BHP Group (BHP) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Q: What analysts cover BHP Group?

BHP Group has been rated by research analysts at Citigroup , Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft , Weiss Ratings , and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

$85.11 +0.16 (+0.19%)

Closing price 09/24/2026 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$84.62 -0.50 (-0.58%)

As of 08:11 AM Eastern

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BHP Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 10 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
7

Buy
3

Based on 10 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for BHP Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 10 analysts, 7 have given a hold rating, 2 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for BHP.

Consensus Price Target

$78.00
-8.35% Downside

According to the 10 analysts' twelve-month price targets for BHP Group, the average price target is $78.00. The highest price target for BHP is $95.00, while the lowest price target for BHP is $48.00. The average price target represents a forecasted downside of -8.35% from the current price of $85.11.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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BHP Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 9/25/25 to 9/25/26	1 Month Ago 8/26/25 to 8/26/26	3 Months Ago 6/27/25 to 6/27/26	1 Year Ago 9/25/24 to 9/25/25
Strong Buy	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	2 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	2 Buy rating(s)	2 Buy rating(s)	1 Buy rating(s)	0 Buy rating(s)
Hold	7 Hold rating(s)	7 Hold rating(s)	9 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$78.00	$78.00	$69.50	$48.50
Forecasted Upside	-8.35% Downside	-19.05% Downside	-14.25% Downside	-12.94% Downside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Hold	Hold

BHP Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

BHP Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

BHP Group Stock vs. The Competition

Type	BHP Group	Materials Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.40	2.57	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	-8.35% Downside	139.13% Upside	19.69% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Neutral News See Recent BHP News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

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Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
9/10/2026	Citigroup 4 of 5 stars		Reiterated Rating	Neutral
8/18/2026	Weiss Ratings 5 of 5 stars		Upgrade	Hold (C) ➝ Hold (C+)
7/22/2026	Zacks Research 4 of 5 stars		Downgrade	Strong-Buy ➝ Hold
7/2/2026	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy
6/22/2026	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Jason Fairclough Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral	$93.00 ➝ $91.00	+5.65%
5/28/2026	DZ Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Strong Sell ➝ Hold
4/27/2026	Argus Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Set Target		$95.00	+19.44%
4/17/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Strong-Buy
4/2/2026	Berenberg Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Sell ➝ Hold
3/9/2026	Sanford C. Bernstein Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Bob Brackett Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Market Perform	$49.50 ➝ $48.00	-32.77%
Get the Latest News and Ratings for BHP and Related Stocks Enter your email address below to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for BHP Group and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter.
7/27/2025	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Market Perform
7/18/2025	Macquarie Infrastructure Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Robert Stein Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Neutral
2/28/2025	Clarkson Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	H. Lund Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong-Buy
1/6/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Hold	$57.00 ➝ $53.00	+8.58%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 08:12 AM ET.

Should I Buy BHP Group Stock? BHP Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these BHP Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

BHP Group
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in BHP Group Limited:

BHP Group Limited offers a substantial dividend yield of 4.57%, providing a significant income stream for investors. The company recently declared a dividend of $1.98 per share, which is scheduled to be paid on September 23rd, 2026, reinforcing its status as a reliable income-generating asset in the diversified metals and mining sector.
The stock has demonstrated strong upward momentum, trading at a current price of $84.93 as of September 23rd, 2026. This price point is significantly higher than the 52-week low of $52.18, indicating a robust recovery and strong market performance over the past year that reflects positive investor sentiment toward the company's operational trajectory.
BHP Group Limited benefits from a favorable balance sheet structure, evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43. This low leverage ratio suggests the company has a manageable amount of debt relative to its equity, which can provide financial stability and flexibility to navigate commodity price fluctuations without excessive financial risk.
The company's liquidity position is solid, with a current ratio of 1.88 and a quick ratio of 1.48. These metrics indicate that BHP Group Limited has sufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities, ensuring it can meet its immediate financial obligations and maintain operational continuity even in volatile market conditions.
Recent institutional activity shows growing confidence, with several hedge funds and investment firms increasing their stakes in the second quarter of 2026. For instance, Tidal Investments LLC boosted its holdings by 28.8% and Baird Financial Group Inc. increased its position by 22.2%, suggesting that professional investors are accumulating shares based on their long-term outlook for the company.

BHP Group
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in BHP Group Limited for these reasons:

The consensus rating from ten research firms is "Hold," with seven analysts recommending hold, two buy, and one strong buy. The average 12-month price target is $78.00, which is below the current stock price of $84.93, suggesting that analysts believe the stock may be overvalued or has limited upside potential in the near term.
Erste Group Bank recently cut its FY2027 earnings per share estimates for BHP Group Limited, lowering its forecast from $5.10 to $5.02 per share. This downward revision, along with a similar cut for FY2028, indicates that analysts are becoming more cautious about the company's future earnings growth and profitability.
BHP Group Limited is facing labor disputes that could impact operations, as unions representing workers at the Port Hedland iron ore operations have sought arbitration over a wage deal dispute. Additionally, an Australian mining union is funding a class action against the company over public holiday work, which could lead to legal costs and operational disruptions.
Investors have raised concerns about the company's environmental performance, with reports indicating that BHP Group Limited's emissions have surged. This has led to criticism that the company's sustainability policies are not working effectively, which could pose reputational risks and potential regulatory challenges in the future.
The stock has experienced recent volatility, with a price drop of $2.90 from the previous close of $87.83 to the current price of $84.93. This decline, combined with the fact that the stock is trading below its 50-day simple moving average of $88.44, suggests short-term bearish momentum and potential downward pressure on the share price.

BHP Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 10 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for BHP Group is $78.00, with a high forecast of $95.00 and a low forecast of $48.00.

10 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for BHP Group in the last year. There are currently 7 hold ratings, 2 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "hold" BHP shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in BHP, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, BHP Group's stock has a predicted downside of -8.35% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, BHP Group's stock had 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade by analysts.

BHP Group has been rated by research analysts at Citigroup, Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like BHP Group less than other "materials" companies. The consensus rating for BHP Group is Hold while the average consensus rating for "materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how BHP compares to other companies.

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Brokerages With BHP Group Recommendations

MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for BHP Group analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/10/2026.

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BHP Group (BHP) Stock Forecast & Price Target