Northland Securities Comments on Genius Sports Q4 Earnings

Key Points

• Genius Sports missed earnings expectations in its latest quarter, reporting a loss of $0.06 per share versus analysts’ expected $0.01 profit. Revenue beat forecasts at $269.86 million and rose 62.3% year over year.
• Northland Securities raised its Q4 2026 EPS forecast to $0.10 from $0.08 and projected FY2027 EPS of $0.14; the consensus estimate for the current full year is a loss of $0.35 per share.
• Analyst sentiment remains a Moderate Buy, with a consensus price target of $10.76. Recent target changes were mixed, including cuts from Stifel and Oppenheimer and an increase from Guggenheim.

Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI - Free Report) - Analysts at Northland Securities boosted their Q4 2026 EPS estimates for shares of Genius Sports in a research report issued to clients and investors on Friday, November 6th. Northland Securities analyst G. Gibas now forecasts that the company will post earnings of $0.10 per share for the quarter, up from their previous forecast of $0.08. The consensus estimate for Genius Sports' current full-year earnings is ($0.35) per share. Northland Securities also issued estimates for Genius Sports' FY2027 earnings at $0.14 EPS.

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI - Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Thursday, November 5th. The company reported ($0.06) earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.01 by ($0.07). The business had revenue of $269.86 million for the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $261.13 million. Genius Sports had a negative net margin of 22.99% and a negative return on equity of 23.83%. The business's revenue was up 62.3% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter last year, the business posted ($0.11) earnings per share.

Other research analysts also recently issued reports about the company. Wall Street Zen upgraded Genius Sports from a "strong sell" rating to a "sell" rating in a research report on Sunday. Stifel Nicolaus reduced their target price on Genius Sports from $8.50 to $7.00 and set a "hold" rating on the stock in a research note on Monday, October 26th. Oppenheimer lowered their target price on Genius Sports from $12.00 to $10.00 and set an "outperform" rating on the stock in a report on Friday. Weiss Ratings reissued a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of Genius Sports in a research report on Friday, October 30th. Finally, Guggenheim boosted their price target on Genius Sports from $12.00 to $13.00 and gave the stock a "buy" rating in a report on Friday. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have assigned a Buy rating, two have given a Hold rating and two have assigned a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock currently has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and a consensus target price of $10.76.

Genius Sports Stock Up 3.9%

Shares of NYSE GENI opened at $6.21 on Tuesday. The firm's 50-day moving average is $6.48 and its two-hundred day moving average is $6.19. The company has a market capitalization of $1.53 billion, a PE ratio of -9.85 and a beta of 1.95. Genius Sports has a 12-month low of $3.83 and a 12-month high of $11.57. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10, a current ratio of 0.97 and a quick ratio of 0.97.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of large investors have recently made changes to their positions in the business. Signaturefd LLC grew its position in shares of Genius Sports by 45.9% in the third quarter. Signaturefd LLC now owns 5,096 shares of the company's stock valued at $29,000 after purchasing an additional 1,602 shares during the period. Parallel Advisors LLC purchased a new position in Genius Sports during the first quarter worth about $25,000. Lexington Hill Partners LLC acquired a new stake in Genius Sports in the 2nd quarter worth about $64,000. State of Alaska Department of Revenue acquired a new stake in Genius Sports in the 3rd quarter worth about $63,000. Finally, Kornitzer Capital Management Inc. KS purchased a new stake in Genius Sports in the 3rd quarter valued at about $73,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 81.91% of the company's stock.

Insider Buying and Selling

In related news, CEO Mark Locke sold 477,449 shares of the firm's stock in a transaction that occurred on Tuesday, September 15th. The shares were sold at an average price of $6.58, for a total transaction of $3,141,614.42. Following the sale, the chief executive officer owned 19,697,767 shares in the company, valued at approximately $129,611,306.86. This trade represents a 2.37% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. Also, insider Thomas Russell sold 50,000 shares of Genius Sports stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, September 17th. The stock was sold at an average price of $6.51, for a total transaction of $325,500.00. Following the completion of the sale, the insider directly owned 471,467 shares of the company's stock, valued at $3,069,250.17. The trade was a 9.59% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. In the last three months, insiders sold 850,000 shares of company stock valued at $5,582,049. Company insiders own 16.60% of the company's stock.

About Genius Sports

Genius Sports is a sports technology company that collects, manages and distributes data and video from sporting events. Its technology supports live statistics, scores and other sports content for leagues, teams, broadcasters and betting operators.

The company also provides services for sports betting, including official data distribution, trading tools and integrity monitoring. Its media and marketing offerings help sports organizations and brands connect with fans through digital content and targeted advertising.

Founded in 2001 and headquartered in London, Genius Sports serves clients across international markets.

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