Zacks Research Has Negative Outlook for Mosaic Q4 Earnings

Key Points

• Zacks Research cut Mosaic’s Q4 2026 EPS forecast to $0.20 from $0.34 and maintained a “Hold” rating, reflecting a more cautious near-term earnings outlook.
• Mosaic’s latest quarter showed mixed results: EPS of $0.13 slightly exceeded estimates, but revenue fell short at $2.82 billion and declined 6% year over year; net margin was negative 5.21%.
• Analyst sentiment remains broadly neutral, with an average “Hold” rating and $27.17 target price. The stock opened at $22.23, below its 200-day moving average of $24.29, while institutional investors own 77.54% of shares.

The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS - Free Report) - Zacks Research reduced their Q4 2026 earnings estimates for shares of Mosaic in a research report issued to clients and investors on Tuesday, August 18th. Zacks Research analyst Team now forecasts that the basic materials company will post earnings per share of $0.20 for the quarter, down from their previous forecast of $0.34. Zacks Research currently has a "Hold" rating on the stock. The consensus estimate for Mosaic's current full-year earnings is $0.54 per share. Zacks Research also issued estimates for Mosaic's Q2 2027 earnings at $0.31 EPS, Q3 2027 earnings at $0.23 EPS, FY2027 earnings at $1.06 EPS and FY2028 earnings at $1.41 EPS.

Mosaic (NYSE:MOS - Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Tuesday, August 4th. The basic materials company reported $0.13 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $0.12 by $0.01. The firm had revenue of $2.82 billion during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $3.10 billion. Mosaic had a positive return on equity of 3.77% and a negative net margin of 5.21%.Mosaic's revenue was down 6.0% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the prior year, the business posted $0.51 EPS.

MOS has been the subject of several other reports. Morgan Stanley reduced their target price on shares of Mosaic from $28.00 to $26.00 and set an "equal weight" rating for the company in a report on Tuesday, June 30th. BMO Capital Markets reduced their price objective on shares of Mosaic from $31.00 to $30.00 and set an "outperform" rating for the company in a research note on Tuesday, June 30th. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce set a $25.00 target price on shares of Mosaic in a research note on Tuesday, May 12th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. dropped their target price on shares of Mosaic from $24.00 to $19.00 and set an "underweight" rating for the company in a report on Tuesday, May 12th. Finally, HSBC decreased their price target on Mosaic from $26.00 to $23.00 and set a "hold" rating on the stock in a report on Thursday, June 18th. Seven equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, eleven have given a Hold rating and three have assigned a Sell rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, the company currently has an average rating of "Hold" and an average target price of $27.17.

Mosaic Stock Up 5.1%

NYSE MOS opened at $22.23 on Thursday. Mosaic has a 52 week low of $19.80 and a 52 week high of $36.99. The company has a quick ratio of 0.43, a current ratio of 1.34 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41. The company has a market capitalization of $7.07 billion, a P/E ratio of -11.00, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 3.82 and a beta of 0.82. The stock's 50-day moving average price is $22.13 and its 200-day moving average price is $24.29.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently made changes to their positions in the stock. NewEdge Advisors LLC boosted its stake in Mosaic by 27.8% during the first quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 1,749 shares of the basic materials company's stock valued at $47,000 after buying an additional 380 shares during the last quarter. United Services Automobile Association bought a new position in shares of Mosaic during the 1st quarter valued at approximately $201,000. Empowered Funds LLC boosted its position in shares of Mosaic by 170.5% during the 1st quarter. Empowered Funds LLC now owns 54,176 shares of the basic materials company's stock valued at $1,463,000 after acquiring an additional 34,151 shares during the last quarter. Woodline Partners LP grew its holdings in shares of Mosaic by 40.7% in the first quarter. Woodline Partners LP now owns 26,836 shares of the basic materials company's stock valued at $725,000 after purchasing an additional 7,760 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Geneos Wealth Management Inc. increased its position in Mosaic by 169.3% in the first quarter. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. now owns 956 shares of the basic materials company's stock worth $26,000 after purchasing an additional 601 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors own 77.54% of the company's stock.

Mosaic News Summary

Here are the key news stories impacting Mosaic this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Zacks Research raised its FY2028 EPS forecast to $1.41 from $1.31, suggesting analysts still see potential for longer-term earnings improvement.
• Neutral Sentiment: Zacks Research maintained a “Hold” rating on MOS. The stock remains near its 50-day moving average of $22.13 but below its 200-day average of $24.29, indicating limited near-term momentum.
• Negative Sentiment: The analyst cut several earnings forecasts: Q4 2026 EPS to $0.20 from $0.34, Q2 2027 EPS to $0.31 from $0.59, Q3 2027 EPS to $0.23 from $0.51, and FY2027 EPS to $1.06 from $1.67. FY2026 EPS was also reduced to $0.64 from $0.75, while select 2027–2028 quarterly estimates were lowered modestly.
• Negative Sentiment: The revisions point to weaker expected profitability for Mosaic’s fertilizer and agricultural-input businesses. This follows the company’s latest quarterly results, which showed revenue down 6% year over year and earnings well below the prior-year period, despite a small EPS beat versus estimates.

About Mosaic

Mosaic Co is one of the world's leading producers and marketers of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The company's primary business activities center on the extraction, processing and distribution of phosphate rock, phosphate-based fertilizers and potash products. These core nutrients are essential components in modern agriculture, supporting crop yields and soil health across a range of farming applications.

In its phosphate segment, Mosaic operates mining and production facilities that convert phosphate rock into concentrated phosphates, finished phosphate fertilizers and feed phosphates for animal nutrition.

This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to contact@marketbeat.com.

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