2026	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Nick Joseph Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral	$212.00 ➝ $198.00	+11.87%
1/20/2026	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Hold	$172.00	-3.58%
12/4/2025	Colliers Securities Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Barry Oxford Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Neutral	$200.00 ➝ $195.00	+7.35%
11/24/2025	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Vikram Malhorta Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral	$199.00 ➝ $191.00	+5.88%
11/3/2025	Evercore Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Steve Sakwa Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	In-Line	$214.00	+22.81%
9/29/2025	BNP Paribas Exane Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Neutral
6/17/2025	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Anthony Paolone Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Overweight	$251.00 ➝ $249.00	+20.23%
4/4/2025	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	John Kim Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Market Perform	$220.00	+7.01%
2/13/2025	Zelman & Associates Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	D. Mcgill Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Outperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 11:20 AM ET.

Should I Buy AvalonBay Communities Stock? AVB Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these AvalonBay Communities pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

AvalonBay Communities
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in AvalonBay Communities, Inc.:

The company recently completed a historic $69 billion merger with Equity Residential, creating the nation's largest multifamily owner and rebranding as Vivmark, which significantly expands its scale and market dominance in the residential real estate sector.
With a current stock price of $184.06, the shares are trading below the consensus analyst price target of $196.87, suggesting potential upside for investors as the market digests the new merger and growth trajectory.
The stock offers a dividend yield of 3.87%, providing a steady income stream for investors, supported by a recent quarterly dividend payment of $1.78 per share that was paid in July 2026.
Recent institutional activity shows strong confidence, with major investors like Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Co and Commerce Bank acquiring new stakes in the second quarter, indicating that large capital allocators are positioning for long-term growth.
The company maintains a low beta of 0.76, which means its stock price tends to be less volatile than the overall market, offering a potentially more stable investment profile during periods of market uncertainty.

AvalonBay Communities
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in AvalonBay Communities, Inc. for these reasons:

The company recently missed its earnings expectations, reporting an EPS of $1.11 for the quarter ended in July 2026, which was lower than the consensus estimate of $1.23, signaling potential challenges in meeting profit targets.
The consensus rating from analysts is "Hold," with fifteen analysts issuing a Hold rating compared to only three Buy ratings, reflecting a cautious outlook from the sell-side regarding the stock's near-term performance.
The company has a high payout ratio of 116.34%, meaning it is paying out more in dividends than it is earning in net income, which could raise concerns about the sustainability of the dividend if earnings do not improve.
Valuation metrics appear elevated, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.08 and a PEG ratio of 2.98, suggesting the stock may be expensive relative to its growth prospects compared to other investment options.
Short interest has been increasing in recent months, with shares shorted rising to 2.75 million in August 2026 from 2.99 million in July, indicating that some traders are betting against the stock's price appreciation.

AVB Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 18 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for AvalonBay Communities is $196.87, with a high forecast of $214.00 and a low forecast of $172.00.

18 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for AvalonBay Communities in the last twelve months. There are currently 15 hold ratings and 3 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" AVB shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in AVB, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, AvalonBay Communities's stock has a predicted upside of 6.96% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, AvalonBay Communities's stock had 3 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

AvalonBay Communities has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Cantor Fitzgerald, Jefferies Financial Group, Piper Sandler, Scotiabank, and Weiss Ratings in the past 90 days.

Analysts like AvalonBay Communities less than other "real estate" companies. The consensus rating score for AvalonBay Communities is 2.17 while the average consensus rating score for "real estate" companies is 2.30. Learn more on how AVB compares to other companies.

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Brokerages With AvalonBay Communities Recommendations

MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for AvalonBay Communities analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/19/2026.

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