Occidental Petroleum Q3 2025 Earnings Report

Occidental Petroleum EPS Results

• Actual EPS: $0.64
• Consensus EPS: $0.48
• Beat/Miss: Beat by +$0.16
• One Year Ago EPS: $1.00

Occidental Petroleum Revenue Results

• Actual Revenue: $6.62 billion
• Expected Revenue: $6.66 billion
• Beat/Miss: Missed by -$37.40 million
• YoY Revenue Growth: -6.10%

Occidental Petroleum Announcement Details

• Quarter: Q3 2025
• Date: 11/10/2025
• Time: After Market Closes
• Conference Call Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
• Conference Call Time: 1:00PM ET

Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) is an energy company engaged in the exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas. Its operations are concentrated primarily in the United States, including the Permian and DJ basins, and it also has international activities in regions such as the Middle East and North Africa.

The company operates through oil and gas, chemical and midstream and marketing businesses. Its chemical segment, OxyChem, manufactures and markets chlor-alkali products, vinyls and other basic chemicals used in water treatment, construction, industrial manufacturing and consumer products. Occidental also provides midstream, marketing and transportation services related to its energy operations.

Occidental has expanded its lower-carbon activities through carbon capture, utilization and storage, including direct-air-capture initiatives, and through other efforts intended to reduce emissions from industrial and energy processes. The company significantly expanded its U.S. oil and gas portfolio through its acquisition of Anadarko Petroleum in 2019.

Occidental Petroleum is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Vicki Hollub serves as the company’s president and chief executive officer and has led Occidental since 2016.

Occidental Petroleum Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

• Positive Sentiment: OxyChem sale (~$8B net proceeds) announced with ~ $6.5 billion earmarked to pay down debt (targeting < $15B principal) and expected to lower annual interest expense by > $350 million, enabling expanded shareholder returns and stronger balance sheet flexibility.
• Positive Sentiment: Third quarter operational strength: company generated $3.2 billion in operating cash flow and ~$1.5 billion in free cash flow before working capital while producing ~1.47 million BOE/d (Permian record ~800k BOE/d) and achieving industry-low domestic LOE (~$8.11/BOE).
• Positive Sentiment: Material Permian resource growth (+2.5 billion BOE, now ~70% of total resources) and an emerging CO2 EOR program (three initial commercial projects and ~30 development-ready opportunities) that management says could add ~2 billion BOE of recoverable resource and meaningfully boost low-decline production.
• Neutral Sentiment: 2026 capital framework targets $6.3–$6.7 billion (plan WTI $55–$60) with flexibility to reallocate up to $400 million to Permian short-cycle projects and ~$250 million toward Gulf/Oman water floods; company expects 2026 production roughly flat to up ~2% depending on the chosen capital scenario.
• Negative Sentiment: OxyChem results were below guidance due to continued weakness in the global chloro‑vinyl market (Q3 pre-tax ~$197M, guiding ~$140M next quarter); OxyChem will be classified as discontinued operations in Q4, and management is evaluating any impact on the adjusted effective tax rate.

Presentation

[Operator]

Good afternoon and welcome to Occidental's third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need a conference specialist, please press star followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touchstone phone, and to withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note that today's event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jordan Tanner, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

[Jordan Tanner, VP of Investor Relations at Occidental]

Thank you, Rocco. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for participating in Occidental's third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. On the call with us today are Vicki Hollub, President and Chief Executive Officer; Sunil Mathew, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Richard Jackson, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer; and Ken Dillon, Senior Vice President and President, International Oil and Gas Operations. This afternoon, we will refer to slides available on the Investors section of our website. The presentation includes a cautionary statement on slide two regarding forward-looking statements that will be made on the call this afternoon. We'll also reference a few non-GAAP financial measures today. Reconciliations to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure can be found in the schedules to our earnings release and on our website. I'll now turn the call over to Vicki.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

Thank you, Jordan, and good afternoon, everyone. I want to take a moment to recognize Veterans Day and express our deep gratitude to all veterans and their families for their service. Today, I will address our recently announced sale of OxyChem, outline the strategic rationale, and highlight our third quarter performance. Richard will provide details on our oil and gas operations, and Sunil will review our third quarter financials, fourth quarter guidance, and considerations for the year ahead. The sale of OxyChem is a pivotal step in our transformation. The decision was driven by the scale, quality, and diversity of the oil and gas portfolio we have built over the last decade.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

Since 2015, we have more than doubled our total resource potential and our production, going from total resource of 8 billion barrels of oil equivalent to 16.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent, and from production of 650,000 BOE per day to over 1.4 million BOE per day. We now have a higher quality portfolio with Oxy's lowest ever geopolitical risk, as we have shifted the percentage of our oil and gas production from 50% domestic to 83% domestic. Our portfolio has a development runway of 30-plus years that includes high return, short cycle, higher decline, unconventional assets, complemented by solid return, lower decline, mid-cycle development opportunities in our conventional oil and gas assets. Our substantial oil and gas runway, along with our demonstrated expertise in maximizing resource recovery, created the foundation for accelerating value to our shareholders through the investiture of OxyChem.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

The proceeds will be used to immediately strengthen our balance sheet, allowing us to significantly deleverage and achieve our principal debt target of less than $15 billion. This will reinforce our financial resilience and agility to navigate changing market conditions. With greater financial flexibility, we can broaden our return of capital program and accelerate shareholder returns. This will enhance our approach to delivering value to our shareholders by increasing cash returns and continuing to rebalance enterprise value through net debt reduction. Our strengthened financial foundation will enable us to accelerate the development of our industry-leading oil and gas portfolio by focusing capital on our Permian unconventional assets, including unconventional CO2 floods, along with our Gulf of America water floods, and in the future, our Bakia gas and condensate discovery in Oman.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

We're excited about all the opportunities ahead to apply our subsurface expertise for greater resource recovery and the opportunities to advance our various low-decline enhanced oil recovery projects, particularly our CO2 EOR projects. Now turning to the third quarter, our teams delivered another strong quarter of operational performance, generating $3.2 billion in operating cash flow and $1.5 billion in free cash flow before working capital. Notably, we exceeded last year's third quarter operating cash flow despite WTI prices that were more than $10 per barrel lower in the third quarter of this year. Our team's continued focus on cost management and efficiency improvements also led to our lowest quarterly lease operating expense per barrel across our full oil and gas segment since 2021.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

This ongoing improvement in portfolio and operational performance underscores the quality of our resources and the exceptional caliber of our teams who continue to bring forward value by delivering more with less. In the third quarter, our oil and gas business produced approximately 1.47 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, exceeding the high end of our guidance range. The Permian Basin contributed 800,000 BOE per day, which is the highest quarterly Permian production in Oxy's history. The Rockies also posted outstanding results thanks to strong new oil performance and stable base operations. Additionally, our Gulf of America assets outperformed the high end of guidance, benefiting from favorable weather and achieving the highest uptime in our operating history. Our midstream and marketing segment delivered another incredible quarter, generating positive adjusted earnings and surpassing the high end of guidance.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

Our teams expertly navigated market volatility to maximize margins through strategic gas marketing, helping to offset challenging gas price realizations. Higher sulfur prices in Al Hosn further contributed to the quarter's results. As shown in our third quarter results, we remain focused on generating free cash flow at lower oil prices and maintaining flexibility in our capital and development programs to support near and long-term value creation. Richard will now provide more details on our third quarter operational highlights and how we are positioned to generate stronger returns and higher free cash flow.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Thank you, Vicki. I appreciate the opportunity to share the progress we are making in our operations and how we are positioning our plans going into 2026. In all parts of our oil and gas business, we are making significant advancements through a focus on three key areas: resource improvement, cost efficiency, and operating ability to generate free cash flow across a range of oil price scenarios. Today, I will focus on our Permian operations, where there have been several meaningful updates across these three areas. I look forward to sharing more from our other teams in future calls. First, let me begin by highlighting our strong third quarter results. As Vicki noted, domestic production exceeded guidance with strong contributions from all business units in the Permian, Rockies, and Gulf of America.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

This strong performance and record results were achieved while sustaining our outlook for lower capital and improved operating costs for the year. Compared to our original 2025 guidance, we have reduced capital expenditures by $300 million and operating costs by $170 million. We appreciate our team's continued efforts to exceed expectations. Importantly, this performance is part of our continued track record of cost efficiency. We recently highlighted that since 2023, we have realized $2 billion in annualized cost savings across our U.S. onshore operations, driven by continuous operational improvements in drilling, completions, and operating expense categories, as well as a value-focused supply chain management approach. We are seeing similar improvements across all of our operating teams and look forward to these efficiencies continuing into 2026. Building more on Vicki's introductory comments, we have made important progress in our organic oil and gas resource improvement across the portfolio.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Today, I will focus on the Permian as it plays an essential role in our near and long-term results. We have recently expanded our Permian resource base by 2.5 billion BOE, which now represents approximately 70% of Oxy's total resources of approximately 16.5 billion BOE. We achieved this organic resource expansion through subsurface characterization and the application of advanced recovery and technologies. Our deep Permian resource is both low cost and provides operational flexibility to support free cash flow across a wide range of oil price scenarios. When combined with our ongoing cost efficiencies and technical recovery advancement, this places the Permian as a core value driver for Oxy's future. To start, in the Delaware Basin, we continue to be a leader in new oil performance across both our primary and secondary benches.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Importantly, our secondary bench wells outperform the industry average by 10% when compared to all benches, primary and secondary in the basin. In addition to improving productivity, these secondary benches also enable us to efficiently utilize existing infrastructure that was built to support our primary development. As a result, we have extended our resources through increased secondary bench development while lowering our overall development costs, leading to a 16% lower capital intensity since 2022. Additionally, over the last few years, we have significantly transformed our position and performance in the Midland Basin. Today, these development projects are incredibly competitive in our Oxy portfolio. This process began with a basin-wide subsurface characterization initiative and targeted development program to more fully understand the resource potential in the basin. We then strengthened our acreage position and achieved the scale needed for operational efficiencies through the CrownRock acquisition.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Today, the combined Oxy and legacy CrownRock teams are delivering industry-leading well costs and performance, driven by both continued operational improvements and refined subsurface designs. Since 2023, our new wells have shown a 22% increase in six-month cumulative oil production per 1,000 feet, while the industry average has declined about 5% over the same period. We have also reduced well costs by 38% since 2023. These step changes have created an expanded deep bench opportunity, allowing us to organically add top-tier Barnett resources across 115,000 acres in our Midland and Central Basin Platform operating areas. Again, we highlight that our new well performance in the Barnett is outperforming the industry average by 18% since 2020. Another resource opportunity and key differentiator for Oxy is the expansion of enhanced oil recovery into our unconventional shale.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

As a leader in conventional CO2 EOR, we are leveraging our decades-long investment and expertise into these assets. Since 2017, we have advanced unconventional EOR in our Permian, U.S. Permian, and Rockies business units, completing multiple demonstrations where we have achieved positive and consistent results. These projects have delivered over 45% oil uplift, but we believe with continued optimization, our commercial projects have the capability to deliver up to 100% production uplift. We are now moving into commercial development with three initial projects and a current pipeline of 30 more ready for development. These mid-cycle projects offer low decline rates and competitive returns. Our unique and sizable Permian Basin CO2 infrastructure gives us an advantage as we scale these developments over time. Today, this represents a resource opportunity of over 2 billion BOE. We also continue to advance our existing conventional EOR assets.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

With approximately 2 billion BOEs of undeveloped resources with low development costs, these mid-cycle projects are also meaningful as part of our future resources. Recent improvements in cost structure, including $80 million of our 2025 domestic operating cost reductions, continue to improve the returns and investment priority within our portfolio. Beyond CO2 EOR, we are progressing a suite of complementary recovery technologies, including infill drilling, precision well placement and spacing, next-generation frac, and other methods of EOR. We believe our ability to organically expand our low-cost resource base through subsurface characterization, continued cost efficiency, and advanced recovery technologies gives us a competitive advantage to deliver long-term value. As we look ahead to 2026, we continue to actively manage our operational scenarios for a disciplined approach for resilient free cash flow, even if in challenging oil price environments.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Our approach begins with a focus on operational and cost efficiency over activity reductions to preserve future free cash flow and to maintain optimized activity across our assets. A key part of this approach is working closely with our service company partners to capture supply chain savings, improving value for both parties. Beyond that, we selectively defer multi-year facilities and construction projects, allowing us to invest opportunistically in these projects when conditions are more favorable. We also regularly review and optimize our operating expense activities to enable us to scale and time activities for maximum free cash flow. Finally, we evaluate capital and development activity adjustments, always with a focus on achieving the most efficient capital-to-cash flow outcome. At much lower oil prices, capital flexibility becomes critical, and we remain committed to investing wisely, preserving optionality and delivering value through efficient execution.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

As we enter 2026, we are targeting a $55-$60 WTI plan with flexibility to adapt to market conditions while continuing to improve cost efficiency to deliver our free cash flow needs without impacting operational performance. Looking ahead, we have a deep portfolio of short-cycle, high-return, and mid-cycle low-decline assets that can deliver strong cash flow. We are focused on sustaining momentum by driving cost efficiency, advancing recovery technologies, and optimizing our operations. Lastly, I'd like to thank all of our teams for their continued performance and especially safety as we looked in the year strong. I'll also look forward to working closer with many of you for the first time or again in my new role. Thank you for your time today, and I'll now turn the call over to Sunil for the financial discussion.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

Thank you, Richard. In the third quarter, we generated a reported profit of $0.65 per diluted share. Strong operational performance and a continued focus on capital efficiency enabled us to generate approximately $1.5 billion in free cash flow before working capital. We had a negative working capital change, primarily driven by the timing of semi-annual interest payments on our debt and payments within our oil and gas segment. During the quarter, we repaid $1.3 billion of debt, bringing our total year-to-date debt repayment to $3.6 billion and reducing Occidental's principal debt balance to $20.8 billion. A strong financial performance can largely be attributed to higher volumes across our U.S. portfolio, which more than offset slightly lower than expected production from our international assets.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

New well and base production outperformance in the Permian and Rockies, as well as higher uptime and favorable weather in the Gulf of America, enabled us to exceed the high end of guidance across all of our domestic oil and gas assets. This production outperformance and a continued focus on delivering operational cost efficiencies led to lower domestic lease operating expenses in the quarter, notably outperforming guidance at $8.11 per BOE. Part of the outperformance also reflected the timing of certain offshore production engineering activities, which shifted into the fourth quarter. In the midstream and marketing segment, we continued to capture value through optimizing our gas marketing positions out of the Permian Basin and higher sulfur pricing in Al Hosn. Both were significant catalysts in the segment, generating positive earnings on an adjusted basis of $153 million above the midpoint of guidance.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

Looking ahead, we are increasing our full-year guidance for our oil and gas and midstream and marketing segments as a result of our strong third quarter outperformance and improved expectations for the fourth quarter. In oil and gas, we are raising our fourth quarter total company production guidance from last quarter's implied guidance to a midpoint of 1.46 million BOE per day. This is driven by the expectation for continued strong performance across all three domestic assets, which should more than offset impacts from a scheduled turnaround at Al Hosn in the fourth quarter. Other midstream and marketing pre-tax income guidance assumes that our teams will capture gas marketing optimization benefits from the wider Permian to Gulf Coast spread observed already in the fourth quarter.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

We expect full-year pre-tax income from the segment to come in approximately $400 million above our original guidance, largely due to those gas marketing opportunities and stronger than anticipated sulfur pricing from Al Hosn. Due to continued softness in the global chloro-vinyl market, our third quarter OxyChem pre-tax income came in below guidance at $197 million. We are guiding to $140 million for the next full quarter. Beginning in the fourth quarter, OxyChem will be classified as discontinued operations. We are in the process of evaluating the potential impact of OxyChem's classification on our fourth quarter adjusted effective tax rate, and we will provide a further update early next year. Total company capital spent, net of non-controlling interest of approximately $1.7 billion, was in line with our expectations for the third quarter, and we expect to remain within our previously guided range for 2025 capital.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

As Vicki shared, the OxyChem transaction marks a significant milestone for our company, as it will strengthen our financial position and enhance our ability to return capital to our shareholders. The all-cash nature of this transaction will enable us to accelerate our debt reduction efforts and achieve our post-CrownRock principal debt target of less than $15 billion. Of the roughly $8 billion in transaction net proceeds, we plan to use approximately $6.5 billion to reduce debt. Our initial focus is on the $4 billion of debt maturing in the next three years. This includes $1.3 billion of term loans maturing in 2026, which we can call at par, and for the remaining $2.7 billion, we may largely use make-whole provisions to ensure certainty. Beyond that, we will be opportunistic, taking into consideration redemption prices and the impact on our maturity profile.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

This will meaningfully improve our credit metrics and is expected to lower our annual interest expense by more than $350 million while providing a very manageable near-term debt maturity schedule. The remaining $1.5 billion in net proceeds will go to cash on the balance sheet. By significantly lowering our debt burden and building cash on hand, we will create a stronger, more resilient balance sheet. With the achievement of our post-CrownRock principal debt target, Oxy will be positioned to broaden our return of capital program and adopt a more flexible framework for delivering value to our shareholders. We will be opportunistic with the share repurchase program. Our decisions and priorities will be driven by a range of factors, including the macro conditions, commodity prices, market valuation relative to Oxy's intrinsic value, cash on the balance sheet, and the timeline to August 2029.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

We plan to resume the redemption of the preferred in August 2029 when the preferred equity becomes callable with a lower redemption premium and does not have the $4 per share return of capital trigger. Now, I would like to share how we are approaching our capital program for 2026. Last quarter, we discussed the potential to allocate capital to mid-cycle conventional oil assets. We are planning to increase investment in the Gulf of America water flood projects and in Oman, given both projects' high oil weighting and favorable base decline rates, combined with the enhanced economics in Oman following our Mukhaisnar contract extension. Approximately an additional $250 million could be allocated to these areas as capital rolls off in our LCV portfolio. Considering the recent commodity price volatility and oil market outlook, we are evaluating multiple capital scenarios across our U.S. onshore portfolio. With the OxyChem sale, our U.S.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

Onshore capital will comprise an even greater proportion of the total company investment program, which provides flexibility should the macro environment deteriorate. As Richard mentioned, we have an incredible runway of high-quality oil and gas opportunities and sustained momentum in delivering value through greater capital efficiency. We plan to reallocate up to $400 million to these short-cycle high-return projects, primarily in the Permian. Any additional allocation of capital next year will be undertaken in a thoughtful manner with an eye to the oil market, given oversupply concerns. The quantum of that reallocation will depend on the macroeconomic environment, and we plan to share more on our 2026 capital budget during our fourth quarter call pending board approval. I will now turn the call over to Vicki for closing remarks.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

Thank you, Sunil. As we highlighted, the OxyChem sale represents more than just a business decision. It marks the final major milestone in the strategic transformation that we've been pursuing for years. With this step, we're accelerating opportunities to extend our advantaged low-cost resource position and leveraging integrated technologies to deliver differentiated recovery and superior value. We are confident that these actions will further strengthen our competitive position. With that, we'll now open the call for questions. As Jordan mentioned, Ken Dillon is joining us today for the Q&A session.

[Operator]

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touch-tone phone. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please limit questions to one primary question and one follow-up. If you have further questions, you may re-enter the question queue. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Today's first question comes from Doug Leggate with Wolf Research. Please go ahead.

[Doug Leggate, Analyst at Wolf Research]

Thank you. Good afternoon. I think it's good afternoon. I'm in New York. I was trying to figure out what time zone I was in. Vicki, maybe the first question is for Sunil, actually. It's on the capital gains that you just talked about there, the soft outlook. If I'm doing the math correctly, so you dropped about $300 million from the beginning of this year, so you were $72, but $900 million was chemicals, as I understand it, for next year. And I believe this year was $450 million on DAC. So that's about $1.35 billion. I'm trying to kind of get to the range for next year. If you add back the $650 million you talked about, are we in the ballpark to think that spending next year should be down about $700 million based on your remarks, Sunil?

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

Yeah. So Doug, you're right on the way you're approaching it. Like you said, midpoint for CapEx guidance for this year is $7.2 billion. Chemicals is $900 million. You back out that, you're at $6.3 billion. Like I mentioned, we're going to increase CapEx in the Gulf of America water flood projects and Oman, which is around $250 million, which will be largely offset by the roll-off of capital in our low-carbon venture portfolio. You're back to the $6.3 billion. With respect to U.S. onshore, like I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we are looking at potentially investing up to $400 million. You start with $6.3 billion, and it could be somewhere between $6.3 billion-$6.7 billion, depending on the macro environment. The other thing I would highlight is, like I said, with this increased spending in U.S. onshore, a proportion of U.S.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

Onshore CapEx as a percentage of the total CapEx will increase. What that means is a lot more flexibility if the macro is going to become more unfavorable. That is one important thing. I think, like Richard said in his prepared remarks, the way we think about capital allocation for U.S. onshore, if we were to adjust our capital program, I mean, first, we look at our efficiency, both operating efficiency and what we are seeing in the market. Second is potentially how we can defer some of our facility spending. The last thing would be in terms of activity. I think from a capital point of view, you are looking at somewhere between $6.3 billion-$6.7 billion with a larger proportion of U.S. onshore CapEx, where we have a lot more flexibility.

[Doug Leggate, Analyst at Wolf Research]

This stream is obviously very smart, Sunil, because it's sitting at $6.5 right now. That's really helpful. Thank you for that. My follow-up, if I may, is for Richard. I'll take advantage and also wish him congratulations for your new role, Richard. I'm thinking a Permian field trip might be on the offing, but we'll take that one offline. My question is, you did say you've added $2.5 billion resource, mostly in the Permian. You've obviously got, it looks like, sector-leading drilling per lateral foot cost now, and clearly the break-evens in the bar net are coming down. My question is, you haven't given us a resource, a drilling backlog, or a break-even for the sustaining capital for the portfolio. I wonder if you could address those.

[Doug Leggate, Analyst at Wolf Research]

Where does this leave your drilling inventory, and what would you say is the sustaining capital break-even at this point for the portfolio?

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Hey, Doug. This is Richard. Great to hear from you and appreciate that for sure. Always enjoy our Permian visits. Let me start just sort of addressing generally why resources. I think for a long time, we've been trying to characterize our strong unconventional resource base. And the way to do that was to talk about drilling inventory and think about break-evens against that. I think as we look forward, as we're explaining today, we're so much more than that. We have our big opportunities in our conventional assets and just felt like moving to more of a resource explanation was a better representation of what we are and the value that we have. If we sort of break down that $2.5 billion barrel Permian add, most of that, much of that, is coming from continued unconventional shale improvements. And in our view, this is technology.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

This is using our subsurface characterization to continue to fine-tune our design, especially around the secondary benches, which we felt like was important to point out in this highlight. It includes things like the Barnett, where we had an existing position. Much of that Barnett resource runs into our Central Basin Platform, where we've operated in our enhanced oil recovery business for a long time. Much of that continues, and that would be a direct translation to the drilling inventory that we've disclosed previously. The other piece is the EOR. We highlight the unconventional EOR today, but also across our conventional position. In total, we just felt like that was the right way to think about it. In terms of the Barnett, obviously, a big piece of that becoming competitive in our portfolio is the drilling cost improvement.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Just very pleased with the progress by the teams in the Midland Basin for what they've been able to do. We're seeing that across all of our basins. I think we highlight in one of the slides about a 14% total reduction in well cost across all of our unconventional drilling, same in the Rockies. In general, that's improving our resource base. I think going forward to the break-even, we'll continue to characterize that resource base with a break-even. I think we've talked about our projects for the year. Our annual program are all less than $40 break-even. On a project basis, we expect that to continue. Like we've shown in the past, it's always improving the resource. Expanding it, yes, but improving is the most important component of it, and cost is a big part of that.

[Operator]

Thank you. Our next question today, Marron G.M. with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

[Marron Guillermo Martin, CEO of Wealth Management Solutions at JPMorgan]

Yeah. Good afternoon. My first question is maybe on slide 16, perhaps for Richard. I was wondering if you could maybe give us more details on the demonstration pilot. Looks like in this example, you're highlighting CO2 injection around three years after initial production from the well. I was wondering if you could just talk about the applicability of this on older wells that may have been completed six, seven years ago, and maybe just a little bit about the math around the $2 billion BOE resource opportunity. That'd be helpful.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Yeah. Great. Appreciate that question a lot. The example we're highlighting on that slide in the Midland Basin, it was with CO2. These wells were originally online in about mid-2015. Your question's perfect. While they apply to historic wells like we're showing here, they also apply to more recent vintage as well. I'll walk through that math in a second. Just a little bit on that pilot. Again, that's about a 45% uplift. We had five injection cycles that were completed over those three years. We stopped and saw this 45% uplift. If we modeled out continued cycles of CO2 injection, this is where we get to the 60% and even 100% production uplift. That's where that comes from.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

If we look at the $2 billion barrel, if you think about recovery factors in the 8-12% with unconventional, if you look at this 45-100% uplift, now you're talking about reaching recovery factors in the 15-20%. That is likely a little bit more for the oil and perhaps a little bit less for the gas in an oil reservoir. If you look across the de-risked unconventional acreage where we have this opportunity, that's how we began to account for the $2 billion barrels of unconventional EOR. As I mentioned, we've got three projects that will be working into commercial development over the next couple of years. Those are really spread between New Mexico, Texas, Delaware, and the Midland Basin. Again, it's sort of an approach that can be applied to multiple areas.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Based on this technical work, we have another 30 development-ready projects across these basins that will be ready to develop. Again, as we think about the role of mid-cycle low decline cash flow in our outlook, we believe these can be very meaningful as we look forward into future years.

[Marron Guillermo Martin, CEO of Wealth Management Solutions at JPMorgan]

Great. That's helpful. My follow-up is Sunil mentioned that you could redirect $250 million of capital from the reduction in LCV capital back into the Gulf of America for water floods in Oman. I was wondering if you could provide some thoughts on what you believe these water flood projects can do to your productive capacity in the Gulf of America, maybe just thoughts on Gulf output as we think about 2026.

[Ken Dillon, SVP and President and International Oil and Gas Operations at Occidental]

Hi. Good afternoon. We now have two water flood projects, FID and GOA. These will result in improved recoveries of nearly $150 million BOE and significant reductions in decline rates over time. Potentially, these could lead to GOA declines going from 20% today to 10% in 2030 and 7% by 2035. A significant impact on the base. First up is at the Kingfield, which is a tieback to Marlin. There will be a dump flood, which requires very limited facilities. That will be on stream in Q2 next year. This will lead to a potential extension in field life of around 10 years. At Horn Mountain, we've used the latest OBN seismic with our in-house developed tools to place the first injectors. Two will be drilled in Q1 2027.

[Ken Dillon, SVP and President and International Oil and Gas Operations at Occidental]

In parallel, facilities will be installed in Horn Mountain, leading to a target injection date of Q2 2027 and an expected response date during late summer 2027. We have been ready to go for some time, and all the long lead items have now been placed. Returns expected to be in the 40-50% range for these projects. Overall, last time I talked about improving well performance, this time talking about lower decline. As you can see, we have had improved reliability both on rotating equipment and general facilities. We were aided by weather a bit, including, I would say, being able to get through a lot of fabric maintenance work in this time period. Overall, still working on next year's plan.

[Ken Dillon, SVP and President and International Oil and Gas Operations at Occidental]

Part of that is tying the construction activities for the water floods to the planned maintenance required offshore so that we only take the platforms down once and do not have multiple staggered turnarounds.

[Operator]

Thank you. Our next question today comes from Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

[Neil Mehta, Head of Americas Natural Resources Equity Research at Goldman Sachs]

Yeah. Good morning, Vicki. Good morning, team. This is an important time for Stratos as you guys are ramping this project up. As the rubber hits the road, just wanted to understand what the gating items are and early thoughts around startup activities.

[Ken Dillon, SVP and President and International Oil and Gas Operations at Occidental]

Good afternoon. Yeah. Overall, the Stratos phase one startup is proceeding well. Since we last talked, we've commissioned the central processing unit with water. Another major milestone was achieved. That was starting up the process compression facilities, which are required for CO2 injection. Siemens Energy, team, I have to say, including the CEO and the execs, have been incredibly supportive of the project. This is a large, complex machine, which basically started up first time. We've now started loading the first fills of pellets and chemicals and continue to start up the other unit operations. The next up are the centrifuges, and after that is the calciner. These are the two remaining unit operations before we export the CO2. We continue to optimize each of the units during startup, as we always do.

[Ken Dillon, SVP and President and International Oil and Gas Operations at Occidental]

While that does cost us some time now, it will pay tremendous dividends going forward. Priorities are to learn for long-term capture efficiency and uptime. Overall, we expect to be circulating KOH this quarter and injecting CO2 in Q1.

[Neil Mehta, Head of Americas Natural Resources Equity Research at Goldman Sachs]

Okay. Thank you. I had a couple of questions around just return of capital as the follow-up. I think following the OxyChem sale, I think investors definitely recognize the value in improving the balance sheet. Some of the concerns that we heard was about the legacy liability. I guess this will be the first time you'll have an opportunity to maybe address that and help people get comfortable around that. While I know that you can't knock out the preferreds until August 2029, is there an opportunity to opportunistically repurchase shares before then to help alleviate some of those concerns? I just want to give you an opportunity to address both of those. Thanks.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

Okay. With respect to the return of capital, we definitely want to take out all that we can, the $6.5 billion of debt first. Then beyond that, we are going to opportunistically buy back shares. It has to make sense. It's a value calculation for us to determine whether to do that or whether it's best to take down some more debt or put more into the business. One thing with respect to the use of cash, I want to make very clear to everybody, and that is that we're not going to aggressively put lots of extra barrels into an oversupplied market. When we're talking about the possibilities here on the call, I want you to understand that we definitely have plans to be very flexible in that.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

I think Richard may have an opportunity later to share more on what that's going to look like. We are going to stay within our means in terms of using the cash that we have, but not taking down too much cash off the balance sheet. We'll try to maintain about $3 billion-$4 billion on the balance sheet as we go forward. The legacy liabilities with respect to OxyChem, the bulk of those liabilities are outside the operating areas that were purchased. There's very little cash being spent or any necessary activities beyond what's already happening within those operating assets that were bought. Everything else is outside. It made no sense for those liabilities to go. What they're costing us right now is somewhere in the neighborhood of $20 million or so on an annual basis.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

The liability that's the largest, of course, is the Passaic. That Passaic, it's going to be spread over 20-30 years. This is going to take a lot of time to develop that and to work that. This really has minimal impact on us to maintain these. It's really not material to what we do. The repo, you want to talk about the Berkshire, Sunil?

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

Sure. So Neil, like again, I mentioned in my prepared remarks, now that we have got a debt target below our goal of less than $15 billion, and as Vicki outlined, we are going to be opportunistic with respect to share repurchase. It is going to be driven by the macro conditions, where our stock price is trading, cash on balance sheet, because our ultimate goal is to start or resume the redemption of the preferred once we get to August 2029. What you are likely to see is as we get towards August of 2029, we are going to start building up cash on our balance sheet. There is no formula as such in terms of share repurchase, but we are just going to be opportunistic considering or keeping in mind that by August 2029, we want to build cash on balance sheet.

[Operator]

Thank you. Our next question today comes from Paul Cheng with Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

[Paul Cheng, Analyst at Scotiabank]

Thank you. Good morning. Sunil, can I just clarify that in your 2026 CapEx, you're saying that you're going to redirect, say, $250 million from the LCV into the Gulf of America and Oman. Does that mean that LCV, we're not going to spend any money at all? I think for Richard, can you talk about the $400 million debt on the QuickPayback onshore project? What kind of production contribution was expected for 2026? The second question, exploration. With your resource, it seems like you are finding more ways to get resource from the onshore market. Does that mean that exploration will remain sort of like not the most important aspect for your program over the next several years? Thank you.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

Paul, with respect to LCV CapEx for next year, we think it's going to be around $100 million as we roll off capital with the completion of Stratos.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Yeah. I'll pick up a bit of the scenarios with the potential $400 million that Sunil talked about. I mentioned in my remarks sort of a target initial plan of $55-$60. What that means is really, if you think about continuing activity this year, that would be up to that $400 million that Sunil talked about. Actually flat in terms of resources that we would go from this year into next year. In terms of what that makeup for next year might look like for EOR, it's actually light. It's about $100 million between EOR and unconventional EOR. It's fairly light next year. It's actually pretty capital efficient as we look in the out years because we're not drilling wells. We're using CO2 in terms of the recovery. I also wanted to highlight we work scenarios below the $55 plan.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

That is one of the advantages of the allocation of capital into the U.S. onshore. We have plans that go below $50 to be able to adjust to really carry Oxy in total in terms of cash flow to meet a break-even and obviously cover our uses of cash. We have that mapped out. We have done it in the past. That is why we wanted to go into some detail on the thought process of how we react to lower oil prices. Obviously, we like to work through efficiency first, but we do have that activity flexibility in our operations, especially in the U.S., to adjust in lower oil price scenarios.

[Ken Dillon, SVP and President and International Oil and Gas Operations at Occidental]

Then in Goa, we've already started the fairings from exploration from next year into the following years. In Oman, these are not really big E exploration. These are step-out wells very close to our existing facilities, which can be brought online incredibly quickly.

[Operator]

Thank you. Our next question today comes from James West at Melius Research. Please go ahead.

[James West, Managing Director and Head of Energy and Power Research at Melius Research]

Hey, good afternoon, everyone. Vicki, maybe a bigger picture question for you. A lot of moving parts the last several years with Oxy. Lots of changes in the portfolio. You've been busy is the key here. With the OxyChem sale, are we going into now a quieter period, maybe a harvesting type of a period?

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

Absolutely. I'm thankful to be at this point finally. Yeah, we've gone through, there was a lot, as you said, going on, but this is where we wanted to be, and this is where we needed to be. We've done everything that we set out to do with respect to being mostly a U.S. company and with very high-quality, high-margin assets and assets that can sustain over the long term. We think that our portfolio is so much differentiated from anybody else because we not only have the high-return, but high-decline shale. It's complemented and will be complemented in the future by the conventional assets and conventional EOR along with unconventional EOR. When we look at where our portfolio stands today of our production, where our total development, 45% is conventional and 55% is unconventional.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

Going into the future, we have a ratio of looks like about of the total $16.5 billion that we have in resource, about 65% is unconventional, 35% conventional. The beauty of the unconventional is what Richard talked about, and that is the fact that in the unconventional, we're going to be able to use CO2 for enhanced oil recovery in the unconventional. It's going to recover, we believe, up to the same amount as primary production. We'll get 100% of what we got before. We're doubling our total recovery from the unconventional. That'll be actually low decline as well over time. We think that versus a pure shale player or versus those that have assets that are difficult to manage internationally and in foreign countries, we think that we're much better positioned with this portfolio.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

Yes, we're done with anything that's any big acquisitions or anything like that.

[James West, Managing Director and Head of Energy and Power Research at Melius Research]

Great. Thanks, Vicki.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Our next question today comes from Matt Portillo at TPH. Please go ahead.

[Matt Portillo, Partner and Head of Research at TPH]

Good afternoon. Maybe just a question to start out on the DJ. You highlighted in Q3 strong well-performance drove upside to your production figures. I was curious if you could just maybe comment on in the Rockies if you've changed anything on the completion or spacing design or what's really driving the outperformance there.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Yeah, thanks. A big part of that beat really the last couple of quarters has been our base production. A lot of work we've talked about in the past we've been doing around artificial lift, even using some analytics to improve our efficiency on that. That was the biggest part of it. We have had better new well performance as well. I wouldn't call it major changes. We just continue to tweak sort of our subsurface designs and our flow back. The base, actually, the production operations that support the base also help our new well production. A lot of that new well beat is just better uptime on some of our processing facilities.

[Matt Portillo, Partner and Head of Research at TPH]

Great. Maybe just a follow-up on the inventory. I was wondering if you might be able to comment on your views around your DJ inventory and how you might be able to flex capital in kind of a lower commodity price environment, just thinking through kind of the remaining locations left and obviously some of the upside that you've highlighted here in the Permian, how you can flex capital between those two basins.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Yeah, that's great. Yeah. We've been largely working in the DJ around an optimized activity set. We've had a couple of rigs and one Frac Core. That's been a big piece of it, continuing to show efficiencies, like I said, on well cost earlier. I think in the Rockies, as we look to the future, excited about the Powder River Basin. We continue to make progress there. We sort of have been working similar to the way I described the Midland Basin, where we first were sort of proving out the productivity of the wells really in the 2023-2024 timeframe. In 2025, we've had a partial rig year where we flexed a rig up to the Powder River Basin. We've had really drilling record after drilling record up there. We've improved about more than 25% versus last year in terms of drilling performance.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

That was a bigger part of it. Now really, as we look to 2026 and beyond, we have that opportunity to flex from the Rockies to the Powder River Basin. Again, do not really see an increase in capital, just more optimization in terms of that portfolio for the Rockies with that.

[Operator]

Thank you. Our next question today comes from Neal Dingmann at William Blair. Please go ahead.

[Neal Dingmann, Energy Analyst at William Blair]

Yeah, good afternoon, guys. I think my question is just on the low Permian well cost that you all showed for maybe through Richard. Is the larger projects contributed to that, or what was the main driver of that exceptionally low cost?

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Yeah. Great question. We've been on this mission the last couple of years to really relook at both the operational efficiency of our operations and working, like I mentioned earlier, around our contracts and service contracts. It's really been a bit of both. I'd say the scale in the Midland Basin certainly helped. We were able to combine really the best of the best from Oxy and our CrownRock, legacy CrownRock team, and really just worked on that piece of it. The scale certainly helped. I do agree with that.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

From an efficiency or from a contract standpoint, I think we were also entering a period where we made sure we were getting the right contracts for the right type of work. We have done a lot of work on that. We are fairly short right now in terms of contract term. We are working hard with our partners there to kind of think about how it looks going into 2026 and making sure we got those two pieces put together correctly.

[Neal Dingmann, Energy Analyst at William Blair]

Great point. Just to follow up, Richard, you have talked a lot on the EOR today and the amount of possible recoveries there. I am curious, what type of returns? I assume the returns around some of that incremental upside would be quite very positive, I would think, correct?

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

Yeah. We highlighted 25%-35% kind of where we are at today.

[Richard Jackson, SVP and COO at Occidental]

If we're able to increase the uplift like we're talking about, those are only going to get better. The goal obviously is to be competitive on our portfolio. The teams will be working on that. Again, that's the beauty of the portfolio that we have. It's not so much the expansion, but it's the competition to make sure that we're putting capital where best placed for the returns that we want.

[Operator]

Thank you. Our final question today is coming from Leo Mariani with Roth. Please go ahead.

[Leo Mariani, Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst at Roth]

Yeah. Hi, good morning. Really appreciate all the details on 2026. You certainly talked about the range of capital, $6.3 billion-$6.7 billion. Very helpful. Can you give us just some high-level indications of what would you kind of expect production to do in that range? Is that kind of a maintenance range for production, maybe at the lower end, and maybe you see a modest amount of growth at the high end? What can you kind of tell us about kind of associated production?

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

In terms of production, you would be looking something close to flat to potentially up to 2% growth.

[Leo Mariani, Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst at Roth]

Okay. That's very helpful. I guess any specific areas that largely kind of unconventional that kind of provides the growth for next year? Is that kind of the flex piece is really that $400 million, which I guess is mostly unconventional Permian?

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

That's right. The growth will be largely driven by unconventional Permian.

[Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental]

Right. As I mentioned, the flex down, we'll go after efficiency first to maintain activity, but in position to be able to cut activity as required based on the macro.

[Operator]

Thank you. That concludes our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Vicki Hollub for any closing remarks.

[Vicki Hollub, President and CEO at Occidental]

Before we close, I want to express sincere appreciation to the entire OxyChem team for their steadfast commitment to safety and operational excellence. Their achievements have contributed significant value over the years, and we are confident that OxyChem will continue to thrive under new ownership. Thank you all for your questions and for joining our call today.

[Operator]

Thank you. Today's conference has now concluded, and we thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.

Participants

Executives

• Vicki Hollub, President and CEO
• Richard Jackson, SVP and COO

Analysts

• Jordan Tanner, VP of Investor Relations at Occidental
• Sunil Mathew, SVP and CFO at Occidental
• Doug Leggate, Analyst at Wolf Research
• Marron Guillermo Martin, CEO of Wealth Management Solutions at JPMorgan
• Ken Dillon, SVP and President and International Oil and Gas Operations at Occidental
• Neil Mehta, Head of Americas Natural Resources Equity Research at Goldman Sachs
• Paul Cheng, Analyst at Scotiabank
• James West, Managing Director and Head of Energy and Power Research at Melius Research
• Matt Portillo, Partner and Head of Research at TPH
• Neal Dingmann, Energy Analyst at William Blair
• Leo Mariani, Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst at Roth