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HCA Healthcare (HCA) Stock Forecast & Price Target

HCA Healthcare logo
$404.95 -0.05 (-0.01%)
As of 09/4/2026 03:58 PM Eastern

HCA Healthcare - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
1
Hold
8
Buy
14

Based on 23 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for HCA Healthcare in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 23 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 8 have given a hold rating, and 14 have given a buy rating for HCA.

Consensus Price Target

$462.64
14.25% Upside
According to the 23 analysts' twelve-month price targets for HCA Healthcare, the average price target is $462.64. The highest price target for HCA is $579.00, while the lowest price target for HCA is $380.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 14.25% from the current price of $404.95.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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HCA Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/7/25 to 9/7/26
1 Month Ago
8/8/25 to 8/8/26
3 Months Ago
6/9/25 to 6/9/26
1 Year Ago
9/7/24 to 9/7/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
14 Buy rating(s)
14 Buy rating(s)
16 Buy rating(s)
7 Buy rating(s)
Hold
8 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$462.64$465.59$506.14$401.83
Forecasted Upside14.25% Upside12.79% Upside35.33% Upside-4.48% Downside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

HCA Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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HCA Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

HCA Healthcare Stock vs. The Competition

TypeHCA HealthcareHealthcare CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.57
2.30
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside14.25% Upside928.71% Upside14.03% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent HCA News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
8/20/2026Lower TargetNeutral$490.00 ➝ $425.00+4.83%
8/3/2026
Stephen Baxter
Stephen Baxter
4 of 5 stars
Boost TargetEqual Weight$369.00 ➝ $381.00-7.87%
7/28/2026
Scott Fidel
Scott Fidel
Not Rated
Lower TargetBuy$558.00 ➝ $485.00+24.44%
7/28/2026Lower TargetOutperform$525.00 ➝ $475.00+21.88%
7/27/2026Lower TargetBuy$635.00 ➝ $579.00+49.09%
7/27/2026 Set Target$476.00+22.57%
7/27/2026Lower TargetUnderweight$425.00 ➝ $380.00-2.15%
7/27/2026Lower TargetBuy$535.00 ➝ $495.00+27.98%
7/27/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$435.00+12.46%
7/27/2026Lower TargetOutperform$520.00 ➝ $485.00+26.30%
7/27/2026Lower TargetOverweight$475.00 ➝ $435.00+13.79%
7/27/2026Lower TargetEqual Weight$402.00 ➝ $387.00+1.23%
7/27/2026Lower TargetNeutral$396.00 ➝ $393.00+2.80%
7/15/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform
7/14/2026 Set Target$450.00+23.47%
7/7/2026Set Target$528.00+23.26%
7/7/2026Lower TargetOverweight$588.00 ➝ $525.00+25.90%
6/22/2026Lower TargetBuy$500.00 ➝ $431.00+14.99%
6/9/2026 DowngradeBuy (B-)Hold (C+)
5/4/2026 Lower TargetBuy$560.00 ➝ $500.00+15.88%
4/27/2026Lower TargetOverweight$560.00 ➝ $530.00+19.56%
4/27/2026 Lower TargetOutperform$573.00 ➝ $500.00+13.32%
11/27/2025 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
10/27/2025Boost TargetNeutral$430.00 ➝ $470.00+1.71%
7/28/2025DowngradeOutperformPeer Perform
4/9/2025Initiated CoverageNeutral

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Monday at 01:17 AM ET.


Should I Buy HCA Healthcare Stock? HCA Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these HCA Healthcare pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

HCA Healthcare
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in HCA Healthcare, Inc.:

  • The stock is currently trading at $404.95, which is significantly below the average analyst price target of $462.64, suggesting substantial upside potential for investors who believe the recent guidance cuts have been overly pessimistic.
  • HCA Healthcare, Inc. recently reported second-quarter earnings of $7.59 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $7.56, while revenue of $20.23 billion also exceeded expectations, demonstrating the company's ability to outperform market forecasts despite macroeconomic headwinds.
  • The company maintains a strong dividend profile with a yield of 0.76% and a payout ratio of only 10.45%, indicating that management is preserving capital for growth and buybacks while still providing a steady income stream to shareholders.
  • With a P/E ratio of 13.56, the valuation is relatively attractive compared to the broader healthcare sector, offering a margin of safety for value-oriented investors looking for exposure to a dominant hospital operator.
  • Institutional interest remains robust, with 62.73% of the stock owned by institutional investors, and recent filings show new positions being opened by firms like Nykredit A S and AlphaGrep UK Ltd, signaling continued confidence in the company's long-term stability.

HCA Healthcare
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in HCA Healthcare, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Recent news reports indicate that HCA Healthcare, Inc. is cutting corporate and support jobs amid rising costs, which may signal operational inefficiencies or a need to aggressively manage expenses to protect margins.
  • Several major banks, including UBS Group, Cantor Fitzgerald, and JPMorgan Chase, have recently lowered their price targets on the stock, with UBS cutting its target from $635.00 to $579.00, reflecting growing concerns about the company's future earnings trajectory.
  • The company's full-year 2026 guidance was recently narrowed to a range of $28.70 to $30.50 in EPS, which is below the previous consensus estimate of $30.17, suggesting that management anticipates continued pressure on profitability from payer mix shifts.
  • Short interest has been rising, with shares shorted increasing to 6,127,018 as of August 2026, indicating that a growing number of traders are betting against the stock's performance in the near term.
  • The stock is trading well below its 52-week high of $556.52 and its 200-day moving average of $437.55, suggesting that the broader market sentiment remains cautious and that the stock may be in a downtrend.

HCA Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 23 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for HCA Healthcare is $462.64, with a high forecast of $579.00 and a low forecast of $380.00.

23 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for HCA Healthcare in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 8 hold ratings and 14 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" HCA shares.

According to analysts, HCA Healthcare's stock has a predicted upside of 14.25% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, HCA Healthcare's stock had 2 downgrades by analysts.

Analysts like HCA Healthcare more than other "healthcare" companies. The consensus rating for HCA Healthcare is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "healthcare" companies is Hold. Learn more on how HCA compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for HCA Healthcare analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/20/2026.
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