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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Marathon Petroleum logo
$181.19 -2.64 (-1.44%)
Closing price 10/16/2025 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$181.34 +0.15 (+0.08%)
As of 09:19 AM Eastern
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Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
8
Buy
8

Based on 16 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 16 analysts, 8 have given a hold rating, and 8 have given a buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$200.00
10.38% Upside
According to the 16 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $200.00. The highest price target for MPC is $222.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $182.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 10.38% from the current price of $181.19.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/17/24 to 10/17/25
1 Month Ago
9/17/24 to 9/17/25
3 Months Ago
7/19/24 to 7/19/25
1 Year Ago
10/18/23 to 10/17/24
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
9 Buy rating(s)
Hold
8 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$200.00$189.64$183.43$187.00
Forecasted Upside10.38% Upside2.82% Upside5.21% Upside18.12% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

TypeMarathon PetroleumEnergy CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.50
2.39
2.52
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside10.00% Upside44.89% Upside14.10% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent MPC News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/17/2025Wells Fargo & Company
3 of 5 stars
Sam Margolin
Not Rated
Initiated CoverageOverweight$214.00+18.11%
10/13/2025Barclays
3 of 5 stars
Theresa Chen
Theresa Chen
Not Rated
Boost TargetOverweight$176.00 ➝ $194.00+7.13%
10/9/2025Scotiabank
4 of 5 stars
Paul Cheng
Paul Cheng
Not Rated
Reiterated RatingOutperform
10/8/2025Weiss Ratings
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 Reiterated RatingHold (C)
10/3/2025Morgan Stanley
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Boost TargetOverweight$182.00 ➝ $200.00+3.97%
9/26/2025UBS Group
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Boost TargetBuy$203.00 ➝ $220.00+11.94%
9/22/2025BMO Capital Markets
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 Boost TargetOutperform$195.00 ➝ $208.00+4.60%
9/19/2025Evercore ISI
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Boost TargetIn-Line$170.00 ➝ $210.00+13.77%
9/15/2025Mizuho
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Boost TargetNeutral$184.00 ➝ $188.00+4.24%
9/11/2025Piper Sandler
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Boost TargetNeutral$184.00 ➝ $222.00+21.08%
9/9/2025Raymond James Financial
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Boost TargetOutperform$195.00 ➝ $199.00+8.67%
9/3/2025Bank of America
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Boost TargetNeutral$184.00 ➝ $192.00+7.07%
8/6/2025TD Cowen
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 Lower TargetBuy$190.00 ➝ $182.00+7.84%
7/28/2025Dbs Bank
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 UpgradeModerate Buy
7/16/2025Citigroup
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Boost TargetNeutral$144.00 ➝ $182.00+5.77%
7/14/2025Wolfe Research
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DowngradeOutperformPeer Perform
2/4/2025Tudor Pickering
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UpgradeStrong SellHold
10/9/2024JPMorgan Chase & Co.
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 Lower TargetNeutral$172.00 ➝ $171.00+5.04%
9/9/2024Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co.
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 DowngradeBuySell
7/15/2024Jefferies Financial Group
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 Boost TargetBuy$222.00 ➝ $231.00+37.44%
3/22/2024The Goldman Sachs Group
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 Boost TargetBuy$175.00 ➝ $211.00+6.01%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 09:28 AM ET.


Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, October 14, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

  • The company recently reported earnings per share (EPS) of $3.96, significantly exceeding analyst expectations, indicating strong financial performance.
  • Marathon Petroleum Co. has a solid annualized dividend of $3.64, providing a yield of approximately 1.9%, which can be attractive for income-focused investors.
  • Analysts forecast an EPS of 8.47 for the current year, suggesting potential growth in profitability and positive market sentiment.
  • The current stock price is around $198, reflecting a robust valuation in the energy sector, which may appeal to investors looking for stability.
  • The company operates as an integrated downstream energy firm, which can provide resilience against market fluctuations due to its diversified operations in refining and marketing.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

  • Revenue has decreased by approximately 11.1% year-over-year, which may indicate challenges in maintaining sales growth.
  • The net margin is relatively low at 1.58%, suggesting that the company may face pressure on profitability compared to its peers.
  • Insider selling activity has been noted, with significant shares sold recently, which could raise concerns about insider confidence in the company's future performance.
  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 54.01%, which, while manageable, indicates that a substantial portion of earnings is being returned to shareholders, potentially limiting reinvestment in growth opportunities.
  • Market analysts have mixed ratings, with some maintaining a "Hold" rating, which may suggest uncertainty about the stock's future performance.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 16 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $200.00, with a high forecast of $222.00 and a low forecast of $182.00.

16 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last twelve months. There are currently 8 hold ratings and 8 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MPC shares.

According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted upside of 10.38% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Marathon Petroleum's stock had 1 upgrade by analysts.

Analysts like Marathon Petroleum more than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating for Marathon Petroleum is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "energy" companies is Hold. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 10/17/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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