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HCA Healthcare (HCA) Stock Forecast & Price Target

HCA Healthcare logo
$407.48 -6.10 (-1.47%)
As of 09:31 AM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.

HCA Healthcare - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
1
Hold
8
Buy
14

Based on 23 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for HCA Healthcare in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 23 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 8 have given a hold rating, and 14 have given a buy rating for HCA.

Consensus Price Target

$462.64
13.53% Upside
According to the 23 analysts' twelve-month price targets for HCA Healthcare, the average price target is $462.64. The highest price target for HCA is $579.00, while the lowest price target for HCA is $380.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 13.53% from the current price of $407.48.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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HCA Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/3/25 to 9/3/26
1 Month Ago
8/4/25 to 8/4/26
3 Months Ago
6/5/25 to 6/5/26
1 Year Ago
9/3/24 to 9/3/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
14 Buy rating(s)
14 Buy rating(s)
16 Buy rating(s)
7 Buy rating(s)
Hold
8 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$462.64$465.59$506.14$401.83
Forecasted Upside13.53% Upside16.13% Upside35.95% Upside-1.34% Downside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

HCA Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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HCA Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

HCA Healthcare Stock vs. The Competition

TypeHCA HealthcareHealthcare CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.57
2.30
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside13.53% Upside816.05% Upside14.07% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent HCA News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
8/20/2026Lower TargetNeutral$490.00 ➝ $425.00+4.83%
8/3/2026
Stephen Baxter
Stephen Baxter
4 of 5 stars
Boost TargetEqual Weight$369.00 ➝ $381.00-7.87%
7/28/2026
Scott Fidel
Scott Fidel
Not Rated
Lower TargetBuy$558.00 ➝ $485.00+24.44%
7/28/2026Lower TargetOutperform$525.00 ➝ $475.00+21.88%
7/27/2026Lower TargetBuy$635.00 ➝ $579.00+49.09%
7/27/2026 Set Target$476.00+22.57%
7/27/2026Lower TargetUnderweight$425.00 ➝ $380.00-2.15%
7/27/2026Lower TargetBuy$535.00 ➝ $495.00+27.98%
7/27/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform$435.00+12.46%
7/27/2026Lower TargetOutperform$520.00 ➝ $485.00+26.30%
7/27/2026Lower TargetOverweight$475.00 ➝ $435.00+13.79%
7/27/2026Lower TargetEqual Weight$402.00 ➝ $387.00+1.23%
7/27/2026Lower TargetNeutral$396.00 ➝ $393.00+2.80%
7/15/2026Reiterated RatingMarket Perform
7/14/2026 Set Target$450.00+23.47%
7/7/2026Set Target$528.00+23.26%
7/7/2026Lower TargetOverweight$588.00 ➝ $525.00+25.90%
6/22/2026Lower TargetBuy$500.00 ➝ $431.00+14.99%
6/9/2026 DowngradeBuy (B-)Hold (C+)
5/4/2026 Lower TargetBuy$560.00 ➝ $500.00+15.88%
4/27/2026Lower TargetOverweight$560.00 ➝ $530.00+19.56%
4/27/2026 Lower TargetOutperform$573.00 ➝ $500.00+13.32%
11/27/2025 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
10/27/2025Boost TargetNeutral$430.00 ➝ $470.00+1.71%
7/28/2025DowngradeOutperformPeer Perform
4/9/2025Initiated CoverageNeutral

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Thursday at 09:23 AM ET.


Should I Buy HCA Healthcare Stock? HCA Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these HCA Healthcare pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

HCA Healthcare
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in HCA Healthcare, Inc.:

  • HCA Healthcare, Inc. recently reported second-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, with actual earnings per share of $7.59 surpassing the consensus estimate of $7.56, while revenue of $20.23 billion also beat the projected $19.76 billion, demonstrating strong operational performance and top-line growth of 8.7% year-over-year.
  • The stock currently trades at $413.02, which is significantly below the average analyst price target of $462.64, suggesting potential upside for investors as the consensus rating remains a Moderate Buy with fourteen analysts issuing Buy ratings compared to only one Sell rating.
  • With a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.83, HCA Healthcare, Inc. offers a valuation that is relatively attractive compared to broader market averages, providing a potentially favorable entry point for investors seeking exposure to the healthcare sector with a reasonable multiple on earnings.
  • The company maintains a consistent dividend policy, having recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.78 per share, which translates to an annualized yield of approximately 0.75%, offering a steady income stream for investors while maintaining a low payout ratio of 10.45% that preserves capital for growth.
  • Institutional interest remains robust, with 62.73% of the stock owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors, and recent filings show significant new positions being acquired by major firms such as Wellington Management Group and BlackRock, indicating strong confidence from professional investors in the company's long-term trajectory.

HCA Healthcare
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in HCA Healthcare, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Short interest in HCA Healthcare, Inc. has been rising steadily, with shares shorted increasing to 6,127,018 as of the most recent record date, representing a month-to-month increase of 1.13% and a short percentage of float of 2.87%, which may indicate growing skepticism among traders regarding the stock's near-term direction.
  • The stock price of $413.02 is well below its 52-week high of $556.52 and also trades below its 200-day simple moving average of $441.07, suggesting that the stock is in a longer-term downtrend and may face continued downward pressure from technical factors.
  • Several prominent research firms have recently lowered their price targets on HCA Healthcare, Inc., including UBS Group reducing its target from $635.00 to $579.00 and Oppenheimer cutting its target from $520.00 to $485.00, reflecting a more cautious outlook on the company's future earnings potential and valuation.
  • Insider selling activity has been notable in recent months, with executives such as Michael R. McAlevey and Jennifer Berres selling thousands of shares in February 2026 at prices above $500, which may signal that company insiders are taking advantage of higher valuations to reduce their personal exposure to the stock.
  • Legal and operational risks are emerging, as Pomerantz Law Firm has begun investigating claims on behalf of investors, and there are reports of operational challenges such as the closure of a NICU at an HCA Florida hospital and protests from nurses unions regarding the use of AI systems, which could impact the company's reputation and operational stability.

HCA Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 23 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for HCA Healthcare is $462.64, with a high forecast of $579.00 and a low forecast of $380.00.

23 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for HCA Healthcare in the last year. There is currently 1 sell rating, 8 hold ratings and 14 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" HCA shares.

According to analysts, HCA Healthcare's stock has a predicted upside of 13.53% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, HCA Healthcare's stock had 2 downgrades by analysts.

Analysts like HCA Healthcare more than other "healthcare" companies. The consensus rating for HCA Healthcare is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "healthcare" companies is Hold. Learn more on how HCA compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for HCA Healthcare analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/20/2026.
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