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Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto logo
$92.39 +1.84 (+2.03%)
Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$92.30 -0.09 (-0.10%)
As of 05:19 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Rio Tinto - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
2
Hold
7
Buy
5

Based on 14 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 14 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 7 have given a hold rating, 4 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$101.75
10.13% Upside
According to the 14 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto, the average price target is $101.75. The highest price target for RIO is $120.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $83.50. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 10.13% from the current price of $92.39.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
7/22/25 to 7/22/26
1 Month Ago
6/22/25 to 6/22/26
3 Months Ago
4/23/25 to 4/23/26
1 Year Ago
7/22/24 to 7/22/25
Strong Buy
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
4 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
Hold
7 Hold rating(s)
9 Hold rating(s)
11 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
Sell
2 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$101.75$101.75$81.00$73.00
Forecasted Upside10.13% Upside2.51% Upside-18.11% Downside13.49% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldModerate Buy

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Rio Tinto Stock vs. The Competition

TypeRio TintoBasic Materials CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.29
2.59
2.52
Consensus RatingHoldModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside10.20% Upside155.73% Upside14.29% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent RIO News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
7/9/2026
Citigroup Inc. logo
Citigroup
4 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingNeutral
7/8/2026
Morgan Stanley logo
Morgan Stanley
3 of 5 stars
 DowngradeEqual WeightUnderweight
6/3/2026 DowngradeSector PerformUnderperform
5/29/2026 UpgradeHoldStrong-Buy
5/22/2026 DowngradeBuyNeutral
5/20/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy (B-)
5/15/2026 Reiterated RatingHold
4/27/2026 Set Target$120.00+20.49%
4/27/2026Boost TargetOutperform$82.00 ➝ $83.50-16.21%
4/7/2026 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
3/9/2026DowngradeOverweightNeutral
2/24/2026DowngradeOverweightEqual Weight
1/26/2026 DowngradeBuyHold
1/23/2026 UpgradeHoldBuy
7/3/2025Reiterated RatingBuyHold
6/3/2025Reiterated RatingBuyHold
2/28/2025UpgradeStrong-Buy
10/16/2024 Reiterated RatingOutperformNeutral

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 05:36 PM ET.


Should I Buy Rio Tinto Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Friday, July 17, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

  • The current stock price is around $101.75, which reflects a stable valuation in the mining sector.
  • Rio Tinto Group has received an "outperform" rating from analysts, indicating positive expectations for its future performance.
  • The company has a diverse portfolio of commodities, including iron ore and aluminum, which can help mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations.
  • Recent upgrades in price targets by analysts suggest growing confidence in the company's growth potential.
  • Rio Tinto Group's extensive operations across the full value chain enhance its competitive advantage in the mining industry.

Rio Tinto
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

  • Several analysts have downgraded their ratings, indicating potential concerns about the company's short-term performance.
  • The consensus rating is currently "Hold," suggesting that many investors may prefer to wait before making new investments.
  • Market volatility in the commodities sector can impact Rio Tinto Group's profitability and stock performance.
  • Recent downgrades from firms like Morgan Stanley and Bank of America highlight a cautious outlook on the stock.
  • Increased competition in the mining sector may pressure profit margins and affect future growth prospects.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 14 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto is $101.75, with a high forecast of $120.00 and a low forecast of $83.50.

14 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 7 hold ratings, 4 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" RIO shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in RIO, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Rio Tinto's stock has a predicted upside of 10.13% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto's stock had 3 downgrades and 1 upgrade by analysts.

Rio Tinto has been rated by research analysts at Argus, Bank of America, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, DZ Bank, Morgan Stanley, Royal Bank Of Canada, Sanford C. Bernstein, and Weiss Ratings in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Rio Tinto less than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating for Rio Tinto is Hold while the average consensus rating for "basic materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 7/22/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.
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