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Alphabet Stock Surges After Dodging Harsh Antitrust Remedies

Sankt-Petersburg, Russia, February 17, 2019: Google Chrome application icon on Apple iPhone X screen close-up. Google Chrome app icon. Google Chrome application. Social media network — Stock Editorial Photography

Key Points

  • Judge Mehta ruled that Google could keep Chrome and Android, with only narrower restrictions on contracts and data-sharing, avoiding the harshest remedies.
  • Alphabet shares surged 8% after hours and are now up nearly 20% YTD, far outpacing the S&P 500, as markets celebrated the ruling’s limited impact.
  • With regulatory headwinds easing and fundamentals intact, Alphabet has shifted from underperformer to market leader.
  • Five stocks we like better than Alphabet.

Alphabet Today

Alphabet Inc. stock logo
GOOGLGOOGL 90-day performance
Alphabet
$230.66 +19.31 (+9.14%)
As of 04:00 PM Eastern
52-Week Range
$140.53
$231.31
Dividend Yield
0.36%
P/E Ratio
22.67
Price Target
$219.11

Alphabet NASDAQ: GOOGL just caught a significant break in its long-running battle with regulators. U.S. District Judge Amit Mehta issued his highly anticipated ruling on remedies in the landmark antitrust case against Google.

While the court reaffirmed that the company held an illegal monopoly in internet search, the penalties were far less severe than feared.

Instead of being forced to divest key businesses like Chrome or Android, Google will face narrower restrictions focused on contracts and data-sharing. For investors, that outcome was good enough to spark a considerable after-hours rally.

Alphabet shares jumped as much as 8% in extended trading the evening of Sept. 2, leaving the stock up close to 20% year-to-date and sharply outpacing the S&P 500’s 9.5% gain.

Google Chrome Will Not Be Broken Up

Judge Mehta’s ruling stops short of breaking apart Google. The company will not be required to divest Chrome, nor will Android face a contingent divestiture. Instead, Google will be barred from entering into exclusive contracts that condition payments or licensing, a practice the DOJ argued locked out rivals and reinforced its monopoly.

The court also addressed one of the more contentious issues in the case: Google’s vast troves of user data. Mehta ordered the company to share specific search index and user interaction data with rivals on ordinary commercial terms. However, Google will not be required to hand over granular advertising data, a compromise that balances competition concerns with privacy considerations.

In practice, this means Google can still pay distribution partners like Apple to preload its products, but it can’t tie those payments to exclusivity. That nuance was enough to reassure markets that Google’s core search and advertising model remains intact.

The Market Reaction to DOJ’s Ruling on Google

Alphabet Stock Forecast Today

12-Month Stock Price Forecast:
$219.11
-5.01% Downside
Moderate Buy
Based on 44 Analyst Ratings
Current Price$230.66
High Forecast$270.00
Average Forecast$219.11
Low Forecast$172.00
Alphabet Stock Forecast Details

The relief was immediate. Shares of the tech titan surged after hours, extending a quarterly run that has already added nearly 25%.

Apple NASDAQ: AAPL also rallied close to 4% after the decision, as investors judged that its lucrative deal with Google to remain the default search engine on iPhones will continue in some form.

The DOJ framed the ruling as a victory, highlighting that the remedies are designed to “pry open the market for general search services” while also preventing Google from using similar tactics in emerging areas like generative AI.

Still, for investors, the real story was what didn’t happen: no breakup, no forced divestitures, and no broad ban on payments that would have disrupted distribution relationships.

From Headwinds to Tailwinds for Alphabet Stock

For years, Alphabet has been dogged by regulatory uncertainty. The possibility of structural remedies or forced divestitures weighed on sentiment, leaving the stock lagging behind other megacaps at times. But now, with clarity on the outcome, those headwinds may be turning into tailwinds.

The ruling leaves Google free to compete aggressively in its core markets while continuing to expand in AI, cloud, autonomy, and YouTube. With the regulatory overhang lifting, investors can refocus on fundamentals and several key growth drivers.

Pullback Risk Doesn’t Change the Longer-Term Bullish Setup

Of course, in the near term, some caution is warranted. Alphabet’s stock has now surged almost 35% this quarter alone. And with technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) running hot and entering overbought territory, profit-taking or a brief pullback wouldn’t be surprising. But the bigger picture is what matters: momentum is firmly in bull territory, and the narrative around Google has shifted decisively.

Google’s Core Business Remains In-Tact

Alphabet just dodged the most severe outcomes in its landmark antitrust battle. By keeping Chrome and Android intact and facing only narrower restrictions on contracts and data, Google preserves its core business model while clearing a massive overhang.

Shares may cool off in the short run after a big quarterly rally, but the long-term story has improved dramatically. Regulatory and competitive headwinds are subsiding and in many ways becoming tailwinds. Alphabet stock has gone from laggard to leader, and this ruling could cement the start of its next chapter of outperformance.

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Ryan Hasson
About The Author

Ryan Hasson

Contributing Author

Technical Analysis, Market Sentiment, Risk Management

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Companies Mentioned in This Article

CompanyMarketRank™Current PricePrice ChangeDividend YieldP/E RatioConsensus RatingConsensus Price Target
Alphabet (GOOGL)
3.7172 of 5 stars
$230.669.1%0.36%24.56Moderate Buy$219.11
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