Star Bulk Carriers Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: Star Bulk reported solid first-quarter profitability with net income of $58.5 million, adjusted EBITDA of $114.3 million, and adjusted EPS of $0.52, while generating strong cash flow from its diversified fleet.
  • Positive Sentiment: The company continued to return capital to shareholders, repurchasing about 1.9 million shares for $37.9 million and declaring a $0.50 per share dividend for the quarter.
  • Positive Sentiment: Management emphasized a strong balance sheet with $432 million in cash, $874 million in debt, $110 million of undrawn revolver capacity, and 29 debt-free vessels worth about $700 million, providing flexibility and downside protection.
  • Neutral Sentiment: The company said its fleet renewal and efficiency program is progressing, including eight Kamsarmax newbuildings due in 2026, ongoing energy-saving device installations, and selective sales of older vessels to improve fleet quality.
  • Positive Sentiment: Management sounded optimistic on dry bulk market fundamentals, citing favorable supply dynamics, longer ton-mile demand from geopolitics, and supportive commodity trends, while noting that elevated shipyard costs and a limited order book should restrain future supply growth.
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Earnings Conference Call
Star Bulk Carriers Q1 2026
00:00 / 00:00

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Operator

Thank you for standing by, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Star Bulk Carriers conference call and first quarter 2026 financial results. We have with us today Mr. Petros Pappas, Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Hamish Norton, President, Mr. Simos Spyrou, and Mr. Christos Begleris, Co-Chief Financial Officers, Mr. Nicos Rescos, Chief Operating Officer, and Mrs. Charis Plakantonaki, Chief Strategy Officer of the company. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. There'll be a presentation followed by a question and answer session, at which time, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. I must advise you, this conference call is being recorded today. Without further ado, our speaker today, Mr. Begleris. Please go ahead, sir.

Christos Begleris
Christos Begleris
Co-CFO at Star Bulk Carriers

Thank you, operator. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for joining us today. I'm Christos Begleris, Co-Chief Financial Officer of Star Bulk Carriers, and I would like to welcome you to our conference call regarding our financial results for the first quarter of 2025. Before we begin, I kindly ask you to take a moment to read the Safe Harbor statement on slide two of our presentation. In today's presentation, we will review our first quarter 2026 company highlights, financial performance, capital allocation initiatives, cash evolution during the quarter, operational performance, our continued investments in the fleet, developments on the regulatory front, and our perspective on industry fundamentals. We will then open the floor for questions. Turning to slide three. The first quarter was characterized by solid profitability, disciplined capital allocation, and continued balance sheet strength.

Christos Begleris
Christos Begleris
Co-CFO at Star Bulk Carriers

Net income amounted to $58.5 million, while adjusted net income reached $63 million or $0.52 adjusted earnings per share. Adjusted EBITDA was $114.3 million, demonstrating the strong cash-generating capacity of our platform. On the shareholder returns front, we continue to actively return capital to our shareholders. Share repurchases during the first quarter and until today, we have repurchased approximately 1.9 million shares, totaling $37.9 million. On the dividends front, our board of directors declared a $0.50 per share dividend for the quarter, payable on June 20th to all shareholders of record as of June 12th, 2026. Our balance sheet remains a key strategic advantage. Total cash and cash equivalents are approximately at $432 million. Outstanding debt is at approximately $874 million. We also have an undrawn revolver capacity of $110 million. We currently own 29 debt-free vessels with an aggregate market value of around $700 million.

Christos Begleris
Christos Begleris
Co-CFO at Star Bulk Carriers

Our overall low leverage, as well as this unencumbered asset base, provides substantial financial flexibility to fund growth opportunities as well as downside protection. To further enhance shareholder value, we have updated our dividend distribution policy. We distribute 100% of free cash flow, subject to maintaining a minimum cash balance of $2.1 million per vessel. As far as operating performance is concerned, on the top right side of the slide, you can see our per-vessel daily performance metrics for the quarter. Time charter equivalent was at $18,493 per vessel per day. Combined daily OpEx and net cash G&A was at $6,420 per vessel per day. This results in a daily cash margin of approximately $12,073 per vessel per day before debt service and CapEx. These numbers highlight the operating efficiency of our platform and our ability to generate meaningful cash flow even at mid-cycle rate levels.

Christos Begleris
Christos Begleris
Co-CFO at Star Bulk Carriers

Slide four summarizes our capital allocation track record over the last six years. Since 2021, we have executed approximately on $3.1 billion value-enhancing actions, including dividends, share repurchases, and debt repayment. During this period, we have returned approximately $14 per share in dividends, representing approximately 54% of our current share price. We have reduced total net debt by 63%, bringing leverage to a level where net debt is at 56% of the demolition value of our fleet. During the same period, we have expanded the fleet opportunistically through accretive fleet acquisitions, issuing equity at or above net asset value, thereby increasing scale while protecting per share value. The result is a larger, more efficient platform with materially lower financial risk and significantly enhanced free cash flow per share potential. Slide five illustrates the movements in our cash balance during the first quarter. We began the quarter with $502 million in cash.

Christos Begleris
Christos Begleris
Co-CFO at Star Bulk Carriers

We generated $112 million in operating cash flow. After vessel sale proceeds, debt drawdowns and repayments, CapEx payments related to new building installments and energy-saving devices and ballast water treatment system installations, share buybacks and the fourth quarter dividend, we ended the quarter with $409 million in cash. This sequential increase in cash underscores the strong internal cash generation of the company, even after substantial shareholder returns and investment in fleet upgrades. Slide six includes our diversified fleet driving strong earnings contribution across all segments. Star Bulk delivered a well-balanced operating performance, supported by our diversified fleet of 136 vessels and over 12,000 ownership days. Ultramax/Supramax vessels remained the largest contributor of revenue at 38%, generating $80.7 million in revenue and $39.7 million in adjusted EBITDA. Newcastlemax/Capesize vessels contributed 33% of revenue and 36% of adjusted EBITDA, benefiting from strong market positioning and representing 41% of our fleet's market value.

Christos Begleris
Christos Begleris
Co-CFO at Star Bulk Carriers

Post-Panamax and Kamsarmax segments continue to provide stable earnings, contributing 29% of revenue and 28% of adjusted EBITDA. Overall, our fleet generated $212.5 million in revenue and $113 million in adjusted EBITDA during the quarter, highlighting the resilience of our diversified commercial strategy and efficient fleet deployment. Slide seven highlights the inherent operating leverage embedded in our business model. With approximately 48,500 fleet available days per year and based on a current net 12-month FFA curve of approximately $20,500 per day on a fleet-wide basis, the company would generate approximately $3.4 per share of free cash flow, representing a 13% implied cash flow yield. The slide illustrates the strength of our platform in a rising market. Every $1,500 fleet-wide increase in TCE equates to an EBITDA increase of $71 million. This would translate to $0.64 per share of incremental dividend to our shareholders, given our existing approach to distributions.

Christos Begleris
Christos Begleris
Co-CFO at Star Bulk Carriers

In summary, during the first quarter, we delivered solid profitability, we strengthened our liquidity position, we continued to delever, we returned meaningful capital to shareholders, we preserved significant optionality for future capital allocation. Our balance sheet resilience, operating efficiency, and disciplined capital allocation framework position us well to navigate market volatility while continuing to enhance per-share value. With that, I will now pass the floor to our COO, Nicos Rescos, for an update on our operational performance and the continued investments we are making in our fleet.

Nicos Rescos
Nicos Rescos
COO at Star Bulk Carriers

Thank you, Christos. Turning to slide eight, covers our operational performance. We continue to operate one of the most cost-efficient platforms in the dry bulk sector. Daily OpEx for the first quarter came in at $5,045 per vessel and net cash G&A at $1,375, both among the lowest in our peer group, as illustrated. This sustained cost discipline reflects our scale, our integrated management platform, and the synergies crystallized through the Eagle Bulk integration and translates directly into superior cash generation through the cycle. Moving to slide nine, which outlines our fleet-wide investment program. On the new building front, all eight of our latest generation of high-specification Kamsarmax newbuildings are on track for delivery during 2026, with $195 million of CapEx remaining.

Nicos Rescos
Nicos Rescos
COO at Star Bulk Carriers

Financing is largely in place, where we have secured $130 million of debt against the five Qingdao-built vessels and expect a further $51.2 million against the three Hengli-built vessels, leaving the program fully funded on competitive terms. In our strengthening Kamsarmax market, the front deliveries of these vessels will remain highly attractive to our customers, combined with an approximate $40 million mark-to-market gain for our shareholders. On vessel upgrades, during the first quarter, we continued pushing through with energy-saving devices and high-efficiency propeller installations. To date, we have completed 61 ESD installations across the fleet, with a further eight scheduled for 2026. Together with telemetry retrofits, hull upgrades in way of silicone paints, and deployment of hull cleaning robots, we measure tangible vessel performance improvements between 7% and 15%, which is directly translating to improved commercial performance and attractiveness of our fleet.

Nicos Rescos
Nicos Rescos
COO at Star Bulk Carriers

The top right of the slide illustrates our CapEx schedule, presenting both the remaining new building installments and our vessel efficiency upgrade spending alongside the corresponding debt drawdowns. At the bottom, you can see our drydock schedule for the remainder of 2026, which totals approximately $42 million and around 1,236 off-hire days. Turn to slide 10 for our fleet update. We'll continue to actively rejuvenate our fleet through a disciplined combination of selective disposals and new building deliveries, prioritizing divestment of older, non-eco to reduce our average age fleet and lift overall efficiency. During the first quarter of 2026, we delivered Star Scarlett and Star Mariella to their new owners. In connection with these sales, we collected net proceeds of approximately $46.4 million. Having sold 49 vessels since 2023, we have reinvested the majority of the net sale proceeds to fund accretive share buybacks throughout this period.

Nicos Rescos
Nicos Rescos
COO at Star Bulk Carriers

This quarter also marks the start of our new building delivery cycle with our latest generation Capesize vessels joining the fleet. We expect to take delivery of the first two vessels in May 2026, Star Evelina and Star Emma, with the remaining six newbuildings phasing in throughout the balance of the year. We'll continue to maintain seven long-term chartering contracts, which provide additional commercial flexibility across market cycles. Star Bulk operates one of the largest dry bulk fleets among U.S. and European listed peers, with 141 vessels on a fully delivered basis and an average age of approximately 12.2 years, providing scale, modernity, and operating leverage to compound shareholder value as the market cycle evolves. I will now pass the floor to our Chief Strategy Officer, Charis Plakantonaki, for an update on recent global environment regulation development and our ESG performance.

Charis Plakantonaki
Charis Plakantonaki
Chief Strategy Officer at Star Bulk Carriers

Thank you, Nico. Please turn to slide 10, where we highlight our progress across ESG priorities. At the latest IMO Marine Environment Protection Committee session, no consensus was reached on the net-zero framework, with member states remaining divided between those who consider it fit for purpose and those calling for amendment. The committee agreed to continue intersessional work on the framework with a view to achieving consensus ahead of MEPC in November 2026. Star Bulk remains actively engaged through its participation in industry organization initiatives, contributing to efforts aimed at advancing practical, realistic and effective greenhouse gas reduction regulations with consistent global application. Star Bulk has joined the newly established advisory council to the Poseidon Principles Association.

Charis Plakantonaki
Charis Plakantonaki
Chief Strategy Officer at Star Bulk Carriers

The council will serve as a forum for dialogue between the 36 signatory banks and a select group of leading shipowners and maritime stakeholders on key sector issues and the implementation of the principles. On the social front, during Q1 2026, we engaged extensively all company departments in analyzing the results of our employee survey and developing an action plan to preserve our strengths and improve areas where we can do better as an employer. We continue our efforts to embed artificial intelligence into our day-to-day operations through the expansion of our custom-built company chatbot, the adoption of new off-the-shelf AI tools, and the use of AI capabilities within our existing systems. Recognizing the cybersecurity risks associated with artificial intelligence, we have completed an external risk assessment and defined the required controls for the use of AI.

Charis Plakantonaki
Charis Plakantonaki
Chief Strategy Officer at Star Bulk Carriers

We're also developing company policies on the responsible use of AI and have included the already deployed AI tools in our upcoming penetration test. I will now pass the floor to our Head of Market Research, Constantinos Simantiras, for a market update and his closing remarks.

Constantinos Simantiras
Constantinos Simantiras
Head of Market Research at Star Bulk Carriers

Thank you, Charis. Please turn to slide 12 for a brief update of supply. During the first four months of 2026, a total of 14.2 million deadweight was delivered and 1.5 million deadweight was scrapped to demolition for a net fleet growth of 12.7 million deadweight or 3% year-over-year. The newbuilding order book has increased over the past three years, but remains relatively low at 13.2% of the fleet. Total dry bulk contracting remains under control despite the recent pickup in Capesize orders, reflecting limited shipyard availability through late 2028, high shipbuilding costs, and ongoing uncertainty around green propulsion technologies. Meanwhile, the fleet continues to age, and by the end of 2027, approximately 50% of the existing fleet will be over 15 years old.

Constantinos Simantiras
Constantinos Simantiras
Head of Market Research at Star Bulk Carriers

Moreover, the rising number of vessels undergoing their third special survey is estimated to reduce effective fleet capacity by more than 0.5% per annum during 2026 and 2027. The average steaming speed of the fleet remained slightly elevated through most of Q1, supported by firm freight rates, but has corrected below 11 knots following the recent surge in bunker prices amid Middle East tensions. Finally, global port congestion has fully normalized and is now following seasonal patterns. Going forward, congestion is expected to have a limited impact on the supply and demand balance, though there could still be some upside from delays related to new mining hubs in West Africa.

Constantinos Simantiras
Constantinos Simantiras
Head of Market Research at Star Bulk Carriers

Let us now turn to slide 13 for a brief update of demand. According to Clarksons, total dry bulk trade during 2026 is projected to expand by 1.3% in tons and 2.5% in ton-miles. We continue to operate against a backdrop of heightened geopolitical uncertainty, with the trajectory and duration of the Middle East conflict being difficult to predict. While dry bulk trade exposure through the Strait of Hormuz remains relatively limited, disruptions to oil and LNG markets could be prolonged, pushing energy prices higher and weighing on the global macroeconomic outlook. Reflecting these risks, the IMF recently revised its 2026 global growth forecast down to 3.1% from 3.3% in January. The U.S. forecast was lowered to 2.3% from 2.4%, and China to 4.4% from 4.5%.

Constantinos Simantiras
Constantinos Simantiras
Head of Market Research at Star Bulk Carriers

Turning to dry bulk demand, total volumes rose approximately 3.5% year-on-year during the first quarter, supported by robust iron ore and minor bulk flows alongside record grain and bauxite shipments. Ton-miles expanded at a faster pace, driven by strong Atlantic exports and longer Pacific trading distances. In China, GDP growth exceeded expectations at 5% in Q1, underpinned by strong industrial production, manufacturing activity, and exports. Chinese dry bulk imports rose 8.1% against a low base last year. Domestic consumption remained relatively weak. On the geopolitical front, President Trump's summit with President Xi in Beijing delivered a constructive signal for U.S.-China relations and international trade. Dry bulk imports from the rest of the world continued their recovery for the 10th consecutive quarter, expanding 3.1% year-on-year on the back of a weaker U.S. dollar and increased restocking activity.

Constantinos Simantiras
Constantinos Simantiras
Head of Market Research at Star Bulk Carriers

Breaking it down by key commodities, iron ore trade is projected to expand by 1.1% in tons and by 1.6% in ton-miles during 2026. China's steel production declined by 4.5% year-on-year during the first quarter due to policy curbs on steel supply, the ongoing real estate slowdown, and rising protectionism. At the same time, domestic iron ore production remained broadly flat, while stockpiles increased to record levels, creating downside risks for the second half of the year. Having said that, the iron ore market remains supply-driven, and ton-miles are expected to receive support from the continued ramp-up of Simandou and stronger Brazil exports. Coal trade is projected to contract by 1.6% in tons and by 0.5% in ton-miles during 2026. This forecast is likely to be revised upwards as tighter energy supply is expected to strengthen coal demand through year-end.

Constantinos Simantiras
Constantinos Simantiras
Head of Market Research at Star Bulk Carriers

War-driven disruptions to LNG trade, together with broad-based inflation across energy commodities, have improved the demand outlook for coal, prompting several countries to ease restrictions on its use and production. Chinese thermal power generation rose 3.6% in Q1, while domestic coal production has been broadly flat over the past three quarters, creating a favorable setup for imports. Furthermore, a developing El Niño is expected to drive a hotter northern hemisphere summer, further lifting energy consumption in the short term. Grain trade is projected to expand by 3.7% in tons and by 6.8% in ton-miles during 2026. Total grain exports increased by 9.1% year-on-year during Q1, supported by strong shipments from all major exporters. Spillover from October's U.S.-China trade truce drove seasonally strong U.S. exports, and Beijing's pledge to buy approximately 25 million tons of U.S. soybeans annually through 2028 should continue to support midsize bulkers' ton-miles.

Constantinos Simantiras
Constantinos Simantiras
Head of Market Research at Star Bulk Carriers

Minor bulk trade is projected to expand by 2.4% in tons and by 3.1% in ton-miles during 2026. Export volumes increased by 8% year-on-year during Q1, despite lower fertilizer shipments from the Middle East, while bauxite exports from Guinea continued their strong performance and expanded 23% year-on-year, generating strong ton-miles for the Capesize fleet. As a final comment, we remain optimistic about the dry bulk market outlook, supported by a favorable supply backdrop, new long-distance Atlantic exports, and tightening environmental regulations. In a period of heightened geopolitical uncertainty, we remain focused on actively managing our diversified scrubber-fitted fleet to capitalize on market opportunities and deliver value to our shareholders. Without taking any more of your time, I will now pass the floor over to the operator to answer any questions you may have.

Operator

Thank you. Now we conduct your question-and-answer session. If you'd like to be placed in the question queue, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing star one. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Our first question today is coming from Omar Nokta from Clarksons Securities. Your line is now live.

Omar Nokta
Analyst at Clarksons Securities

Thank you. Hi, guys. Morning and good afternoon. Wanted to ask about the capital allocation policy of now paying out 100% of operating cash flow less the CapEx and debt service. You've obviously got plenty of cash to give you that flexibility. Leverage is a bit low now, plenty of unencumbered ships. Wanted to ask, the stock, while it has done well, it's still at a discount to NAV. In the past, you've leaned on asset sales to try to crystallize that difference between the equity and the NAV. How do you think about that today? Are sales still something under consideration from here? Is now the time to really maximize your exposure to the market?

Hamish Norton
Hamish Norton
President at Star Bulk Carriers

Well, I think, Omar, it's Hamish Norton. We're still planning on selling smaller, older, and less fuel-efficient ships. Frankly, the market's pretty hot, and if you need to sell these ships at some point, this is as good a time as any to sell them. The capital that we generate from selling ships could be used for repurchases of shares. We might keep some of it for use later when there are better opportunities. We think there will be some very good opportunities. I think with our operating cash flow, we intend to keep paying that out on a current basis.

Omar Nokta
Analyst at Clarksons Securities

Okay. Thanks, Hamish. If I could, I know this is sensitive, but just regarding the agreement you have with Diana to acquire the 16 ships, if they succeed in acquiring Genco, just in terms of the price, the $470 million that you've agreed on, my question is that fixed?

Hamish Norton
Hamish Norton
President at Star Bulk Carriers

That is fixed at the moment. Yes, the agreement is for a specific price.

Omar Nokta
Analyst at Clarksons Securities

Okay. Are you able to give sort of Is that based off of whatever Diana ends up paying if it succeeds, or is it based off of the current price?

Hamish Norton
Hamish Norton
President at Star Bulk Carriers

No, it's a fixed price.

Omar Nokta
Analyst at Clarksons Securities

Okay. All right. Thanks, Hamish.

Hamish Norton
Hamish Norton
President at Star Bulk Carriers

Yeah.

Omar Nokta
Analyst at Clarksons Securities

I'll pass it back.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question today is coming from Chris Robertson from Deutsche Bank. Your line is now live.

Chris Robertson
Chris Robertson
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Hi, Chris.

Chris Robertson
Chris Robertson
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Hi. Yeah, very strong start of the year. We had a lighter than usual seasonal pullback during the first quarter. Very strong indicators here with the Capesize FFA over $40,000 in May, over $30,000 for the remainder of the year. At the same time, we're seeing a little bit of decelerating economic activity in China in April with regards to industrial production. Petros, you mentioned some of the El Niño concerns and other things. Putting all this together, what is your expectation for the second half of the year, which is usually seasonally stronger? Do you think that holds this year? Do you think there has been pulling forward of demand into the first half of this year that could kind of smooth out demand for the rest of the year and rates for the rest of the year?

Chris Robertson
Chris Robertson
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Do you see any policy support in China that could help boost demand for dry bulk commodities while they potentially focus on buoying economic strength? What's the outlook there?

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Hi, Chris. Well, we're actually pretty bullish for the balance of this year, and we are bullish for next year as well. I think the situation in the Persian Gulf is actually helping for now, for as long as things stand as they are. Oil prices are up, and that makes vessels go slower, which is good for supply. We have about 2% of the fleet in the Persian Gulf, which reduces supply again. Red Sea remains, more ton-miles. The increased oil prices actually incentivize use of coal. You see that the reduction in the coal trade is actually minimal right now and might even turn around. There's all kinds of inefficiencies, but this is not the only thing. You saw that during the first five months, demand increased by 5.1% in ton-miles, and this is only the first half, as you said.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

We continue to believe that the second half is going to be strong. There is tons of positive reasons why the market should continue to be strong this year. China has been doing pretty well up to now. We don't expect to see any slowdown in the very near future. If there is going to be a problem going forward, that may be the order book, I would say, or in case the Persian Gulf opens up. I think for a while it's going to be positive because psychology will be assisted and oil prices will go down, which will help trade, et cetera. All the positives I mentioned over a period of 8-12 months may start slowing down. Therefore, for now, we are very positive.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

We're actually positive for the next 18 months.

Chris Robertson
Chris Robertson
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Thank you, Petros. Just following up, just to get a sense of scenarios here. With regards to a potentially strong El Niño, using examples from the past, let's say, in regions that are prone to whether it's drought conditions or on the other side of that, flooding conditions, which markets should we be on the lookout for weather-related disruptions that could potentially impact trade flows?

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Well, short-term, we think that El Niño will be positive because it will create higher temperatures in the northern hemisphere. Therefore, there will be more need for air conditioning and stuff. Therefore, more energy. Now, for the winter, we may have a warmer winter, which will reverse things. As far as droughts are concerned, this is a potential risk, especially for grain crops. I was talking about it to our analyst. He said that perhaps people are foreseeing what may happen if El Niño arrives. They may be stocking up right now. This is possible. On the other hand, we may have positive developments on the Panama Canal. Maybe the water levels will fall. There will be less vessels coming in. There's positives and negatives.

Chris Robertson
Chris Robertson
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

All right. Got it. Thank you for the color. I appreciate it.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you'd like to be placed into question queue, press star one at this time. Our next question is coming from Stephanie Moore from Jefferies. Your line is now live.

Stephanie Moore
Stephanie Moore
Analyst at Jefferies

Great. Good morning, everybody. Thank you.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Good morning, Stephanie. Yeah.

Stephanie Moore
Stephanie Moore
Analyst at Jefferies

I know that when we have talked in the past, and certainly, when we all spoke publicly together on your first quarter call, and it continued today, where there's a lot of optimism about the underlying dry bulk market for 2026, but even since that 4Q trend, a lot has changed from a geopolitical standpoint and certainly kind of enhanced conflict or geopolitical conflict around the globe. Maybe if you could just talk a little bit about how anything might have changed in terms of your general optimism about the dry bulk market for the rest of this year, and especially navigating what is obviously a heightened geopolitical environment. Would love your thoughts there to start. Thank you.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Stephanie, is that a geopolitical question, mostly?

Stephanie Moore
Stephanie Moore
Analyst at Jefferies

Yes. Maybe how that supports your view on the dry bulk market for 2026, and if anything has changed since when you first addressed it yourself.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Right. Well.

Stephanie Moore
Stephanie Moore
Analyst at Jefferies

Yeah

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

I did talk about the Persian Gulf. I think that is positive for the short term or even for longer, depending on how that goes. I think that the Ukrainian war is not affecting the market that much anymore. It did help the market at the beginning because, for example, Russian coal had to travel longer distances to be exported. That was positive. There were negatives because there was less grain trade coming out from the Black Sea, especially. We don't think that is as important anymore because it's being overshadowed by the Persian Gulf. What I see very potentially positive is, in case any of these wars stops or both, we may see very strong reconstruction. Of course, that would start later on in time.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

My view is that this year is going to be very strong, that next year is going to be strong as well, and if there is the end of any of the wars, it's going to help the shipping because it will create a lot of demand. It will all come in stages and depending on how things happen going forward. We're not fortune tellers to know how things will end up, of course.

Stephanie Moore
Stephanie Moore
Analyst at Jefferies

Understood. I think one question that we're getting a lot of is if, maybe more on the negative side, that if some of these conflicts persist, does that create, particularly in emerging markets, a stress on their overall economy? Would love to get your views on that as well, and if that could ultimately impact demand.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Sorry, can you repeat, Stephanie? You said that this creates what markets?

Stephanie Moore
Stephanie Moore
Analyst at Jefferies

Yes. I'm sorry. Sorry if you can't hear me, but if the other side of maybe the coin here from a demand standpoint would be if emerging markets are negatively impacted by persisting higher energy costs, does that ultimately cause any kind of economic weakness in those markets, and if that would be the negative side? Would love your thoughts on potentially that scenario, too.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Yeah. Well, that risk actually remains. If oil prices go further up and even in the $150 or even more than that, we're very afraid here that that would damage the world economy and not just emerging economies. It would also discourage trade, because trade depends on how you can construct something cheaper than the other country, and then that creates trade. If prices go very far up, then that will impede development of economies, and I think it's going to be negative. Commodities will be more expensive. There will be less demand of commodities.

Stephanie Moore
Stephanie Moore
Analyst at Jefferies

Understood. Thank you. Appreciate the high level. I guess one lastly from me, maybe just talk a little bit about your appetite for additional new build orders, just given there are higher shipyard costs at this point, also given some of the, as we just discussed, kind of general market dynamics. Anything there would be great.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

New building prices have gone up a lot, and we were doing some calculations lately that you need really very high income levels for very long periods to be able to achieve a relatively low IRRs. The idea here is not to continue any further with new buildings until prices start falling. I don't know when that is going to be, we're patient. The ones we ordered, the eight Kamsarmaxes we did because our Kamsarmax fleet was getting older compared to the rest of the fleet. We needed to get the average age of our fleet to get lower. At the same time, of course, we are judiciously selling older vessels and inefficient ones, as Hamish said earlier. No, for as long as prices keep on climbing, we see as a better opportunity to sell rather than buy or order.

Stephanie Moore
Stephanie Moore
Analyst at Jefferies

Great. Thank you. Appreciate it.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We've reached the end of our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the floor back over for any further closing comments.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

No further comments, operator. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you, everyone. That does conclude today's teleconference and webcast. You may disconnect your line at this time, and have a wonderful day. We thank you for your participation today.

Petros Pappas
Petros Pappas
CEO at Star Bulk Carriers

Thank you.

Executives
    • Charis Plakantonaki
      Charis Plakantonaki
      Chief Strategy Officer
    • Christos Begleris
      Christos Begleris
      Co-CFO
    • Constantinos Simantiras
      Constantinos Simantiras
      Head of Market Research
    • Hamish Norton
      Hamish Norton
      President
    • Nicos Rescos
      Nicos Rescos
      COO
    • Petros Pappas
      Petros Pappas
      CEO
Analysts
    • Chris Robertson
      Analyst at Deutsche Bank
    • Omar Nokta
      Analyst at Clarksons Securities
    • Stephanie Moore
      Analyst at Jefferies