Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$174.34 +0.17 (+0.10%)

Closing price 07/18/2025 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$175.72 +1.38 (+0.79%)

As of 07/18/2025 06:39 PM Eastern

Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 17 Analyst Ratings

Sell
1

Hold
8

Buy
8

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 17 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 8 have given a hold rating, and 8 have given a buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$183.43
5.21% Upside

According to the 17 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $183.43. The highest price target for MPC is $205.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $163.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 5.21% from the current price of $174.34.

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MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 7/20/24 to 7/20/25	1 Month Ago 6/20/24 to 6/20/25	3 Months Ago 4/21/24 to 4/21/25	1 Year Ago 7/21/23 to 7/20/24
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	2 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	8 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)
Hold	8 Hold rating(s)	7 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)
Sell	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$183.43	$175.80	$175.79	$193.64
Forecasted Upside	5.21% Upside	4.07% Upside	38.68% Upside	17.25% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Marathon Petroleum	Energy Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.41	2.66	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	5.21% Upside	52.34% Upside	11.45% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent MPC News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
7/16/2025	Citigroup 3 of 5 stars	Vikram Bagri Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$144.00 ➝ $182.00	+5.77%
7/16/2025	Morgan Stanley 3 of 5 stars	Connor Lynagh Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$160.00 ➝ $182.00	+3.50%
7/15/2025	Raymond James Financial 4 of 5 stars	Justin Jenkins Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Strong-Buy ➝ Outperform	$180.00 ➝ $200.00	+13.87%
7/14/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Doug Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Peer Perform
7/11/2025	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Outperform ➝ Outperform
7/11/2025	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Theresa Chen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$159.00 ➝ $189.00	+4.27%
7/10/2025	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Manav Gupta Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$175.00 ➝ $203.00	+11.36%
7/10/2025	Piper Sandler Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Ryan Todd Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$157.00 ➝ $175.00	-3.25%
7/10/2025	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Roger Read Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$182.00 ➝ $205.00	+14.93%
6/18/2025	Evercore ISI Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Stephen Richardson Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Initiated Coverage	In-Line	$170.00	-0.04%
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6/10/2025	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy	$152.00 ➝ $163.00	+1.71%
5/13/2025	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Nitin Kumar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$168.00 ➝ $184.00	+14.95%
2/4/2025	Tudor Pickering Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	M. Blair Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong Sell ➝ Hold
10/17/2024	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Neutral	$174.00	+10.15%
10/9/2024	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$172.00 ➝ $171.00	+5.04%
10/4/2024	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$200.00 ➝ $190.00	+10.93%
9/9/2024	Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Sell
7/15/2024	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$222.00 ➝ $231.00	+37.44%
3/22/2024	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$175.00 ➝ $211.00	+6.01%
8/2/2023	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$148.00 ➝ $152.00	+12.64%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 04:00 PM ET.

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, July 14, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

The current stock price is around $175, which reflects a strong market position and potential for growth.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has a solid dividend yield of approximately 2.07%, providing investors with a steady income stream.
The company has a return on equity of 8.89%, indicating effective management and profitability relative to shareholder equity.
Recent analyst upgrades suggest positive market sentiment, with several firms raising their price targets significantly, indicating potential for stock appreciation.
Despite a slight decline in revenue, the company reported better-than-expected earnings, showcasing resilience in a challenging market environment.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

The company's revenue has decreased by 4.1% compared to the same quarter last year, which may indicate challenges in maintaining sales growth.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has a net margin of only 1.75%, suggesting limited profitability after expenses, which could impact future earnings.
Insider selling activity has been noted, with a director reducing their stake by over 28%, which may raise concerns about the company's future prospects.
Analysts have mixed ratings on the stock, with a significant number issuing hold ratings, indicating uncertainty about its future performance.
The dividend payout ratio is at 51.20%, which, while sustainable, may limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $183.43, with a high forecast of $205.00 and a low forecast of $163.00.
: 17 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last year. There is currently 1 sell rating, 8 hold ratings and 8 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "hold" MPC shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in MPC, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.
: According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted upside of 5.21% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, Marathon Petroleum's stock had 2 downgrades by analysts.
: Marathon Petroleum has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Citigroup, Evercore ISI, Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Raymond James Financial, Scotiabank, TD Cowen, UBS Group, Wells Fargo & Company, and Wolfe Research in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Marathon Petroleum less than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating for Marathon Petroleum is Hold while the average consensus rating for "energy" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 7/20/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff

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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target