Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$160.95 -0.56 (-0.35%)

Closing price 08/8/2025 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$160.78 -0.17 (-0.11%)

As of 08/8/2025 05:17 PM Eastern

Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 17 Analyst Ratings

Sell
1

Hold
8

Buy
8

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 17 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 8 have given a hold rating, and 8 have given a buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$185.29
15.12% Upside

According to the 17 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $185.29. The highest price target for MPC is $205.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $170.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 15.12% from the current price of $160.95.

Get the Latest News and Ratings for MPC and Related Stocks

Enter your email address to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Marathon Petroleum and its competitors.

MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 8/9/24 to 8/9/25	1 Month Ago 7/10/24 to 7/10/25	3 Months Ago 5/11/24 to 5/11/25	1 Year Ago 8/10/23 to 8/9/24
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	2 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	8 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)
Hold	8 Hold rating(s)	7 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)
Sell	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$185.29	$180.44	$172.93	$198.38
Forecasted Upside	15.12% Upside	-1.02% Downside	14.60% Upside	12.83% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Marathon Petroleum	Energy Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.41	2.67	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	15.12% Upside	57.23% Upside	13.84% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent MPC News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
8/6/2025	TD Cowen 4 of 5 stars		Lower Target	Buy	$190.00 ➝ $182.00	+7.84%
7/28/2025	Dbs Bank 0 of 5 stars		Upgrade	Moderate Buy
7/22/2025	Piper Sandler 2 of 5 stars	Ryan Todd Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$175.00 ➝ $182.00	+3.14%
7/16/2025	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Vikram Bagri Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$144.00 ➝ $182.00	+5.77%
7/16/2025	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Connor Lynagh Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$160.00 ➝ $182.00	+3.50%
7/15/2025	Raymond James Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Justin Jenkins Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Strong-Buy ➝ Outperform	$180.00 ➝ $200.00	+13.87%
7/14/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Doug Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Peer Perform
7/11/2025	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Outperform ➝ Outperform
7/11/2025	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Theresa Chen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$159.00 ➝ $189.00	+4.27%
7/10/2025	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Manav Gupta Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$175.00 ➝ $203.00	+11.36%
Get the Latest News and Ratings for MPC and Related Stocks Enter your email address below to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Marathon Petroleum and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter.
7/10/2025	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Roger Read Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$182.00 ➝ $205.00	+14.93%
6/18/2025	Evercore ISI Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Stephen Richardson Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Initiated Coverage	In-Line	$170.00	-0.04%
5/13/2025	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Nitin Kumar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$168.00 ➝ $184.00	+14.95%
2/4/2025	Tudor Pickering Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	M. Blair Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong Sell ➝ Hold
10/17/2024	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Neutral	$174.00	+10.15%
10/9/2024	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$172.00 ➝ $171.00	+5.04%
10/4/2024	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$200.00 ➝ $190.00	+10.93%
9/9/2024	Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Sell
7/15/2024	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$222.00 ➝ $231.00	+37.44%
3/22/2024	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$175.00 ➝ $211.00	+6.01%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Saturday at 08:24 PM ET.

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, August 7, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

The current stock price is around $162, which reflects a significant performance in the market, indicating potential for growth.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has announced a quarterly dividend of $0.91, translating to an annualized dividend of $3.64, which offers a yield of 2.2%, providing a steady income stream for investors.
The company has a manageable payout ratio of 51.20%, suggesting that it retains a healthy portion of its earnings for reinvestment while still rewarding shareholders.
Recent insider activity shows that a director sold shares, which can indicate confidence in the company's future performance, as insiders often have a good understanding of the company's prospects.
Institutional investors hold a substantial 76.77% of the company's stock, which often reflects confidence in the company's stability and growth potential.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

Recent insider selling, while sometimes seen as a positive signal, can also raise concerns about the company's future performance and the confidence of its leadership.
ING Groep NV significantly reduced its holdings in Marathon Petroleum Co. by 93.5%, which may indicate a lack of confidence from institutional investors.
The stock has experienced volatility, with a 12-month high of $183.10 and a low of $115.10, suggesting potential risks associated with price fluctuations.
The company has a quick ratio of 0.73, which is below 1, indicating potential liquidity issues that could affect its ability to meet short-term obligations.
Marathon Petroleum Co. operates in a highly competitive and regulated industry, which can pose risks to profitability and growth.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $185.29, with a high forecast of $205.00 and a low forecast of $170.00.
: 17 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last year. There is currently 1 sell rating, 8 hold ratings and 8 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" MPC shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in MPC, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.
: According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted upside of 15.12% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, Marathon Petroleum's stock had 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade by analysts.
: Marathon Petroleum has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Citigroup, Dbs Bank, Evercore ISI, Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Raymond James Financial, Scotiabank, TD Cowen, UBS Group, Wells Fargo & Company, and Wolfe Research in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Marathon Petroleum less than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating for Marathon Petroleum is Hold while the average consensus rating for "energy" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Related Companies

Today's Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 8/9/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff

From Our Partners

Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access for Free

Start Your 30-Day Trial

In-depth profiles and analysis for 20,000 public companies.
Real-time analyst ratings, insider transactions, earnings data, and more.
Our daily ratings and market update email newsletter.

Sign In
Create Account

Your Email Address:

Your Password:

Forgot your password?

Your Email Address:

Choose a Password:

By creating a free account, you agree to our terms of service. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target