Americold Realty Trust Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
August 7, 2025

Key Takeaways

  • Negative Sentiment: Despite Q2 AFFO per share of $0.36 in line with expectations, the company cut full-year AFFO guidance to $1.39–$1.45 due to sustained demand headwinds.
  • Negative Sentiment: Same-store economic occupancy declined in Q2 and the seasonal uplift was removed, with management now expecting occupancy to remain pressured through year-end.
  • Positive Sentiment: Americold secured two new retail and QSR multiyear fixed-commitment contracts in Europe with major supermarket chains in Portugal and the Netherlands, boosting high-turn cash flow potential.
  • Positive Sentiment: Three key development projects—Allentown expansion, Kansas City rail cross-dock and Dubai DP World JV—went live under budget and on schedule, showcasing strong execution and innovation.
  • Neutral Sentiment: Pricing grew modestly, with rent and storage up ~1% per occupied pallet and services revenue up ~4% per throughput pallet, though U.S. pricing pressure is expected to persist.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Americold Realty Trust Q2 2025
00:00 / 00:00

There are 5 speakers on the call.

Speaker 1

Thank you all for joining our second quarter 2025 earnings conference call. This morning, I will provide an update on our four key priorities, our financial results for the quarter, and current market conditions. Rob will then discuss our customer service initiatives and development activity. Finally, Jay will review our capital position and liquidity and discuss our outlook for the balance of the year. Turning to our four key priorities and financial results for the quarter, we said Q2 would look a lot like Q1, and that's exactly how it unfolded. Starting with customer service, during the quarter, Americold Realty Trust was recognized as a top 3PL cold storage provider by Food Logistics Magazine. This award honors cold storage companies that are revolutionizing the global cold storage food supply chain and reliably delivering innovative and high-quality solutions throughout the world.

Speaker 1

We are honored to be recognized, and I want to thank our incredible team for their continued dedication to providing our customers with best-in-class service. As anticipated, same-store economic occupancy declined slightly in the second quarter versus the first quarter of the year. Q2 is typically the lowest seasonal quarter of the year for us, although it is difficult to define typical in the current environment. While we are pleased with the new business wins from our sales pipeline, occupancy gains have been slow to materialize given the ongoing demand headwinds. We recently had two new retail wins in Europe that are good examples of our strategy to expand our retail and QSR business across the globe and build on our leadership position. The profile of the retail and QSR businesses puts it near the top of our portfolio in terms of cash flow generation.

Speaker 1

Additionally, our rent and storage revenue from fixed commitment storage contracts came in at 60% for the quarter, reflecting the quality of our mission-critical assets and the value we deliver to the customers who occupy them. Turning to labor, the investments we have made over the past few years in training, engagement, and retention initiatives continue to pay dividends. During the quarter, our per-chip hours ratio was 75/25, giving us the ability to flex labor with demand while benefiting from the enhanced productivity that comes from having a dedicated and well-trained permanent workforce. You can see this reflected in the continued growth in our same-store warehouse services margin, which improved by 90 basis points year over year to 13.3% for the quarter.

Speaker 1

This continues to be a bright spot for the company, and we remain confident in our ability to deliver service margins in excess of 12% for the full year. Turning to pricing, in the second quarter, our same-store rent and storage revenue for economic occupancy pallets increased approximately 1% versus the prior year. Same-store services revenue for throughput pallets increased by 4%. While we expect to see continued pricing pressure across our U.S. business, the team has done an excellent job of strategically defending our market share and maintaining our pricing architecture while ensuring that we receive fair value for the critical and diverse services we provide. We believe service and operational excellence will become an even more important differentiator for Americold Realty Trust in the future as customers seek to turn inventories faster in an effort to realize working capital efficiencies.

Speaker 1

As I mentioned last quarter, Americold Realty Trust is a trusted and experienced operator that delivers value to customers far beyond price per pallet positions. Therefore, we are more capable of balancing price and volume versus most competitors where price is their only lever. On the development front, we have several key projects that were completed in the second quarter, including Kansas City, our flagship development with Canadian Pacific Kansas City, creating an efficient new way to move temperature-controlled products across North America, our Allentown expansion, which was driven by strong customer demand in the region, and our flagship development in Dubai in partnership with DP World. Rob will discuss these further in just a moment, but these facilities are great examples of our ability to leverage our scale, expertise, and unique strategic partnerships to drive innovative new market solutions.

Speaker 1

Turning to our financial results for the quarter, Q2 AFFO per share was $0.36. Our performance in the first half of the year has largely been on track, and the team continues to execute well. However, the combined impact of interest rates, tariffs, inflation, government benefit reductions, and excess capacity continue to press our occupancy rates across the industry. Based on our conversations with customers, we expect these headwinds will likely continue into the second half of the year as they remain hesitant to build inventories in an uncertain demand environment. With inventory levels low across the supply chain, we are also seeing customers taking the opportunity to leverage available capacity in their own infrastructure rather than utilizing third-party storage providers.

Speaker 1

As a result of these continued headwinds, we are taking a more conservative view of the market for the second half of the year, removing the traditional seasonal inventory build that we had been forecasting, and now expect occupancy levels to remain pressured for the balance of the year. Despite these headwind challenges, the team continues to execute well on our strategic priorities, and we remain focused on controlling what we can control, including lowering costs, improving efficiencies, and capturing new business. We are also actively pursuing alternative growth opportunities, such as expanding our retail and QSR business, as I mentioned earlier, and focusing on investments in underserved geographies around the world in need of infrastructure.

Speaker 1

Additionally, because of the operating component of our business, we have more leverage than a traditional REIT, and this quarter is a great example of our ability to manage the variable pieces of our business in a balanced approach to deliver AFFO results in line with expectations. This ability to manage the business tightly will be increasingly important in the second half of this year as we further adjust our cost structure to reflect the current demand levels. Jay will discuss these changes in more detail in a moment. First, I will turn the call over to Rob so he can discuss our development projects and customer initiatives in greater detail. Thank you, George, and good morning, everyone. Our commercial teams continue to execute well, and during the second quarter, same-store rent and storage revenue for economic-occupied pallets increased year over year by about 1%.

Speaker 1

Warehouse services revenue per throughput pallet increased by 4%. Although we continue to see some irrational pricing moves by competitors, we have the tools and visibility to thread the needle, balancing price and occupancy effectively while strategically defending our market share as appropriate. Our rent and storage revenue from fixed commitments came in at 60% for the quarter, maintaining the record that we set in the first quarter of the year. As a reminder, we believe 60% is the appropriate long-term level for this metric, given the composition of our customer base. Our top 100 customers represent approximately 70% of our total warehouse revenue, and the vast majority of these customers prefer having committed space. Balancing this with the more transactional nature of some of our smaller accounts led us to set the 60% area as our goal.

Speaker 1

While there could be some slight variability around this level, we believe the benefits to both us and the customers are clear. Meeting end market demand is a top priority for our customers, and having guaranteed space gives them the opportunity to reduce their per-pallet cost as they turn more inventory, allowing them to realize cost savings. This type of arrangement is more aligned with that of a traditional real estate lease and allows them to leverage the space as they see fit. For Americold Realty Trust, we get the benefit of having the vast majority of our contracts commercialized with multi-year agreements and do not lease that volume guarantees or rates on an annual basis.

Speaker 1

As a reminder, fixed commitments were approximately 40% of our revenue when we started this journey, and our progress over the past four years in transitioning our customer base to fixed commitments is a clear indication of the win-win benefits of the structure and of our team leading the industry in commercial excellence. Within our global warehouse segment, we have no material changes to the composition of our top 25 customers, who account for approximately 50% of our global warehouse revenue, and our churn rate remains below 4%. While the market remains competitive, we continue to win new business and have successfully converted on over 80% of the previously announced $200 million probability-weighted sales pipeline. The occupancy ramp for these new customers is taking longer than expected in the current environment, and the revenue benefits are somewhat muted by declines in the base business.

Speaker 1

Our overall sales pipeline remains healthy, and our wins continue to surpass where we were last year. As George Chappelle mentioned, we recently had two significant wins in the Europe region that highlight our growing leadership position in the operationally intensive and services-heavy retail segment of the market. The first win is with one of the largest supermarket chains in Portugal to utilize our 34,000-pallet position facility in Lisbon. We will now be providing them with frozen storage space and case-picking services under a multi-year fixed commitment agreement. Like most of our retail business, we expect the inventory to turn roughly 25,000 per year, making this an attractive cash flow business. The second win is with one of the largest supermarket operators in the Netherlands to utilize our 38,000-pallet position facility in Barneveld.

Speaker 1

They have ambitious growth plans over the next five years and will be utilizing our storage and case-picking services under a multi-year agreement with similar inventory turn expectations. Both the Lisbon and Barneveld facilities will be operating at well over 90% occupancy as these customers ramp in the coming quarters. The international team has done an excellent job of leveraging both the Americold operating system and our retail expertise in the U.S. and Asia-Pacific to expand our market share in Europe with these two new customer wins. Now I'd like to give you an overview of our development activities as we have three attractive projects that went live during the second quarter. First is our Allentown, Pennsylvania expansion, which was completed in Q2.

Speaker 1

This facility came in below budget at $79 million compared to an initial estimate of $85 million and adds 37,000 pallet positions and nearly 15 million cubic feet to our network. Allentown is an ideal location to receive imports from the Philadelphia and New Jersey ports and is the largest transportation hub in the Northeast. After the expansion, this campus will have over 100,000 pallet positions to service this key distribution market. This is an example of our low-risk, customer-driven approach to expansion projects as our original facility in Allentown was approaching 100% occupancy and the project was initiated due to demand from existing customers. I'm happy to report that we have moved the stabilization date for the building up by two quarters due to the high demand we experienced for this space immediately upon opening.

Speaker 1

The management team in Allentown is one of the best in the business, and I'm excited to watch them service our customers with this increased capacity. Second is our Greenfield facility developed in collaboration with CPKC in Kansas City, Missouri, which also launched at the end of Q2. This facility was originally anticipated to be $127 million and was also completed under budget at $100 million. As a reminder, this facility is North America's only single line rail service for moving refrigerated shipments between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. Customers of our new facility will be able to clear customs in Kansas City by passing the significant congestion and wait times that often occur at the border, resulting in faster delivery times, lower costs, and a much more environmentally friendly alternative to traditional over-the-road solutions.

Speaker 1

Much like a retail facility, this location will specialize in high-turn cross-dock operations, a complex and demanding component of the cold storage food supply chain that Americold is uniquely suited to handle. We are already seeing high demand for this space from our customers, which gives us confidence in our ability to deliver stabilization at the end of Q1 2026, which is three to six months faster than a typical development project. Finally, our $35 million state-of-the-art flagship build with DP World in the port of Jebel Ali in Dubai also launched during the second quarter. This facility is 40,000-pallet positions and connects to DP World's best-in-class port logistics solutions. This development was completed through our RSA joint venture and is another great example of Americold's ability to partner with multiple market leaders to identify new opportunities through our combined expertise.

Speaker 1

Additionally, we have several other expansion and development projects in process, all of which are on time and on budget. Domestically, we have our $150 million, 50,000-pallet position automated expansion in Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas. Internationally, we have our $30 million, 13,000-pallet position expansion in Sydney, Australia, our $34 million, 16,000-pallet position expansion in Crayfords, New Zealand, and our $79 million, 22,000-pallet position development in Port St. John, Canada, in partnership with DP World and CPKC. In May, I was honored to deliver the keynote speech at the Port St. John's Port Days event, where we also hosted a groundbreaking ceremony for our new facility. DP World and CPKC have made substantial infrastructure investments in Port St. John, which is Canada's largest Atlantic port by volume. The market is poised for significant growth, and our new world-class facility will support temperature-controlled food flows from Canada and the rest of the world.

Speaker 1

Our building is located on the grounds of the port facility, connecting us to the DP World infrastructure and CPKC rail line to create a unique end-to-end logistics solution. For customers, this means a more efficient way to move temperature-sensitive food through the port with reduced transit times and lower costs by shifting freight from trucks to rail. Longer term, we see this location as an important link in the supply chain ecosystem we are creating with CPKC to provide customers with an innovative and unique cold chain solution connecting Canada, the U.S., and Mexico. The reception at the port could not have been more welcoming and enthusiastic, and we are excited to further deepen our relationship with this location and our strategic partners. Our lane capture facility is ramping up, aligned with our expectations, proving the effectiveness of our automated retail technology.

Speaker 1

In order to prioritize the stabilization of the lane capture site, we have modified the stabilization date for the Plainville facility to Q2 2026. This also ensures we are fully stabilized for the ramp-up of the retail season next year. Overall, our development pipeline remains healthy at approximately $1 billion in high-quality, low-risk opportunities, aligned with our strategy to focus on our customer-dedicated new builds, customer-driven expansions, and unique cold chain solutions that are supported by our strategic partnerships. Outside of the expansion underway in Dallas, which is driven by strong demand from our existing customers, most of our projects we currently have underway are focused on our international business. We continue to pursue attractive opportunities to support our customers in several of these underserved foreign markets, particularly in Asia-Pacific, where occupancy rates are high and there's generally been less speculative development activity.

Speaker 1

We also remain focused on opportunities at the plant adjacent and retail nodes of the cold chain, where we can leverage our deep customer relationships and operational expertise in a segment of the market that is out of reach for many other cold storage providers. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jay.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Rob, and good morning. As George and Rob had mentioned, the teams continue to execute well despite what has otherwise been a choppy overall market environment. During the second quarter, we continue to make progress on our key operational priorities and win new business by managing the business tightly. As a result of these efforts, AFFO per share for the quarter came in at $0.36, and our first half performance has been largely in line with expectations. However, we did not see the typical seasonal uptick in occupancy and throughput materialize in either June or July. As a result, we are further muting our outlook for the second half of the year. We now expect same-store economic occupancy levels for the year to decrease by approximately 250 to 450 basis points and same-store throughput to decrease by 1 to 4%.

Speaker 2

Sequentially, we anticipate the throughput will lift slightly from Q2 to Q3, which will build occupancy levels modestly in Q4. As a result of these continued market headwinds, we are reducing our AFFO guidance to $1.39 to $1.45 per share. We continue to manage the business with an emphasis on AFFO, and because of the operating components of our business, we have more leverage to pull than our traditional REITs. Specifically, we are taking additional actions to reduce core SG&A and right-size our cost structure in line with the current demand environment, while still ensuring we continue to provide the superb customer experience that we're known for in the industry. Additionally, we are lowering our lane for maintenance capital expenditures in line with the slowdown in throughput, as many of the preventative maintenance activities are based on utilization.

Speaker 2

Despite the current economic volatility, which has impacted cold storage occupancy levels, we remain firmly focused on driving shareholder value. Based on a variety of different metrics, Americold Realty Trust is currently trading far below its asset value. Whether you look at capitalization rates, replacement costs, or on a cost-per-pallet basis, we have over $10 billion of critical cold storage temperature deployed around the world. When combined with a robust Americold operating system and our dedicated and experienced team of associates serving customers in an industry that is complex and operationally challenging, we believe that we are uniquely prepared to maximize growth when industry volumes improve.

Speaker 2

Turning to our balance sheet, our $400 million public bond offering closed early in the second quarter, and the proceeds of that offering were used to repay a portion of our outstanding revolver borrowings. As anticipated, we also executed the first of two 12-month extension options available under our $375 million term loan facility. Total net debt outstanding at the end of the quarter was $3.9 billion, with total liquidity of approximately $937 million, consisting of cash on hand and revolver availability. Net debt to core EBITDA was approximately 6.3 times. We currently have a number of development projects underway, and as they come online and stabilize, we expect the NOI generated from these facilities will allow us to deleverage throughout 2026 as we remain committed to managing the business to an investment-grade profile. We also continue to rationalize our portfolio and sell off underperforming or non-core assets.

Speaker 2

During the second quarter, we successfully completed three planned exits of viable facilities for total cash proceeds of $20 million. As a reminder, most of the facilities we are exiting this year are leased, and the majority of the customers' inventory can be relocated to nearby owned facilities, resulting in an accretive transaction for the company. We plan to exit six more facilities, including our Pleasantville, Georgia location, which was announced in early July. Additionally, as mentioned during our last call, we exited our minority ownership interest in the Superfrio joint venture in Brazil, resulting in approximately $28 million of cash proceeds. We have a disciplined internal approach to capital allocation and use the same discipline to ensure that we are receiving an attractive return on our investments.

Speaker 2

We believe the actions we've taken to rationalize portfolios so far this year will allow us to strategically redeploy capital into higher return projects and ultimately drive future growth and shareholder value. Now, I would like to turn the call back to George for some closing remarks.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Jay. While the external environment remains challenging from both the demand and supply perspectives, we have the operating experience to manage our variable costs while still meeting customer expectations. We believe our previous investments in technology, our labor force, and industry-leading commercialization position us to weather this unique environment where multiple headwinds are simultaneously converging. Americold's value proposition remains unparalleled and uncompromised, which has proven itself through our unique customer solutions, dynamic offerings, disciplined capital deployment, and versatility through multiple operating environments. I want to thank our 13,000 associates who work tirelessly all over the world each day to make our vision a reality. Your dedication, engagement, and enthusiasm are what make Americold the cold storage provider of choice around the world. With that, I'll turn the call back to the operator for questions. Operator.

Speaker 3

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star key. We ask that analysts limit themselves to one question and a follow-up so that others have an opportunity to do so as well. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from Samir Khanal with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 3

Good morning, everyone. I guess, George, you talked about the ability to hold pricing, but give us an idea of how competitive this environment is right now. You've kind of used the word challenging a few times here. You talked about pricing pressure, but any color would be helpful. Thanks.

Speaker 1

Yeah, good morning, Samir. I would say the storage market remains very, very competitive when it comes to pricing, and we're even still seeing some moves into irrational, to be honest. We consider it to be under a significant amount of pressure. We expect it to remain under pressure for the balance of the year and, quite frankly, until occupancy growth returns. Customers see the value in our strong operational execution and customer service, and that's reflected in our low churn, still under 4%, as we mentioned on the call. The value-added services we provide are a big differentiator when it comes to pricing. It makes the business very sticky. It makes it easier to get fair value for our services, and it makes it much more difficult to move the business. That's a strong asset in our portfolio in terms of defending price.

Speaker 1

It will remain under pressure for the second half of the year, and we are seeing it intensify in some cases as we move through the second half and occupancy remains challenging.

Operator

I think, Samir, the only thing I would add is that at Americold, we have developed the tools and we have the visibility to understand on a buy-service basis, customer by customer, what are our margins, our profitability, and we're using those tools, we're using that visibility that we've created to make sure that we do the right thing to balance price and occupancy so that we're doing the best thing for the business on a go-forward basis.

Speaker 1

I think in our guidance for GCBC, we've taken the storage pricing down. We haven't taken the handling pricing down, and that's very reflective of the value-added services we provide, the stickiness that they put in the business, and the fact that customers realize for many of the value-added services we provide, they get incremental values that others can't provide. That's a strong point. Maybe the last point on pricing is we're talking about a very U.S.-centric environment. Other geographies where we have 90+% occupancy, less speculative developments, investment opportunities. We're fortunate we have a global business, and it provides us opportunities around the world when one area of the world may be going through some economic pressures, others aren't. We're fortunate to have business in those geographies that we can continue to invest in.

Speaker 1

Thank you for that. I guess my second question is on fixed commitment storage contracts, you know, the 60%. I think it's even, you know, even taking that number up, I think it held sort of similar in that 60% range from last quarter. Can you provide color on kind of how these contracts work? Do customers have the ability to restructure these contracts given the challenges here? Thanks.

Speaker 1

Yeah, Rob could go through the details of the contracts. They are very, very structured, and I think we lead the industry not only in commercial excellence in general, but certainly in selling fixed commitment space, not just selling, but the structure of it in a second. You know, 60% was the target we set a couple of years ago. We said we would, we think that's an appropriate level for the business. I'll just remind everybody, last quarter we also said it's not going to remain tight to 60% quarter in and quarter out. There could be some fluctuation, particularly when we talk about the first question you asked. I'll turn it over to Rob to talk about the structure and the outlook.

Operator

Yeah, we're very pleased that we maintain the percentage at 60%. These contracts generally are structured as multi-year arrangements. They are fixed monthly fees that include a commitment on pallet positions that generally is tagged at the peak amount of space that a customer is going to need for the year. That's the key value for our customers is that it holds the space available for them during the traditional seasonal peaks when they need the space the most. There are generally multi-year agreements anywhere between, call them, three- to seven-year agreements if you're going into existing infrastructure. There are much longer-term agreements if you're going into dedicated infrastructure that'll be built on behalf of a customer, and they don't include annual volume resets. The opportunity to reset the agreement is when those contracts expire.

Operator

We've had a lot of success, as you've seen over the last couple of years, even in a challenging environment, of maintaining those fixed commitment levels and increasing them over the last couple of years. Now that we're at that 60% range, I went through my prepared remarks why we feel like that's the right goal. As George said, there could be some variability quarter to quarter. We continue to lead with that because it is a win-win from a selling standpoint for both us and for our customers.

Speaker 3

Our next question comes from Steve Sakwa with Evercore ISI. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 3

Yeah, thanks. Good morning. I guess we're not really surprised, George, by your commentary around cautiousness around the business and the outlook. I guess when I look at kind of the first half results and revenue down 1.4% on a constant currency basis, to get to the low end of the revenue of minus 4%, you'd obviously have to have a pretty large drop in the back half of the year. My thought was that you would have had easier comps coming in, and even if you can get the full seasonal build, it just would be hard to see things falling off that much on the revenue side. Can you maybe just help us walk through what's really pressuring the revenue growth in the back half of the year?

Speaker 1

Yeah, I think, Steve, there's a few things suppressing revenue growth in the first half of the year. First would be the discussion we just had around price. We talked about pricing pressure. We talked about irrational moves we see in the marketplace, and you see that taking our pricing guide down. That would be number one. Number two, we're facing a very unique situation when it comes to demand. There's probably five or six headwinds right now when you think of demand, whether it's interest rates, tariffs, inflation, potential SNAP cuts, GLP-1 drugs, excess capacity. I mean, any two of these, we could overcome and grow. The combination of five or six makes it very, very difficult not only to grow, but just to forecast things like occupancy and price. The lower end of the range is a very, you know, do we think we're going to get there?

Speaker 1

No, but we're guiding to the middle of the range. Price is under pressure and demand is under pressure. We're trying to be as conservative as we can. You're right. We thought we'd see a seasonal lift in the second half of the year, and we didn't see any. That also factors into how we put the guidance together. That's the outlook.

Speaker 2

Yeah, Steve, if you look at it sequentially, first half of the year, second half of the year, revenue is growing sequentially. What we have done and the reason why it's down versus prior year, we have removed any seasonality except for certain harvests that are guaranteed from our forecast. Sequentially, first half to second half, revenue is increasing.

Speaker 2

Okay. Maybe just talk, I guess Rob did a pretty good job walking through the development pipeline. I guess how are you just thinking about new capital deployment and kind of return hurdles? It seems like you had pretty good success on some of the developments, bringing costs in much lower. Maybe what drove those substantial savings? How do you think about new capital commitments and kind of return hurdles on new deals going forward?

Speaker 1

Yeah, I'll just make a few comments and turn it over to Rob. We don't see an issue on return hurdles. I mean, you know, when we deploy capital, we have to have a return that's reasonable for the risk we take. We think the 10% to 12% is that range. Is it conceivable we would do one under 10%? It would require special circumstances that we would communicate. In the main, we are still going to develop to the 10% to 12% hurdle rate. I was going to.

Operator

Yeah, I mean, as I outlined, Steve, first of all, we're very focused on new developments being in the three core priorities that we've outlined, which we feel are the lowest risk of development types of projects. When we're talking about customer-dedicated projects, we're talking about expansions in major markets where we already know, and that's aggregated demand that exceeds current capacity or these strategic partnerships that are about building an ecosystem that drives tremendous value for our customers. Future projects are really focused around those low-risk deals that we think will generate the traditional 10% to 12% return on invested capital margins that we've put out there for a while now. We're very pleased with the progress of our existing developments. That relaunch this quarter, all on time and under budget, is a testament to the team that we built here and our development capabilities.

Operator

We were able to bring those in under budget for a variety of reasons. A lot of enhanced procurement processes that we've talked about over the last few years that we've implemented through some of our operational improvements and Project Orion. We also went out and were able to secure incentives with some of the local governments in the municipalities where we were building. Very favorable there. Moving up the stabilization date in a facility like Allentown is really a big win for us. We're very pleased with the development, and we see that as a continued growth lever going forward. Steve, I'll just add what I mentioned earlier, which is a global company.

Operator

We have markets right now in our portfolio where we have a significant amount of assets at 90% plus occupancy and in a market that doesn't have a lot of speculative development that we can build today. There's still opportunities, I would say, to build with customers, obviously with our partners, and expansions in markets that we know have the demand and lack the supply that makes it attractive to invest in. There's no shortage of opportunities, and I think the pipeline remains attached, quite frankly. It's just that many of them are not going to be in the U.S., that's all.

Speaker 3

Our next question comes from Greg McGinniss with Americold Realty Trust. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 3

Hey, good morning. I just wanted to touch back on the lack of seasonal uplift. Are you able to provide some greater context around your occupancy expectations in both Q3 and Q4, and help us understand how far below prior expectations occupancy sits today?

Speaker 1

I think what we said was we don't expect any seasonality in the second half. Quite frankly, I mentioned on the call Q2 looked a lot like Q1. I think that the second half is going to look a lot like the first half. Q3, I think, might be a little overstated when you think of that's our highest quarter for power costs, and we think power costs might be a little higher than we forecasted. However, we think the fourth quarter is a couple of pennies too low. In the main, we would view the first half and the second half very analogous on almost every metric. Jay, I don't know if you want to add it.

Speaker 2

It really does. The change in our forecast for occupancy, you had talked on the last call that we were expecting a 200-bed sequential build in occupancy on seasonality. Based on how we saw in July and fall where we saw no seasonal lift, we basically eliminated that 200-bed sequential improvement in occupancy from our forecast.

Speaker 2

Okay. Thank you. You spoke about the factors impacting demand, whether it's interest rates, tariffs, inflation, what have you. Is there anything that could get your customers more confident in increasing inventory levels independent of those items, or is this going to be kind of completely macroeconomic driven? We really just need to see some improvement from that standpoint before the business starts to improve again.

Speaker 1

I mentioned five or six individual headwinds that are negatively affecting demand. The fact that we could overcome one or two of them, but the combination of five or six is very, very challenging. Some components I mentioned are transitory. If you think of interest rates, tariffs, inflation, those are things that should improve over time. We don't know when they're going to improve. We've tried to forecast the improvement in those macroeconomic parameters, and we haven't been very successful. As Jay mentioned, we've just removed the seasonality for the remainder of the year. Those are transitory in nature. They will improve over time. When they improve over time, consumer demand will improve over time. That's when we believe we'll start to see the occupancy gains. The others are a little more longer term, but I would say the others are more surmountable.

Speaker 1

Excess inventory will work its way through the system over time, etc. It takes some of those five metrics to improve, at least the macroeconomic ones, the transitory ones I mentioned. Then I think consumers' health improves, and then I think demand improves. When that happens, I can't predict. As I said, we're trying to predict that, and we've been unsuccessful a few times. The last thing I'll say, though, is that we're not standing still. We're actively pursuing the alternative growth opportunities Rob and I both mentioned in retail and QSR. We have a very unique market position there to sell these services, and we're making a lot of progress. I mentioned that's amongst the highest quick cash flow portfolio in our business, and we're excited to grow it. I also mentioned again, this is a very U.S.-centric problem.

Speaker 1

We have opportunities around the world that are very, very attractive to invest in and will turn our capital deployment probably in that direction, other than the partnerships we support. The point is our portfolio is large enough where we still have very attractive opportunities even in times like this.

Speaker 3

Our next question comes from Todd Thomas with Seaport Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 3

Yeah, hi, thanks. Good morning. George, you know, I think you said in your prepared comments that certain customers are integrating or taking control of their cold chain needs as opposed to utilizing third-party warehouses. Can you elaborate on that comment a little bit? Did that impact the 4% churn rate that you saw? Is there any way to sort of quantify that impact on demand? What segment are you seeing that most prevalent in? Just curious if you can talk about that a little bit as well.

Speaker 1

Yeah, I'd say it's another factor. I've classified it as a relatively minor factor, but many of our large customers operate a significant cold storage class one within their own company. It's a normal course of business to ensure that their own assets are full before they move product out to a 3PL. That's not new. What's a little bit different is they're maximizing cold storage space within their operation, which they may not normally use for storing the product they're using it for. There's a little bit they're being more aggressive because, quite frankly, their balance sheet is a little stretched at the moment and their P&L is a little stretched at the moment. It's slightly more aggressive behavior. I mentioned it within the context of what we're seeing in the U.S. markets. I'm not saying it's a significant driver or adder to the issues we face on demand.

Speaker 1

I would expect it to turn around very, very quickly when demand returns because the space that most manufacturers would use right now to store storage is not normally used for that. Once demand returns, I'm confident it'll come back. Think of it as more of an indicator as to how the environment is reacting right now and less as an impact on our business.

Speaker 1

Okay, got it. It sounds like as their inventory levels normalize, they'll increase, you know, capacity in their warehouses first and then look back towards third-party warehouses and operators.

Speaker 1

Which is normal for us. Yeah, which is normal for us. Think about it as giving you more context for the environment more than a significant impact on our financials.

Speaker 1

Understood. I wanted to also ask about the non-core asset dispositions, the planned exits. What's the buyer profile of these assets? Is it your sense that they'll continue to operate as cold storage facilities?

Speaker 1

Most of it, at least the assets, the buyer is the owner, essentially. We're returning leases. We have sold a couple of assets, but you're thinking of the details.

Speaker 2

Yeah, no, I mean, George, the bulk is that these are sales exiting and we're able to move the inventory to our own facility nearby. The three sales that I talked about, all very small sites. You can tell, you know, roughly $20 million of proceeds for the three sites. One was related to actually our transportation business over in Europe, and the other were just two small properties that we actually idled a while ago. We found, you know, I would say non-cold storage type individuals to buy us.

Speaker 3

Our next question comes from Craig Melman with Citi. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 3

Hey, guys. Jay, can you just tell us what was that $5.7 million in other income?

Speaker 2

Oh, the $5.7 million in other income, what? I don't normally get questions on other income on this call. What you saw there was the benefit of some of the sales transactions. It was some hedging transactions that we benefited from. I would say it was the bulk of the two items in other income.

Speaker 2

All right. That's worth these added as well?

Speaker 2

Yeah, because the hedging transactions are off that higher up. It's on different lines of the P&L that nets down to when you get to added those.

Speaker 2

Okay. Just the second question, George, I don't want to beat the dead horse here on the macro and demand. I know it's a little bit early to start thinking about 2026. When you look at the environment, and we're all trying to figure out sort of the growth algorithm for next year, outside of the developments that you guys have underway, potential acquisitions, from a core perspective, are there any near-term catalysts that you guys are seeing to shift the mindset of tenants to where we would see a reacceleration in inventory restocking? Should we just kind of think for next year, baseline, occupancy bounces around these levels because demand doesn't improve, and then just include the benefit of maybe capital deployment as we think about kind of trying to forecast?

Speaker 1

I think that's the big question we're all asking ourselves, Craig, what's it take to spur demand? I mentioned we now have multiple headwinds to demand. It's not a single factor by any means, and it's very difficult to handicap the effect of one demand driver on a % basis versus another. What we know is the cumulative effect is hard to come by. What would have to happen is some of those drivers would have to improve. We can overcome one or two of them. We can grow through one or two of them. We can't grow through four or five of them. Something would have to change. What I can tell you is customers are trying very hard to create demand. They're spending money behind promotions. They're spending money behind incentive plans and rebates.

Speaker 1

It's not lack of trying on behalf of customers, just having very, very difficult times in finding the right price points to drive volume where they're comfortable and retailers are comfortable. The gap is still very wide. I would say, one, not for a lack of trying on our customers' tasks, but two, with all the pressures on demand, we need to see some of them improve before we can reliably say that occupancy will improve with it. This is where, you know, I think for us as a business that has a big operating component, we have the opportunity to use all the levers and the tools in our tool belt to focus on earnings per share growth, even in an environment where occupancy is challenged. This is where we continue to drive productivity. We're focused on adding incremental value-added services into the business.

Speaker 1

We're focused on improving business mix by generating new business wins in the retail and QSR business that are higher cash flowing. Our customers aren't standing still, and we certainly aren't standing still. We're pulling every lever that we have to continue to drive this business forward, even in a challenged environment.

Speaker 1

I think the last part of the question was capital allocation. I wasn't sure the context of this, Craig, but what I will say is we have opportunities to deploy capital, and we will in areas of the world where they're not faced with the challenges we've been talking about. Our Asia-Pacific business, for instance, is doing exceedingly well. It's 90+% occupied. It is very retail and QSR-based, so investments down there make a lot of sense. Just making the point that with a global company, we still have very attractive areas to invest in. We have two very strong partners, CPKC and DP World, who are growing also. A lot of those are non-demand-driven opportunities to invest in, and we intend to take full advantage of those as well.

Speaker 2

Craig, to follow up on other income, as I said, partly from being on sale, partly from other income, $2.4 million was from the Superfrio disposition that was adjusted at an AFFO. The other was just the different types of hedging unwinds that offset a line item higher up. That's more specific numbers for you.

Speaker 3

Our next question comes from Blaine Heck with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 3

Great, thanks. Good morning. Just to follow up on Tom's earlier question, do you have any sense of how much additional capacity your customers have within their own infrastructure, just to store inventory? Is this a situation in which they're running at pretty full capacity and any incremental inventory build is going to come to you, or do you think they have significant additional underutilized space to kind of absorb before that spills over to the third parties?

Speaker 1

No, I don't. I made that comment for context purposes in terms of where we are. Our largest manufacturing customers have their own cold storage networks in their business. It would be a normal course of business to keep those 100% full at all times, right? Why would you ever, under good times or bad, pay for space when you have free space that you own? This isn't a new thing, and there's not a lot of capacity left. It's just an example of how difficult the times are to grow demand and volume. One anecdotal comment around the level of that pressure is how some large manufacturers are taking even more aggressive steps using space they wouldn't normally use for this type of thing to do that. Very unusual circumstances.

Speaker 1

When demand comes back, I think that all of that inventory moves back out because they'll need that space to perform operations in their normal business to ramp up demand or ramp up production. It's not a big deal. It's not a headwind we're particularly concerned about, but I put it in the script and talked about it only to provide context around what is going on with demand and the pressures that are out there.

Speaker 1

Okay, got it. That's helpful. George, we've been dealing with tariffs for several months at this point. Can you talk about any specific direct or indirect impacts to the business that you would attribute to the tariffs in place, maybe any concerns about specific products or trading partners looking forward?

Speaker 1

As we've said in the past, the direct impacts are very, very small in our business. I can't give you a particular product or category. I mean, everybody knows that protein exports have been under pressure for a while now, as you said, etc. It's the indirect impacts that hurt us the most. It's the fear of inflation. It's the lack of consumer confidence. It's everything we said a month, a quarter ago. The indirect impacts on overall consumer health impact our business far, far more than the direct impact of tariffs on our business. I think that's true of the total food business. There's not, you know, outside of exporting raw materials and importing raw materials, a lot of finished goods that get sent around the world. I think the indirects far outweigh the direct impacts on our business with respect to tariffs.

Speaker 1

It's all noise and it's all turmoil and it all impacts demand at the end of the day. That's why we have it on the list.

Speaker 3

Our next question comes from EB10 with Trill Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 3

Thank you. Taking my question. Going back to your second half occupancy guidance that you're calling for basically flat, I'm just curious about that because part of what drives that seasonality is the holiday season, right? The Thanksgiving, Christmas season. I'm already at lower occupancy levels. I'm just curious why there wouldn't be some type of seasonal uplift. Do you think there might be more customer churn? Are you, will you lose some business in the second half? I'm just trying to reconcile those statements. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Yeah. I understand. Keeping the second half of the year, by the way, occupancy is up because of the agricultural harvest that will occur, as Jay mentioned earlier. If you remove those annual events, occupancy is flat. We have removed seasonality around the holidays, and we've done it because we didn't see any seasonality around the summer. Which maybe is an overly conservative approach. We are not anticipating losing any business. We think our churn will remain well below 4%. We don't see any customer losses in the second half of the year. It's not driven by any of that. It's driven by we haven't seen any seasonality through the summer. We asked ourselves the question, should we plan, should we forecast seasonality in the second half of the year? We came to the conclusion that perhaps a conservative approach, but prudent in our opinion, is to not forecast it.

Speaker 1

It's very simple.

Speaker 1

Okay. Just one more question on your development. I'm looking at page 28 of your supplemental. You have a lot of projects here that are coming online, various stages. I just want to make sure that we don't double count the growth from this platform next year. Given that you don't really show how much NOI you're already capturing in the run rate, I was wondering if you could provide some color on what the incremental NOI growth could look like here on out.

Speaker 2

I mean, you can look at our fixed commitment storage contracts in our non-core asset dispositions. You can see that, you know, generating minimal NOI currently. If you look at our guide, it does dip a little bit as we go into Q3 because with Kansas City coming online, with Allentown coming online, you have the startup costs associated with starting. Overall, if you look at the stabilization date, you apply the return, and you offset by the small amount of NOI you see in non-core asset dispositions, that's how I would model it.

Speaker 3

We have reached the end of our Q&A session, which now concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for participating.

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