Rexford Industrial Realty Q2 2025 Earnings Report

Rexford Industrial Realty EPS Results

• Actual EPS: $0.59
• Consensus EPS: $0.58
• Beat/Miss: Beat by +$0.01
• One Year Ago EPS: $0.60

Rexford Industrial Realty Revenue Results

• Actual Revenue: $241.57 million
• Expected Revenue: $251.72 million
• Beat/Miss: Missed by -$10.16 million
• YoY Revenue Growth: +5.00%

Rexford Industrial Realty Announcement Details

• Quarter: Q2 2025
• Date: 7/16/2025
• Time: After Market Closes
• Conference Call Date: Thursday, July 17, 2025
• Conference Call Time: 1:00PM ET

Rexford Industrial Realty (NYSE:REXR) (NYSE: REXR) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the acquisition, ownership and operation of industrial properties in Southern California. The company’s portfolio is concentrated in infill locations across key supply-chain markets, where it targets modern distribution centers, logistics facilities and light manufacturing spaces. Rexford’s strategy emphasizes buildings that offer proximity to major transportation routes and labor pools, catering to tenants in e-commerce, third-party logistics and manufacturing industries.

Since its founding in 2013, Rexford Industrial Realty has executed a disciplined growth plan driven by property acquisitions, selective development projects and strategic value-add initiatives. The company focuses on markets such as Los Angeles, the Inland Empire, Orange County, San Diego and Ventura County, which together represent one of the largest industrial real estate clusters in the United States. By concentrating on high-barrier submarkets with limited land availability, Rexford seeks to deliver stable cash flows and long-term capital appreciation for its shareholders.

Headquartered in Los Angeles, California, Rexford Industrial Realty is led by founder and Chief Executive Officer Michael J. Frankel, who has overseen the company’s evolution from a regional start-up into a publicly traded REIT. Under his leadership, the firm has built a dedicated team of real estate professionals with expertise in asset management, leasing, development and capital markets. Rexford remains focused on leveraging local market knowledge and operational excellence to enhance portfolio performance and support tenant success.

Rexford Industrial Realty Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

• Positive Sentiment: Q2 leasing volume of 1.7 M sq ft, 96.1% same-property occupancy (+40 bps) and 3.7% rent steps drove +220 K sq ft net absorption and just 6 bps bad debt.
• Negative Sentiment: Market rents fell 3.5% sequentially (and 12.8% YoY) amid tariff and macroeconomic uncertainty, pressuring demand and lease-up timelines.
• Positive Sentiment: Repositioning/redevelopment projects leased-up 520 K sq ft in Q2 (YTD 900 K sq ft) adding $16 M annualized NOI and stabilizing 7 projects at a 7.4% unlevered yield.
• Positive Sentiment: Embedded growth of $195 M incremental NOI (28% growth) from $105 M contractual rent steps, $70 M redevelopments in process and $20 M cash mark-to-market underpins reaffirmed full-year core FFO guidance of $2.37–$2.41 per share.
• Positive Sentiment: Balance sheet strength with $1.8 B liquidity, low net debt/EBITDA of 4× and an extended credit facility underpins capital flexibility for value-accretive redevelopments and acquisitions.

Presentation

[Operator]

Good morning and welcome to Rexford Industrial second quarter 2025 earnings call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' remarks, we will conduct a question and answer session. To ask a question at this time, you will need to press STAR followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thank you and welcome to Rexford Industrial second quarter 2025 earnings conference call. In addition to yesterday's earnings release, we posted a supplemental package and earnings presentation in the Investor Relations section on our website to support today's remarks.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

As a reminder, management's remarks and responses to your questions may contain forward-looking statements as defined by federal securities laws, which are based on certain assumptions and subject to risks and uncertainties outlined in our 10-K and other SEC filings. As such, actual results may differ, and we assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements in the future. We'll also discuss non-GAAP financial measures on today's call. Our earnings presentation and supplemental package provide GAAP reconciliations as well as an explanation of why these measures are useful to investors. Joining me today are our Chief Operating Officer, Laura Clark, and Chief Financial Officer, Mike Fitzmaurice. Our Co-Chief Executive Officers, Michael Frankel and Howard Schwimmer, will join us for the Q&A session following prepared remarks. It's my pleasure to now introduce Laura Clark.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Laura?

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thank you Mikayla, and thank you all for joining us today. I'd like to start by thanking our Rexford team for your exceptional work and for delivering strong second quarter results in line with our expectations. In the quarter, we executed 1.7 million sq ft of leases, including lease up of four repositioning and redevelopment projects. Net effective and cash leasing spreads for comparable leases were in line with expectations at 21% and 8%, respectively. Embedded rent steps in our executed leases averaged 3.7%, up 10 basis points from last quarter. Healthy tenant retention and new leasing activity drove increased same property occupancy and positive net absorption in the quarter. We ended the quarter with same property occupancy at 96.1%, an increase of 40 basis points sequentially, and net absorption was a positive 220,000 sq ft.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Additionally, the strength of our tenant base and the critical nature of our infill locations was reflected in de minimis levels of bad debt in the quarter at only 6 basis points of revenue. In regard to the current market environment, while leasing activity remains steady and tenant health continues to be solid, macroeconomic and tariff uncertainty are still impacting some tenant decision making. This is putting some pressure on overall demand, impacting rent levels and lease up timeframes. In the quarter, market rents across Rexford's portfolio declined approximately 3.5% sequentially and 12.8% year over year. Despite these market dynamics, our portfolio continues to exhibit relative strength when compared to the broader market. The standout quality of our portfolio and the operational excellence of our team is positioning us to capture incremental demand in the near and long term.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

By way of example, we continue to execute on the lease up of repositioning and redevelopment projects, unlocking significant embedded growth. In the quarter and subsequent to quarter end, we executed 520,000 sq ft of leases at our repositioning and redevelopment projects, which includes Turnbull Canyon Road in the San Gabriel Valley, Balboa Avenue in San Diego, and Coronado Street in north Orange County. This brings total year to date repositioning and redevelopment lease up activity to over 900,000 sq ft, representing over $16 million of annualized NOI. Year to date, we have stabilized seven repositioning and redevelopment projects, achieving a 7.4% unlevered stabilized yield on total investment. In addition, further demonstrating the demand for our highly functional and superior quality portfolio, we currently have leasing activity on approximately 80% of our vacant spaces.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

This is consistent with prior quarter and up significantly when compared to a year ago when activity on our vacant spaces was about 60%. In regard to transaction activity, we sold 2 properties totaling $82 million, bringing year to date dispositions to $134 million at a weighted average cap rate in the low 4% range, achieving an unlevered IRR of 11.9%. Looking forward, we have approximately $54 million of dispositions under contract or accepted offer, which are subject to customary closing conditions. Separately, while we have no acquisitions under contract or accepted offer today, we are actively pursuing a range of potential near term opportunities to accretively recycle disposition proceeds.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

In closing, over the long term, we remain confident that our irreplaceable infill Southern California portfolio will continue to benefit from persistent and growing supply constraints coupled with demand from the nation's largest regional zone of consumption and 11th largest economy in the world. These superior long term fundamentals are the foundation of our value creation business model that drives shareholder value, and with that I'll turn the call over to Fitz.

[Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thanks, Laura, and thank you all for joining us. Second quarter results were in line with our expectations. Core FFO was $0.59 per share, representing a $0.01 increase over the prior quarter. When excluding one-time termination revenue that was recognized in the first quarter, the key driver for the increase was lower bad debt expense. Demonstrating our strong tenant health, we are reaffirming our full year 2025 core FFO outlook of $2.37 to $2.41 per share. Compared to the prior quarter, we now expect lower interest expense due to achieving a more favorable interest rate on our $400 million term loan and higher capitalized interest, offset by some delays in recommencements. Our remaining underlying assumptions are unchanged. I'd like to take a moment to highlight the embedded growth opportunity within our portfolio, which continues to be substantial, totaling $195 million of incremental cash NOI, representing growth of 28%.

[Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Contractual rent steps are expected to generate approximately $105 million of incremental NOI, providing a steady and predictable source of growth. Our repositioning and redevelopment projects in process or in lease-up are projected to contribute an additional $70 million of incremental NOI, reflecting our value creation strategy. In addition, this does not capture the upside embedded in our future pipeline, which totals over 3 million sq ft. Lastly, today our cash mark-to-market for our portfolio stands at 3%, contributing about $20 million of incremental NOI to our embedded growth profile. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with over $1.8 billion of liquidity, including $560 million of cash and a low leverage balance sheet with net debt to EBITDA of four times. We continue to prioritize allocating capital toward our repositioning and redevelopment projects and opportunities to recycle capital into accretive acquisitions that meet our underwriting criteria.

[Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

During the quarter, we successfully closed the recast of our credit facility, extending duration, increasing capacity, and reducing interest expense. Overall, our balance sheet continues to provide flexibility to execute on our strategy and to create long-term value. In closing, a big thank you to Team Rexford. Your teamwork, standard of excellence, and commitment continue to be the foundation of our success. With that, I'll turn the call back to the operator and open the line for questions.

[Operator]

Thank you.

[Operator]

As a reminder to ask a question, please press STAR followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press STAR one again. I will now turn the call back over to Mikayla Lynch for our first question.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thanks, Julian. Our first question comes from Craig Mailman at Citi. Please go ahead.

[Craig Mailman, Director of Equity Research Analyst at Citi]

Thanks, Laura or Fitz, maybe I just want to go over, you know, page 30 on your stuff. You guys are giving, you know, better disclosure about potential future repositioning and redevelopment starts. If you annualize the quarterly NOI you have in there, between $30 million and $32 million of potential NOI that's going to come offline by the end of 2026. Can you just talk about, with maybe some of the slower lease-up projects under construction today, should we think about that as being a pretty firm plan as we get to the end of 2026, or what kind of variability could that be with some of that pushed into 2027 or some of the 2025s pushed into 2026?

[Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Yeah, look, I think that pipeline is somewhat fluid. It has changed quarter to quarter. The biggest driver in that pipeline today is the Hertz asset, which we expect will expire that lease in the first quarter of March. That has about $8.6 million of ABR. From an NOI perspective, it's about $9 million or so. That's going to have a significant impact of rent coming offline next year. In terms of our plan for Hertz, Laura, if you want to touch on what the plan is there.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Yeah, absolutely. I think just as a reminder on the Hertz asset in particular, this is an irreplaceable location. It's adjacent to LAX. We acquired this property from Hertz back in 2023. This was a sale leaseback. Hertz is moving to a centralized rental car facility at LAX when that facility is complete. The lease currently expires in March of 2026. We're ready to start development. We're going to be able to deliver a 400,000 sq ft building there. It will be one of one in the market and we're really excited about being able to move forward with that value creation.

[Craig Mailman, Director of Equity Research Analyst at Citi]

Okay, that's helpful.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thank you, Craig. Our next question comes from Samir Kanal at Bank of America. Samir, please go ahead.

[Samir Khanal, Director at Bank of America]

Thank you and good morning. Mike, just help us understand how you think about that. The 3% cash mark to market going forward. Just trying to understand what your view on that, how that will trend over the next few quarters and what that impact could be on the cash same store growth going forward? Thanks.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Hey Samir, this is Laura. Thanks for your question. Yeah, in terms of the mark to market, currently, as you mentioned, the cash mark to market sits at 3%. The cadence of what that mark to market looks like over the next few quarters is going to depend on a number of factors including market rent growth. I think it's really important though to remember that only about 15% of our portfolio rolls annually. Future leasing spreads and how that's going to impact inflow down through same property is going to be driven by the mix of units and properties that are rolling. The other thing to note is that Rexford's growth is not dependent upon mark to market. I think that's the most important thing to note. We have significant embedded growth within the portfolio irrespective of what happens with market.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

With the mark to market, we have $70 million of incremental NOI embedded in the portfolio from our repositionings and redevelopments that are in process or at least up today. We also have strong growth from contractual embedded rent steps which currently sit at 3.7% in the portfolio.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thanks, Samir. Our next question comes from Blaine Heck at Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

[Blaine Heck, Executive Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo]

Great, thanks. Good morning out there. With respect to capital allocation, thus far you've taken a more measured approach to acquisitions. In your commentary, it sounds like you might be more open to them. I guess are you seeing opportunities to invest at much higher cap rates than you have in the past, or what's driving that increased appetite given that your cost of capital hasn't seemingly changed for the better? It does seem like there's a clear opportunity to buy back shares at a much lower basis than where you issued on the forward. I guess is that something you'd consider rather than the acquisition?

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Hey, Blaine, and thanks for your question. In terms of capital allocation, our principles remain unchanged and intact. We're focused on allocating capital where we can drive cash, cash flow, accretion, and net asset value. As we think about the various places that we can allocate capital, certainly repositioning/redevelopment continues to be a very attractive investment. It's allowing us to achieve double-digit incremental returns while we position properties to add value over the long term. As we think about acquisitions, we're continuing to evaluate acquisition opportunities that meet very stringent underwriting criteria. We are looking at opportunities where we can recycle disposition proceeds at higher yields, and that will also drive accretion, increase the quality of our portfolio, and our cash flows. As a reminder, we've sold about $134 million of dispositions to date. We have $54 million under contract or accepted offer today.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

The disposition cap rate on those is in the low 4% range. This gives us an attractive source of capital for both repositionings and redevelopments as well as acquisitions.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thank you, Blaine. Our next question comes from Greg McGinniss from Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

[Greg McGinniss, Director at Scotiabank]

Hey, thanks for taking the question. I was hoping you could touch on the delays and rent commencements on the repositioning/redevelopment front. What you guys are assuming today, and what's giving you confidence in achieving the new target or the new assumption, given the fact that you had the 80% interest this quarter, same as last quarter, but leasing not getting across the finish line?

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Hey, Greg, thanks for your question. We actually feel good about the progress that we've made in terms of repositioning and redevelopment today. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we've leased about 900,000 sq ft. That leaves us with about 1.5 million sq ft remaining through the end of the year. Our assumptions around rent commencement have been and continue to be very late in the year. We have pushed out lease timing a bit by about one month on average. That's driven by the current market dynamics. We do have activity on 80% of that 1.5 million sq ft, and based on where we're seeing activity levels today, what we were able to execute in late June and into July, we feel really comfortable with our projections at this time.

[Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Yeah, I would echo those same sentiments in an extreme case, Greg. If we didn't sign them 1.5 million sq ft, it'd only be an unfavorable $0.01 impact for our guide.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thanks, Greg. Our next question comes from Nick Thillman from Baird. Please go ahead.

[Nick Thillman, Senior Equity Research Analyst at Baird]

Hey, good morning out there. Maybe we wanted to touch on kind of just tenant behavior. If you're seeing any sort of shift on whether it be like lease terms on length of term that people are doing or maybe even just when they're approaching sort of renewal activity, like are they longer? To get back to you, any sort of change in behavior there that you guys have noticed over the last 60 to 90 days, that'd be helpful, thank you.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Yeah, thanks for your question, Nick. In terms of lease term, lease terms held pretty steady in the four to five year range on average for Rexford, which is consistent with prior years. In terms of renewals, we've had really strong renewal activity. Tenants are coming to us a bit earlier in terms of the renewal. In terms of renewals, it's interesting that we've seen a bit of a trend and an acceleration in early renewals. Early renewals means those spaces that we are renewing six months or earlier than their expiration. Just to put some numbers around that, year to date, early renewals at about 1.1 million sq ft. If you look at the back half of last year, third and fourth quarter of last year we did about 600,000 sq ft of early renewals, essentially double.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

I think what that's telling us is tenants need their space, they need to lock in that space. I think it's a good indication of the strength of the businesses and they're thinking long term about their strategy and need to serve the infill markets.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thank you, Nick. Our next question comes from Omotayo Okusansya from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Looks like we lost Tayo. Apologies for that. Our next question comes from Michael Griffin from Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

[Michael Griffin, Director at Evercore]

Great, thanks. I realized that sort of market rent growth was down both sequentially and year over year. I'm wondering if we can dig into that a little bit more. Maybe April was an outlier to the downside and things got better in May and June. I don't know if there are any numbers you can quantify or put around it. I'm just trying to get a sense of whether things were improving sequentially during the quarter or if it was all kind of impacted negatively on a year over year basis, kind of agnostic of the month.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Yeah, I mean, I think it's tough to look at week over week or month over month changes in terms of market rents. We did see a decline in market rents sequentially and year over year. I do think it's important to remember what happened in the quarter. We started the quarter on April 2 with sweeping tariffs were announced, and throughout the quarter there was tremendous volatility around tariff policy and when an expected resolution would occur. I think that certainly impacted, as we mentioned, some tenants' decision making was paused or delayed, and that has impacted market rents in the quarter. That said, we continue to execute leases, tenants are making decisions, and we've made great progress on the repo redevelopment lease up. I will note that I think in today's environment it's important to indicate where we're focused.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

We're focused on capturing demand and occupancy, and in some cases that has also impacted rent levels.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thanks, Griff. Our next question comes from Mike Mueller from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

[Michael Mueller, Executive Director at JPMorgan]

Yeah, hi. I think you mentioned low 4% cap rate on recent asset sales, just curious, like how is that influenced, if at all, by user purchases? If you're thinking of your comparable property with an at-market rent, what do you see as the band of cap rates today?

[Howard Schwimmer, Co-CEO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Hi Mike, it's Howard. Good to hear your voice.

[Howard Schwimmer, Co-CEO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Yeah, yeah.

[Howard Schwimmer, Co-CEO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Clearly, we have really tried to sell assets and capitalize on some opportunities to achieve premium values. The user side of that is very important, and several of our transactions have been user sales. In the quarter, we sold one property in north Orange County that was a company that was actually thinking forward. They're going to convert a site to battery storage and bought it. I think at the equivalent on that deal, it was about a 3.5% cap rate, and there was a bit of term left and a few options for the tenant to extend, but an irreplaceable site that they paid the premium for. In terms of cap rates in the overall market you asked about, at market leasing, they're still in the 5% zone, plus or minus, in terms of cap rates.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thanks, Mike. Our next question comes from Omotayo Okusanya from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

[Omotayo Okusanya, Managing Director and Head of US REIT Research at Deutsche Bank]

Sorry about that earlier. Quick question about occupancy. At the end of Q2, average occupancy was at 95.9%. Guidance is 95.5% to 96%. Just kind of curious, the back half of the year, why you don't expect occupancy to increase from current levels. Are there any additional tenant fallouts, any kind of issues with bad debt? Just kind of curious why the occupancy outlook is not a little bit higher given where you are as of Q2.

[Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Sure. Thanks for the question, Tayo. You're incorrect. We entered the second quarter at 96.1% and we do expect some deceleration in the second half of the year. Our guide again is 95.5% to 96%. The driver of the deceleration is really planned move outs within our same property portfolio. It was expected and part of our guide from the initial guidance to now. As far as bad debt goes in terms of what we should expect in the second half of the year, it's a bit structural. Last year for the second half of 2024, we had a very low bad debt of about $1 million or so. We have kept our reserve at about the same level for the second half of this year at about 70 basis points. It's $1 million versus $4 million.

[Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

That's also some of the deceleration that you could see in same property NOI as well.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thanks, Tayo. Our next question comes from Brendan Lynch from Barclays. Please go ahead.

[Brendan Lynch, Director at Barclays]

Great. Thanks for taking my question. Having leasing activity on 80% of your vacant properties, I understand this is up from 65%. Maybe you could disaggregate that increase from tenants that are just taking longer time to make decisions versus an actual increase in demand, and maybe any color that you could provide around that in terms of like conversion that you've had.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Oh, can you repeat the end of your question, Brendan? You cut out.

[Brendan Lynch, Director at Barclays]

Sorry about that. Just any details on conversion rates in the past?

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Yeah, absolutely. We have activity in about 80% of our vacant spaces today. When you think about conversion levels, we can use a repositioning/redevelopment from last quarter as an example. If we look at where we had activity last quarter on repositioning/redevelopment projects, about two thirds of that activity has either leased or is still in negotiations, and we expect to convert to leasing. We also executed a couple of leases on repositioning/redevelopment projects last quarter that had no activity when we reported last quarter. Overall, conversion is taking a bit more time, as indicated by some longer lease up assumptions. What we're seeing is the majority of our activity is converting or expected to convert and to execute leases.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thank you, Brendan. Our next question comes from John Kim at BMO. Please go ahead.

[John Kim, Managing Director at BMO]

Good morning. This quarter you've taken down redevelopment yield expectations by 50 basis points at the midpoint. I was wondering if that was driven mostly by the change in rent expectations and what the new or what your hurdle rate is for new redevelopments.

[Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Hi John. Good morning. The driver behind that was a mixed issue. We had two projects that stabilized during the quarter, Turnbull, which was a 9.2% stabilized yield, and also Via Burton, which was a redevelopment that was at a 6% yield. We added three projects, Gabbett, Figueroa, and Venice, one of our redevelopments, and those were a bit lower yields. In terms of the incremental yields that we're experiencing on the projects that we stabilize year to date, which is about seven or so, we're at 19% on an incremental return basis. That is why, as Laura noted earlier, in terms of our priorities for capital allocation, that's where highest risk-adjusted return is today. That is where you're seeing a lot of those dollars in our balance sheet continue to be deployed in those opportunities.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thanks, John. Our next question comes from Vikram Malhotra from Mizuho. Please go ahead.

[Vikram Malhotra, Managing Director at Mizuho]

Morning. Thanks for the question. I wanted to clarify something. I had a question. The moving, the flow of dollars coming in and out from the development pipeline, you would outline $15 million coming out, $15 million going in. I just want to focus on the dollars going out, the $15 million based on what you've done so far into next and in the second half. It seems like there's more than $15 million. If you could clarify that. If you add up the planned redevelopments for later in 2025 and 2026, it seems like on my method, like $45 million or plus coming out with next year and a half, coupled with negative rent spreads likely and just higher vacancy across the market. It just seems like the growth set up for 2026 is a lot lower than we're expecting. If you could just help us think through that?

[Vikram Malhotra, Managing Director at Mizuho]

Thank you.

[Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

At this point I think we're ready to comment on 2026, but for 2025, Vikram, we had messaged from the start of the year that we're going to have about $15 million event come offline for 2025 starts. That is still consistent today. It's actually a little bit down from last quarter. It's right around $13 million as we execute on a couple short-term renewals. In terms of what is going to come offline in 2026, we put some new disclosure out there to give you some guideposts on what those 2026 starts could potentially look like, and also some guideposts around costs. I would tell you that the pool is fluid. We have a strategic plan for every single one of our assets, and sometimes it's multiple plans where we could release as is or we could reposition, redevelop. That future pipeline is somewhat fluid.

[Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

It's largely driven by the Hertz lease that we mentioned earlier when we were talking to Craig about it. It's too early to tell you what exactly is going to come offline, but at this point we're okay giving you at least guideposts. As we move throughout the rest of this year, we will continue to give you more guidance around what comes offline next year, including what the capitalized interest impact could be.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thank you, Vikram. Our last question comes from Craig Mailman at Citi. Please go ahead.

[Craig Mailman, Director of Equity Research Analyst at Citi]

Thanks for taking the follow up. Just want to go back to the commentary. Maybe a couple follow ups here in my one question, Laura, on the 80% kind of activity. Is any of that double counting, like one tenant looking at three of your spaces, or is it all unique, kind of unique interest in each asset? Also, you had mentioned, you know, LA is a little bit spotty with pockets of weakness on demand and rents versus others that aren't. Could you kind of bucket your portfolio? I don't know if you guys look at it like % of NOI or % of sq ft, that's maybe in like strongest submarkets, kind of moderate strength submarket to then the below average submarkets as we think about, you know, just LA in general given your SoCal exposures, kind of more broad than some others?

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Yeah, Craig, thanks for the follow up questions. In terms of your first question around the 80%, that's all unique. We're not double counting interest if we have a tenant that's looking at a few spaces. That's all unique interest. In terms of, you know, kind of more color around markets and performance, a few comments there. What we are seeing generally across all submarkets within infill Southern California is in our smaller spaces, I'd say spaces less than 50,000 sq ft continue to be relatively stable in the market. We continue to see solid demand there, and rent levels have been the strongest in those spaces that are 50,000 sq ft or smaller. That's great for Rexford. By the way, our average tenant size is 26,000 sq ft in the portfolio, and so I think it just speaks to the quality and functionality of our space in the market.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

I'd say that when we're just diving into a few of the submarkets, when we're looking at submarkets, I think you also have to look at the size of spaces within those submarkets. You know, a couple submarkets where I'd say we're seeing some pockets of weakness is where you've got some more supply. I'd say in the mid-counties market, the supply in the kind of 100,000 to 200,000 sq ft ranges is elevated, and so there's some weakness. That being said, we had some leasing activity in that submarket in that size range this quarter, seeing some more interest there. Other pockets of weakness potentially are central LA and north Orange County. Again, we're seeing some increases in overall activity as we got to the end of the quarter. I'd say that those are generally what we're seeing from a market perspective. Michael?

[Michael Frankel, Co-CEO at Rexford Industrial Realty Inc]

Yeah, no, hey Craig, it's great, great to hear you today. It's Michael here and I'd just like to add an answer to your question. You know, consistent with our strategy, upwards of 75% of our portfolio is generally positioned within Greater LA, Orange, and the Ontario submarkets. You know, over time we'll find that those are tremendous markets. What we're seeing more recently as you roll through the different submarkets throughout Southern California is the different submarkets are adjusting in their own timeframes. They're not all adjusting equally to the post-pandemic rent increase and all the uncertainty that has resulted post-pandemic. We're just continuing to see some of that adjustment. It's not at the same time across all submarkets, and I think that we're seeing that variability today. The markets where Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.

[Michael Frankel, Co-CEO at Rexford Industrial Realty Inc]

is present, our strategy is to own the best locations within the strongest infill market in the country, possibly the world, and to substantially outcompete by having the highest quality product in those submarkets. I think that we are well positioned in terms of relative strength of the submarkets. Over time we believe that's going to prove itself out.

[Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thanks, Craig. This will conclude today's Q&A session. I would like to turn the call over to Laura Clark for closing remarks.

[Laura Clark, COO at Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc]

Thanks Mikayla. In closing, Rexford Industrial Realty's differentiated portfolio and entrepreneurial team drove solid second quarter results. Our irreplaceable infill portfolio, substantial embedded NOI growth, and value creation strategy position us to deliver significant shareholder value. Thank you all again for joining us today.

[Operator]

This concludes Rexford Industrial second quarter 2025 earnings call. You may now disconnect.

Participants

Executives

• Laura Clark, COO
• Howard Schwimmer, Co-CEO
• Mikayla Lynch, Director of Investor Relations and Capital Markets
• Michael Frankel, Co-CEO
• Mike Fitzmaurice, CFO

Analysts

• Michael Mueller, Executive Director at JPMorgan
• Omotayo Okusanya, Managing Director and Head of US REIT Research at Deutsche Bank
• Samir Khanal, Director at Bank of America
• Michael Griffin, Director at Evercore
• Craig Mailman, Director of Equity Research Analyst at Citi
• Greg McGinniss, Director at Scotiabank
• Nick Thillman, Senior Equity Research Analyst at Baird
• Vikram Malhotra, Managing Director at Mizuho
• John Kim, Managing Director at BMO
• Blaine Heck, Executive Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo
• Brendan Lynch, Director at Barclays