Life Time Group Today
LTH
Life Time Group
$41.37 -0.38 (-0.91%) As of 10:46 AM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more. - 52-Week Range
- $24.14
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$47.24 - P/E Ratio
- 22.51
- Price Target
- $54.85
Life Time Group Holdings NYSE: LTH has a messaging problem. The upscale athletic club operator recently delivered a powerful earnings beat and raised its guidance for the third straight quarter.
The stock is up more than 60% this year, and analysts rate it a unanimous Buy.
At the same time, however, some of the company's best-informed stockholders have been selling their shares aggressively.
For investors trying to decide whether the stock is on their buy list, that seeming contradiction is worth understanding.
Life Time’s Premium Club Strategy Keeps Paying Off
Life Time has been around for more than 30 years based on a straightforward bet. Affluent, health-conscious consumers would pay up for resort-style clubs with pools, pickleball, spa services, and co-working space instead of settling for a typical, bare-bones gym. The company now operates more than 190 clubs across the U.S. and Canada, with 14 more planned to open this year.
This year's numbers suggest the bet is paying off. For the second quarter, Life Time reported revenue of $866 million, up 13.7% from a year earlier and ahead of the $845.75 million Wall Street expected.
Net income rose 40.6% to about $101 million, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) rose to $246.5 million. That lifted the margin to 28.5% from 27.7% a year earlier, meaning Life Time is growing revenue and squeezing out more profits at the same time.
Adjusted diluted earnings per share came in at 48 cents, topping the 37-cent consensus, while comparable-center revenue, the industry's favored same-store metric, climbed 9.1% for the recent three months.
Guidance Moves Higher as Club Openings Continue
Again, management raised its guidance. Full-year comparable-center revenue growth is now expected at 7.9% to 8.3%, up from 6.9% to 7.5%. That’s in addition to projected higher revenue, net income and margin targets.
The company’s expansion also continues. Life Time is on pace to open 14 clubs in 2026, the high end of its target, with 10 of the 12 to 14 planned for 2027 already under construction.
Shares have responded. The company’s stock is up nearly 50% over the past 12 months and about 62% year-to-date, placing shares near the top of its 52-week range of $24.14 to $47.24.
Insider Selling Complicates the Bull Case
The company’s operating performance is not the problem. The concern is what insiders are doing while the business is performing well.
The clearest red flag is insider selling. There have been 10 inside sales in the past 12 months, with none buying. On Aug. 26, two directors sold large, identically priced blocks of stock of 2,879,154 shares worth about $126 million each. In fact, insiders sold more than $1 billion of stock over a four-week period in July and August, according to a report. They’ve sold $1.47 billion over the past 12 months.
Insider selling never tells a full story. This might be a pattern suggesting private equity is methodically trimming its stake in strength rather than a loss of confidence. But it still means some of the best-informed holders have been net sellers at exactly the level retail investors are now being asked to pay.
Growth Remains Strong, But Not Without Pressure
Other questions should also be asked. While revenue per center membership did increase to $993 from $888 a year ago, comparable center revenue slowed to 9.1% in the latest quarter from 11.2% last year. Even so, center memberships were up to 860,041 from 849,643 a year ago.
Competition is also ever-present with peers like Planet Fitness (NASDAQ: PLNT), Xponential Fitness (NYSE: XPOF) and Peloton (NASDAQ: PTON) all chasing the same wellness dollar. And any pullback in discretionary consumer spending would hit a company whose memberships and add-on services are ultimately a luxury.
Further, Life Time is not cheap after its current run, and it doesn’t pay a dividend. Its forward price/earnings ratio sits at about 27. Consensus estimates call for full-year 2026 earnings per share of roughly $1.59, rising to about $1.83 in 2027, an upside that would come if the company executes its plan.
Analyst Support Keeps the Growth Case Alive
Life Time Group Stock Forecast Today
12-Month Stock Price Forecast:$54.8531.24% UpsideBuyBased on 15 Analyst Ratings | Current Price | $41.79 |
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| High Forecast | $64.00 |
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| Average Forecast | $54.85 |
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| Low Forecast | $50.00 |
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Life Time Group Stock Forecast DetailsWith that understood, Wall Street apparently has few doubts.
Analysts currently rate the stock a unanimous Buy based on 15 ratings, with two of those analysts listing the shares as a Strong Buy. The average price target is at $54.85, indicating about 28% upside from current levels.
The highest target price is $64, while the lowest is $50.
Life Time's message about its operating story seems clear. Raised guidance, expanding margins and a steady club pipeline are signals of a company running with room to grow.
Disciplined new-club economics continue to outrun even Wall Street's optimistic targets.
But the scale and timing of insider selling deserve real attention.
That message might be less than it seems. Still, buying near all-time highs means deciding how much of the value is already priced in.
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