Assured Guaranty (AGO) Stock Price, News & Analysis

Company Overview

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a leading global provider of financial guarantee insurance and related credit enhancement products. The company underwrites insurance and reinsurance contracts designed to improve the creditworthiness of debt obligations, offering investors added protection against payment defaults. By standing behind municipal, infrastructure, structured finance and corporate credits, Assured Guaranty helps issuers achieve lower borrowing costs and broader access to financing markets.

The firm’s core business lines include public finance, structured finance and reinsurance. In public finance, Assured Guaranty insures municipal bonds, school district debt and other essential community projects. Its structured finance division supports securitizations involving aircraft leases, asset-backed securities and collateralized loan obligations, while its reinsurance operations provide capital relief solutions for insurers seeking to manage portfolio risk and regulatory capital requirements.

Assured Guaranty serves a diversified client base across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and emerging markets. Headquartered in New York City, the company maintains regional offices in London, Tokyo, Singapore and Sydney to support local underwriting, risk management and client service teams. With relationships spanning governments, financial institutions and corporate borrowers, it leverages deep market expertise to structure credit enhancement across jurisdictions and asset classes.

Tracing its roots to the founding of Financial Security Assurance in 1989, Assured Guaranty adopted its current structure following a strategic reorganization and initial public offering in 2008. Over the years, the company has expanded through targeted acquisitions and organic growth, building a robust platform for global credit insurance. Today, it is led by President and Chief Executive Officer Christopher J. Ryan, supported by a senior management team with extensive experience in fixed-income markets, risk analytics and regulatory compliance.

Key Stats

• Today's Range: $84.76 to $86.41
• 50-Day Range: $83.56 to $90.22
• 52-Week Range: $72.57 to $96.50
• Volume: 305,461 shs
• Average Volume: 333,893 shs
• Market Capitalization: $4.17 billion
• P/E Ratio: 10.16
• Dividend Yield: 1.60%
• Price Target: $103.33
• Consensus Rating: Moderate Buy

Assured Guaranty Stock Analysis - MarketRank™

Assured Guaranty scored higher than 88% of companies evaluated by MarketBeat, and ranked 196th out of 938 stocks in the finance sector. Scores are calculated by averaging available category scores, with extra weight given to analysis and valuation.

Analyst's Opinion

• Score: 2.3 / 5
• Analyst Rating: Moderate Buy

Consensus Rating

Assured Guaranty has received a consensus rating of Moderate Buy. The company's average rating score is 2.67, and is based on 2 buy ratings, 1 hold rating, and no sell ratings.

Amount of Analyst Coverage

Assured Guaranty has received no research coverage in the past 90 days.

Earnings and Valuation

• Score: 1.9 / 5
• Proj. Earnings Growth: -10.96%

Earnings Growth

Earnings for Assured Guaranty are expected to decrease by -10.96% in the coming year, from $7.30 to $6.50 per share.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs. the Market

The P/E ratio of Assured Guaranty is 10.16, which means that it is trading at a less expensive P/E ratio than the market average P/E ratio of about 24.64.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs. Sector

The P/E ratio of Assured Guaranty is 10.16, which means that it is trading at a less expensive P/E ratio than the Finance sector average P/E ratio of about 18.85.

Price to Book Value per Share Ratio

Assured Guaranty has a P/B Ratio of 0.78. P/B Ratios below 1 indicate that a company could be undervalued with respect to its assets and liabilities.

Short Interest

• Score: 3.0 / 5
• Short Interest Level: Healthy

Percentage of Shares Shorted

2.56% of the float of Assured Guaranty has been sold short.

Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover

Assured Guaranty has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 3.3, which is generally considered an acceptable ratio of short interest to trading volume.

Change versus previous month

Short interest in Assured Guaranty has recently increased by 12.38%, indicating that investor sentiment is decreasing significantly.

Dividend

• Score: 3.3 / 5
• Dividend Strength: Strong

Dividend Yield

Assured Guaranty pays a meaningful dividend of 1.57%, higher than the bottom 25% of all stocks that pay dividends.

Dividend Growth

Assured Guaranty has been increasing its dividend for 7 years.

Dividend Coverage

The dividend payout ratio of Assured Guaranty is 16.25%. This payout ratio is at a healthy, sustainable level, below 75%.

Dividend Sustainability

Based on earnings estimates, Assured Guaranty will have a dividend payout ratio of 20.92% next year. This indicates that Assured Guaranty will be able to sustain or increase its dividend.

Sustainability and ESG

• Score: 1.8 / 5
• Environmental Score: -0.38

Percentage of Shares Shorted

2.56% of the float of Assured Guaranty has been sold short.

Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover

Assured Guaranty has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 3.3, which is generally considered an acceptable ratio of short interest to trading volume.

Change versus previous month

Short interest in Assured Guaranty has recently increased by 12.38%, indicating that investor sentiment is decreasing significantly.

News and Social Media

• Score: 2.6 / 5
• News Sentiment: 1.59

News Sentiment

Assured Guaranty has a news sentiment score of 1.59. This score is calculated as an average of sentiment of articles about the company over the last seven days and ranges from 2 (good news) to -2 (bad news). This is a higher news sentiment than the 0.86 average news sentiment score of Finance companies.

News Coverage This Week

MarketBeat has tracked 5 news articles for Assured Guaranty this week, compared to 5 articles on an average week.

Search Interest

Only 2 people have searched for AGO on MarketBeat in the last 30 days. This is a decrease of -33% compared to the previous 30 days.

Company Ownership

• Score: 2.5 / 5
• Insider Trading: Selling Shares

Insider Buying vs. Insider Selling

In the past three months, Assured Guaranty insiders have sold more of their company's stock than they have bought. Specifically, they have bought $0.00 in company stock and sold $7,324,274.00 in company stock.

Percentage Held by Insiders

Only 5.10% of the stock of Assured Guaranty is held by insiders.

Percentage Held by Institutions

92.22% of the stock of Assured Guaranty is held by institutions. High institutional ownership can be a signal of strong market trust in this company.

AGO Stock Analysis - Frequently Asked Questions

How have AGO shares performed this year?

Assured Guaranty's stock was trading at $90.01 on January 1st, 2025. Since then, AGO stock has decreased by 5.6% and is now trading at $85.0090.
View the best growth stocks for 2025 here.

How were Assured Guaranty's earnings last quarter?

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO) issued its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, May, 8th. The financial services provider reported $3.18 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.15 by $0.03. The financial services provider earned $345 million during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $257.96 million. Assured Guaranty had a trailing twelve-month return on equity of 7.76% and a net margin of 45.58%.
Read the conference call transcript.

Does Assured Guaranty have any subsidiaries?

Assured Guaranty subsidiaries include Blue Mountain Capital Management.

Who are Assured Guaranty's major shareholders?

Top institutional investors of Assured Guaranty include Kera Capital Partners Inc.. Insiders that own company stock include Dominic Frederico, Robert Bailenson, Stephen Donnarumma, Howard Albert, G Lawrence Buhl, Yukiko Omura and Laura Bieling.
View institutional ownership trends.

How do I buy shares of Assured Guaranty?

Shares of AGO stock can be purchased through any online brokerage account. Popular online brokerages with access to the U.S. stock market include Charles Schwab, E*TRADE, Fidelity, and Vanguard Brokerage Services.

What other stocks do shareholders of Assured Guaranty own?

Based on aggregate information from My MarketBeat watchlists, some other companies that Assured Guaranty investors own include NVIDIA (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), Meta Platforms (META), Invesco QQQ (QQQ), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Adobe (ADBE) and Arista Networks (ANET).

Company Calendar

• Last Earnings: 5/08/2025
• Record date for 5/30 Dividend: 5/16/2025
• Ex-Dividend for 5/30 Dividend: 5/16/2025
• Dividend Payable: 5/30/2025
• Today: 7/02/2025
• Next Earnings (Estimated): 8/06/2025
• Fiscal Year End: 12/31/2025

Industry, Sector and Symbol

• Stock Exchange: NYSE
• Sector: Finance
• Industry: INS - MULTI LINE
• Sub-Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
• Current Symbol: NYSE:AGO
• CIK: 1273813
• Web: www.assuredguaranty.com
• Phone: (441) 279-5700
• Fax: 441-279-5701
• Employees: 410
• Year Founded: 1985

Price Target and Rating

• Average Stock Price Target: $103.33
• High Stock Price Target: $110.00
• Low Stock Price Target: $95.00
• Potential Upside/Downside: +21.6%
• Consensus Rating: Moderate Buy
• Rating Score (0-4): 2.67
• Research Coverage: 3 Analysts

Profitability

• EPS (Trailing Twelve Months): $8.37
• Trailing P/E Ratio: 10.16
• Forward P/E Ratio: 11.65
• P/E Growth: N/A
• Net Income: $376 million
• Net Margins: 45.58%
• Pretax Margin: 58.95%
• Return on Equity: 7.76%
• Return on Assets: 3.63%

Debt

• Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.30
• Current Ratio: 0.83
• Quick Ratio: 0.83

Sales & Book Value

• Annual Sales: $872 million
• Price / Sales: 4.79
• Cash Flow: $7.05 per share
• Price / Cash Flow: 12.05
• Book Value: $109.09 per share
• Price / Book: 0.78

Miscellaneous

• Outstanding Shares: 49,090,000
• Free Float: 46,587,000
• Market Cap: $4.17 billion
• Optionable: Optionable
• Beta: 0.82