FY2026 Earnings Estimate for ASML Issued By Erste Group Bank

Key Points

• Erste Group Bank trimmed its FY2026 EPS estimate for ASML to $45.59 from $45.71, still above the $44.97 consensus estimate; it forecasts FY2027 EPS of $62.74.
• ASML has a “Moderate Buy” consensus rating from analysts, with an average price target of $1,970.33. The stock recently opened at $1,698.30, compared with a 52-week range of $806.30 to $1,999.96.
• AI-related chip demand and expanding High-NA EUV collaborations with Samsung, Intel and TSMC could support growth, but ASML’s premium valuation leaves limited room for execution or demand disappointments.

ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ:ASML - Free Report) - Equities research analysts at Erste Group Bank cut their FY2026 earnings per share estimates for shares of ASML in a report released on Tuesday, September 8th. Erste Group Bank analyst H. Engel now anticipates that the semiconductor company will post earnings per share of $45.59 for the year, down from their prior estimate of $45.71. The consensus estimate for ASML's current full-year earnings is $44.97 per share. Erste Group Bank also issued estimates for ASML's FY2027 earnings at $62.74 EPS.

ASML has been the subject of a number of other reports. Morningstar downgraded ASML to a "sell" rating in a research note on Wednesday, May 27th. Argus set a $2,100.00 price target on shares of ASML in a report on Thursday, July 16th. Royal Bank Of Canada upped their price target on shares of ASML from $1,700.00 to $2,000.00 and gave the stock an "outperform" rating in a research report on Tuesday, July 14th. Jefferies Financial Group reissued a "neutral" rating on shares of ASML in a research note on Monday, June 1st. Finally, Wall Street Zen downgraded shares of ASML from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating in a research report on Saturday, August 15th. Three equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, twenty-one have given a Buy rating, four have given a Hold rating and three have assigned a Sell rating to the company's stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, ASML currently has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average target price of $1,970.33.

ASML Price Performance

NASDAQ ASML opened at $1,698.30 on Monday. ASML has a 52 week low of $806.30 and a 52 week high of $1,999.96. The company has a quick ratio of 0.80, a current ratio of 1.33 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09. The company has a market capitalization of $667.91 billion, a P/E ratio of 52.84, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.84 and a beta of 1.79. The stock's 50-day moving average price is $1,737.82 and its 200-day moving average price is $1,611.30.

ASML (NASDAQ:ASML - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Sunday, June 28th. The semiconductor company reported $8.65 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter. The business had revenue of $10.62 billion during the quarter. ASML had a return on equity of 52.71% and a net margin of 30.11%.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. Capstone Wealth Management Group LLC grew its stake in ASML by 5.2% during the first quarter. Capstone Wealth Management Group LLC now owns 2,511 shares of the semiconductor company's stock valued at $1,664,000 after acquiring an additional 124 shares in the last quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC lifted its stake in ASML by 141.1% in the 1st quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC now owns 6,871 shares of the semiconductor company's stock worth $4,553,000 after purchasing an additional 4,021 shares in the last quarter. UBS AM A Distinct Business Unit of UBS Asset Management Americas LLC lifted its stake in ASML by 153.1% in the 1st quarter. UBS AM A Distinct Business Unit of UBS Asset Management Americas LLC now owns 17,210 shares of the semiconductor company's stock worth $11,404,000 after purchasing an additional 10,411 shares in the last quarter. Sivia Capital Partners LLC boosted its holdings in shares of ASML by 1.3% during the 2nd quarter. Sivia Capital Partners LLC now owns 1,168 shares of the semiconductor company's stock valued at $936,000 after purchasing an additional 15 shares during the last quarter. Finally, NewEdge Advisors LLC boosted its holdings in shares of ASML by 5.2% during the 2nd quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 11,383 shares of the semiconductor company's stock valued at $9,122,000 after purchasing an additional 559 shares during the last quarter. 26.07% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

ASML Cuts Dividend

The firm also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, August 5th. Investors of record on Tuesday, July 28th were paid a dividend of $2.1507 per share. This represents a $8.60 annualized dividend and a yield of 0.5%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Tuesday, July 28th. ASML's dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 22.62%.

ASML News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting ASML this week:

• Positive Sentiment: AI-driven demand for logic chips, high-bandwidth memory and advanced DRAM is expected to support ASML’s 2026 growth. Global wafer-fabrication-equipment spending is projected to rise 16.9% to $135.2 billion, with memory equipment spending growing faster than the overall market. 3 Chip Equipment Stocks Set to Win the Memory Boom
• Positive Sentiment: ASML is deepening High-NA EUV relationships with Samsung and Intel, potentially strengthening its long-term order pipeline as customers qualify the technology for advanced production. ASML Expands High-NA Ties With Samsung and Intel as AI Demand Builds
• Positive Sentiment: A collaboration with TSMC aims to develop 12-inch High-NA EUV photomasks, with a potential 40% productivity improvement, lower chipmaking costs and fewer stitching constraints. ASML, TSMC Target 40% High-NA Productivity Gain
• Neutral Sentiment: ASML’s monopoly in extreme-ultraviolet lithography underscores its strategic importance to the semiconductor industry, but this is established business context rather than a new catalyst. What is ASML?
• Neutral Sentiment: Reported short interest was zero shares, providing no meaningful evidence of bearish positioning or short-covering pressure.
• Negative Sentiment: Analysts caution that ASML’s premium valuation leaves limited room for execution or demand disappointments. Broader High-NA adoption depends on customer qualification and manufacturing decisions, while the TSMC productivity initiative may not be realized until 2033. Should Investors Buy ASML as AI Growth Meets a Premium Valuation?

About ASML

ASML Holding N.V. is a Netherlands-based technology company that develops and manufactures lithography systems used by semiconductor manufacturers to produce integrated circuits. Its equipment uses light to project intricate circuit patterns onto silicon wafers, an essential step in the production of chips for computers, smartphones, automobiles, data centers and other electronic devices.

The company's product portfolio includes extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems, deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography systems and advanced metrology and inspection technologies.

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