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Alibaba Group (BABA) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Alibaba Group logo
$124.13 -3.72 (-2.91%)
As of 11:53 AM Eastern

Alibaba Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
5
Buy
18

Based on 23 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Alibaba Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 23 analysts, 5 have given a hold rating, 16 have given a buy rating, and 2 have given a strong buy rating for BABA.

Consensus Price Target

$186.90
50.57% Upside
According to the 23 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Alibaba Group, the average price target is $186.90. The highest price target for BABA is $225.00, while the lowest price target for BABA is $135.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 50.57% from the current price of $124.13.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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BABA Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
8/12/25 to 8/12/26
1 Month Ago
7/13/25 to 7/13/26
3 Months Ago
5/14/25 to 5/14/26
1 Year Ago
8/12/24 to 8/12/25
Strong Buy
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
16 Buy rating(s)
16 Buy rating(s)
16 Buy rating(s)
13 Buy rating(s)
Hold
5 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
1 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$186.90$186.90$189.05$153.29
Forecasted Upside50.57% Upside66.33% Upside34.01% Upside25.08% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

BABA Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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BABA Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Alibaba Group Stock vs. The Competition

TypeAlibaba GroupConsumer Discretionary CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.87
2.21
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside46.08% Upside144.44% Upside11.79% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent BABA News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
7/9/2026
HSBC Holdings plc logo
HSBC
3 of 5 stars
 Set Target$170.00+56.01%
6/25/2026
Nomura logo
Nomura
4 of 5 stars
 Lower TargetBuy$207.00 ➝ $178.00+83.95%
6/2/2026
Zacks Research logo
Zacks Research
5 of 5 stars
 UpgradeStrong SellHold
5/27/2026 Reiterated RatingHold (C+)
5/15/2026Boost TargetPositive$170.00 ➝ $185.00+31.14%
5/14/2026Boost TargetOverweight$186.00 ➝ $195.00+33.84%
5/14/2026 Boost TargetOverweight$180.00 ➝ $190.00+40.07%
5/14/2026Boost TargetOverweight$200.00 ➝ $205.00+43.98%
5/14/2026Boost TargetOutperform$190.00 ➝ $195.00+33.84%
4/29/2026 Initiated CoverageNeutralOutperform$209.00+59.69%
4/24/2026 UpgradeHoldStrong-Buy
3/24/2026 UpgradeHold
3/20/2026 DowngradeBuyHold$135.00+8.69%
3/20/2026Lower TargetOutperform$174.00 ➝ $164.00+31.23%
3/19/2026Lower TargetBuy$225.00 ➝ $212.00+69.65%
2/18/2026 DowngradeBuyHold
1/21/2026 UpgradeNeutralBuy$190.00+17.17%
1/6/2026Set Target$140.00-7.30%
11/26/2025 Set Target$195.00+22.65%
11/26/2025Lower TargetOutperform$200.00 ➝ $190.00+21.00%
11/26/2025Boost TargetBuy$218.00 ➝ $225.00+43.29%
11/25/2025 Reiterated RatingOutperform
11/25/2025Reiterated RatingBuy$195.00+23.38%
10/2/2025 Boost TargetOutperform$155.00 ➝ $200.00+4.66%
9/24/2025Boost TargetBuy$168.00 ➝ $195.00+19.54%
8/31/2025 Reiterated RatingBuy$162.00+19.90%
8/16/2024 Lower TargetBuy$110.00 ➝ $100.00+18.98%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 12:09 PM ET.


Should I Buy Alibaba Group Stock? BABA Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Friday, August 7, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Alibaba Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Alibaba Group
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Alibaba:

  • Alibaba has a strong market presence as one of the largest e-commerce and technology companies globally, which positions it well for continued growth.
  • The current stock price is around $116, which may present a buying opportunity for investors looking for value in the tech sector.
  • With a dividend payout ratio of 16.91%, Alibaba offers a return on investment through dividends, appealing to income-focused investors.
  • Recent analyst ratings indicate a generally positive outlook, with multiple firms assigning "outperform" and "buy" ratings, suggesting confidence in the company's future performance.
  • Alibaba's diverse portfolio of online marketplaces caters to various customer segments, enhancing its revenue streams and reducing dependency on any single market.

Alibaba Group
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Alibaba for these reasons:

  • Recent insider selling, including significant transactions by top executives, may raise concerns about the company's future prospects and management confidence.
  • Analysts have varying price targets, with some suggesting a decrease from previous highs, indicating uncertainty in the stock's short-term performance.
  • Alibaba operates in a highly competitive market, facing challenges from both domestic and international rivals, which could impact its market share and profitability.
  • The company's stock has experienced volatility, with a 52-week range indicating significant price fluctuations, which may deter risk-averse investors.
  • Regulatory scrutiny in China could pose risks to Alibaba's operations and growth potential, as government policies may affect its business model and profitability.

BABA Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 23 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Alibaba Group is $186.90, with a high forecast of $225.00 and a low forecast of $135.00.

23 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Alibaba Group in the last twelve months. There are currently 5 hold ratings, 16 buy ratings and 2 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" BABA shares.

According to analysts, Alibaba Group's stock has a predicted upside of 50.57% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Alibaba Group's stock had 1 upgrade by analysts.

Alibaba Group has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, HSBC, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Nomura, Susquehanna, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Alibaba Group more than other "consumer discretionary" companies. The consensus rating for Alibaba Group is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "consumer discretionary" companies is Hold. Learn more on how BABA compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:BABA) was last updated on 8/12/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.
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