TH International Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Negative Sentiment: Tims China’s Q1 2026 revenue and system sales fell 14.6% and 14.2% year over year, driven by store closures and a decline in same-store sales.
  • Negative Sentiment: Comparable sales remained weak, with transactions down 8.3% and average ticket down 4.8%, resulting in -13.2% same-store sales growth for the system.
  • Positive Sentiment: Management said it is shifting toward quality growth, pruning underperforming stores and expecting to resume net new openings in Q2 2026 after the reset is completed.
  • Positive Sentiment: The company highlighted improving unit economics for newer stores, saying 2024 and 2025 vintage stores delivered lower-teen to mid-teen contribution margins and are expected to achieve 2-3 year payback periods.
  • Positive Sentiment: Membership and franchise momentum remained strong, with 35.9 million loyalty members up 42.9% year over year, and management said the planned up to US$55 million financing from THRI will support expansion and strengthen liquidity.
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Earnings Conference Call
TH International Q1 2026
00:00 / 00:00

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Tims China's first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode during management's prepared remarks, and there will be a question-and-answer session to follow. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Patty Yu, Tims China's Public and Media Relations Manager, for prepared remarks and introductions. Please go ahead, Patty.

Patty Yu
Public and Media Relations Manager at Tims China

Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us on today's call. TH International Limited announces its first quarter 2026 financial results on that today. A press release as well as a company presentation, which contains operational and financial highlights, are now available on the company's IR website at ir.timschina.com. Today, you will hear from Yongchen Lu, our CEO Director, and Albert Li, our CFO. After the company's prepared remarks, the management team will conduct a question-and-answer session. You will find the webcast of today's earnings call on our IR website. Before we get started, I'd like to remind you that our earnings presentation and investor materials contain forward-looking statements, which are subject to future events and uncertainties. Statements that are not historical facts, including but not limited to statements about the company's beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements.

Patty Yu
Public and Media Relations Manager at Tims China

Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ materially from those forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements should be considered in conjunction with the cautionary statements in our earnings release and risk factors included in our filings with the SEC. This presentation also includes certain non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe can be helpful in evaluating our performance. However, those measures should not be considered a substitute for the comparable GAAP measures. The accompanying reconciliation information relating to those non-GAAP and GAAP measures can be found in our earnings press release issued earlier today. With that said, I would now like to turn it over to Yongchen Lu, our CEO Director. Please go ahead, Yongchen.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

Thank you, Patty. Good morning and good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. As the coffee industry entered a seasonal slowdown during the first quarter, the company proactively optimized its operating rhythm and moderately reduced discount-driven promotions, reallocating resources towards franchise system development and long-term profitability. While certain short-term revenue indicators faced pressure, core user quality continued to improve, in line with the company's strategic transition from prioritizing scale growth to prioritizing quality growth. During the first quarter, we continued our strategic adjustment to prune underperforming stores, and we expect to complete this process and resume net new store openings starting from the second quarter of 2026. On same-store sales growth, we experienced overall comparable transactions decline of 8.3% and an average comparable ticket size decline of 4.8%, which led to a -13.2% same-store sales growth for the system-wide stores in Q1.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

A decline was partly due to delivery aggregators backing down subsidies significantly, partly due to under-spending our marketing spending and discount control. Despite a temporary headwind on top-line growth and fierce industry competitions, we continued to witness strong performance of our 2024 and 2025 vintage stores, most of which were compact and made-to-order stores. With further optimized store capital expenditures and enhanced store unit economics, our 2024 vintage year company-owned and operated stores generated store contribution margin of nearly 15% in 2025 full year and lower-teens in Q1 2026. Are expected to achieve a payback period within two to three years. Our 2025 vintage year stores, which are still ramping up now, are expected to achieve similar unit economics too.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

In the meantime, our company-owned and operated stores in Tier 1 cities including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, and in those cities with 10+ stores, generated over 10% and 7% store contribution margin in 2025 respectively, outperforming other tier cities with lower store density. We'll continue adding density in existing cities to achieve higher economies of scale. Leveraging several franchise partnerships, new stores will open across multiple core cities and emerging markets, including Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Beijing, Zhengzhou, Nantong, et cetera, in Q1 2026. The company continued to expand across diversified locations such as transportation hubs, office buildings, commercial complexes, and university campuses, et cetera, further enhancing brand penetration and consumer reach.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

Since we launched our individual franchise business in December 2023, we have received over 10,500 applications, signed up for over 440 stores, and successfully opened nearly 260 stores by the end of March 2026, showcasing continued market confidence in our franchise model. We have witnessed reasonable returns for our franchise stores. For instance, our franchise stores at special channels, including railway stations, hospitals, and highway rest areas, generate store contribution margin of high-teens in 2025, and are expected to achieve a payback period of approximately two years. We'll accelerate opening franchise stores on those special channels. During the quarter, the company officially launched its 2026 nationwide franchise roadshow program, systematically communicating its brand strength, operational standards, and unique economic model to prospective franchise partners.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

At the same time, the company introduced upgraded franchise support policies, including multi-store incentives, high revenue rebates, and opening support packages, further enhancing franchise attractiveness, attracting high-quality partners, and laying a solid foundation for long-term scalable expansion. In the meantime, our super franchise business contributes steady cash flows and profitability. Other revenues increased by 7.7% year-over-year, and profits from other revenues achieved a year-over-year growth of 14% in Q1 2026. The first quarter marked the traditional seasonal slowdown for the coffee industry, amid intensified market competition. Against this backdrop, the company remained focused on improving operational quality and efficiency, making progress across product innovation, brand marketing, and loyal member engagement.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

During the first quarter of 2026, the company launched a total of 21 new products across categories, including 15 new beverage products and six new food items centered around seasonal occasions, health-conscious offerings, and localized flavors, with a strong market response. On the beverage side, the Cherry Zero returned with strong consumer recognition, effectively driving traffic and repurchases. The company also introduced limited-time Apple Zero beverage and the zero-sugar, zero-fat, Luo Zero to further address seasonal and health-oriented demand. On the food side, the launch of the Non-Chicken Bagel Sandwich and the Non-Bagel further strengthened localized product innovation. Among the new launches this spring, Apple Zero delivered particularly strong performance, achieving the highest repurchase rate among all product series. In brand marketing and loyalty member engagement, the company focused on Chinese New Year social occasions and the younger consumer segment through diversified crossover collaborations.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

Partnerships with the popular drama IP, " Vendetta of An," [Foreign language], Air Canada, and NetEase Cloud Music enhanced brand awareness, member engagement, and penetration among younger consumers. In Q1 2026, transacting members under the age of 30 accounted for nearly 50% of the total membership base. In addition, through a customer acquisition partnership with DiDi, the company successfully added approximately 4 million new members during the quarter, representing nearly three full year-over-year growth. As of March 31st, 2026, our registered loyalty club members exceeded 35.9 million, reflecting a remarkable 42.9% year-over-year growth. The average number of members per store has now surpassed 35,000, serving a solid foundation for growth and a testament to our customers' support for and embrace of Tim Hortons loyalty program.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

At this time, I would like to turn it over to our CFO, Albert Li, to discuss our first quarter 2026 financial performance in more detail.

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

Thank you, Yongchen. During the first quarter of 2026, our total revenues and system sales dropped by 14.6% and 14.2% year-over-year respectively, which was primarily due to the closure of certain underperforming company-owned and operated stores, and a decrease in same-store sales growth. Our overall monthly average transacting customers reached 2.69 million during the first quarter of 2026, compared to 2.92 million in the same quarter of 2025. Digital orders as a percentage of total orders rose from 86.3% in the first quarter of 2025 to 87.5% in the first quarter of 2026. We continued to enhance our digital capabilities to meet the growing demand for delivery and takeaway services. Total number of delivery orders increased by 10.2% year-over-year during the fourth quarter of 2026.

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

We are committed to improving our financial performance by refining store unit economics and boosting operational efficiencies at both store and corporate levels, setting the foundation for long-term sustainable growth. Specifically, through refinements in our supply chain capabilities and economies of scale, we managed to reduce Q1 2026 food and packaging costs as a percentage of revenues from company-owned and operated stores by 2.0 percentage points from 30.4% in the fourth quarter of 2025 to 28.4% in the same quarter of 2026. Rental and property management fees were RMB 47.2 million, $6.8 million for the three months ended March 31st, 2026, representing a decrease of 16.2% from RMB 56.3 million in the same quarter of 2025, which was in line with the revenue trend as the number of our company-owned and operated stores decreased from 569 as of March 31st of 2025 to 541 as of March 31st of 2026.

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

Rental and property management fees as a percentage of revenues from company-owned and operated stores increased by 0.7 percentage points from 22.1% in the fourth quarter of 2025 to 22.8% in the same quarter of 2026. Payroll and employee benefits expenses were RMB 44.8 million, $6.5 million for the three months ended March 31st of 2026, representing a decrease of 10.4% from RMB 50.0 million in the same quarter of 2025, which was in line with the revenue trend. Payroll and employee benefits expenses as a percentage of revenues from company-owned and operated stores increased by 2.0 percentage points from 19.6% in the first quarter of 2025 to 21.6% in the same quarter of 2026.

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

Delivery costs were RMB 27.3 million, $4.0 million for the three months ended March 31st of 2026, representing an increase of 1.0% from RMB 27.0 million in the same quarter of 2025, which was in line with the 8.9% increase in delivery orders from 4.5 million in the first quarter of 2025 to 4.9 million in the same quarter of 2026, partially offset by a reduction in average delivery costs per order. Delivery costs as a percentage of revenues from company-owned and operated stores increased by 2.6 percentage points to 13.2% in the fourth quarter of 2026 compared to 10.6% in the same quarter of 2025, which was primarily due to delivery revenue as a percentage of total revenues from company-owned and operated stores increased from 53.1% in Q1 2025 to 65.1% in Q1 2026.

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

Other operating expenses were RMB 18.2 million, $2.6 million for the three months ended March 31st of 2026, representing an increase of 0.9% from RMB 18.0 million in the same quarter of 2025. Other operating expenses as a percentage of revenues from company-owned and operated stores increased by 1.7 percentage points to 8.8% in the fourth quarter of 2026, compared to 7.1% in the same quarter of 2025. Benefiting from our cost optimization measures and improved brand influence, our marketing expenses were RMB 9.8 million, $1.4 million in Q1 2026, representing a decrease of 43.7% from RMB 17.4 million in the same quarter of 2025. Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenues decreased by 2.0 percentage points from 5.8% in the first quarter of 2025 to 3.8% in the same quarter of 2026.

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

Our adjusted general and administrative expenses were RMB43.4 million, $6.3 million in Q1 2026, representing a decrease of 7.9% from RMB47.2 million in the same quarter of 2025, which was primarily due to a decrease in credit loss of accounts receivable and cost savings from professional and other service fees. Adjusted general and administrative expenses as a percentage of total revenues increased by 1.2 percentage points from 15.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 to 16.9% in the same quarter of 2026. As a result of the foregoing, adjusted corporate EBITDA margin was -11.8% in the fourth quarter of 2026, compared to -9.8% in the same quarter of 2025. Turning to liquidity, as of March 31st of 2026, our total cash and cash equivalents and deposits and restricted cash were RMB 111.4 million, $16.2 million, compared to RMB 129.7 million as of December 31st of 2025.

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

The change was primarily attributable to cash disbursements on business operations, partially offset by the drawdown of additional bank facilities. We are pleased to enter into a definitive agreement with THRI, our brand owner, for the issuance of up to $55.0 million additional senior secured convertible notes, which underscores the strong commitment of our brand owner and founding shareholder. The proposed financing transaction provides critical capital to fund further expansion of our store network nationwide and to fortify our balance sheet. Looking ahead, our near-term priorities would be to deliver sustainable revenue growth to further enhance supply chain capabilities and expand store-level profitability to continuously optimize cost structure, to accelerate the expansion of our successful sub-franchising and to achieve corporate EBITDA breakeven. With that, I will now turn it over to Yongchen for concluding remarks, followed by Q&A.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

Thank you, Albert. Before we turn to Q&A, I would like to take this opportunity to express my utmost gratitude to our customers, employees, business partners, and shareholders for your continuous support, dedication and belief during the past seven years. With a heartfelt passion in the Tim Hortons brand and a strong confidence in the China market, we began our journey from the very first store at the People's Square in Shanghai seven years ago. Together, we have now established an overwhelming community as one of China's top coffee brands with over 35 million loyalty club members, a unique coffee plus fresh prepared healthy food business model, offering the best value for quality products as an international coffee brand.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

Differentiated and comprehensive store formats with over 1,000 stores in 93 cities, most of which are made-to-order stores with expected payback period between two to three years, and a unique advantage of offering franchise opportunities as an international coffee brand. Today, China stood as the largest international market in Tim Hortons global system by number of stores, and Tims China has moved beyond its startup and exploration phase and entering a new stage of high-quality growth. Effective from June 15th, 2026, I am honored to take on a new role as Chairman, while I'll remain as engaged and committed to the company's long-term success as ever.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

I'm excited to work with John Cheung, our new CEO, who brings more than 25 years of extensive experience leading major consumer companies in China and across Asia, and with proven record in brand building, consumer insight, business growth, and operational management to drive the next phase of growth for Tims China and to generate long-term value for our shareholders. I will now turn the call over to Patty for today's Q&A session. Patty?

Patty Yu
Public and Media Relations Manager at Tims China

Thank you, Yongchen. We will turn it over to Q&A and open it up for our registered questions. Let's begin with the first question. Operator, please go ahead.

Operator

Thank you. To ask a question via the telephone, please press star one one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. To ask your question via the webcast, please type it into the Q&A box and click Submit. We will now take our first phone question. The question comes from the line of Steve Silver of Argus Research Corporation. Please ask your question. Steve, your line is open.

Steve Silver
Analyst at Argus Research Corporation

Thanks, operator, and thanks for taking my questions. Same-store sales growth has been under pressure during Q1, both on comparable transactions as well as average comparable ticket sizes. Considering the aggressive delivery aggregator subsidies since Q2 of last year, can you just discuss your current thinking on the same-store sales growth that you see for the rest of 2026?

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

Yeah. Very good question, Steve. Thank you. Actually, we have seen same-store sales recovering very well. Recently, especially for the past few weeks, after we launched several great marketing campaigns. I believe we have better same-store sales in the second quarter, and we expect much better for the rest of the year.

Steve Silver
Analyst at Argus Research Corporation

Great. You've also cited 2024 and 2025 store trends for strong performance in maybe mid-teens store contribution margins. More recently, you've talked about the special channel stores generating high-teens store contribution margins. Can you just talk about your expectations on store margin profiles moving forward?

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

Okay. Steve, I think I will take this question. On the overall, I think profitability level for our company-owned stores, we would expect that the margin profile can be improved gradually and can be improved further from existing level. I think firstly, as Yongchen has mentioned, in terms of the recovery on same-store sales and also we have seen a very positive trend on the same-store sales in the second quarter. With the improvement on the same-store sales, definitely we are expecting higher revenues at the store level. I think accordingly, in terms of the store labor cost, rental, and other operating costs, that percentage of revenue will naturally go down, right? That's the first point.

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

I think secondly, we are in the process of I think wrapping up in terms of pulling our underperforming stores, which we expect it can be mostly completed within the year. Definitely, we are expecting a higher percentage of higher-margin stores. I think including those 2025, 2024, and the later vintage year stores and also those special channel stores. The higher-margin stores will take a higher percentage of revenues of that. I think thirdly, I want to highlight is on gross margin. As you can see, during the first quarter of 2026, even our top line is under pressure, we still improve our gross margin by 2.0 percentage points.

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

I think based on those initiatives on supply chain optimization for economy of scale, launching higher-margin products, and also in terms of optimizing the recipe for existing core products, I think that will all help us to continue improve our gross margin.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

Yeah, I just want to add a point here. Our major problem for the early vintage stores are with the rent, because we open a lot of larger format stores for brand building. You can see the rent percentage of sales are very high for early vintage stores. If you look at the recent vintage of stores like 2024, 2025, and even the stores we opened this year in 2026. The rents are very reasonable, and now they have teens store level contribution margins. I believe now with the new CEO, John Cheung, with his strong background in sales and marketing, under his leadership, I believe now the sales will improve further. That will also contribute now even higher store contribution margin in the future. Thank you.

Steve Silver
Analyst at Argus Research Corporation

Great. That's helpful. One more, if I may. Could you talk a little bit about the current competitive landscape? You guys have talked about quite a bit about the competition on the coffee side. More recently, it looks like some of the tea players in China have entered into the coffee business with some lower priced offerings. I'm just curious as to whether you think that will have any impact on your business strategy.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

Yeah. The tea players has been more aggressive now in entering to the coffee sector than before, and price very low. That's exactly now I want to highlight our differentiation point. We are not only a coffee player. We offer coffee + [freshly] prepared food. That's very different from our peer coffee brand player and also the milk tea player. That's where I know we are very strong and very different. That's why now we have so much belief in our differentiation model for the future.

Steve Silver
Analyst at Argus Research Corporation

Great. Thank you so much for that, and best of luck continuing to stabilize and return to top-line growth.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

Thank you, Steve.

Albert Li
CFO at Tims China

Thank you, Steve.

Operator

Thank you for your question. As a reminder, to ask a question via the telephone, please press star one one on your telephone keypad. To ask your question via the webcast, please type into the Q&A box and click submit. Once again, that's star one one for questions from the telephone line, and to type your questions in the Q&A box via the webcast and click submit.

Patty Yu
Public and Media Relations Manager at Tims China

Operator, I don't see any question come up.

Yongchen Lu
CEO Director at Tims China

Yes. With that, now, thank you so much for your time, and let's discuss more next quarter. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.

Analysts
    • Albert Li
      CFO at Tims China
    • Patty Yu
      Public and Media Relations Manager at Tims China
    • Steve Silver
      Analyst at Argus Research Corporation
    • Yongchen Lu
      CEO Director at Tims China