Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$15.56 +0.29 (+1.87%)

Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$15.54 -0.02 (-0.13%)

As of 04:38 PM Eastern

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Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 15 Analyst Ratings

Sell
2

Hold
10

Buy
3

Based on 15 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Vale in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 15 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 10 have given a hold rating, 2 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for VALE.

Consensus Price Target

$16.33
5.00% Upside

According to the 15 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Vale, the average price target is $16.33. The highest price target for VALE is $21.00, while the lowest price target for VALE is $13.50. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 5.00% from the current price of $15.56.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 9/8/25 to 9/8/26	1 Month Ago 8/9/25 to 8/9/26	3 Months Ago 6/10/25 to 6/10/26	1 Year Ago 9/8/24 to 9/8/25
Strong Buy	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	2 Buy rating(s)	3 Buy rating(s)	7 Buy rating(s)	6 Buy rating(s)
Hold	10 Hold rating(s)	10 Hold rating(s)	7 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)
Sell	2 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$16.33	$15.96	$16.65	$11.71
Forecasted Upside	5.00% Upside	8.69% Upside	11.43% Upside	11.90% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

VALE Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Vale	Materials Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.13	2.56	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	4.57% Upside	129.15% Upside	15.07% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent VALE News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export

Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
9/3/2026	Freedom Broker Not Rated		Downgrade	Hold ➝ Strong Sell
8/11/2026	UBS Group 4 of 5 stars	Myles Allsop Not Rated	Reiterated Rating	Neutral	$16.50	+11.30%
8/5/2026	Bank of America 4 of 5 stars	Caio Ribeiro Not Rated	Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Neutral	$18.00 ➝ $16.00	+7.71%
8/3/2026	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Amos Fletcher Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Equal Weight	$16.75 ➝ $17.00	+13.11%
7/30/2026	Zacks Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Hold ➝ Strong Sell
7/27/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Marcio Farid Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Buy ➝ Neutral	$18.00 ➝ $16.00	+8.14%
7/20/2026	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Alfonso Salazar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Sector Perform	$19.00 ➝ $16.00	+12.15%
7/9/2026	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Timna Tanners Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Equal Weight	$16.00 ➝ $15.00	+6.57%
7/8/2026	Weiss Ratings Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Hold (C)
7/8/2026	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Carlos De Alba Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight	$19.50 ➝ $16.50	+12.28%
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6/15/2026	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Sector Perform
6/12/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Rodolfo Angele Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$19.50 ➝ $21.00	+34.70%
5/15/2026	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Hold	$18.00	+11.29%
11/3/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Christopher LeFemina Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Set Target	Buy	$15.00	+24.02%
10/17/2025	HSBC Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy	$12.25 ➝ $13.50	+21.51%
9/3/2025	Clarkson Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Buy	$12.00	+18.05%
5/12/2025	CICC Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Outperform	$11.30	+18.02%
1/8/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	T. Tanners Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Underperform ➝ Peer Perform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Tuesday at 04:45 PM ET.

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Friday, September 4, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Vale pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Vale
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Vale S.A.:

Vale S.A. recently declared a special dividend of $0.3088 per share, which is scheduled to be paid on September 10, 2026, offering immediate cash returns to shareholders who hold the stock through the August 13 ex-dividend date.
The company's stock is currently trading at $15.28, which is below the average analyst price target of $16.00, suggesting potential upside for investors as the consensus rating remains a Hold with a Moderate Buy outlook from earlier in the year.
Short interest in Vale S.A. has decreased significantly over the past few months, dropping from 93.1 million shares in January 2026 to 46.4 million shares in August 2026, indicating that fewer investors are betting against the stock and reducing the risk of a short squeeze.
Several institutional investors, including Van ECK Associates Corp and BTG Pactual Asset Management US LLC, increased their positions in Vale S.A. during the second quarter of 2026, signaling confidence in the company's long-term prospects.
Vale S.A. operates in the metals and mining industry, producing iron ore and other bulk commodities, which are essential for global infrastructure and energy transition, providing a stable demand base for its products.

Vale
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Vale S.A. for these reasons:

Vale S.A. was downgraded to a Strong Sell rating by Freedom Broker on September 4, 2026, reflecting concerns about the company's financial performance and future growth prospects.
The company missed its earnings expectations in the most recent quarter, reporting $0.36 in earnings per share compared to the consensus estimate of $0.46, indicating potential challenges in meeting investor expectations.
Vale S.A. has a high dividend payout ratio of 89.80%, which may limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth initiatives or manage debt, potentially impacting long-term sustainability.
The stock's price-to-earnings ratio of 31.18 is relatively high compared to industry peers, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued relative to its earnings potential.
Vale S.A. faces operational risks associated with its mining activities, including environmental and regulatory challenges, which could impact its production and profitability.

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 15 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Vale is $16.33, with a high forecast of $21.00 and a low forecast of $13.50.

15 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Vale in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 10 hold ratings, 2 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" VALE shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in VALE, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Vale's stock has a predicted upside of 5.00% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Vale's stock had 3 downgrades by analysts.

Vale has been rated by research analysts at Bank of America, Barclays, Freedom Broker, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley, Royal Bank Of Canada, Scotiabank, The Goldman Sachs Group, UBS Group, Weiss Ratings, Wells Fargo & Company, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Vale less than other "materials" companies. The consensus rating for Vale is Hold while the average consensus rating for "materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how VALE compares to other companies.

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MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Vale analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/3/2026.

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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

VALE Price Targets by Month

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

Vale
Bull Case

Vale
Bear Case

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Vale Recommendations

Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring

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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

VALE Price Targets by Month

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

Vale Bull Case

Vale Bear Case

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

What is Vale's forecast for 2026?

Should I buy or sell Vale stock right now?

Does Vale's stock price have much upside?

Has Vale been downgraded by Wall Street analysts recently?

What analysts cover Vale?

Do Wall Street analysts like Vale more than its competitors?

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Vale Recommendations

MarketBeat All Access Features

Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring

Stock Ideas and Recommendations

Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools

Vale
Bull Case

Vale
Bear Case