3 Tech Stocks Positioned for More Upside if the Sector’s Breakout Holds

Key Points

• The technology sector reversed sharply after the Federal Reserve decision, with the Invesco QQQ ETF breaking out of a multi-month consolidation near its all-time high.
• Microsoft, Atlassian, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise each show supportive fundamentals and technical setups that could benefit from a continued sector-wide breakout.
• All three stocks carry Moderate Buy analyst consensus ratings, with HPE up nearly 159% this year on surging AI infrastructure demand.

The technology sector just flipped the script. After the Federal Reserve’s Sept. 16 rate decision, the market did something telling: it erased the fairly obvious, expected sell-off that hit right after the announcement and reversed sharply higher, leaving behind what looked like a bear trap. That momentum carried straight into the Sept. 21 session, with tech gapping up and the Invesco QQQ ETF NASDAQ: QQQ breaking out of a multi-month consolidation to close within about 1% of its all-time high.

That kind of decisive move tends to really matter in the bigger scheme. When the broad technology sector benchmark clears a range it has been stuck in for months, it often opens the door for individual names to follow with their own breakouts. The three stocks below have held up well as the sector turns, and each sits in an interesting spot if this market strength continues.

Microsoft: Reclaiming the $500 Mark

Microsoft NASDAQ: MSFT has rebuilt its footing after a rough start to the year. The stock climbed back above $500 on Sept. 21 and now sits favorably in its range, though it remains up just under 3% on the year. The engine behind the recovery is Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, which reaccelerated to strong double-digit growth as enterprises lean into AI, alongside a Copilot franchise that has rapidly scaled its paid user base.

The analyst community remains firmly behind the tech giant. MSFT holds a Moderate Buy consensus across 47 analysts, with an average price target of $567.07, implying roughly 13% upside from current levels. With the market and overall sentiment now in favor of the bulls, MSFT will need to clear its multi-month high near $520 to confirm its own breakout and start of a fresh leg higher.

Atlassian: The Under-the-Radar Software Breakout

Atlassian NASDAQ: TEAM is likely the least familiar name here, but its business touches millions of workers daily. The Australian software company builds the collaboration and workflow tools that development and IT teams rely on, including Jira for project tracking, Confluence for knowledge sharing, and Trello for task management.

The stock has been one of software's standout performers, up more than 20% this year and nearing its 52-week high. The momentum has been fueled by strong cloud growth and a fresh AI angle, with the company recently transforming Jira into an AI-powered coding hub, a move that recently drew a price-target raise to $220. Atlassian carries a Moderate Buy consensus from 30 analysts. The stock now trades slightly above the average analyst target after its run. But from a momentum perspective, with the stock coiled and pressed up against its 52-week high, which acts as a breakout level, further upward momentum could follow should the stock clear that level, along with overall market strength remaining.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise: The AI Infrastructure Comeback

Hewlett Packard Enterprise NYSE: HPE has been nothing short of spectacular in 2026, with the stock up almost 159% year to date, by far the best performer of this trio. The enterprise technology company has reinvented itself as a key player in the AI buildout, supplying the servers, storage, and networking gear that power AI data centers. Its most recent quarter underscored the shift, with networking revenue surging 75%.

Even after that monster run, analysts see more ahead. HPE holds a Moderate Buy consensus across 19 analysts and an average price target of $69.18, implying about 12% additional upside, and it ranks in the 99th percentile of MarketBeat's technology sector on projected earnings growth near 27%. And despite that already impressive year-to-date gain, it’s hard to fault the chart and further upside. The stock is tightly compressed near its 52-week high, where it failed three times throughout the year. As such, $64 now acts as a major breakout level and inflection point. Should the stock clear highs, it could enter price discovery mode higher.

If the Breakout Holds

The breakout was a strong opening statement, but a single gap-up does not guarantee smooth sailing from here. What makes these three names interesting is that each combines a supportive fundamental backdrop with a technical setup that could benefit if the sector's breakout has legs.

Microsoft offers the recovering mega-cap, Atlassian the under-the-radar momentum play, and HPE one of the hottest AI infrastructure winners. Whether they follow through will depend heavily on whether the broader technology sector can hold the ground it just gained.