Parker-Hannifin Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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Provided by Quartr
August 6, 2026

Key Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: Record FY 2026 results: Sales reached $21.5 billion, organic growth accelerated to 6.6%, adjusted segment operating margin expanded 120 basis points to 27.3%, and adjusted EPS rose 18% to $32.31. Operating cash flow also exceeded $4 billion for the first time, reaching $4.4 billion.
  • Positive Sentiment: Fourth-quarter performance was particularly strong, with 8% organic sales growth, 28.0% adjusted segment operating margin, $9.27 adjusted EPS, and backlog up 16% to a record $12.8 billion. Aerospace led growth with 13.4% organic sales growth and an $8.5 billion backlog.
  • Positive Sentiment: Parker issued FY 2027 guidance for approximately 7% organic sales growth, 27.7% adjusted segment operating margin, and $34.75 adjusted EPS, representing 8% EPS growth. Management expects positive growth across all major market verticals, including high-single-digit aerospace and defense growth.
  • Positive Sentiment: Management raised its long-term adjusted segment operating margin target to 30% by FY 2031, while maintaining goals of 4%-6% organic growth, a 17% free-cash-flow margin, and more than 10% adjusted EPS growth over the cycle.
  • Neutral Sentiment: Parker announced nearly $12 billion of pending acquisitions involving Filtration Group and CIRCOR’s commercial Aerospace & Defense business, expected to close in the second half of calendar 2026. The deals expand filtration, electrification, and flight-critical technology capabilities, but guidance does not yet include their financial impact and integration will require substantial execution.
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Earnings Conference Call
Parker-Hannifin Q4 2026
00:00 / 00:00

Transcript Sections

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Operator

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Parker-Hannifin Corporation's fiscal year 2026 fourth quarter and full-year earnings conference call and webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the prepared remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during this period, you will need to press star one on your telephone. If you would like to remove yourself from the queue, please press star two. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded, and if you should need operator assistance today, please press star zero at any time. I would now like to turn the call over to Todd Leombruno, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thank you, Beau. I would like to welcome everyone to Parker's fiscal year 2026 fourth quarter and full-year earnings release webcast. As Beau said, this is Todd Leombruno, Chief Financial Officer speaking, and with me today, as usual, is Jennifer Parmentier, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. We have a number of exciting things to review with everyone today, and we appreciate your time this morning. Thanks for joining us. Let's move to slide two to address our disclosures on forward-looking projections and non-GAAP financial measures. Items listed here could cause actual results to vary from our forecast. Our press release, the presentation here, and reconciliations for all those non-GAAP measures were released this morning and are available under the Investors section on parker.com. Today, Jenny is going to start with our record FY 2026 performance.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

She is going to share some highlights on what we did with capital deployment actions this year and introduce our new FY 2031 adjusted segment operating margin target. She is also going to address an upcoming change to our order rate reporting that will start in FY 2027. I am going to follow with some details on our record fourth quarter financial results. We also initiated our FY 2027 guidance today, and we will review all the assumptions for what we expect to be a new record year for Parker-Hannifin. We will conclude the call with our normal Q&A portion, and we will try to address as many questions as we have time for. Now let's move to slide three, and Jenny, I will turn it over to you.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Thank you, Todd, and thank you to everyone for attending the call today. Our global teams delivered record performance in fiscal year 2026, powered by our proven business system, The Win Strategy. We achieved top quartile safety performance with a 9% reduction in our recordable incident rate. This was our safest year ever, and we remain focused on being the safest industrial company in the world. We delivered record fiscal year 2026 sales of $21.5 billion, surpassing $20 billion for the first time in Parker's history. Organic growth accelerated to 6.6%, and adjusted segment operating margin expanded 120 basis points to a record 27.3%. Adjusted earnings per share increased 18% to a record $32.31, and cash flow from operations was also a record at $4.4 billion. Our first time over $4 billion.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

I'd like to congratulate our team members around the world for achieving and surpassing our fiscal year 2029 adjusted segment operating margin target ahead of schedule. Thank you for everything you do to keep each other safe, create value for customers, and demonstrate operational excellence. Slide four, please. Fiscal year 2026 marks the biggest year in Parker's history, with over $15 billion in announced and deployed capital. We announced strategic acquisitions that further build our portfolio of interconnected technologies, giving our application engineers and channel partners more ways to create value for customers. We enhanced our electrification capabilities with the acquisition of Curtis Instruments, completed last September. In November, we announced the pending acquisition of Filtration Group Corporation, which expands our offering of proprietary filtration technologies and increases our filtration aftermarket by 500 basis points.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Just this past May, we announced the pending acquisition of CIRCOR's commercial Aerospace & Defense business, adding complementary flight critical capabilities. We are committed to actively deploying capital. These transactions are right in line with our stated strategy to acquire companies where we are the clear best owner, building on our interconnected technologies, creating value for customers, further compounding earnings growth. We look forward to welcoming our new team members into Parker. Moving to slide five. After setting our fiscal year 2029 targets just over two years ago, we are raising the bar once again and setting a new margin target. As I said earlier, we achieved our fiscal year 2029 margin target early. Now for the fifth time in just over 10 years, we are raising our adjusted segment operating margin target once again.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

We are raising it by 300 basis points to 30% by fiscal year 2031. In addition, we remain committed to organic growth of 4%-6% over the cycle, 17% free cash flow margin, and greater than 10% adjusted EPS growth over the cycle. We are very proud of what the teams have accomplished over the last several years, and we are confident in achieving these targets. Parker has a fantastic track record of achieving and raising margin targets. Margin expansion has been an exciting part of the Parker story for over a decade. By using The Win Strategy to drive operational excellence in each of our divisions, margin expansion will continue at Parker-Hannifin. Slide six, please. Today, we are announcing a move to rolling 12-month order rates beginning in fiscal year 2027 for our industrial segment, aligning all businesses on a rolling 12-month calculation.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Parker's portfolio is profoundly different today than it was 20 years ago when we began disclosing quarterly order rate comparisons for the industrial business. Our portfolio has been shaped by strategic positioning, one of our organic growth enablers, has been transformed by acquisition. Over the last decade, these acquisitions have more than doubled the size of our aerospace and engineered materials businesses. When Filtration Group Corporation closes, we will have more than tripled the size of our filtration business. These technology platforms combined now represent approximately 65% of our pro forma sales today. This is clearly a different Parker, with greater exposure to longer cycle, secular trends, and more resilient end markets. Rolling 12-month orders provide a stronger correlation to near-term organic sales growth. I'll give it back to Todd to review fourth quarter highlights.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thank you, Jenny. I'm going to jump through the fourth quarter. We couldn't have had such a great fiscal year without such a strong finish in the fourth quarter. It was record-setting numbers across the board. The team delivered new records for sales, adjusted segment operating margin, adjusted EBITDA margin, net income, and adjusted EPS, all in the quarter. Sales were up 10% versus prior. Organic was up 8%. That was the strongest quarter of the fiscal year when it comes to organic growth. Really finished the year strong. Currency was just slightly unfavorable at 0.3%, and the Curtis acquisition added 1.5% to the sales. When you look at margins, adjusted segment operating margin for the quarter was 28.0%. That is up 110 basis points from prior year. That is the first time the company has ever generated segment operating margins above 28.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Just a great way to finish the year. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 28.6%. That's up 180 basis points, adjusted net income was $1.2 billion, which is a 21% return on sales. That actually drove earnings per share up also 21%, and we achieved $9.27 for the quarter. That's the first time the company has ever generated over $9 in a single quarter. Just an outstanding way to finish the year. 8% organic growth, record margins across the board, and 21% EPS growth. Jenny said this already, but really, we can't thank our teams enough for their continued hard work and dedication throughout the quarter and really finishing the year strong. If we jump to slide nine, this just displays the walk, the $1.58 increase in EPS versus prior year. Really, you could just see what a high-quality quarter this was from the team.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Over 80% of the EPS growth came from increased segment operating income dollars. That added $1.29 or 17% of the EPS growth versus prior year. Corporate G&A and other, really it's other, contributed $0.25, and that was really the result of foreign currency exchange being favorable. Lower share count, we've done a significant amount of share buybacks over the last year. That added $0.09 to the quarter, and lower interest expense added $0.02. Income tax was favorable to our guide, but compared to last year, it was unfavorable by just $0.07, and that was really due to just higher favorable discrete items in the prior year. You look at all of that's how we got the $9.27 of adjusted EPS. Just a great way to end the year. If we could go to slide 10, let's take a look at the segments.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

In total, I already mentioned this, organic growth was up 8%. We expanded margins across the board, 110 basis points in the quarter, incrementals were 40% for Q4. We are very pleased to see the order rates accelerate across all these businesses. Jenny just mentioned this, but beginning in FY 2027, we will convert to order reporting for all businesses using the 12-month rolling. I've provided the three month and the 12-month here, but this will be the last quarter we do this going forward for FY 2027. In the appendix of this deck and in our press release, we provided eight quarters of historical comparisons, if you're interested in that. In total, orders were up 19% on the three year comparison. Using the 12-month rolling, it was 12%. Backlog increased 16% versus prior year and is now a new record at $12.8 billion.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

If we move to the North American businesses, sales were $2.2 billion. Organic growth was just about 5%. Really, this is just based on a broadening recovery across all those businesses. Margins are up 70 basis points to a record 27.4%. That also exceeded our expectations and really marked the highest quarter of margin performance for the North American businesses of the year. Orders in North America improved +16% on a three month comparison and 9% on a rolling 12. Just a great way to finish the year for the North American businesses. Moving to the International businesses, sales were a record $1.6 billion. Organic growth, really impressive at 6.5%. Asia Pac really leading the way for us there. Organic growth in Asia Pacific was 16%. EMEA was positive, but just 1% positive. Latin America was down 3% versus the prior year.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

What's great here is adjusted operating margin is a new record at 26.8% for the International businesses. That is up 210 basis points versus prior year. Orders, amazingly strong here, 24% on a three month comparison, 10% on a rolling 12. Just a nice way to finish the year for our industrial team members based in our International businesses. Aerospace continues to lead the way here. A record $1.9 billion in sales for the quarter. Organic growth of 13.4% versus the prior year. This marks the fourth year, the fourth full fiscal year in a row of double-digit organic growth for Aerospace. The team has really outperformed and executed unbelievably well, generated $1.9 billion in sales. Margins are also up in Aerospace, up 80 basis points versus the prior year and reached 29.8% for the quarter. If you move to orders in Aerospace, order rates unbelievably strong here.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Again, 18%, double-digit growth in both commercial OEM and aftermarket, and really strength in the defense OEM markets. Backlog in Aerospace is up 15% versus prior year and reached a record $8.5 billion. Just a great series of results from the team. If we can go to slide 11, this highlights our cash flow performance, and we detail some of those capital deployment actions that Jenny mentioned. Cash flow from operations surpassed $4 billion for the first time ever in the history of the company. Really blew it away at $4.4 billion. That's 20.3% of sales. That is up 16% versus the prior year. Free cash flow increased by 17% versus the prior year and also came in at a record at $3.9 billion. That's 18.2% of sales, and the conversion on that is 107%.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

In addition to delivering a record year of cash generation, we reached new highs when it comes to deploying capital. We returned nearly $2 billion to shareholders. That is $1 billion in share repurchases and nearly $1 billion of dividends paid. We invested $500 million of CapEx into our operations to make them safer and more productive. We completed the $1 billion acquisition of Curtis Instruments, and as Jenny said, we announced nearly $12 billion for the acquisitions of Filtration Group Corporation and CIRCOR's Aerospace & Defense business. In total, that's nearly $15 billion of capital deployment actions for the year, really underpinning our commitments to be great generators and great deployers of cash. Even with all those actions, we still reduced debt by $1 billion in the quarter, bringing our net debt to adjusted EBITDA to 1.4x. That is down from 1.7 at this time last year.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Just a great year of cash generation. Now let's move to slide 13 and address our FY 2027 guidance. Jenny, I'm going to hand it back to you, and she will start with our sales growth forecast by market vertical.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Thank you, Todd. I'm on slide 13. Our fiscal year 2027 organic growth forecast by key market vertical. For Aerospace and Defense, our largest vertical, we are guiding high single-digit organic growth. We expect another year of robust double-digit growth for commercial OEM and sustained commercial aftermarket growth. Defense orders finished strong, supporting a solid outlook for fiscal year 2027 and beyond. We expect mid-single-digit growth for in-plant and industrial. We see signs from distribution that the industrial recovery is broadening as customers' demand gradually accelerates. Customer spending on automation continues to lead the growth here. For our transportation vertical, we forecast mid-single-digit growth, led by strong growth for heavy-duty trucks driven by production rate increases. This is offset by lower growth assumptions for our automotive business, resulting in mid-single-digit growth overall for this vertical. Moving to highway.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

We are guiding mid-single-digit growth, driven by a continuation of the trends we saw in fiscal year 2026. We see continued strong growth in construction and mining, offset by continued softness in agriculture. We also expect mid-single-digit growth for energy. We see strong and sustained long-cycle growth from our businesses supporting gas turbine power generation, while we are expecting oil and gas to be flat this year. Lastly, we are guiding mid-single-digit growth in HVAC and refrigeration. We expect commercial HVAC to lead growth, and we see our residential business improving as inventory stabilizes. For the first time ever, we are guiding positive sales growth across all market verticals, resulting in an organic growth forecast of 7% at the midpoint. I'll give it back to Todd, and he'll share more details on our guidance.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thank you, Jenny. I'm on slide 14, and I'm just going to go through some of the details here. Reported sales growth for the year is going to be in the range of 5.5%-8.5% or 7% at the midpoint. That will calculate to approximately $23 billion in annual sales for the company. Sales are modeled as usual, 48% in the first half, 52% in the second half. Consistent with what we've done historically, this guidance does not yet include any impact from the pending Filtration Group or CIRCOR acquisitions. We will provide current data on those transactions as soon as they close. When you look at organic growth, the range is the same, 5.5%-8.5% or 7% at the midpoint. Specifically for the North American businesses, we're expecting 6.5% organic growth at the midpoint.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

For the international industrial businesses, we expect 5.5% organic growth at the midpoint. Aerospace, we expect 8.5% organic growth at the midpoint. Again, that's coming off of four years of double-digit organic growth. The base is very high. Currency is based on our June 30th spot rates and is expected to be just slightly unfavorable by a half a point. Previously completed acquisitions, this is really Curtis, adds approximately 0.5% for the year of FY 2027. On adjusted segment operating margins, we're guiding 27.7% at the midpoint. That's 40 basis points above prior year, and there will be margin expansion across all of our businesses. When it comes to incrementals, we're forecasting that near the top end of our stated 30%-35% range for the full-year. Just a few additional guidance items. Corporate G&A is expected to be about $200 million.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Interest expense is about $340 million. That again, excludes any pending debt we take on when Filtration Group and CIRCOR closes. Other expense is forecasted to be around $100 million. Tax rate, the full-year tax rate, we are guiding to 22.5%. EPS, full-year adjusted EPS is going to be $34.75 at the midpoint. That's an increase of 8% versus prior year. The range on that is plus or minus $0.50 on either side. The split on EPS is 47% first half, 53% in the second half. For cash flow, we're expecting a range of $3.4-$3.9. That is free cash flow with conversion of approximately 100%. On the right-hand side of the page, just some details for the first quarter of FY 2027, and all of these are at the midpoint. Reported sales are forecast to be positive, approximately 9%.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Organic growth is expected to be positive at approximately 8%. For the quarter, we're forecasting adjusted segment operating margins at 27.7%, and adjusted EPS is expected to be just a little over $8 at $8.07 for the quarter. As usual, there are lots of additional guidance details in the appendix. On slide 15, if you look at the bridge, this just shows the growth versus prior year. We're forecasting an increase of 8.5% in segment operating income dollars. That is a little over $3 of additional EPS for the year. Lower interest rate resulting from what we've been able to pay down in the year adds about $0.38. Lower share count will add $0.07. We've got a little bit of a headwind here on tax. That's using the forecasted rate of 22.5%. That does not include any discrete items that are not yet known.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

It is a bit of a headwind from what we've experienced in FY 2026. Nothing unusual there, just still unknown. Corporate G&A and other, it's really other, is forecasted to be unfavorable $0.14. All that will be in the other line, and that's really due to the non-repeat of some favorable foreign currency exchange that we experienced in FY 2026. In summary, the adjusted EPS is $34.75. That's up 8%. With that, Jenny, I will hand it back to you.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Thanks, Todd. On our final slide, a reminder of what drives Parker. Safety, engagement, and ownership are the foundation of our culture. It is our team members living up to our purpose every day that drives top quartile performance and allows us to be great generators and deployers of cash.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Okay, Bo, we are ready to start the Q&A portion of the call.

Operator

Certainly, sir. Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, if you do have any questions, please press star one on your telephone. To withdraw your question at any time, please press star two. Others can hear your questions clearly, we ask that you please pick up your handset for best sound quality. We'll go first today to Scott Davis with Melius Research.

Scott Davis
Scott Davis
Analyst at Melius Research

Hey, good morning, Jenny and Todd and Jeff.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Morning.

Scott Davis
Scott Davis
Analyst at Melius Research

Congrats on a great year. It must sound like a broken record because you've had quite a few of them in the last few years anyways.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Thank you

Scott Davis
Scott Davis
Analyst at Melius Research

just a cleanup item here. What are the final hurdles left to close the Filtration Group and CIRCOR? Any major hurdles?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

No major hurdles. We still anticipate closing both of them during the second half of this calendar year, the first half of our fiscal year. As you know, closing remains subject to all the customary conditions, pending regulatory clearances. The process is ongoing and continuing to progress on both of them.

Scott Davis
Scott Davis
Analyst at Melius Research

Okay, fair enough. Just as a follow-up, when you look at your targets, your new targets on slide five, can you give us a sense of maybe where you're most comfortable and least comfortable, if that's such the minimum level of comfort? Just love to get a sense of where you feel are going to be the easier targets to hit versus the harder targets to hit.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Hey, Scott, I'll start with that. I'll let Jenny jump in here. None of these targets are easy by any stretch of the imagination, what gives me great confidence is the way our team embraces them. I've told you this many times before. I've never seen such alignment across the company. These are not easy to achieve by any stretch of the imagination. I look at our track record, we are just so proud of what we've been able to accomplish here. Raising that margin target to 30, that's a big number, right? That is a big number. It's a 300-basis point improvement. If you look at what we've done in the past, I have great confidence that we're going to be able to achieve that. We've done a great job on the EPS CAGR.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

If you can get margin expansion and top-line growth, sprinkle in a little bit of accretive capital allocation, that works as well. I feel really good about this. I don't really have any concerns.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

No, I echo Todd's comments. The Win Strategy has never been stronger, the alignment has never been stronger. Obviously, in these targets, we've included the acquisitions that we've yet to close. We're going to use our integration playbooks do a great job as we have done in the past. The team's going to continue to do what we've been doing.

Scott Davis
Scott Davis
Analyst at Melius Research

Well, good to hear. I wish you guys the best. Have a great next year. I'll pass it on.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Appreciate it.

Operator

We'll go next now to Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research.

Jeff Sprague
Jeff Sprague
Analyst at Vertical Research

Hey, thanks. Good morning, everyone. Where to start? Embarrassment of riches here. I guess the first thing is, just on the strength of the orders on the rolling three basis here in the quarter, particularly in international, but can you just provide a little bit more color on what was going on there? Was there something that proved to be a real catalyst in a couple key end markets?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah. I would tell you for international, Jeff, zero it was really a net driven by electronics. It was 24% with the 3/12 method, and last year it was zero, so it was an easy comp of zero. It was really driven by electronics and in-plant. Double-digit growth for Asia Pacific and mid-single-digit growth for EMEA. Positive orders across all the major market verticals, but really the strength is electronics.

Jeff Sprague
Jeff Sprague
Analyst at Vertical Research

Just thinking about the new framework here. If we look at the rolling four exit for Q4 2025, right? It almost exactly called the 2026 organic growth for both NA and international. I guess the question here is, if we're exiting at 9-10 here in Q4 on the rolls, what's sort of the gap or the hedge between sort of the 5-8 or the 4-7 that you're giving us in North America and international? Anything else to be aware of in that equation?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

What I would say, Jeff, is that obviously the orders remain a leading indicator, but they're not an exact forecast. I think that the 12/12 gets us much closer, as you already pointed out. The guidance really in line with the progression of the orders that we've been seeing. Coming out of FY 2026 at 3.5% and guiding to 6%, we're really excited about that and really happy to see that Industrial business be above 6%. This is at the high end of our target range too, over the cycle 4 to 6%. We also have 10% of Aerospace and Defense business in the Industrial. That tends to be even a little bit longer.

Jeff Sprague
Jeff Sprague
Analyst at Vertical Research

Even longer. Yeah. All right, great. Thanks for that color. I appreciate it.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Todd, I would just add, when you look at the industrial businesses, we are showing an increase from Q4. If you look at the full-year, the comps in the second half get a little bit tougher. While the organic growth numbers are a little bit lower, it's, from a percentage standpoint, a little bit more weighted in Q1 and Q2.

Jeff Sprague
Jeff Sprague
Analyst at Vertical Research

Understood. Thank you.

Operator

We'll go next now to Chris Snyder of Morgan Stanley.

Chris Snyder
Chris Snyder
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Thank you. Maybe just following up on some of that commentary on the industrial business line. You guys guided every vertical to mid-single-digit growth in industrial for next year. Can you just maybe talk about ones maybe that are exiting with more strength or the ones where you guys feel better about the prospects and the opportunity into 2027? Thank you.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

What I would say is, again, I'll repeat, as a reminder, 10% of industrial sales are tied to aerospace and defense growing high single-digits. That is very strong. While it's not large enough to be a vertical, we are expecting another year of strong electronics and data center business. When we look at the market vertical forecast, and we look at implant and industrial equipment, we've been saying for quite some time a gradual recovery here. It's been very encouraging to see, and we expect gradual acceleration on a broadening recovery. We've seen distribution orders be strong in the fourth quarter. We're not calling a full restock yet, but we have heard from some distributors that they are doing more stocking than they have done in the past. We feel really good about what's going to happen in implant industrial.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Transportation, strong heavy duty truck orders. Build rates are increasing. When you look at off-highway, acceleration and construction has been driven by infrastructure spend. As I commented earlier, we see strong power gen growth in the energy vertical. A lot to be excited about here. We feel good about the guide here at mid-single-digit growth.

Chris Snyder
Chris Snyder
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Absolutely. Thank you for that, Jenny. Then maybe going over to the M&A side. Obviously, you have the two big deals that are closing over the next quarter or so. Can you just maybe talk about the appetite or bandwidth to do incremental deals in 2027? Or is it going to be a year more about focusing on just integrating those two businesses? Anything you could just kind of talk about the appetite, the willingness, and even anything just on the pipeline of opportunities you guys see. Thank you.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah. Obviously we're very committed to continuing to actively deploy our capital. We're going to get these two acquisitions closed. The teams are going to work hard on integration. The work on the pipeline never stops. We are always working on that pipeline, building relationships with targets. Many times we're not in control of the timing of when these targets become available. We might touch three with our leverage with these two deals. It'll take us about six quarters to get that back down to two. I would say we still have an appetite, but we're going to stay true to doing what makes sense for the company.

Chris Snyder
Chris Snyder
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Thank you.

Operator

We'll go next now to Stephen Volkmann of Jefferies.

Stephen Volkmann
Stephen Volkmann
Analyst at Jefferies

Hi, good morning, guys. I echo the embarrassment of riches. I think you've tripled the margins since I started covering you guys. In the spirit of what have you done for me lately, I'm curious, I think 2027, we might be on track for an Analyst Day, and I know we've had Win 3.0 here, doing well for the last few years. Is there a Win 4.0, and what's next for the Win Strategy? How do you progress from here?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

There will be a Win 4.0. Definitely, there will be. We're talking about the next Investor Day now. I would say stay tuned, but we definitely think that we'll have more things to share in the future.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Steve, I just checked the math.

Stephen Volkmann
Stephen Volkmann
Analyst at Jefferies

Okay. All right. We'll wait for that.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

I just checked the math, Steve. You are correct. We have tripled margins since you've been covering us.

Stephen Volkmann
Stephen Volkmann
Analyst at Jefferies

Yeah. I got it right. Just a quick follow-up here. Are your orders getting a lot lumpier? Are you taking in some really chunky orders now, and the uncertainty around that, maybe that's behind the switch to the trailing 12 and maybe expecting that the fourth quarter might not be repeated going forward?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

I wouldn't say sitting here today that I don't think the fourth quarter could be repeated. I will tell you that international orders have been very choppy in the past. We've also seen some quarters where we've had some high Aerospace and Defense orders that are very long-term, that have hit some of our businesses. The next couple of quarters, we don't see that. We do think that this method of 12/12 is a much better correlation to what we can see for near-term organic growth. The business is just so different than it was when we started reporting these quarterly order rate comparisons. Aerospace engineered materials and filtration used to be 35% of the company, and now it's 65% of the company. We really think that this is going to give a more accurate view of what's to come for organic growth.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Steve, I would just add when you think about orders that are lumpy, the Aerospace business is the business that jumps off the page. Today, 10% of the industrial business is Aerospace and Defense end markets. That does create some choppiness, whether that's in the Industrial International businesses or the North American businesses. What Jenny said is we feel that this is just a better way to look at it.

Stephen Volkmann
Stephen Volkmann
Analyst at Jefferies

Thanks. I'll pass it on. Thank you.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thanks.

Operator

We'll go next now to Andy Kaplowitz at Citigroup.

Andy Kaplowitz
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst at Citigroup

Hey, good morning, everyone. Nice quarter.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Thanks, Andy.

Andy Kaplowitz
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst at Citigroup

Jenny, I think you prudently initially forecasting 7%-10% growth for aero in FY 2027, as you've said, you've now had four years in a row of double-digit growth in aero, and I think backlogs up mid-teen. Maybe give us a little more lay of the land between what you're seeing commercial aero and defense. Are you still forecasting strong commercial aero aftermarket growth in FY 2027, for instance, or do you expect to see much higher OE related growth?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

I'll give you the rundown of what we have built into the guidance. For commercial OEM, well, first of all, the OE aftermarket split that we have in the guidance is 52% OE, 48% aftermarket. We just ended the year at 51 OE, 49 aftermarket. We're planning on higher OE mix here. Commercial OEM, we see mid-teens growth for the fiscal year, and that's really built on commercial aircraft build rate increases. Aircraft demand is still greater than supply, wide bodies are growing to meet international traffic demand. Commercial MRO, we're saying plus mid-single-digit growth for fiscal year 2027. There's still a lot of older aircraft flying. The fleet still relies on that. Engine repair shop visits and component restocking continues. Again, international traffic continues to grow faster than domestic. On defense OEM, mid-single-digit growth.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Demand for legacy and missile programs continues. Increasing defense budgets in response to what's going on in the world. F-35 deliveries are at peak. Defense MRO, plus mid-single-digit growth. That's really based on fleet upgrades and service extensions, increasing defense budgets, and a focus on retrofits and upgrades. Bringing that all together is how we've come up with the guidance for the full-year.

Andy Kaplowitz
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst at Citigroup

Very helpful, Jenny. Then Todd, for the FY 2027 margin guide, it was nice to hear that you've gotten to the high end of your normal 30%-35% incrementals. Obviously, you've been trending closer to 40%. How should we think about mix or any price cost headwinds impacting the businesses in FY 2027? I assume you do want to be somewhat conservative given those things.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

That's a great point. When it comes to price, we're obviously going to cover any increases that come across, whether that is tariffs, whether that is labor, whether that's logistics, commodities. That'll be in there. We've said this constantly. We want to return to a normal pricing environment. What better time to do that was when you're in a moment of growth here. When you look across the businesses, we are at the higher end of that 30%-35% range. It feels good when we pressure tested it internally. I would say there's nothing that looks abnormal when it comes to timing on those incrementals.

Andy Kaplowitz
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst at Citigroup

Great. Thanks, Todd.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thank you.

Operator

We'll go next now to Mig Dobre at Baird.

Mig Dobre
Mig Dobre
Analyst at Baird

Hey, thank you. A couple of longer term questions that I guess I'm just going to roll into one. From a capacity standpoint, when we look at your growth, you talk about higher growth than what you've had in the past, and I'm sort of curious as to where you are from a capacity standpoint in your manufacturing facilities to be able to deliver on that sustained higher growth over the next few years. Maybe it'd be helpful if you can comment on that. I'm thinking about the industrial business specifically. Related to all of this, you guide for CapEx here, 2.5% of sales, which is pretty much consistent with what you've done historically. A lot of other industrial companies that are talking about higher growth are also talking about higher CapEx and investing in capacity.

Mig Dobre
Mig Dobre
Analyst at Baird

I'm curious if your circumstances are different, and whether or not we should be planning for maybe a little more CapEx as we think about later in the decade or maybe early 2030. Thank you.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Actually, Mig, outside of the last couple of years, we were really more around 2% or a little bit under, and it's just within the last couple of years that we're higher at 2.5%. We have definitely invested in capacity over the last couple of years, and we have some capacity expansion built in to this year. I think in some businesses, the capacity is already there. Others, we can see that we had to improve, but we're not expecting anything more than we've guided to right now. Another thing, too, that I would tell you is just our ongoing continuous improvement culture and everything that we do with Kaizen and our lean tools. The whole output of that is, number one, a better working environment for the team member, but higher output and efficiency.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

We've really greatly benefited from that over the last several years. I think that has kept some of our capacity expansion at a much lower rate than possibly others. We have invested in capacity, and we'll continue to do so.

Mig Dobre
Mig Dobre
Analyst at Baird

That's it for me. Thank you.

Operator

We'll go next now to Jamie Cook with Truist.

Jamie Cook
Jamie Cook
Analyst at Truist

Good afternoon, congrats on another fantastic order and guidance raise. I guess a couple questions. Just, Jenny, back to Jeff's question. I don't think you commented on the strength in North America orders. You're up 16%. What were the end market drivers there, and was there any lumpiness? Even within international, you commented specifically on electronics, just trying to get a feel for what's going on in the other end markets. I guess my second question is just congrats on raising the medium-term targets to 30%. How do we think about what's implied in that margin target in terms of international versus Aerospace? Do you think over the next several years, we can get to a point where international closes the gap on Aerospace, or does Aerospace continue to move higher to get you to that 30%? Thank you.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Okay. I'll take the first half of that, I'll pass it over to Todd. First of all, for orders in Q4 in North America, obviously 16% on the 3/12 and nine on the 12/12 that we're talking about. Strength in Aerospace and defense implant. I mentioned that we saw distribution orders much stronger in Q4. Construction, again, on infrastructure spending and heavy-duty truck and commercial HVAC. Really, we saw positive orders across all of the major market verticals. International, +24%. I did mention earlier that kind of that easy comp, still 10 on a 12/12. It was really driven by electronics and implant. Double-digit growth for Asia Pacific and mid-single-digit growth for EMEA. EMEA, we do see some strength in construction and mining and some implant. Again, positive orders across all of those verticals.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

With Aerospace, listen, double-digit growth in both commercial OEM and aftermarket, strength in defense OEM. Defense OEM was stronger than expected with double-digit order growth. Really, just a really nice quarter for orders.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah, Jenny, I can speak about the FY 2031 walk. The thing I love about these targets is that everyone has a part in these targets, just like the way we got to over 27%. Every single one of our businesses has generated higher margins than they did when we started those targets. Everyone's got a new target. That's what I love about the company. Aerospace has been outsized when it comes to margin expansion. Four years of double-digit organic growth, great aftermarket exposure and growth has really helped that. We expect every one of these businesses to be part of our walk to FY 2030, including Aerospace. Our international teams have done an unbelievable job. They are constantly looking at growth opportunities, cost out opportunities. That's no different than North America.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

My gut feel here would say that North America or the Industrial businesses will expand more than Aerospace. Just with what Aerospace has on its plate with next gen investments and OEM mix. They still will expand margins, I think the Industrial businesses will expand at a greater clip as we walk to FY 2030.

Jamie Cook
Jamie Cook
Analyst at Truist

Congrats again.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thanks, Jamie.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Thanks, Jamie.

Operator

We'll go next now to Tim Thein with Raymond James.

Tim Thein
Tim Thein
Analyst at Raymond James

Thank you. Good morning. I had a longer-term question on aerospace within the context of your 2031 target, the organic growth target. I'm just curious, you're obviously coming off what, as Todd pointed out, a really long stretch of growth. The demand backdrop for both commercial and defense seems to be getting a bit better. You obviously have a bit more visibility here given the backlog. How would you think about that kind of growth algorithm for aerospace looking out beyond 2027?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Well, we've forecasted long-term growth drivers for each of the areas in aerospace, and we see aerospace as high single-digits through that time period. We feel like it's going to continue at that rate until the time that we reach these targets.

Tim Thein
Tim Thein
Analyst at Raymond James

Okay.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

We'll also have the CIRCOR Aerospace & Defense business. When that closes, that'll be another growth driver, obviously from the equipment side, but once that becomes organic over the five-year period, that'll be another growth driver when it comes to aerospace. Again, I can't de-emphasize enough, 10% of the industrial business has aerospace and defense end market exposure.

Tim Thein
Tim Thein
Analyst at Raymond James

Yep. All right. Understood. Then just on more near term on pricing with respect to aerospace, just given some of the LTAs that I'm guessing may have been renegotiated coming out of COVID, may have provided a little bit of a bump. Are we kind of back to a setting where those are more, I guess, normal in terms of the spirit of the question is just the contribution to price. Not asking for quantification, but just directionally how that is trending in 2027.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah. On the industrial side of the business, we are back to what we would consider more of a normal pricing environment. In aerospace, there's still pricing opportunity. There have been a lot of negotiations. There's some negotiations that are still in play. I would say that there's still some opportunity in aerospace.

Tim Thein
Tim Thein
Analyst at Raymond James

Very good. Thank you.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thanks, Tim.

Operator

We'll go next now to Amit Mehrotra at UBS.

Amit Mehrotra
Amit Mehrotra
Analyst at UBS

Thanks, operator. Hi, everybody. Thanks for taking my questions. I guess the first one, just on the North American Industrial inflection, the 16% growth of orders. Any color you could talk about between sort of the distribution channel and the direct OEM channel? I know the distributor channel has been maybe a little bit more stubborn, and I think you've talked about it a little bit more positively, but any more color around the activity you're seeing and the confidence coming back in that specific channel?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Well, I've been saying for a lot of quarters here that distributors have been very positive, the order growth, the strength that we saw in Q4 really supports that positive sentiment and what they've been telling us. We definitely feel like that is a broadening recovery instead of what we've just been saying as a gradual recovery. We feel good about that. Still not calling a restack, though. Some distributors are telling us that they are stacking for projects that they're working on for their customers or business that they see coming. I wouldn't call the whole channel as an overall restack. On the OEM side, obviously we've seen production rates increase for heavy duty truck. That's been very encouraging. We've seen construction and mining get stronger. We've also seen agriculture remain where it's been, pretty soft, and automotive pretty soft.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

There's commercial HVAC and refrigeration that is growing. There's energy with power gen. There's been some strong OEM orders and strong OEM growth along with what we see in distribution.

Amit Mehrotra
Amit Mehrotra
Analyst at UBS

Okay, thanks. Just the sort of natural follow-up question to that is obviously the mix dynamic, if there is one between distributors versus OEM. I know you've taken a lot of price in the distribution channel, and we're kind of waiting for the volume to recover. If I think about this guidance as a reflection in growth, organic growth in North American Industrial, is it all volume? Is there a little bit more price as maybe some of that distribution volume comes through? Just give us a little bit of a flavor specifically with North American Industrial.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah. We're back to a normal pricing environment here, and this is all volume.

Amit Mehrotra
Amit Mehrotra
Analyst at UBS

Okay. Easy enough. Very good. Thank you. Congrats.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thanks, Amit.

Operator

We'll go next now to Andrew Buscaglia at BofA.

Andrew Buscaglia
Andrew Buscaglia
Analyst at BofA

Hey, good morning, everyone.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Morning.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Morning.

Andrew Buscaglia
Andrew Buscaglia
Analyst at BofA

I know this is small, can you comment on your data center exposure? I believe you have some interesting equipment, hoses, and connectors that play into the space. I'm wondering if you're seeing interesting order activity there. Any comments you can make on are you seeing any specification activity related to liquid cooling as an interesting growth driver?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah. We do have really nice exposure, and it grew nicely last year, and we think it's going to continue to grow. It's about 1.5% of our sales, and we've been previously saying 1%. It is growing, but it's not quite large enough yet to have its own market vertical. This is a great story for our interconnected technologies because you mentioned a few of our products, but it's hoses, couplings, manifolds, fittings, engineered materials for thermal management. Really a good showcase of all of the Parker technologies. We are working with industry leaders. We are seeing good orders here. We provide liquid cooling systems and subsystem components. Our teams are doing a really fantastic job in this space. We have a very highly skilled, high performance team serving these data center customers. As I mentioned, it's a nice growth area.

Andrew Buscaglia
Andrew Buscaglia
Analyst at BofA

Thank you. Maybe just on the longer-term outlook, couldn't help but notice you call for about 200 basis points margin expansion 2027 and 2029, and 300 basis points step up from 2029 to 2031. I think I got that right. What gives you that confidence you see in sort of an acceleration in your margins? I wonder if it's pertaining to the recent acquisitions that you expect to close.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah, I could take that. Just to clarify, what we are calling out is we're calling out 300 basis points of improvement from a 27.0 target that we just surpassed in FY 2026. That was originally our FY 2029 target. We're restating that to FY 2031, and the new target is 30% adjusted segment operating margins. As far as what's going to get us there, we have included the Filtration Group Corporation acquisition and the CIRCOR Aerospace & Defense business in those margin targets. When you look at that, it's really coming from our existing business, just because of the size of the existing business is so much greater than those two great additions we're going to have, and it's going to be everything that got us to 27.3 this year, just more of it.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

We feel really confident about the walk to get there, and it should be spread pretty equally across those years, each of the five years.

Andrew Buscaglia
Andrew Buscaglia
Analyst at BofA

Got it. Thanks, Todd.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thank you.

Operator

We'll go next now to Nicole DeBlase with Deutsche Bank.

Nicole DeBlase
Nicole DeBlase
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Yeah, thanks. Good morning, guys.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Good morning.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Good morning.

Nicole DeBlase
Nicole DeBlase
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Echoing my congrats on a really great quarter. I guess maybe first, Jenny, if we could touch on how the orders progressed throughout the quarter, and if you've observed continued strength in July. I would assume so, based on what you guys expect for 2027, but would love to hear any perspective on that.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

I would say that there's nothing that's happened that concerns me that would not support the guide that we put out.

Nicole DeBlase
Nicole DeBlase
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Okay, understood. Thank you. With the electronics strength in International, was that like other big lumpy orders that are coming through in the quarter? What I'm trying to get at is that electronic strength sustainable, or do you think that was kind of like a 4Q dynamic that might not last into 2027?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

I think it's going to remain strong. Obviously it came in much stronger than we were expecting. I think we had about a 10% in for Asia Pacific, and it came in much stronger. I would say the guide reflects what we expect out of international. This is a strong area for us.

Nicole DeBlase
Nicole DeBlase
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Thank you. I'll pass it on.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thanks, Nicole.

Operator

We'll go next now to Nathan Jones.

Nathan Jones
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stifel

Morning, everyone.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Good morning, Nathan.

Nathan Jones
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stifel

I guess I'll follow up a little bit on some of the international order strength here. Kind of alerting that there's a good chance that that continues. If it does, would that maybe improve the outlook for the second half of fiscal 2027? In the guidance that you've given out today, do you assume that some of this order strength in international and in North America continues, or that it moderates a little bit from here?

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

What we have in the guide right now is what we see with the order progression that's out there. Obviously we did have a very strong Q4. We believe that we have the orders to support what we have in for Q1 and for the rest of the year. I would tell you that obviously as the year goes on, we hope that we can raise those, but this is the best picture we have right now.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah, Nathan.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

[inaudible]

Nathan Jones
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stifel

Go ahead, Todd.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Nathan, really well. Our 48/52 split somehow works out every year after year. That's what we are guiding for here. I think it's more of a comp issue. Just the second half of FY 2026 was so good, the comps get a little bit tougher. If you look at the dollars, the dollars are weighted like they normally are, much heavier in the second half.

Nathan Jones
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stifel

Thanks. Follow-up question on the CIRCOR Aerospace business. Can you just talk a little bit more about what the strategy is with that? I think it already has extremely high margins after it got rid of all the build-to-print work several years ago. Is this a revenue synergy play? It doesn't seem like it would be a cost synergy play given the margins are already high. Just any comments you could make around the strategy for that acquisition, please? Thanks for taking the questions.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Sure. It is the highest growth, highest margin acquisition to date. What we love about CIRCOR is it brings complementary flight critical motion and flow control capabilities to our portfolio. As I mentioned before, these are proprietary technologies. This is what we like to bring into our suite of projects. This is an 80% OEM business and 50/50 sales split across commercial and defense. We have not modeled any revenue synergies. We have said 10% synergies. That's approximately $26 million. They ended calendar year 2026. Their estimate for calendar year 2026 is $270 million, with more than 40% adjusted EBITDA margins, and that's before synergy. This is going to be a really nice addition to our portfolio, and like I said earlier, we'll get this hopefully closed before the end of this calendar year.

Operator

We'll go next now to Joseph Giordano with TD Cowen.

Joseph Giordano
Joseph Giordano
Analyst at TD Cowen

Hey, guys.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Hey, Joe. How are you?

Joseph Giordano
Joseph Giordano
Analyst at TD Cowen

Good, good. The growth by end market that you guys had for next year, how consistent is that with where order rates were for you by those end markets for 2026?

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Joe, I think it's pretty consistent. We finished the year pretty strong on an order exit rate. We called out the longer cycle nature of some of those things, but what we're guiding for, to give you an example for Q1, is it's a slight increase from where we exited Q4. Like Jenny said, I think we're giving you the best look that we can right now with the visibility that we have. We feel pretty positive. This is the highest organic growth guide that we've had in modern history.

Joseph Giordano
Joseph Giordano
Analyst at TD Cowen

That's consistent on an end market basis as well?

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah, I think.

Joseph Giordano
Joseph Giordano
Analyst at TD Cowen

There's not a build up of backlog anywhere in any of those particular end markets.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

No, there might be a little bit more strength in heavy duty truck, but everything else is pretty consistent. That's why they're all mid-single-digit growth forecast.

Joseph Giordano
Joseph Giordano
Analyst at TD Cowen

Yeah. You don't feel like there's any pull forward or anything into the fourth quarter from anything that would've been Q1 orders?

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

No. We've never really experienced that. I think our focus for years has been on delivering to customers when they need it. We've been active on price and making sure that there's no slippage in when orders are placed.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah, one of the things that we've worked really hard on the last several years is demand and capacity planning with our customers and with our suppliers. That's something that's given us the ability to be much more efficient in our operations and make sure that the customers know that they can get the product from Parker in a stated lead time.

Joseph Giordano
Joseph Giordano
Analyst at TD Cowen

Thanks, guys.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thanks, Joe. Hey, Bo, I think we might have time for one more if we have anyone left in the queue.

Operator

We do. We'll take our final question today from Chigusa Katoku with JP Morgan.

Chigusa Katoku
Chigusa Katoku
Analyst at JP Morgan

Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I just want to touch briefly on energy. I think it's a tale of two worlds, power strong and oil and gas softer. I think last quarter you expected 2026 was about low single-digit for this vertical, and you're expecting mid-single-digit this year. Just curious, is this more driven by power being stronger and oil and gas kind of unchanged? Just any color there would be great.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah, we definitely see power gen growth and we think that's going to continue to be strong and a little bit stronger. Oil and gas, we think it's going to be flat. There could be an upcycle coming, but we don't have any signs of that yet. This is flat oil and gas and stronger power gen growth.

Chigusa Katoku
Chigusa Katoku
Analyst at JP Morgan

Okay, great. Thanks. Just trying to put a finer point on the orders acceleration in North America Industrial, it really accelerated nicely. It sounded like it was broad based. I didn't hear you call out power or data center, but what were kind of the trends there? Just if you could put any finer point on what really led to this acceleration versus the third quarter, that would be helpful.

Jennifer Parmentier
Jennifer Parmentier
Chairman and CEO at Parker-Hannifin

Yeah, it was across many market verticals. We saw strong aerospace and defense in the industrial businesses, in plant and industrial demand, higher distribution. We saw transportation improvement with heavy truck. We saw construction growth. We saw power gen growth, and commercial HVAC. We just saw really nice growth across all the market verticals.

Chigusa Katoku
Chigusa Katoku
Analyst at JP Morgan

Okay, great. Thanks. Bye.

Todd Leombruno
Todd Leombruno
CFO at Parker-Hannifin

Thank you. Okay. I think that is all we have from a time standpoint. We appreciate everyone joining today. We appreciate your attention. FY 2026 was just a great year for Parker-Hannifin. It was our safest year ever. It was another year of operational excellence, and obviously, as Jenny said, a very active year when it comes to capital deployment. We are looking forward to an even better FY 2027. We are confident in that path to our new 30% segment operating margin target by FY 2031. Really none of this could be possible without a sincere thank you to our global team members around the world, and to our investors for your interest in Parker-Hannifin. Thank you all very much. Jeff and Jenna will be available today if there's any follow-ups that are needed. Thanks again for joining us and have a great day, everyone.

Operator

Thank you very much, Mr. Leombruno, and thank you, Ms. Parmentier. Ladies and gentlemen, this will conclude today's Parker-Hannifin Corporation's fiscal 2026 fourth quarter and full-year earnings conference call and webcast. Thanks so much for joining us, everyone. We wish you all a great afternoon. Goodbye

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