Silvercorp Metals Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: Strong financial performance: Q1 revenue increased 70% year over year to CAD 139 million, while adjusted net income rose to CAD 53.9 million, or CAD 0.24 per share, driven largely by a 135% increase in realized silver prices.
  • Neutral Sentiment: Chinese mine safety upgrades reduced production: Silver, lead, and zinc production fell 17%, 15%, and 15%, respectively, after Ying and GC temporarily suspended operations for regulatory safety improvements. Ying has resumed at a reduced rate, while GC awaits approvals; management remains comfortable with producing roughly 40%–50% of the original Q2 plan but is not yet revising full-year guidance.
  • Positive Sentiment: Balance sheet supports growth: Silvercorp ended the quarter with CAD 387 million in cash, CAD 304 million in investments at market value, and approximately US$220 million of undrawn term-loan capacity. The company also paid CAD 60 million for a new Kyrgyzstan mining license extending ZAAV’s term to 2062.
  • Positive Sentiment: Growth projects advanced: El Domo construction and equipment procurement continued despite heavy rainfall, and management does not view lower quarterly spending as a threat to its production target next summer. At Ying, a new 3,000-ton-per-day mill is under construction and is expected to be commissioned in fiscal Q1 2028.
  • Positive Sentiment: Expansion opportunities in Ecuador and Kyrgyzstan: Condor is expected to receive its environmental license later this quarter, enabling exploration tunnels and planning for an initial 900–1,000-ton-per-day operation. At Tulkubash, construction has begun and an updated feasibility study is expected shortly, while drilling continues at the Kyzyltash sulfide project.
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Earnings Conference Call
Silvercorp Metals Q1 2027
00:00 / 00:00

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Operator

Thank you for standing by. Good afternoon. My name is Ina, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Silvercorp first quarter fiscal 2027 financial results conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then the number two. Thank you. I would now like to turn the conference over to Lon Shaver, President of Silvercorp. Please go ahead.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

Thank you, Ina. On behalf of Silvercorp, I'd like to thank everyone for joining this call today to discuss our Q1 fiscal 2027 financial results, which were released yesterday afternoon. Copies of the news release, the MD&A, and the financial statements are available on SEDAR+. Before we start, please note that certain statements on today's call will contain forward-looking information, within the meaning of securities laws. Also, please review the cautionary statements in our news release, as well as the risk factors described in our most recent regulatory filings. Let's start with our financial results. We delivered a strong first quarter despite the temporary production slowdown at our Chinese operations that's related to the safety upgrades that began in June.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

Revenue rose 70% year-over-year to CAD 139 million, while cash flow from operating activities and free cash flow reached nearly CAD 62 million and CAD 29 million respectively, and that was up 28% and 27% from the prior year. This performance was mainly driven by 135% increase in the realized selling price of silver, which averaged above $69 an ounce after smelter deductions, and silver accounted for 77% of our revenue in Q1. We reported a net income of CAD 59.4 million for the quarter, or CAD 0.27 per share. This includes an CAD 11 million gain on investments and a CAD 6 million gain from the sale of the Santa Barbara project in Ecuador.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

Removing non-cash and non-recurring items, our adjusted net income for the quarter was CAD 53.9 million or CAD 0.24 per share, and that compares to CAD 21 million and CAD 0.10 in the comparative quarter. We delivered strong cash flow from operating activities before changes in non-cash working capital of CAD 70.4 million, up 82% compared to last year. During the quarter, we spent and capitalized about CAD 22 million at our operations in China, CAD 12 million at the El Domo project in Ecuador, and CAD 2.6 million at the Chaarat ZAAV project in Kyrgyzstan. Additionally, in May, we made a CAD 60 million cash payment to the Kyrgyzstan government following the issuance of the new mining license and license agreement for ZAAV, which extends the license term by 20 years to June of 2062.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

As we advance on our growth strategy, our strong balance sheet provides us with significant financial flexibility. We ended the quarter with CAD 387 million in cash, and that excludes our investments in associates and other companies which had a combined market value of CAD 304 million as of June 30th. We have further funding available through the RMB-denominated term loan facilities that we signed, which totals approximately US $220 million, which remains undrawn. To recap our operating results, which we reported in July. During the first quarter, we produced approximately 1.5 million ounces of silver, over 2,500 ounces of gold, 13 million pounds of lead, and 4 million pounds of zinc. Compared to last year, gold production increased 24%, while silver, lead, and zinc production decreased 17%, 15%, and 15% respectively.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

Production at Ying was impacted by lower head grades, reflecting higher dilution associated with the shift to more shrinkage mining. Also on June 29th, we reported that we voluntarily suspended operations at both Ying and GC to complete a comprehensive safety self-review. This followed the rollout of new nationwide safety requirements across China's mining industry after a major accident occurred in the country in May. Through this process, we identified areas requiring some upgrades to meet the new regulations and engaged five certified vendors to complete the six major safety systems underground upgrades. Safety has always been our top priority. While these upgrades are temporarily impacting production, they are an important investment in our operations, and we expect to emerge from this process with even stronger and safer mines.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

For the quarter, consolidated mining operating income was $84.8 million, with Ying contributing $80.1 million, or approximately 95% of the total. Turning to costs, Ying's production costs averaged $87 per ton, which was up 5% year-over-year. This increase was primarily driven by a 6% appreciation of the RMB against the US dollar. Despite this, production costs remain below our annual guidance range of $88-$90 per ton. Ying's cash cost per ounce of silver net of byproduct credits was $2.45, compared with $1.26 in the prior year quarter. This is mainly due to a 15% decline in the silver sold in the quarter and the stronger RMB that I mentioned, partially offset by a $3.8 million increase in byproduct credits. All-in sustaining production costs at Ying were $130 per ton, essentially flat year-over-year and below our annual guidance range of $155-$165.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

On a per ounce basis, Ying's all-sustaining cost net of byproducts was $13.94 an ounce. This is up 38% year-over-year, and the increase reflected the same factors impacting cash costs, but also a 68% increase in government taxes, which was driven by the higher revenue that we reported. Turning to our growth projects at Ying, capital expenditures totaled over $16 million in Q1 for underground development and drilling, mainly aimed at improving underground access and material handling to boost productivity. At the Kuanping project, north of Ying, mine construction focused on underground development to access the ore. The project, which has a license to produce up to 200,000 tons of ore per year, will deliver some nominal development ore to be milled at Ying in this fiscal year.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

With the capacity expansions at the existing Ying permit areas in Kuanping, we will have a permitted mining capacity of approximately 1.5 million tons per year. In anticipation of higher mine production, we have begun constructing a new mill, the No. 3 Mill. Capital expenditures total $300,000 in the quarter, with foundation treatments and the elevated water tank currently in progress. The mill is expected to add 3,000 tons per day of capacity and be commissioned in Q1 of fiscal 2028. Switching to Ecuador, at El Domo, construction continued to advance in Q1 despite unusually heavy rainfall. On the infrastructure side, the non-contact water channel, processing plant foundation work, and initial tailing storage facility dam construction progressed with more than 600,000 cubic meters of earthworks completed.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

In parallel, open pit pre-stripping is underway and efficiency is improving through the addition of large-scale equipment, expanded operating areas, and road upgrades. In addition, major equipment for the processing plant and water treatment plant has been procured and is being shipped to Ecuador. The construction contract for the plant has been awarded to DGJA, an experienced contractor that recently constructed the 80,000 ton per day flotation mill at the Mirador Copper Gold Mine in the south of Ecuador. Moving to Condor, permitting work continues with the formal consultation process underway with the directly impacted communities. This is the final step required to secure the small-scale environmental license, which we expect to obtain later this quarter.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

Once it is received, we will commence development of two 1,500-meter exploration tunnels at the Camp and Las Cuevas deposits to support underground drilling and advance exploration and resource definition. We have also made significant progress in Kyrgyzstan since acquiring Chaarat ZAAV in January. This is a joint venture company that holds the Tulkubash and Kyzyltash gold projects and is 70% owned by Silvercorp with us as operator and with the remaining 30% owned by the state mining company, Kyrgyzaltyn. At the fully permitted Tulkubash oxide project, construction is underway on the temporary camp and related facilities. We have contracted China Railway 19 Bureau Group, which is currently on site building access roads to the future open pit and waste rock storage areas and preparing the foundation for the heap leach pad.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

China Railway 19 Bureau Group has operating experience in Kyrgyzstan and is also our mining contractor at El Domo. The updated feasibility study on Tulkubash is expected later this month. As outlined in our budget released in June, we plan to invest $166 million to develop a four million ton per year open pit heap leach operation at Tulkubash with $42 million of CapEx planned for fiscal 2027. At the neighboring Kyzyltash sulfide project, we completed nearly 13,000 meters of drilling to the end of the quarter, with 16 rigs currently turning and assays pending. This work is part of our ongoing 50,000-meter drill program for the year, focused on both infilling the deposit to upgrade resources and stepping out to extend mineralization and make new discoveries.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

This program will support the completion of a PEA next year, followed by a further 60,000-meter drill campaign to support feasibility level studies and detailed engineering design for construction. We look forward to providing further updates as we continue to advance our growth projects. With that, operator, I'd like to open the call for questions.

Operator

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now conduct the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then the number two. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. One moment please for your first question. Thank you. Your first question comes from the line of Kevin O'Halloran from BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Kevin O'Halloran
Kevin O'Halloran
VP of Equity Research at BMO Capital Markets

Hey, Lon. Thanks for taking my questions. Starting off on the guidance, are you still comfortable with the production guidance even with the temporary shutdowns, or should we maybe expect those numbers get reviewed as you get through the next kind of quarter or so and get a better sense of the impact of these shutdowns? I guess similarly on the cost side, you were below the $1 per ton range on the cash costs and the AISC at Ying. Is that something that there is also maybe some potential upside there that you might review as you get through these shutdowns?

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

Well, I think one quarter does not make a year, obviously, both in terms of the negatives that we have talked about and addressed with the protection curtailment, but also some of the positive numbers that we see in a particular quarter may not be what applies for the budget for the year. Just based on what activities are happening at different times during the year. Also, obviously, we are facing a bit of a strength in the RMB, which had an impact, which would have made the cost even better if we had not experienced that this past quarter. But coming back to your first part of the question, it is premature to start making projections at this point and then having to revise them several times. So I think we will wait it out here through this quarter.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

We are obviously seeing production coming back online on a gradual basis. We are still comfortable with the target that we gave in that news release of 40%-50% of target for this quarter. I think once we have better visibility on that, we will be in a better position to make a comment for guidance for the year.

Kevin O'Halloran
Kevin O'Halloran
VP of Equity Research at BMO Capital Markets

Yeah, that's fair. Appreciate that. Maybe just switching over to Ecuador. At El Domo, the spending was a little bit lower this quarter. Sounds like probably that's because of the rainy season there, but just wondering what's the cadence of remaining capital spend that you're expecting and that you would need to spend to get you on track for production next summer?

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

Yeah, the numbers don't tell the full story because there is expenditures and deposits made on equipment, which are obviously a big part of the CapEx that don't flow through into the actual CapEx expenditures for the quarter. So there has been work done on that front. Then just from the nature of the build, it tended to be more back-end weighted anyways, just based on assembly of the equipment at the process plant and continuing with the stripping of the pit. So at this point, while we're maybe a little bit behind our original budget for spending, we don't see that as being an issue. A lot of that work, as I said, was back-end weighted anyways.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

And some of that work, we had a bit of slack in the schedule with respect to earth moving and some of the stripping. Our contractor had been quite confident that we had a very conservative schedule, and they could do a lot more in a shorter period of time. Now we'll be holding them to their word for here for the balance of this year and fiscal year.

Kevin O'Halloran
Kevin O'Halloran
VP of Equity Research at BMO Capital Markets

Okay. No, that's great to hear. Final question from me, just on Condor. I noticed you guys increased your ownership during the quarter. Was there any payments or royalties, or other consideration associated with that?

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

It was a very nominal payment. It was really just cleaning up what was more of a legacy ownership in the corporation from a government agency.

Kevin O'Halloran
Kevin O'Halloran
VP of Equity Research at BMO Capital Markets

Okay, got you. That's all for me. Appreciate it, Lon.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

All right. Thanks, Kevin.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Joseph Reagor from ROTH Capital Partners. Please go ahead.

Joseph Reagor
Joseph Reagor
Managing Director at ROTH Capital Partners

Hey, Lon. Thanks for taking the questions. I guess, you briefly touched on this, but just any additional color you can give on how the safety upgrades are going? Is there any chance at all that this rolls into fiscal Q3?

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

Not from where we sit at this point. From what we've disclosed, we're comfortable with. Production has recommenced at Ying on a reduced rate. But it is up and running. As we disclosed, GC is still waiting for some approvals before we can get that going. But we're currently comfortable with our projection and our target for Q2 of being sort of a 40%-50% of original plan.

Joseph Reagor
Joseph Reagor
Managing Director at ROTH Capital Partners

Okay. On GC, I noticed in the release that there was some commentary around converting it from being a lead zinc mine to a silver mine, and that would change how many production levels you could have. Is this a precursor to you guys announcing some kind of mill expansion, throughput expansion there?

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

It's a necessary element if we were to go down that road and to consider that. We've obviously been limited as to how much production and growth we could plan out of GC. There are other additional areas where we know there's mineralization, but it's been a bit of a moot point to think about planning for them or bringing them in based on this current restriction. So removing this will allow us to look at the mine more holistically and make some longer-term plans. If it makes sense then to expand it, at that point, then we will. We currently don't have any plans to expand it, but this gives us the flexibility to down the road.

Joseph Reagor
Joseph Reagor
Managing Director at ROTH Capital Partners

Okay. Fair enough. All right. That's it for me. I'll turn it over.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

All right. Thanks, Joe.

Operator

Thank you. Once again, should you have a question, please press star four followed by the one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Matthew O'Keefe from Cantor Fitzgerald. Please go ahead.

Matthew O'Keefe
Matthew O'Keefe
Analyst at Cantor Fitzgerald

Thanks, operator. Morning, gents. Just on Condor, that's quietly kind of moving ahead here nicely. Can you remind us, I know you mentioned it in the press release and also in the comments here, but it sounds like you're getting closer to doing some development there, getting in a portal. Can you just take us through the timeline of that and then sort of the next steps, as far as moving towards production? Is that portal going to be more for resource development and confirmation, or will that actually be a precursor to some production?

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

Well, with receipt of the permit, we're aiming to move ahead with really two major projects in parallel. One is the tunnels, as you mentioned, which we think to complete them, would take approximately a year, is our guess. If we started them in Q4, you could look forward to being in the ore zones a year from then. But what it'll allow us do earlier from that is to start setting up drill stations to drill off in more density.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

The other work that's going on right now is looking at a plan and detailed engineering for what would initially be a smaller scale surface plant operation, tailings facility, and process plant, say 900 to 1,000 tons per day, which would be able to treat some initial high-grade ores that we've pulled out of our deposits, but also toll treat some of the ores that are being produced by some of the smaller scale miners in the region. That is being worked on right now in terms of detailed planning and a budget for what that would cost. When we've got those details together and we're moving ahead with the concrete expenditures for that, obviously, we'll give more disclosure at that time.

Matthew O'Keefe
Matthew O'Keefe
Analyst at Cantor Fitzgerald

Okay. Is that mining rate or process rate less than what you had in the PEA. Is that as an interim step, or is that just a sort of permit restraint constraint?

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

What it would do is it would be tied into the small-scale mining permit. We would get it going and whether it's initial or interim, we would view that as a stepping stone, generate some cash flow, and also be able to go back to the regulators with a successful start of operation and then amend that permit to grow the throughput rate rather than getting into a larger scale mining permit process that would certainly take more time before we would see any cash flow.

Matthew O'Keefe
Matthew O'Keefe
Analyst at Cantor Fitzgerald

Right. Okay. Got it. Thanks. That is it for me. Cheers.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

Thanks, Matt.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for any closing remarks.

Lon Shaver
Lon Shaver
President at Silvercorp

All right. Well, that is great. Thanks, operator, and thanks everyone for joining us today and for those questions. If anybody has more questions, we are obviously here and available to take calls or emails and address them. Thanks again, and have a great day.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a wonderful day. Bye.

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