Transocean Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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Provided by Quartr
August 6, 2026

Key Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: Strong Q2 execution exceeded revenue and cost guidance, with 98% fleet uptime, $966 million in revenue, $312 million of adjusted EBITDA, and a 32% margin.
  • Positive Sentiment: Transocean added approximately $3.1 billion of contract awards year to date, including prospective Equinor work, lifting coverage to 94% for the remainder of 2026 and 81% for 2027.
  • Positive Sentiment: Management sees a multiyear offshore drilling upcycle, citing nearly 100 rig-years awarded in the first half of 2026, roughly 40 additional tenders, and deepwater utilization potentially approaching 100% by the end of 2027.
  • Positive Sentiment: The company reduced net debt by approximately $1.7 billion over 18 months and plans to repay the remaining $200 million of Deepwater Aquila notes, while targeting less than $4.8 billion of gross debt at year-end.
  • Neutral Sentiment: The Valaris acquisition remains on track to close in the fourth quarter, with most regulatory clearances received; approvals from Brazil and the U.S. are still pending.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
Transocean Q2 2026
00:00 / 00:00

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Operator

Welcome everyone joining today's Q2 2026 Transocean Earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, you will have the opportunity to ask questions during the question and answer session. To register to ask a question at any time, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Please note this call is being recorded, and we are standing by if you should need any assistance. It is now my pleasure to turn the meeting over to David Keddington, Vice President and Treasurer. Please go ahead.

David Keddington
David Keddington
VP and Treasurer at Transocean

Thank you, Madison. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Transocean's second quarter earnings call. Leading today's call will be Transocean's President and Chief Executive Officer, Keelan Adamson. Keelan will be joined by Chief Financial Officer, Thad Vega, and Chief Commercial Officer, Roddie Mackenzie. In addition to the comments that will be shared on today's call, we'd like to direct you to our earnings release, fleet status report, and associated 8-Ks filed yesterday that contain additional information, all of which is available on Transocean's website at www.deepwater.com.

David Keddington
David Keddington
VP and Treasurer at Transocean

Following our prepared remarks, we will open the conference line for questions. Please limit your inquiries to one question and one follow-up to allow us to hear from more participants. I'd like to remind everyone that today's call will include forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. With that, I'll hand the call over to Transocean CEO, Keelan Adamson.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. This is what I will cover today. First, I'll summarize our operational performance. Next, I'll provide some thoughts on the industry and market and why we continue to see strong demand for our assets. Lastly, I will update you on our Valaris acquisition, which we expect to close later this year. Let's get started. The Transocean team again delivered exceptional operational performance in the second quarter, beating our guidance on both revenue and cost and generating a solid adjusted EBITDA margin of 32%. During the quarter, our fleet uptime was an exceptional 98%, an important driver in our continued focus to deliver superior customer service. At quarter end, net debt approximated $4.3 billion, a significant decrease of nearly $1.7 billion in the past 18 months.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

We also strengthened backlog by about $300 million, securing work for several of our assets with near-term availability. This figure excludes a $1 billion in prospective backlog awarded by Equinor and pending approval by its partners, which we expect to receive in Q3. Including this Equinor work, we have added $3.1 billion in contracts this year so far, a very positive indication. With the exception of the KG2, which is currently bid on multiple opportunities, all our active drill ships are now on contract or mobilizing to new contracts, improving our coverage to 94% for the remainder of 2026 and 81% for 2027. In the U.S. Gulf, we recently extended the Deepwater Conqueror with its current customer at the same rate. The Deepwater Proteus, which was briefly idle, is now contracted and has commenced operations.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

As we had speculated on our Q1's earnings call, in the context of higher commodity prices, this E&P operator has taken advantage of an open period on this high-performing rig to accomplish more work in 2026 than originally planned. Both rigs are expected to continue working in the U.S. Gulf into early 2027. Finally, the Deepwater Skyros has been extended by her customer to perform additional appraisal work on a recently announced discovery in the Ivory Coast. This work allows the rig to move directly to our next contract in Australia with limited off-hire time related to contract preparation and mobilization. In addition to drill ship utilization and tightening in 2027, the outlook for high-specification, harsh environment assets is very robust well into 2028, supported by the announcement of new fixtures for several of our rigs.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

In Norway, the Transocean Norge was awarded a five-well contract by Harbour Energy, adding about $149 million of backlog. The program is expected to commence in the first quarter of 2028. Notably, we entered into an agreement with Equinor for seven years of work on three of our Cat D harsh environment semis, the Transocean Enabler, Transocean Encourage, and Transocean Endurance. We are pleased to have the opportunity to strategically relocate the Endurance from Australia to Norway. For these fixtures, the base day rate, excluding third-party services, will likely exceed $400,000 a day when the contracts commence as a result of escalation provisions. The Transocean Spitsbergen is now the only Transocean harsh environment semi available in Norway before 2029, and she is scheduled to complete her existing contract at the end of 2027.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

In Australia, the Transocean Equinox was awarded a two-well contract with Santos, adding approximately $36 million of backlog. The program should commence in the second quarter of 2027. If all options are exercised, this rig continue with this customer through most of 2027 as well. We are encouraged by the fact that operators are beginning to make awards for multi-year offshore programs. Importantly, they are doing this while remaining disciplined, but with a reprioritization of capital towards offshore and deepwater activities, supporting our constructive outlook. As rig availability tightens, we expect customers to continue securing rigs for longer durations to ensure they have access to the required rig capacity for their upcoming programs. Once again, this supports our view that we are in a constructive period for the deepwater drilling sector. Operators are also starting to allocate more rig time to exploration and appraisal activities.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Rystad Energy recently cited that the number of countries with at least one exploration well is on the rise from 35 in 2025 to an estimated 51 by 2028, a 65% increase. This geographic expansion is significant, and we expect customers to grow their portfolios in less developed regions in the coming years. Our customers select suppliers offering products and services that best align with their value creation objectives. This is where Transocean is distinctly advantaged, offering the optimal combination of differentiated assets, people, and processes to deliver exceptional service in the form of highly reliable, efficient operations that consistently exceed customer expectations. We look forward to delivering similar performance across a broader fleet and a customer base when the Valaris transaction is concluded. I'll now take you through an overview of market opportunities around the world.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

We saw a high number of contract awards and tendering opportunities in the first half of the year. S&P Petrodata cited almost 100 rig years added year to date, and operators are evaluating approximately 40 open tenders, representing another 75-80 additional rig years. These statistics underpin our expectation for deepwater utilization to approach at 100% by the end of 2027, with several rigs relocating from well-established areas to emerging regions to meet incremental rig demand. Looking first at the U.S. Gulf, long-term demand fundamentals remain constructive, with several operators securing capacity for future activity. As demand levels rise globally, we are also seeing strong overseas interest in U.S. units that currently don't have long-term commitments. We believe the number of deepwater rigs in the U.S. will continue to decline in the short term, with two to four units already scheduled or expected to depart the region.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

This redistribution of global rig supply will satisfy increasing contract requirements in other geographies. In Brazil, Petrobras recently completed one of its largest contracting cycles in years and continues to evaluate future rig requirements for its major development projects. Supported by IOC demand, the overall rig count in Brazil is expected to remain stable between 30-33 rigs over the next five years. Africa is reestablishing itself as a key deepwater region. Operator activity continues to grow across multiple basins, which should drive the rig count from roughly 15 units to at least 20-25 units over the next 18 months. Multi-year awards are expected in Ghana, Mozambique, Namibia, and Nigeria, fueled by an uptick in recent discoveries and work resulting from successful exploration campaigns over the past few years.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

In the Med, with recent contracts for drilling programs starting in 2027 and a number of new discoveries that will call on rig capacity, we expect the future rig count to increase to around 10-12 units. In Southeast Asia and India, we expect domestic exploration and production initiatives to drive a material increase in activity beginning in 2027. Indonesia, for example, could potentially add 10 rig years across five rig lines to a region that currently has only one rig operating. India is expected to expand activity by up to four drill ships in 2027, potentially adding around 10 incremental rig years. In Norway, utilization of high-specification, harsh environment semi-submersibles is strong through 2028, supported by recent awards from VÃ¥r Energi, Equinor and Aker BP.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Most operators are already in the market to secure capacity from 2028 onward, suggesting that future utilization for this region should remain near 100%. Additionally, work in Canada for Equinor and Cenovus could further tighten harsh environment supply in 2028 onward. In summary, the combination of sanctioned development programs, increased exploration spending, and major discoveries continues to drive a compelling outlook for deepwater and harsh environment offshore drilling. Now, a quick update on the Valaris transaction, which is expected to close in the fourth quarter. We continue to operate as separate companies but are rapidly advancing integration planning and have recently achieved some key milestones. In June, we received CFIUS approval satisfying an important U.S. national security clearance condition. Recall that we required regulatory clearance from a total of seven jurisdictions, and we have previously received clearance from Saudi Arabia and Trinidad and Tobago.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

In July, we received clearance from Egypt and Australia. Just yesterday we received clearance from Angola. Currently, we continue to await clearance in two countries, Brazil and the U.S. Both are progressing as expected. We continue to believe that this combination will benefit customers and shareholders alike. I'll now hand the call over to Thad for comments on the quarter and our guidance. Thad?

Thad Vega
Thad Vega
CFO at Transocean

Thanks, Keelan. Good day, everyone. As Keelan highlighted, our second quarter financial results reflect strong operating performance and also exceeded the guidance we provided to you in May. Revenue for the second quarter was $966 million at the upper end of our guidance range, primarily the result of the Deepwater Skyros continuing to work the entire quarter, one month longer than we forecast, and additional recharge revenue. Contractual cost escalation provisions becoming effective for certain rigs also contributed. O&M expense was $608 million. Capital expenditures were $24 million, both below the low end of our guidance ranges, primarily due to timing and deferrals in maintenance and out-of-service expenditures. At $56 million, G&A exceeded our guidance. However, this figure includes about $11 million of acquisition costs associated with the Valaris transaction.

Thad Vega
Thad Vega
CFO at Transocean

Adjusting for this expense, our result is in line at a quarterly run rate of about $45 million. Our adjusted EBITDA was $312 million, implying margin of about 32%. Free cash flow of $212 million carried a margin of 22%, which while primarily the product of strong operational performance, was complemented by favorable changes in working capital. Recall that last quarter's cash flow was detrimentally affected by the timing of both collections and payments. Our trailing 12-month net debt to EBITDA ratio, inclusive of restricted cash primarily for debt repayment, is now 2.8 times, a more than two turn improvement when contrasted with the 5.2 times ratio at the beginning of 2025. We finished the quarter with about $510 million in unrestricted cash, up sequentially from $330 million. Our total liquidity, inclusive of the undrawn revolving credit facility, was approximately $1.3 billion.

Thad Vega
Thad Vega
CFO at Transocean

We intend to use some of this cash to reduce leverage and continue to simplify the balance sheet. In this regard, we expect to call the remaining $200 million of outstanding principal on our 8% Deepwater Aquila notes at the end of the third quarter, after the next reduction in the notes call premium. Including this early retirement, which will save approximately $22 million in interest expense through maturity, we expect to end the year with less than $4.8 billion of gross debt. We also forecast our total liquidity to be $1.25 billion-$1.35 billion. Excuse me. Over the next 12 months, we will consider refinancing additional secured debt into unsecured instruments, reflecting improved debt capital market conditions and the tight trading levels observed in our debt complex over the last several quarters.

Thad Vega
Thad Vega
CFO at Transocean

As you probably know, we recently earned ratings upgrades from both S&P and Moody's to B- and B2 respectively, and we're on positive outlook for further upgrades pending the closing of the Valaris acquisition. You'll note in our earnings release that we've increased our 2026 revenue guidance to reflect contract extensions on several rigs that we previously expected to roll off this year, as well as the new contract on the Deepwater Proteus. Similar to last quarter, the upper end of our guidance range assumes that existing contracts continue longer than shown in our fleet status report, with the low end reflecting certain contractual options not being exercised by our customers. As a result of this incremental activity, we have also increased our full year cost guidance slightly. G&A guidance of $170 million-$180 million for the full year is unchanged since the last update.

Thad Vega
Thad Vega
CFO at Transocean

This range ignores transaction-related costs, which would typically be excluded from adjusted EBITDA. I also note that our full-year interest expense guidance of approximately $475 million consists of Q1 and Q2 results that include the rather unpredictable mark-to-market effect of the bifurcated exchange feature and our 2029 exchangeable bonds, plus our forecast for second half interest expense, approximately $113 million per quarter, which is unadjusted for any effects of these bonds. Revisiting a topic we discussed last quarter, we are observing only minor inflationary frictions, mainly in logistics and fuel, despite the persistent conflict in the Middle East.

Thad Vega
Thad Vega
CFO at Transocean

Fuel costs remain 20%-40% above pre-war levels, but I remind you that we are typically only responsible for fuel when our rigs are off hire, limiting the impact on our costs. Logistics costs have also increased slightly, but are not materially affecting our O&M expenditures. While we will monitor the effect of the latest U.S. tariffs, at the present time, we do not anticipate that they will have a meaningful impact on our cost structure. This concludes my prepared remarks. Keelan?

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Before opening the line for questions, let me recap today's highlights. Transocean is executing exceptionally well today across the enterprise. Our people continue to provide our customers with superior service from the industry's highest spec fleet. As a result, we have successfully filled most of our open availability in 2026, allowing us to enhance our full-year outlook. Supply disruptions around the world, continued growth in oil and gas CapEx, and strong demand for our rigs all reinforce our view that we are in a multiyear upcycle for offshore drilling. The combination of Transocean and Valaris will further enhance our ability to provide superior service to our customers in all key oil and gas producing regions and deliver exceptional value to shareholders. We will now open the line for questions.

Operator

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, press star one on your keypad. To leave the queue at any time, press star two. Once again, that is star one to ask a question. We will take our first question from Eddie Kim with Barclays. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Eddie Kim
Eddie Kim
Analyst at Barclays

Hi, good morning. Your outlook was very constructive with the expectation to see utilization of high spec rigs exceeding 90% next year and approaching 100% by the end of next year. It also feels like leading edge day rates are now firmly in the mid 400s, as indicated by your recent contract announcements as well as from your peers. Is there any reason to believe that leading edge day rates shouldn't continue to move higher next year, just given the tightness in the market? If not, what would be the potential roadblocks from preventing that from happening?

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

Hey, Eddie, this is Roddy. Yeah. The first thing that we're seeing now is the filling of white space and that diminished availability. The second thing that we're in the mode of here is we're beginning to observe a lot of repositioning of the fleet, as Keelan mentioned in his comments. That's really going to help get the rigs in the right spots for the long term. As those two things happen, then clearly we enter an improved business environment, and we also get to lower costs because we've got rigs in the right places and we're not moving rigs anymore. I think you're going to see an improved business environment in general over the next 12 to 18 months.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Maybe just a quick add from myself. Our customers are obviously very focused on project execution. They want to ensure that they're working with partners that can deliver against those expectations. We're well-positioned in that regard with our fleet and the way we perform. As the market tightens and we're looking at utilization to stack and see how the industry fleet looks over a period of time, it's a supply and demand balance. It's when the customers want to come for the work, at the end of the day, we'll see where that takes us when it comes to rates.

Eddie Kim
Eddie Kim
Analyst at Barclays

Got it. Great. Thanks for that color. Speaking of repositioning of rigs, just want to touch on the Cat D rigs that you signed up with Equinor. A few years ago, you moved a couple of those Cat D rigs from Norway to Australia. Now they're moving back to Norway. Is this a sign of increasing demand in Norway or softening demand in Australia? Or maybe a little bit of both?

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

Yeah, I think the movement in the first place was because the Norwegian market had gone soft, no question. Several years ago, that was a reality for us. The beauty of this fleet is they are genuinely attractive all over the world. That's the nature of running a fleet of this level of specification. Specifically those rigs that are coming back, this is an indication of how strong the market is in Norway. It's a very attractive market for us for many years, but particularly now as this is kind of the beginning of seeing so many more long-term contracts on offer. Strategically moving the rigs back to long-term contracts is great. We're very excited about the deal and so is our customer. The headline rate was very important to them, but there was also some pretty significant improvements for us.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

We think about these kind of long-term opportunities as making sure they generate as much cash as possible. Contract improvements, escalation provisions, and the exclusion of any third-party services in those numbers, plus the fact that it's seven years of backlog, make that an extremely attractive move for us. It's definitely a case of Norway is offering some very attractive terms and conditions and duration of contract at the moment.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Maybe just one more piece on that. Obviously, Equinor have objectives to maintain production at current levels right through to 2035 against a backdrop of declining production. There's a lot of work in Norway, and that's definitely been a pickup since we moved those rigs out of the area. It really is about Norway and not the rest of the world.

Eddie Kim
Eddie Kim
Analyst at Barclays

Got it. Great. Thanks for all that color. I'll turn it back.

Operator

Thank you. We'll move next to Greg Lewis with BTIG. Please go ahead, your line is now open.

Greg Lewis
Greg Lewis
Analyst at BTIG

Hey, thank you, good morning, and thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to talk a little bit more about the opportunity set in Southeast Asia and it sounds like we could see multiple floaters start up in that part of the world. I guess my question is around really, clearly there's a bifurcation between 6th and 7th-gen rigs. Traditionally, India and parts of Southeast Asia have been 6th-gen. It looks like the 6th-gen market is about to get pretty tight pretty quickly as those go higher. I guess what I'm wondering is could we start to see 6th-gen, 7th-gen pricing converge?

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

That's a very interesting question. You're probably well aware, Greg, that our strategy has been to make sure that we fully utilize those 6th-gen assets. Of course, the fixtures that we made in Brazil earlier this year were a very solid step on that track. Yes, traditionally, Southeast Asia has indeed consumed a lot of 6th-gen rigs, but I think at this stage in the game, it doesn't really matter between 6th-gen and 7th-gen, where they go. I think they're capable of going anywhere in the world and will perform well in all of these prospects. To your point about Southeast Asia, there's a lot of stuff going on. Indonesia has multiple tenders, Malaysia, Brunei, to mention just a few, and of course, India being a very big opportunity here. ONGC just opened their multi-rig tender, there aren't that many rigs on offer.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

I think it's already tightening up. I don't think you see a huge difference in those day rates. Certainly from our point of view, we're very keen to perhaps be slightly countercyclical here that it would be great in this upturn that we're in to have some of the higher specification rigs available to us to take advantage of that later in the game. As you know, traditionally, a lot of high-spec rigs are the first to get booked up. We're trying to balance that out a little bit because we have a very capable 6th-gen fleet. They're doing a fantastic job for the customers, and they're very fit for purpose. To your point about Southeast Asia, it really is blowing up in terms of contracting, and we're very pleased if we have the opportunity to place some more 6th-gen rigs there.

Greg Lewis
Greg Lewis
Analyst at BTIG

Okay, great. Realizing we're not disclosing rates, there was a priced option. I guess what my question is around, as we think about priced options, let's assume we're not disclosing those rates, which is why I've asked the question. I guess at a minimum, when we think about priced options, should we assume that they're flattish or more likely up, or could we actually be seeing priced options in out years at lower rates?

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

I wouldn't necessarily say they're flattish. I can't really say a lot about that for obvious reasons, I would think about it in terms of the provisions and what have you in the contracts mean that those options are going to be very satisfactory to us in the long run. I'll just kind of leave it at that.

Greg Lewis
Greg Lewis
Analyst at BTIG

Okay, perfect. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. We will move next to Keith Beckman with Pickering Energy Partners. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Keith Beckman
Keith Beckman
Analyst at Pickering Energy Partners

Hey, good morning, and thanks for taking my question. I just kind of wanted to ask around, and you guys gave very helpful commentary kind of around the globe, but I wanted to ask maybe more particularly around the Gulf into next year. You guys did a really good job at winning some awards here this year to fill up capacity. Some of that stuff's rolling off in early 2027. I think you guys expect the Gulf to be down a little bit from commentary earlier into next year. Where do you think those rigs potentially land? Do you think they move to West Africa? Potentially some of yours in particular potentially getting extended. Just trying to get a sense on maybe how you're thinking about your fleet and then maybe more macro-wise as well.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

Yeah. I think, to your point there, we're very pleased to extend a couple of rigs in the Gulf this quarter. Again, a lot of those things are kind of in the pipeline for some time. We do think that the fleet that's in the Gulf is typically very attractive in any basin. What we're seeing is that as long as those rigs are performing well, they've got solid opportunities elsewhere. If we get towards the end of these programs, then it's a relatively easy pivot to move them on to the next location. That's kind of the point that Keelan was making about the redistribution of the fleet, is that we've already seen that. Even with a couple of our rigs, we've moved these high-spec rigs to other jurisdictions, and we expect them to do real well there as well.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

Certainly, there's the potential for more of that to happen in the Gulf, as a few of them are rolling off. I did see, I think just this week, there was another, one of the Seadrill rigs was extended to stay here, which is good. I think you see a little shuffling of the deck there. I don't think we are going to experience much white space on that at all. We're quite happy to see that happen.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Yeah, Keith, we've got rigs moving out, we've got rigs moving in. The long-term prospects for the U.S. Gulf are very strong, obviously, with Paleogene and many of the prospects that are out there. It will always be a good basin. I think it's just a bit of a timing thing more than anything else. West Africa is picking up and Asia and India and that area is picking up as well. These assets that have availability will move to satisfy those requirements. As we said, it's a little balancing, but long-term, it's still a very productive area to be, very constructive area to be in the U.S. Gulf.

Keith Beckman
Keith Beckman
Analyst at Pickering Energy Partners

Awesome. I really appreciate that. My follow-up question is just, are you guys seeing any change in operator behavior, kind of assuming this stronger 2027 recovery that we agree with here? Are they trying to lock in rigs for longer term, potentially, what may be better day rates? The follow-up to that is, do you think energy security is still kind of a topic of conversation with a lot of these NOCs here? Has that potentially pushed projects up the pipeline from what you guys have seen at all, or maybe a little bit more urgency there?

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Yeah, Keith, I'll take that. You're absolutely spot on. What we're seeing right now is somewhat typical of what we see at the start of these up cycles and where our NOCs are typically the first to move. They typically have the most term to offer. They can secure good deals on a number of assets. Petrobras obviously is a great example of that. Equinor, the deal we just did with them, Eni are moving as well.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

What you start to see is the NOCs moving at the beginning and taking volume and ensuring that they get a competitive deal for that. The majors obviously are really disciplined, and they're going to manage their portfolios as they best see fit and address their priorities accordingly. I think we're seeing that play out at this point in time. It's exactly as you indicate. Roddie, do you have anything you want to add?

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

Yeah, just to add on, you mentioned there about the energy security. That definitely plays into a kind of a shift towards domestic production. I want to make it really clear. Far, we've had a fabulous year in terms of contracting, over $3 billion worth of rig time already, but none of that was predicated on elevated oil prices. All of those fixtures are predicated on breakevens that are calculated in the $30-$40 range. None of the operators today are executing on a higher oil price. They are very disciplined in that regard. I think what you're seeing is the shift of capital towards deepwater is in a disciplined manner.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

That speaks really well for the long term, because it means that the decisions that are being made today that are tightening up our market are decisions that will last through ups and downs of the oil price. I think it's a really important distinction to make is that energy security is definitely a factor, but all of the stuff that we're seeing and we're expecting that there could be up to 150 rig years awarded across the fleets this year. That's a very substantial number, bigger than it's been in a number of years. It's not predicated on short-term oil prices. This is predicated on a long-term view of very conservative, disciplined investing by our customers, which we welcome.

Keith Beckman
Keith Beckman
Analyst at Pickering Energy Partners

I really appreciate y'all. I'll turn it back.

Operator

Thank you. We'll move next to Fredrik Stene with Clarksons Securities. Please go ahead.

Fredrik Stene
Head of Research at Clarksons Securities

Hey, Keelan, Thad, thank you for taking my questions. Congratulations first and foremost on a strong quarter, super happy to hear that the work on the Valaris deal is progressing well as well. I wanted to touch a bit on specific rigs. You have already kind of talked a bit about the Gulf with the Conqueror and Proteus, which you seem very optimistic about. With the backdrop you gave on Norway in particular, maybe on the strengths that we're seeing there, on the harsh environment market, how do you, for example, tend to go about the Spitsbergen, which is the rig that you have available first? Do you think the strength there is enough to see that rig potentially extended with a contract award this year? Are you trying to play it cool and potentially get more of an upside if the market squeezes even higher?

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

I think we're always trying to play it cool. Realistically about the Spitsbergen, yeah, great rig. Doing a fabulous job for Equinor, love working for Equinor there. It's always our preference to keep the rigs exactly where they are and continue on with the customers they're with. We're in constant dialogue with Equinor on a number of different things as you saw our recent announcement. Yep, definitely our preference to keep it with Equinor and continue that relationship. It's gone really well so far.

Fredrik Stene
Head of Research at Clarksons Securities

All right. Thanks, Roddie. Also wanted to touch upon the Mykonos, which you're keeping now with a non-Petrobras company in Brazil. Given your outlook on that region and country maybe in particular, do you think it's possible that that will be kept in Brazil as well? Is that one of those rigs that you might move yourself to potentially satisfy demand in West Africa, Southeast Asia? Just interested to hear any color on leads and work that you might be looking at for that particular unit.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

Good question. Brazil has gone through a massive contracting effort in the last year, including the Deepwater Mykonos, with a non-Petrobras operator. There's a distinct possibility that continues there. It's also very interesting that that class of rig is ideally suited to a lot of the work that's come up in Southeast Asia. India, for example, she would be a great candidate for India for some of the tenders that are coming up. Again, it's always our preference to keep the rigs where they are. We'll just have to wait and see how that plays out. I don't think she will have any shortage of opportunities elsewhere if, for whatever reason, Brazil doesn't follow through on that. I do think there's a pretty high desire to keep her in Brazil.

Fredrik Stene
Head of Research at Clarksons Securities

Thank you. Maybe just one last quick one for Thad, if possible. You guys have been working diligently to be as cost efficient as you can lately, and obviously the second quarter you did very well on the cost side. I was wondering if you had any updated commentary on how that cost work is progressing, and now I'm talking about Transocean standalone, first and foremost. Maybe, second, if you have, during the integration planning, identified any more cost savings opportunities when the deal closes. Thanks.

Thad Vega
Thad Vega
CFO at Transocean

Second question first. Got no additional comments or guidance with respect to the combination. We are moving ahead with all of the integration and certainly we're finding new opportunities that we didn't think existed prior to the process. As we get closer to consummation of that transaction, we'll provide additional information. With respect to Transocean on a standalone basis, all of the cost savings initiatives have been implemented. We are seeing the results in our liquidity, and it's facilitating additional reduction in debt going forward. We are, as I said, sort of on the road to about $200 million, $250 million in aggregate between 2026 and 2027.

Thad Vega
Thad Vega
CFO at Transocean

It is, as you would expect, sort of a constant battle to make sure that we are saving everywhere that we possibly can. We have been, I think, pretty successful in achieving our goals. As we move towards the end of 2027, since some of the cost savings are associated with deferrals and things of that nature, we're going to have to find other areas to economize on, just to make sure that we can maintain the cost structure that we have today.

Fredrik Stene
Head of Research at Clarksons Securities

All right. Thank you so much for the answers. Have a good day all. That's it for me.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Thanks, Fredrik.

Operator

Thank you. We'll move next to Noel Parks with Tuohy Brothers. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Noel Parks
Analyst at Tuohy Brothers

Great, thanks. I just wondered if you could maybe talk a little bit more about what you're seeing. You were noting expected tender activity in Ghana, Mozambique, Namibia, and Nigeria. I guess similar to some of the other regional questions you've been discussing, what do you think Transocean views are the industry's ability to sort of meet the needs of projects there within the other competing regions?

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

Yeah. Quite happy to fill in some of the details on that. What I'd say is, Africa in general is actually the largest growth region that we have on our chart today. As we go through the list of opportunities, we're looking at 12 plus multi-year developments that are going to require rigs. There are at least six long-term tenders that are ongoing right now. I won't go through all the details, but you're basically looking at every country that you mentioned, plus a couple of others, have something going on in terms of incremental rig demand. It's very encouraging to see, because a lot of the stuff is the long-term stuff. When we think about where we are overall, we're definitely on average greater than a year for each one of the prospects that we're looking at.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

In West Africa, it's kind of even more so. I think some of the shorter stuff is maybe one year long, but we're looking at at least a half dozen opportunities that are two or more years, some as long as three and four years. Just overall, yes, there's already been some awards in Nigeria. There's more to come. There's potentially three, four rigs to add there. There's a lot going on in Mozambique.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

There's at least a couple or three potential opportunities there. You go into the details of some of the other places, it's changing certainly on a monthly basis, if not a weekly basis. Yeah, real strong in West Africa just now. I do think when we were describing the whole redistribution of the fleet, there's a distinct possibility that some of the idle rigs today will end up over there. All good on the West Africa front.

Noel Parks
Analyst at Tuohy Brothers

Terrific. That statistic you mentioned, 35 countries looking to do some sort of exploration or appraisal rising to 51. I just wonder if you could kind of maybe characterize the plays that are the motivation behind many of these. I'm just wondering roughly what proportion you would guess are essentially just picking up on past discoveries that didn't get funded for further exploration versus maybe new concepts that have been arrived at through better 3D seismic or reprocessing and so forth.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

Yep. Hey, look, there's been a relatively strong period of exploration success over the last 12 months, which is good. Don't forget, we've kind of gone through a relatively down period in our market. Of course, during that time, you had many of the operators have great prospects in the wings, so there's kind of prospects on the shelf, so to speak. As the outlook overall for global oil and gas consumption has improved, that's just allowed a lot of those things to come to the fore. I would describe it as genuinely a mixed bag. There's probably several of these developments, Namibia springs to mind, that a number of discoveries made a few years ago, and now there's developments ongoing there.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

Whether that's something that attracts some of our rigs, or perhaps more likely some of our competitors' rigs move to Namibia, there's also a number of exploration successes elsewhere. Most recently, we just talked about the Ivory Coast, for example. As we went through all those countries there, I think you could probably say there has been a new discovery in one of those countries in almost every single one. If not in the last 12 months, certainly in the previous upcycle that's now coming to the market. I'd say you got a pretty good split on that.

Noel Parks
Analyst at Tuohy Brothers

Great. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from Jeff LeBlanc with the TPH Research. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Jeff LeBlanc
Analyst at TPH Research

Good morning, Keelan and team. Thank you for taking my question. I wanted to see if you could talk about drilling efficiency gains and how you expect continued efficiency gains could impact future floater demand. Thank you.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Hi. Good morning, Jeff. I think your question is around drilling efficiency and how that impacts future growth.

Jeff LeBlanc
Analyst at TPH Research

Yes.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Yeah. I would simply say, this is probably the single most focused area of the drilling community and the customers with respect to delivering against these project execution imperatives that our customers have, right? In a world of a disciplined capital allocation, having confidence in our ability to deliver against those projects reliably and none of them are easy, they're all challenging. There is a real push to ensure that we can drive more and more efficiency from the industry fleet. I think the areas of automation are developing by the day. We, for one, are installing automation across our fleet on the drill floors.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

It drives greater consistency and performance efficiency and a lot more predictability, and ensures that not only are we drilling efficiently, but our people are doing what they need to do operationally and keeping an eye on all aspects of the operation as opposed to just operating equipment. I think it's a really great development for our industry. It's going to drive an awful lot more efficiency. Of course, the more efficient we are, the more capital that will be allocated against the business. We're finding that on the back of our performance, we're getting more work. We're not drilling ourself out of work. We're finding that that is enabling more opportunities. I think this is an important point in time as we move into this constructive upcycle that we're able to deliver that level of performance across a wide fleet.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

It's not based on an individual rig performance basis. It's based on a standard operating procedure. It's based on using tools like automation and technology that really drive a consistent delivery. We want to be predictable. We want to be a high-performing, predictable service to our customers, and I think our customers appreciate that. It's very helpful in the investment thesis and investment decisions that our major customers go through to determine whether to unlock some capital for these developments, and then free up capital, importantly for reserve replacement objectives in exploration and appraisal. I think it's a really important point in time, and we embrace it fully and we're seeing the benefits of it.

Roddie Mackenzie
Roddie Mackenzie
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer at Transocean

Yeah. I'll just add on top of that to say S&P recently said that they expect deepwater production to increase by about 60% from 2024 levels into 2030, which is great, but that's driven exactly by the stuff that Keelan is describing. Our ability to execute on this stuff in a much more efficient manner, A, produces more from these basins, but it absolutely drives activity. We unlock stuff because we are more efficient at that. We're all violently aligned on that with our customers and the other operators of drilling rigs to deliver that best possible value deepwater.

Jeff LeBlanc
Analyst at TPH Research

Okay. Thank you very much. I'll hand the call back to the operator. Thank you.

Keelan Adamson
Keelan Adamson
President and CEO at Transocean

Thanks, Jeff.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, this concludes our question and answer session. I will now turn the meeting back to David Keddington for any additional or closing remarks.

David Keddington
David Keddington
VP and Treasurer at Transocean

All right. Thanks. We'd like to thank everyone who participated in our earnings call today, and we invite you to follow up with us for any additional inquiries. With that, we'll close the call.

Operator

This concludes today's meeting. We appreciate your time and participation. You may now disconnect. Thank you.

Executives
    • David Keddington
      David Keddington
      VP and Treasurer
    • Keelan Adamson
      Keelan Adamson
      President and CEO
    • Thad Vega
      Thad Vega
      CFO
    • Roddie Mackenzie
      Roddie Mackenzie
      EVP and Chief Commercial Officer
Analysts
    • Eddie Kim
      Analyst at Barclays
    • Greg Lewis
      Analyst at BTIG
    • Keith Beckman
      Analyst at Pickering Energy Partners
    • Fredrik Stene
      Head of Research at Clarksons Securities
    • Noel Parks
      Analyst at Tuohy Brothers
    • Jeff LeBlanc
      Analyst at TPH Research
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