S&P 500   3,970.99
DOW   32,237.53
QQQ   310.89
Ukraine demands emergency UN meeting over Putin nuclear plan
[BREAKING] New "Living Missile" to Replace Nuclear Missiles (Ad)
New Russian campaign tries to entice men to fight in Ukraine
Factory or farm? Oregon may alter land use for chipmakers
[BREAKING] New "Living Missile" to Replace Nuclear Missiles (Ad)
Travel disruption hits Germany on eve of transport strike
Biden's pick to lead FAA withdraws amid shaky Senate support
My No. 1 dividend stock for a LIFETIME of income. (Ad)
Berlin climate proposal fails to get enough yes votes to win
Adele extends Las Vegas residency, plans concert film
S&P 500   3,970.99
DOW   32,237.53
QQQ   310.89
Ukraine demands emergency UN meeting over Putin nuclear plan
[BREAKING] New "Living Missile" to Replace Nuclear Missiles (Ad)
New Russian campaign tries to entice men to fight in Ukraine
Factory or farm? Oregon may alter land use for chipmakers
[BREAKING] New "Living Missile" to Replace Nuclear Missiles (Ad)
Travel disruption hits Germany on eve of transport strike
Biden's pick to lead FAA withdraws amid shaky Senate support
My No. 1 dividend stock for a LIFETIME of income. (Ad)
Berlin climate proposal fails to get enough yes votes to win
Adele extends Las Vegas residency, plans concert film
S&P 500   3,970.99
DOW   32,237.53
QQQ   310.89
Ukraine demands emergency UN meeting over Putin nuclear plan
[BREAKING] New "Living Missile" to Replace Nuclear Missiles (Ad)
New Russian campaign tries to entice men to fight in Ukraine
Factory or farm? Oregon may alter land use for chipmakers
[BREAKING] New "Living Missile" to Replace Nuclear Missiles (Ad)
Travel disruption hits Germany on eve of transport strike
Biden's pick to lead FAA withdraws amid shaky Senate support
My No. 1 dividend stock for a LIFETIME of income. (Ad)
Berlin climate proposal fails to get enough yes votes to win
Adele extends Las Vegas residency, plans concert film
S&P 500   3,970.99
DOW   32,237.53
QQQ   310.89
Ukraine demands emergency UN meeting over Putin nuclear plan
[BREAKING] New "Living Missile" to Replace Nuclear Missiles (Ad)
New Russian campaign tries to entice men to fight in Ukraine
Factory or farm? Oregon may alter land use for chipmakers
[BREAKING] New "Living Missile" to Replace Nuclear Missiles (Ad)
Travel disruption hits Germany on eve of transport strike
Biden's pick to lead FAA withdraws amid shaky Senate support
My No. 1 dividend stock for a LIFETIME of income. (Ad)
Berlin climate proposal fails to get enough yes votes to win
Adele extends Las Vegas residency, plans concert film

Should Proctor and Gamble be a Staple in Your Portfolio?

Key Points

  • P&G sells consumer staples brands like Tide, Pampers, Bounty to over 170 countries  
  • Consumer staples are the defensive play in weakening economic climates hampered by high inflation 
  • The strong U.S. dollar is having a $400 million incremental hit for full-year estimates
  • P&G offsets rising inflation by raising prices and passing it directly to customers  
  • Its portfolio of daily use products from cleaning to hygiene will drive organic sales growth of 3% to 5% for the new fiscal year
  • Shares trade at 22X forward earnings with a 2.84% annual dividend yield
  • 5 stocks we like better than Procter & Gamble
Should Proctor and Gamble be a Staple in Your Portfolio? The world’s largest consumer goods maker Proctor & Gamble (NYSE: PG) stock has fallen (-21%) for the year. Shares hit pandemic highs of $146.92 in November 2020 as consumers stockpiled its products before falling back down to $121.54 post-pandemic lows in March 2021. Ironically, post-pandemic frenzied buying drove shares up to a new high of $165.35 in January 2022 and it hasn’t looked back as it sold off to $122.18 lows. The maker of 65 popular household brands including Tide, Gain, Febreze, Mr. Clean, Oral-B, Crest, Bounty and Pampers distributes its products to over 170 countries. Recession fears tend to drive investors into defensive plays in the consumer staples sector with consistent dividend payouts. P&G is comprised of 10 product divisions ranging from Personal , Fabric, Home, Baby, Beauty, Hair, Skin and Grooming Care. Its largest customer is Walmart (NYSE: WMT). The Company has faced normalization after tough comparables last year.

Mitigating Inflation

Price hikes and operational efficiencies helped P&G mitigate some inflationary headwinds to improve its profit margins. Unfavorable foreign exchange took a (-6%) toll on net sales. The decline in the Russian market took a (-2%) to (-3%) decline in organic sales. Like consumer staples peers Clorox (NYSE: CLX), Unilever (NYSE: UL), Church & Dwight (NYSE: CHD) and Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE: CL), P&G also faces competition from generic and private label brands which consumers are flocking to. The Company plans to raise prices again in feminine, U.S. home and U.S. oral care products. The Company is growing organic sales in all 10 product categories. The U.S. saw a 5% rise in sales while China saw organic sales fall (-4%) due to COVID restrictions and lockdowns.


Beating Estimates Despite Headwinds

On Oct. 19, 2022, P&G released its fiscal first-quarter 2023 results for the quarter ending October 2022. The Company reported a profit of $1.57 per share beating consensus analyst estimates for $1.55 per share by $0.02. Revenues rose 1.3% year-over-year (YoY) to $20.61 billion beating consensus analyst estimates for $20.37 billion. P&G CEO Jon Moeller commented, “These results enable us to maintain our guidance ranges for organic sales and EPS growth for the fiscal year despite continued significant headwinds. We remain committed to our integrated strategies of a focused product portfolio, superiority, productivity, constructive disruption and an agile and accountable organization structure. These strategies have enabled us to build and sustain strong momentum. They remain the right strategies to navigate through the near-term challenges we’re facing and continue to deliver balanced growth and value creation.”

Lower Fiscal 2023 Outlook

P&G issued downside guidance for full-year 2023 EPS between $5.81 to $6.04 versus $5.83 consensus analyst estimates. Revenue are expected to fall (-3%) to (-1%) or $77.8 billion to $79.4 billion versus $79.97 billion analyst estimates. P&G expects adjusted free cash flow productivity of 90% with a $9 billion in dividends and plans to buyback between $6 billion to $8 billion.  

Should Proctor and Gamble be a Staple in Your Portfolio?

Here’s What the Chart Says

Using the rifle charts on weekly and daily charts can provide a near-term perspective of the playing field for PG stock. The weekly rifle chart downtrend was triggered on the $130.09 Fibonacci (fib) level breakdown. The weekly downtrend is led by the falling 5-period moving average (MA) at $127.95 followed by the 15-period MA at $137.70. Shares fell through the weekly market structure low (MSL) buy trigger at $133.00 and weekly 200-period MA support at $127.95. The weekly lower Bollinger Bands (BBs) sit at $119.04. The weekly stochastic has fallen through the 20-band. The daily rifle chart has an uptrend with a rising 5-period MA followed by the 15-period MA support at $126.88. The daily stochastic formed a bullish mini pup as it rises through the 50-band. The daily 50-period MA at $136.11 nearly overlapping the daily upper BBs at $135.69. Attractive pullback levels sit at the $125.45 fib, $123.43, $122.18, $121.38 fib, $119.65 fib, $118.30 fib, and $115.59 fib level.

Should you invest $1,000 in Procter & Gamble right now?

Before you consider Procter & Gamble, you'll want to hear this.

MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and Procter & Gamble wasn't on the list.

While Procter & Gamble currently has a "Moderate Buy" rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.

View The Five Stocks Here


10 "Recession Proof" Stocks That Will Thrive in Any Market

Which stocks are likely to thrive in today's challenging market? Click the link below and we'll send you MarketBeat's list of ten stocks that will drive in any economic environment.

Get This Free Report
10

Companies Mentioned in This Article

CompanyMarketRank™Current PricePrice ChangeDividend YieldP/E RatioConsensus RatingConsensus Price Target
Procter & Gamble (PG)
2.4378 of 5 stars
$146.72+2.0%2.49%25.74Moderate Buy$155.27
Walmart (WMT)
2.6511 of 5 stars
$141.80+0.8%1.61%33.13Moderate Buy$162.44
Clorox (CLX)
2.1227 of 5 stars
$157.50+1.9%3.00%45.00Hold$141.00
Church & Dwight (CHD)
2.5731 of 5 stars
$85.98+2.0%1.27%51.18Hold$87.88
Unilever (UL)
1.4997 of 5 stars
$51.39+0.8%3.52%N/AHold$46.00
Colgate-Palmolive (CL)
2.8107 of 5 stars
$73.42+2.2%2.56%34.47Moderate Buy$81.73
Compare These Stocks  Add These Stocks to My Watchlist 

Jea Yu

About Jea Yu

Contributing Author: Trading Strategies

With over 20 years of active participation and analysis of the US equities, options and futures markets, Mr. Yu brings fresh insights into the workings of the financial markets. He has published four books by esteemed publishers McGraw-Hill, John Wiley & Sons, Marketplace Books and Bloomberg Press. His brainchild, the Underground Trader, was voted Forbes Best of the Web for four consecutive years under the active trader category. He has been a featured speaker all over the country at various expos and seminars who enjoys a standing-room-only reception in the largest convention halls from New York to Las Vegas. He has been quoted and featured in USA Today, Wall Street Journal, Traders Magazine and the Financial Times and various trade publications like Stocks & Commodities, Active Trader and Online Investor. Mr. Yu has a B.A. in Liberal Arts and minor in Business Administration from the University of Maryland.
Contact Jea Yu via email at JeaYu21@gmail.com.

Featured Articles and Offers

Search Headlines: