Assured Guaranty (AGO) Stock Price, News & Analysis

Company Overview

Assured Guaranty Ltd is a Bermuda-domiciled provider of financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance products serving public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. The company’s primary business activity is credit enhancement, whereby it guarantees the timely payment of principal and interest on debt obligations issued by municipal and infrastructure entities. By combining rigorous risk assessment with active portfolio management, Assured Guaranty helps issuers access capital at more attractive rates while protecting investors against credit events.

In its public finance segment, the company underwrites municipal bond insurance for state and local governments, public-private partnerships and essential infrastructure projects. Its structured finance offerings cover asset-backed securities, residential and commercial mortgage obligations, and other specialty lending transactions. The reinsurance arm provides capacity relief and diversification to third-party insurers by assuming credit risk on existing policies, and the firm also offers runoff management services to optimize recoveries on legacy guaranteed portfolios.

Headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda, with principal executive offices in New York, Assured Guaranty conducts business across North America, Europe and select Asian markets. Since its founding in the late 1980s, the company has navigated multiple credit cycles and evolving regulatory frameworks, refining its underwriting standards and capital management approach. Under the leadership of Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Dominic J. Frederico, Assured Guaranty continues to emphasize disciplined underwriting, robust credit analytics and strategic capital allocation to support its policyholders and stakeholders.

Key Stats

• Today's Range: $81.23 to $82.54
• 50-Day Range: $79.16 to $84.84
• 52-Week Range: $74.09 to $96.50
• Volume: 195,689 shs
• Average Volume: 325,187 shs
• Market Capitalization: $3.92 billion
• P/E Ratio: 9.11
• Dividend Yield: 1.65%
• Price Target: $98.50
• Consensus Rating: Moderate Buy

Assured Guaranty Stock Analysis - MarketRank™

Assured Guaranty scored higher than 94% of companies evaluated by MarketBeat, and ranked 125th out of 930 stocks in the finance sector. Scores are calculated by averaging available category scores, with extra weight given to analysis and valuation.

Analyst's Opinion

• Score: 3.4 / 5
• Analyst Rating: Moderate Buy

Consensus Rating

Assured Guaranty has received a consensus rating of Moderate Buy. The company's average rating score is 2.50, and is based on 2 buy ratings, 2 hold ratings, and no sell ratings.

Upside Potential

Assured Guaranty has a consensus price target of $98.50, representing about 19.5% upside from its current price of $82.42.

Amount of Analyst Coverage

Assured Guaranty has only been the subject of 3 research reports in the past 90 days.

Earnings and Valuation

• Score: 1.9 / 5
• Proj. Earnings Growth: -10.96%

Earnings Growth

Earnings for Assured Guaranty are expected to decrease by -10.96% in the coming year, from $7.30 to $6.50 per share.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs. the Market

The P/E ratio of Assured Guaranty is 9.11, which means that it is trading at a less expensive P/E ratio than the market average P/E ratio of about 82.64.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs. Sector

The P/E ratio of Assured Guaranty is 9.11, which means that it is trading at a less expensive P/E ratio than the Finance sector average P/E ratio of about 21.14.

Price to Book Value per Share Ratio

Assured Guaranty has a P/B Ratio of 0.76. P/B Ratios below 1 indicate that a company could be undervalued with respect to its assets and liabilities.

Short Interest

• Score: 5.0 / 5
• Short Interest Level: Healthy

Percentage of Shares Shorted

2.64% of the float of Assured Guaranty has been sold short.

Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover

Assured Guaranty has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 3.7, which is generally considered an acceptable ratio of short interest to trading volume.

Change versus previous month

Short interest in Assured Guaranty has recently decreased by 21.33%, indicating that investor sentiment is improving significantly.

Dividend

• Score: 3.3 / 5
• Dividend Strength: Strong

Dividend Yield

Assured Guaranty pays a meaningful dividend of 1.65%, higher than the bottom 25% of all stocks that pay dividends.

Dividend Growth

Assured Guaranty has been increasing its dividend for 7 years.

Dividend Coverage

The dividend payout ratio of Assured Guaranty is 15.03%. This payout ratio is at a healthy, sustainable level, below 75%.

Dividend Sustainability

Based on earnings estimates, Assured Guaranty will have a dividend payout ratio of 20.92% next year. This indicates that Assured Guaranty will be able to sustain or increase its dividend.

Sustainability and ESG

• Score: 1.8 / 5
• Environmental Score: -0.38

Percentage of Shares Shorted

2.64% of the float of Assured Guaranty has been sold short.

Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover

Assured Guaranty has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 3.7, which is generally considered an acceptable ratio of short interest to trading volume.

Change versus previous month

Short interest in Assured Guaranty has recently decreased by 21.33%, indicating that investor sentiment is improving significantly.

News and Social Media

• Score: 2.2 / 5
• News Sentiment: 0.92

News Sentiment

Assured Guaranty has a news sentiment score of 0.92. This score is calculated as an average of sentiment of articles about the company over the last seven days and ranges from 2 (good news) to -2 (bad news). This is a higher news sentiment than the 0.72 average news sentiment score of Finance companies.

News Coverage This Week

MarketBeat has tracked 6 news articles for Assured Guaranty this week, compared to 6 articles on an average week.

Search Interest

Only 4 people have searched for AGO on MarketBeat in the last 30 days. This is a decrease of -50% compared to the previous 30 days.

Company Ownership

• Score: 2.5 / 5
• Insider Trading: Selling Shares

Insider Buying vs. Insider Selling

In the past three months, Assured Guaranty insiders have sold more of their company's stock than they have bought. Specifically, they have bought $0.00 in company stock and sold $5,599,792.00 in company stock.

Percentage Held by Insiders

Only 5.10% of the stock of Assured Guaranty is held by insiders.

Percentage Held by Institutions

92.22% of the stock of Assured Guaranty is held by institutions. High institutional ownership can be a signal of strong market trust in this company.

AGO Stock Analysis - Frequently Asked Questions

How have AGO shares performed this year?

Assured Guaranty's stock was trading at $90.01 at the beginning of 2025. Since then, AGO shares have decreased by 8.4% and is now trading at $82.4210.

How were Assured Guaranty's earnings last quarter?

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO) released its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, August, 7th. The financial services provider reported $1.01 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $1.57 by $0.56. The firm's revenue for the quarter was up 39.1% compared to the same quarter last year.
Read the conference call transcript.

Does Assured Guaranty have any subsidiaries?

The following companies are subsidiaries of Assured Guaranty: Blue Mountain Capital Management.

Who are Assured Guaranty's major shareholders?

Top institutional investors of Assured Guaranty include Cerity Partners LLC (0.34%), Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. (0.23%), Harbor Capital Advisors Inc. (0.06%) and KLP Kapitalforvaltning AS (0.05%). Insiders that own company stock include Guaranty Ltd Assured, Dominic Frederico, Robert Bailenson, Stephen Donnarumma, Howard Albert, G Lawrence Buhl, Yukiko Omura and Laura Bieling.
View institutional ownership trends.

How do I buy shares of Assured Guaranty?

Shares of AGO stock can be purchased through any online brokerage account. Popular online brokerages with access to the U.S. stock market include Charles Schwab, E*TRADE, Fidelity, and Vanguard Brokerage Services.

What other stocks do shareholders of Assured Guaranty own?

Based on aggregate information from My MarketBeat watchlists, some other companies that Assured Guaranty investors own include NVIDIA (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), Meta Platforms (META), Invesco QQQ (QQQ), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Adobe (ADBE) and Arista Networks (ANET).

Company Calendar

• Last Earnings: 8/07/2025
• Record date for 9/3 Dividend: 8/20/2025
• Ex-Dividend for 9/3 Dividend: 8/20/2025
• Dividend Payable: 9/03/2025
• Today: 10/23/2025
• Next Earnings (Estimated): 11/10/2025
• Fiscal Year End: 12/31/2025

Industry, Sector and Symbol

• Stock Exchange: NYSE
• Sector: Finance
• Industry: INS - MULTI LINE
• Sub-Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
• Current Symbol: NYSE:AGO
• CIK: 1273813
• Web: www.assuredguaranty.com
• Phone: (441) 279-5700
• Fax: 441-279-5701
• Employees: 410
• Year Founded: 1985

Price Target and Rating

• Average Price Target for Assured Guaranty: $98.50
• High Price Target: $105.00
• Low Price Target: $92.00
• Potential Upside/Downside: +20.8%
• Consensus Rating: Moderate Buy
• Rating Score (0-4): 2.50
• Research Coverage: 4 Analysts

Profitability

• EPS (Trailing Twelve Months): $9.05
• Trailing P/E Ratio: 9.01
• Forward P/E Ratio: 11.17
• P/E Growth: N/A
• Net Income: $376 million
• Net Margins: 44.53%
• Pretax Margin: 58.23%
• Return on Equity: 7.18%
• Return on Assets: 3.38%

Debt

• Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.30
• Current Ratio: 0.75
• Quick Ratio: 0.75

Sales & Book Value

• Annual Sales: $872 million
• Price / Sales: 4.45
• Cash Flow: $7.10 per share
• Price / Cash Flow: 11.48
• Book Value: $109.09 per share
• Price / Book: 0.75

Miscellaneous

• Outstanding Shares: 47,620,000
• Free Float: 45,187,000
• Market Cap: $3.88 billion
• Optionable: Optionable
• Beta: 0.92