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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Stock Forecast & Price Target

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AVB Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 10/3/25 to 10/3/26	1 Month Ago 9/3/25 to 9/3/26	3 Months Ago 7/5/25 to 7/5/26	1 Year Ago 10/3/24 to 10/3/25
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	3 Buy rating(s)	3 Buy rating(s)	4 Buy rating(s)	5 Buy rating(s)
Hold	14 Hold rating(s)	15 Hold rating(s)	14 Hold rating(s)	11 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$196.87	$196.87	$195.13	$217.46
Forecasted Upside	6.96% Upside	6.96% Upside	0.78% Upside	13.97% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Hold	Hold

AVB Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

AVB Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

AvalonBay Communities Stock vs. The Competition

Type	AvalonBay Communities	Real Estate Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.18	2.30	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	6.96% Upside	52.53% Upside	21.54% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent AVB News	Positive News	Neutral News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

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Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
8/19/2026	Cantor Fitzgerald 5 of 5 stars	Richard Anderson 3 of 5 stars	Reiterated Rating	Neutral	$190.00	+3.23%
8/17/2026	Barclays 3 of 5 stars	Richard Hightower 3 of 5 stars	Boost Target	Equal Weight	$205.00 ➝ $206.00	+11.79%
8/6/2026	Weiss Ratings 3 of 5 stars		Downgrade	Hold (C+) ➝ Hold (C)
7/22/2026	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold
7/21/2026	Piper Sandler Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Alexander Goldfarb Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$195.00 ➝ $210.00	+10.14%
7/9/2026	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Nicholas Yulico Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Sector Perform	$187.00 ➝ $195.00	+2.76%
6/16/2026	Truist Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Michael Lewis Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$201.00 ➝ $202.00	+8.52%
6/1/2026	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Outperform	$209.00	+14.41%
5/14/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Brent Dilts Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral	$191.00 ➝ $189.00	+2.97%
4/29/2026	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Brad Heffern Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Sector Perform	$180.00 ➝ $188.00	+1.70%
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4/23/2026	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	James Feldman Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Overweight	$193.00 ➝ $191.00	+10.71%
3/26/2026	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Adam Kramer Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight	$208.00 ➝ $203.00	+24.09%
2/13/2026	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Nick Joseph Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral	$212.00 ➝ $198.00	+11.87%
1/20/2026	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Hold	$172.00	-3.58%
12/4/2025	Colliers Securities Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Barry Oxford Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Neutral	$200.00 ➝ $195.00	+7.35%
11/24/2025	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Vikram Malhorta Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral	$199.00 ➝ $191.00	+5.88%
11/3/2025	Evercore Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Steve Sakwa Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	In-Line	$214.00	+22.81%
9/29/2025	BNP Paribas Exane Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Neutral
6/17/2025	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Anthony Paolone Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Overweight	$251.00 ➝ $249.00	+20.23%
4/4/2025	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	John Kim Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Market Perform	$220.00	+7.01%
2/13/2025	Zelman & Associates Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	D. Mcgill Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Outperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Saturday at 03:07 PM ET.

Should I Buy AvalonBay Communities Stock? AVB Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, September 29, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these AvalonBay Communities pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

AvalonBay Communities
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in AvalonBay Communities, Inc.:

The company recently completed a historic $69 billion merger with Equity Residential, creating Vivmark Residential, which is now the nation's largest multifamily owner with a portfolio exceeding 184,000 apartments. This massive consolidation provides significant scale advantages and a stronger market position in the residential real estate sector.
Analysts maintain a positive outlook on the stock, with a consensus price target of $196.867 as of September 15, 2026. This target represents an upside potential of approximately 7% from the current stock price of $184.06, suggesting that the market may still be undervaluing the company's future earnings potential.
The stock offers a dividend yield of 3.87%, which is attractive for income-focused investors. This yield provides a steady stream of cash flow, a key benefit for real estate investment trusts (REITs) that are required to distribute most of their taxable income to shareholders.
Recent earnings reports show the company is meeting or exceeding revenue expectations, with actual revenue of $777.768 million in the most recent quarter compared to a consensus estimate of $772.366 million. This indicates strong operational performance and the ability to generate consistent cash flow from its multifamily communities.
The company has a low beta of 0.76, meaning its stock price tends to be less volatile than the overall market. This characteristic can make AvalonBay Communities, Inc. a more stable investment option for investors looking to reduce portfolio risk during market fluctuations.

AvalonBay Communities
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in AvalonBay Communities, Inc. for these reasons:

The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30.08, which is relatively high compared to many other real estate investment trusts. A high P/E ratio suggests that investors are paying a premium for each dollar of earnings, which may limit the stock's upside potential if earnings growth slows down.
The company is losing its spot in the S&P 500 index, being replaced by Reddit. This change could lead to a reduction in passive index fund buying pressure, as funds that track the S&P 500 will be required to sell AvalonBay Communities, Inc. shares, potentially putting downward pressure on the stock price.
Recent earnings have shown a decline in earnings per share (EPS) compared to the same period last year. For example, the actual EPS of $1.11 in the most recent quarter was significantly lower than the $2.82 reported one year ago. This decline in profitability could be a concern for investors looking for consistent earnings growth.
The company is required to divest two buildings in Boston as part of a settlement with the Massachusetts Attorney General. This divestiture could impact the company's portfolio and potentially reduce its revenue and earnings, as it will no longer be able to generate income from these properties.
Short interest in the stock has been increasing in recent months, with the number of shares shorted rising from 2,752,879 in August 2026 to 3,752,768 in July 2026. A high level of short interest indicates that a significant number of investors are betting against the stock, which could signal a lack of confidence in the company's future performance.

AVB Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for AvalonBay Communities is $196.87, with a high forecast of $214.00 and a low forecast of $172.00.

17 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for AvalonBay Communities in the last twelve months. There are currently 14 hold ratings and 3 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" AVB shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in AVB, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, AvalonBay Communities's stock has a predicted upside of 6.96% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, AvalonBay Communities's stock had 2 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

AvalonBay Communities has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Cantor Fitzgerald, Jefferies Financial Group, Piper Sandler, Scotiabank, and Weiss Ratings in the past 90 days.

Analysts like AvalonBay Communities less than other "real estate" companies. The consensus rating score for AvalonBay Communities is 2.18 while the average consensus rating score for "real estate" companies is 2.30. Learn more on how AVB compares to other companies.

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MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for AvalonBay Communities analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/19/2026.

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