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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Marathon Petroleum logo
$262.86 +3.33 (+1.28%)
Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$263.99 +1.14 (+0.43%)
As of 07:35 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
8
Buy
11

Based on 19 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 19 analysts, 8 have given a hold rating, 10 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$259.44
-1.30% Downside
According to the 19 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $259.44. The highest price target for MPC is $335.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $192.00. The average price target represents a forecasted downside of -1.30% from the current price of $262.86.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
5/19/25 to 5/19/26
1 Month Ago
4/19/25 to 4/19/26
3 Months Ago
2/18/25 to 2/18/26
1 Year Ago
5/19/24 to 5/19/25
Strong Buy
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
10 Buy rating(s)
9 Buy rating(s)
10 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
8 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
9 Hold rating(s)
6 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$259.44$237.50$202.19$175.29
Forecasted Upside-1.30% Downside11.31% Upside1.11% Upside8.12% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

TypeMarathon PetroleumEnergy CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.63
2.41
2.52
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside-0.44% Downside32.98% Upside17.33% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent MPC News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
5/13/2026 Boost TargetOutperform$255.00 ➝ $290.00+15.48%
5/7/2026
Neil Mehta
5 of 5 stars
Boost TargetBuy$264.00 ➝ $291.00+21.54%
5/6/2026 DowngradeHold (C+)Hold (C)
5/6/2026Set Target$285.00+14.97%
5/6/2026Reiterated RatingOutperform
5/6/2026Boost TargetNeutral$243.00 ➝ $257.00-1.36%
5/6/2026Boost TargetOverweight$230.00 ➝ $270.00+3.63%
5/6/2026 Boost Target$235.00 ➝ $257.00+6.98%
5/6/2026Boost TargetOverweight$335.00+28.58%
5/6/2026Boost TargetBuy$320.00+22.82%
4/24/2026Boost TargetOverweight$200.00 ➝ $233.00+5.37%
4/22/2026Boost TargetSector Outperform$174.00 ➝ $210.00-4.56%
4/13/2026 Boost TargetBuy$263.00 ➝ $279.00+25.61%
4/9/2026Boost TargetNeutral$197.00 ➝ $228.00-1.52%
4/7/2026 UpgradeHoldStrong-Buy
3/17/2026Boost TargetNeutral$205.00 ➝ $224.00-3.91%
9/19/2025Boost TargetIn-Line$170.00 ➝ $210.00+13.77%
9/3/2025Boost TargetNeutral$184.00 ➝ $192.00+7.07%
7/28/2025 UpgradeModerate Buy
7/14/2025DowngradeOutperformPeer Perform
2/4/2025UpgradeStrong SellHold

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Tuesday at 07:37 PM ET.


Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

  • The company recently reported strong quarterly earnings, with an adjusted EPS significantly exceeding analysts' expectations, indicating robust financial performance.
  • Marathon Petroleum Co. has announced a substantial share repurchase authorization, which can enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.
  • The current stock price is around $257, reflecting a positive market sentiment and potential for further appreciation.
  • Operational efficiency is highlighted by high refinery utilization rates and low unplanned downtime, suggesting effective management and potential for increased production.
  • Recent growth projects are underway, including expansions in jet capacity and significant capital expenditures aimed at boosting cash flow and export capabilities.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

  • There have been near-term headwinds affecting cash flow and earnings quality, including unrealized derivative losses and increased working capital use.
  • Recent insider selling activity may raise concerns about the confidence of current management in the company's future performance.
  • Despite strong revenue growth, the company reported a net margin that may not be as high as some investors would prefer, indicating potential profitability concerns.
  • The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, which could imply increased financial risk, especially in volatile market conditions.
  • Market fluctuations in oil prices can significantly impact the company's profitability, making it susceptible to external economic factors.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 19 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $259.44, with a high forecast of $335.00 and a low forecast of $192.00.

19 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last twelve months. There are currently 8 hold ratings, 10 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MPC shares.

According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted downside of -1.30% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Marathon Petroleum's stock had 3 upgrades and 2 downgrades by analysts.

Analysts like Marathon Petroleum more than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating for Marathon Petroleum is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "energy" companies is Hold. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 5/19/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.
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