Vistra (NYSE:VST) Given New $202.00 Price Target at Seaport Research Partners

Key Points

• Seaport Research Partners cut its Vistra price target from $226 to $202, while still implying 78.38% upside from the previous close.
• Analyst sentiment remains broadly positive: MarketBeat reports a Moderate Buy consensus and an average price target of $205, though KeyCorp also downgraded the stock to Sector Weight.
• Vistra shares fell to $113.24 on Monday, near their one-year low. The company also missed quarterly earnings and revenue estimates, while uncertainty over Texas policies and future data-center demand poses a risk.

Vistra (NYSE:VST - Get Free Report) had its price target lowered by stock analysts at Seaport Research Partners from $226.00 to $202.00 in a research report issued on Monday. Seaport Research Partners's target price points to a potential upside of 78.38% from the company's previous close.

Other research analysts have also issued research reports about the company. HSBC assumed coverage on Vistra in a report on Thursday, October 22nd. They issued a "buy" rating and a $190.00 target price on the stock. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce decreased their price objective on Vistra from $201.00 to $181.00 and set an "outperformer" rating on the stock in a research note on Wednesday, October 28th. BNP Paribas Exane set a $255.00 price target on shares of Vistra and gave the company an "outperform" rating in a research note on Wednesday, August 19th. KeyCorp lowered shares of Vistra from an "overweight" rating to a "sector weight" rating in a research report on Wednesday. Finally, The Goldman Sachs Group set a $206.00 price target on shares of Vistra and gave the stock a "buy" rating in a report on Wednesday, August 12th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, nineteen have assigned a Buy rating, three have given a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company's stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and a consensus target price of $205.00.

Vistra Stock Performance

NYSE:VST traded down $7.05 during midday trading on Monday, reaching $113.24. The stock had a trading volume of 9,002,360 shares, compared to its average volume of 5,247,821. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.87, a current ratio of 0.97 and a quick ratio of 0.87. The firm's fifty day simple moving average is $144.73 and its 200-day simple moving average is $153.08. Vistra has a 1-year low of $110.89 and a 1-year high of $196.80. The stock has a market capitalization of $38.01 billion, a P/E ratio of 19.04 and a beta of 1.37.

Vistra (NYSE:VST - Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Friday, August 7th. The company reported $0.76 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $1.61 by ($0.85). The business had revenue of $4.02 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $5.46 billion. Vistra had a return on equity of 108.68% and a net margin of 11.55%. On average, equities research analysts forecast that Vistra will post 8.93 EPS for the current fiscal year.

Insider Transactions at Vistra

In related news, EVP Scott Hudson sold 22,222 shares of the firm's stock in a transaction on Tuesday, October 6th. The shares were sold at an average price of $160.14, for a total value of $3,558,631.08. Following the transaction, the executive vice president directly owned 308,915 shares in the company, valued at approximately $49,469,648.10. This trade represents a 6.71% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available through this link. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, CEO James A. Burke bought 4,465 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, September 1st. The stock was purchased at an average cost of $135.25 per share, for a total transaction of $603,891.25. Following the acquisition, the chief executive officer owned 1,146,352 shares in the company, valued at $155,044,108. The trade was a 0.39% increase in their position. The disclosure for this purchase is available in the SEC filing. 0.92% of the stock is owned by company insiders.

Institutional Trading of Vistra

A number of hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in VST. BlackRock Inc. bought a new position in Vistra in the second quarter worth approximately $4,610,496,000. Envestnet Asset Management Inc. raised its holdings in shares of Vistra by 16.1% during the 2nd quarter. Envestnet Asset Management Inc. now owns 258,337 shares of the company's stock valued at $40,979,000 after buying an additional 35,862 shares in the last quarter. Fifth Third Bancorp raised its position in Vistra by 95.1% during the 1st quarter. Fifth Third Bancorp now owns 177,199 shares of the company's stock valued at $26,638,000 after purchasing an additional 86,393 shares during the last quarter. Wealth High Governance Capital Ltda purchased a new position in shares of Vistra in the 1st quarter valued at approximately $10,543,000. Finally, Lazard Asset Management LLC grew its holdings in shares of Vistra by 353.5% during the first quarter. Lazard Asset Management LLC now owns 11,690 shares of the company's stock valued at $1,757,000 after buying an additional 9,112 shares during the last quarter. 90.88% of the stock is owned by institutional investors.

Vistra News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting Vistra this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Some bullish analysis argues that Vistra’s shift toward long-term power agreements and capacity revenues could make earnings more predictable. One article cites 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance growth of 21.8% and sees potential upside from the Cogentrix acquisition and Meta contracts. Vistra: The Market Is Underpricing Its Shift To Contracted Earnings
• Positive Sentiment: Despite the policy concerns, an analysis notes that most of Vistra’s 2027 output is hedged and estimates its free-cash-flow yield at over 10%, suggesting a potential valuation cushion if demand concerns ease. Vistra: Texas Turned Blue, And The 2026 Forecast Didn't Move
• Neutral Sentiment: Vistra is scheduled to report third-quarter results on November 6. Analysts expect revenue of about $7.44 billion, though results and management’s comments on Texas demand and data-center projects may shape near-term trading. Vistra Set for Q3 Earnings Release
• Negative Sentiment: The main overhang is uncertainty after the Texas election: investors fear potential restrictions on data-center development could curb future electricity demand. Texas accounts for about 28% of Vistra’s EBITDA, making policy changes a material risk to growth expectations. Vistra Fell 14% on the Texas Election Vote
• Negative Sentiment: KeyBanc cut its rating on VST from Overweight to Sector Weight amid the Texas policy questions. Scotiabank also lowered its 2026 EPS estimate to $8.83 from $9.14, although it kept a Sector Outperform rating and $189 price target.
• Negative Sentiment: Put-option buying was unusually high, with 67,301 puts traded—69% above the average volume—signaling elevated demand for downside protection or bearish positioning.

Vistra Company Profile

Vistra Corp. NYSE: VST is an integrated energy company based in Irving, Texas. The company operates across electricity generation, power distribution support, energy marketing and retail electricity sales, serving residential, commercial and industrial customers primarily in the United States.

Vistra owns and operates a diverse portfolio of power generation and energy storage facilities. Its assets include natural gas, nuclear, coal and renewable generation, as well as battery storage projects.

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