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Moderna (MRNA) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Moderna logo
$225.00 +28.00 (+14.21%)
Closing price 10/9/2026 04:00 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$225.45 +0.45 (+0.20%)
As of 10/9/2026 08:00 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Moderna - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
5
Hold
13
Buy
7

Based on 25 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Moderna in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 25 analysts, 5 have given a sell rating, 13 have given a hold rating, and 7 have given a buy rating for MRNA.

Consensus Price Target

$78.17
-65.26% Downside
According to the 25 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Moderna, the average price target is $78.17. The highest price target for MRNA is $180.00, while the lowest price target for MRNA is $18.00. The average price target represents a forecasted downside of -65.26% from the current price of $225.00.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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MRNA Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/10/25 to 10/10/26
1 Month Ago
9/10/25 to 9/10/26
3 Months Ago
7/12/25 to 7/12/26
1 Year Ago
10/10/24 to 10/10/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
7 Buy rating(s)
7 Buy rating(s)
2 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
Hold
13 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
11 Hold rating(s)
14 Hold rating(s)
Sell
5 Sell rating(s)
5 Sell rating(s)
5 Sell rating(s)
5 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$78.17$76.72$38.27$41.81
Forecasted Upside-65.26% Downside-43.84% Downside-43.95% Downside55.84% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldReduceReduce

MRNA Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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MRNA Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Moderna Stock vs. The Competition

TypeModernaHealthcare CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.08
2.32
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside-65.26% Downside927.85% Upside19.60% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent MRNA News
Positive News
Positive News
Report Date
0 Results
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/7/2026
Morgan Stanley logo
Morgan Stanley
3 of 5 stars
Terence Flynn
Terence Flynn
5 of 5 stars
Boost TargetEqual Weight$89.00 ➝ $95.00-50.32%
9/30/2026
Citigroup Inc. logo
Citigroup
4 of 5 stars
Geoff Meacham
Geoff Meacham
5 of 5 stars
DowngradeNeutral ➝ Sell$60.00 ➝ $80.00-60.68%
9/25/2026 Reiterated RatingMarket Perform
9/23/2026 UpgradeHold
9/22/2026Reiterated RatingNeutral
9/9/2026 Reiterated RatingSell (D-)
9/3/2026DowngradeNeutral ➝ Sell$40.00 ➝ $81.00-46.29%
8/28/2026 UpgradeOutperform
8/28/2026 Initiated CoverageHold
8/28/2026Initiated CoverageOutperform
8/28/2026 UpgradeOutperform
8/28/2026UpgradeHold ➝ Buy$180.00+26.08%
8/25/2026UpgradeUnderperform ➝ Peer Perform
8/24/2026Boost TargetEqual Weight$48.00 ➝ $125.00-13.83%
8/21/2026Boost TargetUnderweight$40.00 ➝ $77.00-47.67%
8/19/2026Boost TargetNeutral$67.00 ➝ $120.00-31.49%
8/19/2026Reiterated RatingSector Perform$130.00-9.85%
8/19/2026Set Target$135.00-6.39%
8/19/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
8/19/2026 Reiterated RatingHold
8/19/2026UpgradeUnderperform ➝ Neutral
8/3/2026Reiterated RatingOverweight
2/17/2026Set Target$35.00-18.79%
1/30/2026Reiterated RatingUnderperform
1/29/2026 Reiterated RatingHold
1/12/2026 UpgradeMarket Perform ➝ Buy
11/17/2025 Set Target$28.00+13.04%
10/20/2025Reiterated RatingHold
7/13/2025 Reiterated RatingEqual Weight
11/18/2024 UpgradeHold ➝ Buy$58.00+57.39%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 12:08 AM ET.


Should I Buy Moderna Stock? MRNA Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Moderna pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Moderna
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Moderna, Inc.:

  • Moderna, Inc. is scheduled to join the Nasdaq-100 index before the October 9 open, replacing Warner Bros. Discovery, which is expected to increase demand from index-tracking funds and boost the company's visibility in the market.
  • The company recently announced an expanded multi-year collaboration with Tempus and Merck to support the potential commercialization of intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157), a personalized neoantigen cancer therapy being tested in combination with Keytruda for melanoma and other cancers, reinforcing the commercial potential of its cancer-vaccine platform.
  • Investor interest remains elevated ahead of the anticipated full Phase 3 melanoma-vaccine data readout, as the mRNA-4157 program developed with Merck is viewed as a key potential growth driver for the company beyond its COVID-19 vaccines.
  • Moderna, Inc. reported second-quarter revenue of $145.00 million, which significantly exceeded analyst expectations of $102.93 million, and the company beat consensus estimates for earnings per share by $0.06, indicating stronger-than-expected financial performance for the period.
  • Shares of Moderna, Inc. are currently trading at $196.48, reflecting a substantial year-to-date gain of approximately 545% and a recent surge that has led the healthcare sector higher on a down day for broader markets.

Moderna
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Moderna, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Morgan Stanley recently raised its price target to $95 but retained an "equal weight" rating, which represents a potential downside of over 50% from the current stock price of $196.48, suggesting that the recent surge may have outpaced the company's fundamentals.
  • The consensus rating for Moderna, Inc. remains "Hold" with an average price target of $78.17, which is significantly lower than the current market price, indicating that many sell-side analysts believe the stock is overvalued relative to its projected earnings.
  • Insiders have sold 118,882 shares of company stock worth approximately $16.86 million over the last 90 days, including significant sales by President Stephen Hoge and other executives, which may signal a lack of confidence in the stock's future performance from those closest to the company.
  • Moderna, Inc. continues to report negative earnings, with a loss of $1.97 per share in the most recent quarter and a negative net margin of 141.43%, indicating that the company is still spending significantly more than it is generating in revenue.
  • Short interest in the stock remains notable, with 32,872,787 shares shorted as of the most recent record date, representing a short percentage of float of approximately 9.23%, which suggests that a portion of the market is betting against the stock's price appreciation.

MRNA Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 25 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Moderna is $78.17, with a high forecast of $180.00 and a low forecast of $18.00.

25 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Moderna in the last year. There are currently 5 sell ratings, 13 hold ratings and 7 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" MRNA shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in MRNA, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Moderna's stock has a predicted downside of -65.26% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Moderna's stock had 7 upgrades and 3 downgrades by analysts.

Analysts like Moderna less than other "healthcare" companies. The consensus rating score for Moderna is 2.08 while the average consensus rating score for "healthcare" companies is 2.32. Learn more on how MRNA compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Moderna analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 10/7/2026.
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