AG Mortgage Investment Trust Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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Provided by Quartr
April 29, 2026

Key Takeaways

  • Negative Sentiment: The company's book value fell 4.9% to $9.97 in Q1 and GAAP net loss was about $8.7M, driven by March unrealized portfolio losses, though management says at least 50% of that decline had recovered by April.
  • Positive Sentiment: Earnings available for distribution (EAD) was $0.26—enough to cover the newly raised quarterly dividend of $0.24 (the fourth increase since early 2025) and management said it intends to continue passing earnings through to shareholders.
  • Positive Sentiment: TPG MIT is executing its strategy into higher-return residentials, securitizing ~$500M of home equity loans (plus a subsequent ~$430M non‑agency deal) and growing ArcHome (now 56% owned), which contributed ~$0.04 to EAD and reported lock volumes of $1.3B (up 25% YoY).
  • Positive Sentiment: Portfolio credit metrics remain strong with serious delinquencies of 1.3% in non‑agency and 0.4% in home equity, and an average loan‑to‑value around the low 60% range, supporting confidence in underlying asset performance.
  • Neutral Sentiment: Management is de‑risking legacy WMC commercial holdings (retail sale progressing; 2 of 4 hotels have LOIs) with financing extended through September and expects some exits by year‑end (others may slip into 2027); the company ended Q1 with about $100M of total liquidity to redeploy but timing and final outcomes remain uncertain.
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Earnings Conference Call
AG Mortgage Investment Trust Q1 2026
00:00 / 00:00

Transcript Sections

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Operator

Good day. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. First quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After management's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. In order to ask a question during the session please press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance please press star then zero. I'd now like to turn the call over to Jenny Neslin, General Counsel for the company. Please go ahead.

Jenny Neslin
General Counsel at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the first quarter 2026 earnings call for TPG Mortgage Investment Trust. With me on the call today are T.J. Durkin, our CEO and President, Nicholas Smith, our Chief Investment Officer, and Anthony Rossiello, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, please note that the information discussed in today's call may contain forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements made during today's call are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, which are outlined in our SEC filings, including under the headings "Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements," "Risk Factors," and "Management's Discussion and Analysis." The company's actual results may differ materially from these statements.

Jenny Neslin
General Counsel at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

We encourage you to read the disclosure regarding forward-looking statements contained in our SEC filings, including our most recently filed Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, and our subsequent reports filed from time to time with the SEC. Except as required by law, we are not obligated and do not intend to update or to review or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. During the call today, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to our SEC filings for reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures. We will also reference the earnings presentation that was posted to our website this morning. To view the slide presentation, turn to our website, www.mitt.tpg.com, and click on the link for the Q1 2026 earnings presentation on the homepage.

Jenny Neslin
General Counsel at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Again, welcome to the call, and thank you for joining us today. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to T.J.

T.J. Durkin
CEO and President at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Thank you, Jenny. Good morning, everyone. During the first quarter, we experienced a familiar dynamic. In the beginning of the quarter, the company benefited from additional moderation of interest rate volatility, lower rates, and strong residential credit fundamentals, along with increased demand for risk across the entire non-agency capital stack from investors. These favorable conditions abruptly unwound in March following the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, weighing on asset valuations broadly. Despite the challenging macro backdrop that put pressure on this book value for the first quarter, declining from $10.48 to $9.97, we maintained a disciplined leverage profile and remained focused on executing our core strategy of rotating capital into higher returning residential credit strategies and scaling profitability at Arc Home.

T.J. Durkin
CEO and President at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

These efforts produced the AD of $0.26 for the first quarter, more than covering our most recently declared dividend of $0.24. Further, we'd like to note that although it's too early in our process to comment on April book value, we believe we have already recovered at least 50% of the previous quarter's unrealized book value decline. Before turning the call to Nick to go into more details, I would reiterate that we have consistently executed our previously stated objectives and believe we have clear line of sight into more powerful ROEs and EAD as we look ahead into 2026. We have been able to raise our dividend in four of the last six quarters as we continue executing our stated objectives discussed on our last quarter's call. We look forward to continuing to share our progress in the coming quarters.

T.J. Durkin
CEO and President at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

I'll now turn the call over to Nick.

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Thanks, T.J., and thank you everyone for joining us today. We ended the first quarter with an investment portfolio of $8.1 billion. Our activity remained focused on home equity and non-agency credit, where we continue to see attractive risk-adjusted returns and strong structural demand. We securitized approximately $500 million of home equity loans, building on a partnership formed with a market leading home equity originator a few years ago. Home equity remains core to our strategy, and we believe this segment will provide the company compelling opportunities as this residential housing segment continues to grow. In addition to this transaction, we executed another securitization subsequent to quarter end, comprised of approximately $430 million non-agency residential mortgage loans. Importantly, we maintained our disciplined leverage profile. The company's economic leverage stands at a conservative 1.7x.

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

While we have been able to grow earnings at these leverage ratios, we believe we can prudently move this up over time to drive additional earnings power. The credit performance of the company's residential portfolio continues to be a core strength. Serious delinquencies in our non-agency portfolio stand at just 1.3%, while our home equity portfolio is even lower at 0.4%. The portfolio is comprised of high-quality borrowers with significant equity in their homes. On average, the non-agency and home equity portfolios have a low 60% loan-to-value. On the commercial side, we are seeing positive momentum as we manage our legacy WMC commercial holdings for exit. We are focused on de-risking these positions, which will further free up equity for redeployment in our core strategies. Higher returning residentials. Moving on to Arc Home.

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Arc Home has reached a clear inflection point. Despite the macroeconomic headwinds this quarter, Arc Home delivered a meaningful contribution to our EAD of approximately $0.04 per share. We saw continued strength in lock volumes of $1.3 billion, a 25% increase year-over-year, driven by strong non-agency originations. Our decision to increase ownership stake to 56% is starting to pay off as the platform gains market share and improves gain on sale margins. Before handing the call over to Anthony, I'd like to close with some thoughts around our strategy and the macro outlook. We entered the second quarter with significant momentum. While market volatility impacted our book value this period, we see a path to recovery. Since quarter-end, we observed an improving, though admittedly fragile, macroeconomic environment.

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

If this continues, we expect a return to trends we saw in the earlier parts of this year and believe this environment is likely to lead the market to revisit the heights of the year, which would reverse much, if not all, of the book value decline we saw in Q1. As T.J. mentioned in his remarks, at this point we believe we've already recovered at least 50%. We are well-positioned to navigate this volatility and continue to grow earnings while delivering superior risk-adjusted returns. Anthony, over to you.

Anthony Rossiello
CFO and Treasurer at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Thank you, Nick, and good morning, everyone. During the first quarter, we continued to focus on rotating capital into our home equity portfolio. We successfully executed one home equity loan securitization and maintained our momentum in the securitization markets with an additional deal in April. Importantly, we realized continued strength in our Earnings Available for Distribution or EAD. This performance was supported by earnings growth at Arc Home despite a volatile quarter, which resulted in our EAD once again exceeding our increased dividend level. Reflecting this ongoing improvement in earnings, we announced our fourth dividend increase since the beginning of 2025, raising our quarterly dividend to $0.24 per share. Moving to our financial results. Book value decreased 4.9% to $9.97 per share, resulting in a negative 2.6% economic return when considering our $0.24 dividend.

Anthony Rossiello
CFO and Treasurer at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

We reported a GAAP net loss of approximately $8.7 million or $0.27 per share, entirely driven by net unrealized losses on our investment portfolio, which were partially offset by gains on our hedge portfolio and investment in Arc Home. These unrealized losses reflect the March macroeconomic volatility, which drove rates higher and caused spreads to widen. Despite these unrealized losses, which have begun to retrace in April, the company's operating performance remained strong, delivering durable net interest income, earnings growth at Arc Home, and a controlled expense load, all of which supported our increased dividend and demonstrate the embedded value of our strategy. EAD of $0.26 per share increased from the prior quarter and fully covered our $0.24 dividend.

Anthony Rossiello
CFO and Treasurer at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Net interest income, including hedge income, was $0.67, which exceeded $0.45 of operating expenses and preferred dividends to generate net earnings of $0.22 per share. Arc Home contributed an additional $0.04 to EAD, driven by continued strength in origination volumes and improved gain on sale margins. While the performance of our investment portfolio and Arc Home delivered a double-digit ROE on book value, we see meaningful upside as we optimize the balance sheet. Specifically, the deployment of liquidity from unlevered home equity loans and the resolution of non-accrual commercial loans represent clear catalysts to deploy capital into higher yielding residential investments, further enhancing shareholder returns. Lastly, we ended the quarter with approximately $100 million in total liquidity, consisting of $49 million in cash, $50 million of committed financing on unlevered home equity loans, and $1 million of unencumbered agency RMBS.

Anthony Rossiello
CFO and Treasurer at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

This concludes our prepared remarks, and we'd now like to open the call for questions. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad now. To withdraw yourself from the queue, you may press star two. Again, to ask a question that is star one on your telephone keypad. We'll take our first question from Doug Harter with BTIG. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Doug Harter
Doug Harter
Analyst at BTIG

Thanks. Can you talk about your, you know, your thoughts on, you know, on continuing to increase the dividend versus, you know, some ability to retain some capital, just given your commentary that you expect, you know, further upside in earnings power?

T.J. Durkin
CEO and President at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Doug, it's T.J. Good to hear from you. I think we're running, you know, fairly conservative economic leverage. In terms of, you know, having excess liquidity for, you know, margin call risk, I think we've done a good job of alleviating a cash drag. As we think about growing earnings power, you know, continuing to rotate the equity out of the CRE loans, which I'm happy to talk about, and then, you know, other capital rotation from, you know, potentially calling seasoned deals, et cetera. I mean, I think we see a pretty linear path of how to rotate capital without needing to reserve a ton for other purposes.

Doug Harter
Doug Harter
Analyst at BTIG

Right. I mean, right. I guess just as you think about that increased earnings power, how do you think about how much of that kind of gets passed through the dividend versus how much of that could be retained to support future growth?

T.J. Durkin
CEO and President at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

I mean, I think we're looking to, you know, continue to pass that through to our shareholders in the form of the dividend and satisfy the retest.

Doug Harter
Doug Harter
Analyst at BTIG

Great. Appreciate that. T.J., if I could take you up on your offer to kind of talk a little bit more about the CRE loans and, you know, kind of how we should think about the timing of resolution there and, you know, freeing up that capital.

T.J. Durkin
CEO and President at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Yes. I think big picture, we're making good progress on the remaining assets. It's, you know, taking longer than any of us would like. I think this is evident. The progress is evident. We've been able to extend our facility with our lender out six months. We have clean financing through September this year. From an asset perspective, I really, you know, sort of break it up into three distinct situations. The retail asset sale process is moving along nicely. We would hope to have much more detailed information to share with you on next quarter's call. Two of the four hotel assets have assigned LOI, and we're progressing accordingly, albeit behind probably where the retail asset process is.

T.J. Durkin
CEO and President at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

I think the last two hotel assets are gonna, you know, be behind that and take a bit longer. We're working, you know, through those locations and hope to have them sort of wrapped up by the end of this year. It may drift into 2027 for the last two.

Doug Harter
Doug Harter
Analyst at BTIG

Great. Appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We'll move next to Marissa Lobo with UBS. Your line is open.

Marissa Lobo
Marissa Lobo
Analyst at UBS

Thank you. Good morning. Could you give us some more information on miscibility exercise call rights? Much of that remains to be executed. You know, how do you feel about current risk?

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Thanks for your question, Marissa. As we've stated in previous prepared remarks and Q&A historically, a lot of that has to do with outright levels of spreads and interest rates. Over the last quarter, we saw a retracement to higher rates, higher volatility, higher spreads into the beginning of this quarter. We've gotten a good amount of that back. Maybe not completely in the front end of the curve. All these elements play into what the economics on calling transactions. We're not gonna hold out for every last penny. We'll look for stabilization of the market, which is happening pretty quickly. You know, hopefully we have good news in the coming quarters on actually executing on them. That's sort of the path forward from there. If that answers your question.

Marissa Lobo
Marissa Lobo
Analyst at UBS

It does. Thank you. Could you also expand on the opportunity in agency eligible loans? You know, what is your outlook there for volume and aggregate agency and returns?

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

I mean, on the agency-eligible side, we've done a decent amount of this issuance, in previous years, previous quarters. You know, a lot of our focus has really been more on higher returning opportunities in the non-agency and home equity space. There's still compelling opportunities, although less compelling in our, in our view. You know, there have been market adjustments that have entered that space with lower cost of capital, which maybe makes it a little bit less interesting, to ourselves. That being said, I do expect to see others continue to grow and participate in that market, marketplace.

Marissa Lobo
Marissa Lobo
Analyst at UBS

Thank you. Appreciate the color.

Operator

Thank you. We'll move on now to Crispin Love with Piper Sandler. Your line is now open.

Crispin Love
Crispin Love
Analyst at Piper Sandler

Thank you. Good morning. I have a follow-up on the earnings power and ROEs you're generating, I think roughly 10% core ROE today. I'm curious where you think that could trend, what ROE targets are attainable and over what time frame as ARC continues to be a larger contributor to EAD and as you rotate capital into higher return resi investments as the WMC investments mature.

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Yeah. Thanks for the question and thanks for dialing in. This is Nick. When you think about, you know, growing the ROE of the company, it's gonna be derived from three primary sources, which we've, you know, said over previous quarters. Really, you know, the returning of equity capital in the commercial book, growing ROEs at Arc Home and then the calls. All of that gives us line of sight into sort of achieving the ROEs that are being achieved across the broader business as we just have disclosed in the earning presentation. That's really the path forward is really just taking those pockets and redeploying capital. Obviously in Arc Home side that's less of a redeployment story. We believe that there's strong momentum there and we expect that to continue.

Crispin Love
Crispin Love
Analyst at Piper Sandler

Okay. Great. Just on Arc Home, can you discuss a little bit what you've seen so far in the second quarter, just high-level trends, volumes and mortgage rates. Mortgage rates peaked around quarter end have improved since, improved a bit since then. Getting into a little bit of a seasonally more conducive environment for mortgage, but still a little bit of a challenging factor. Just curious, where you stand right now on Arc Home and trends you're seeing?

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Yeah. Normalizing for the seasonality may be slightly below budget, but it's still early. You know, we're still seeing, you know, gains, maybe that just, you know, speaks to our ambition of our budget there. There has been a lot of healing. The gain on sales have been healthy. The expectation is that the budgeted volumes will normalize and achieve what we originally penciled out. You know, early signs are good for Q2. As you alluded to, obviously, you know, seasonally, this is an important part of the year for them.

Crispin Love
Crispin Love
Analyst at Piper Sandler

Great. Appreciate it. Thanks for taking the question.

Operator

Thank you. We'll move next to Bose George with KBW. Your line is open.

Frank Gilliam
Frank Gilliam
Analyst at KBW

Thank you. Good morning. This is [Frank Gilliam] on for Bose. I just wanted to start with a follow-up on the commercial discussion. Do you think we could expect an additional marks on some of the sales? They're continuing to be ongoing, but any color there would be great.

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Yes. I think as we continue to go through the sales process, get more information from the market, I think we're generally reflecting that in the current valuation. Barring surprises, I would say the answer is no.

Frank Gilliam
Frank Gilliam
Analyst at KBW

Okay, great. Pivoting to the home equity notes. You scaled it nicely over the past two quarters. Trying to think about how large can that get as a percentage of portfolio. You know, you note 29% ROEs. Are those returns still available on new production today? Where's the best risk-adjusted returns in that market today? Thanks.

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Yeah. Thanks, Frank. This market has expanded pretty, you know, with a good pace, call it 25% a year, really in earnest since 2023. We expect that pace to continue or to accelerate. We expect it to be the largest non-agency or securitized product non-agency sector, in this, you know, at some point this year, if not next. We still think there's a lot of runway for the opportunity. From a return standpoint, while there is increased competition, it's not nearly as competitive as other segments of the non-agency market, and that's despite its performance having been a standout versus the broader non-agency market. We still continue to see a good amount of opportunity in this segment. From a deployable capital standpoint, you know, we don't have any concerns on being able to recycle capital into this segment from MIT.

Frank Gilliam
Frank Gilliam
Analyst at KBW

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from Trevor Cranston with Citizens. Your line is now open.

Trevor Cranston
Analyst at Citizens JMP Securities

Hey, thanks. There's been some reports about, you know, increasing delinquency levels in some of the recent vintage non-QM products. Can you guys comment specifically on, you know, your non-QM segment of the portfolio or if you guys are seeing any sort of deterioration in performance or just an update there would be great. Thanks.

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Yeah. One, the sort of underperformance of non-QM is less relevant to MIT given our transitioning over to other segments, you know, over two years ago. You know, most notably really the agency-eligible segment and then the home equity segment. Our agency-eligible book is performing better than prime jumbo, which is shocking to say out loud, but that's a fact. Our home equity segment, the delinquencies are, you know, less than a quarter of the delinquencies of the broader non-QM market, which is where most of the concern is. MIT as a vehicle is inflated versus sort of the underperformance versus underwrite. You know, we still are constructive broadly in the non-QM space.

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

I think it's worth noting that generally our credit selection has been tighter than the broader universe, which is driving some of that outperformance. You know, we don't view our book as a comp versus other folks. You know, over the years, like, there's been some, you know, degradation in performance for various reasons. We don't see MIT as it being exposed to that.

Trevor Cranston
Analyst at Citizens JMP Securities

Okay. Great. Appreciate the comments. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press the star then one on your telephone keypad now. We'll move on to Jason Weaver with Jones Trading. Your line is open.

Jason Weaver
Jason Weaver
Analyst at Jones Trading

Hi, guys. Good morning. I was just curious about the 9.5% notes due 2029. Those are obviously the most expensive part of the capital stack right now. It's three years out, but I believe they've become callable relatively shortly. With your EAD coverage, tell us how you're thinking about maybe doing a refinancing tender partial pay down. Any thoughts there?

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

No, I mean, we're always evaluating the entire capital structure. To your point, they are coming callable. There's two separate notes that were issued not too far away from each other and they'll be coming up later this year. To the extent rates in the market move in the right direction, we'll certainly be looking to explore refinancing or de-levering those.

Jason Weaver
Jason Weaver
Analyst at Jones Trading

Got it. Thanks. Then on just overall purchase activity. Your volume this quarter was well below, you know, the fourth quarter, I think $87 million versus $284 million or so. Is that more of a strategic or a timing issue over time? Were you waiting for wider spreads to get involved or can you talk about that a bit?

Nicholas Smith
CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

It's a little more complicated than that. While the portfolio decreased on a GAAP basis, it's really because the structures for the most recent transactions result in the company not consolidating these deals. You know, had we consolidated those deals, we actually would've had modest growth. I think, you know, there's a little bit of form over substance, you know, given those nuances.

Jason Weaver
Jason Weaver
Analyst at Jones Trading

All right. That makes sense. Thank you for that color.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, there are no further questions in queue, and I'll turn the meeting back to our hosts for any closing comments.

Jenny Neslin
General Counsel at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust

Thank you to everyone for joining us this morning and for your questions. We appreciate it and look forward to speaking with you again next quarter. Have a great day.

Operator

Thank you. This brings us to the end of today's meeting. We appreciate your time and participation. You may now disconnect.

Analysts
    • Anthony Rossiello
      CFO and Treasurer at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust
    • Crispin Love
      Analyst at Piper Sandler
    • Doug Harter
      Analyst at BTIG
    • Frank Gilliam
      Analyst at KBW
    • Jason Weaver
      Analyst at Jones Trading
    • Jenny Neslin
      General Counsel at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust
    • Marissa Lobo
      Analyst at UBS
    • Nicholas Smith
      CIO at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust
    • T.J. Durkin
      CEO and President at TPG Mortgage Investment Trust
    • Trevor Cranston
      Analyst at Citizens JMP Securities
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