Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$260.55 +8.01 (+3.17%)

Closing price 05/5/2026 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$259.33 -1.22 (-0.47%)

As of 05/5/2026 07:58 PM Eastern

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Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 19 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
8

Buy
11

Based on 19 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 19 analysts, 8 have given a hold rating, 10 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$241.81
-7.19% Downside

According to the 19 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $241.81. The highest price target for MPC is $299.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $192.00. The average price target represents a forecasted downside of -7.19% from the current price of $260.55.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 5/6/25 to 5/6/26	1 Month Ago 4/6/25 to 4/6/26	3 Months Ago 2/5/25 to 2/5/26	1 Year Ago 5/6/24 to 5/6/25
Strong Buy	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	10 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)	10 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)
Hold	8 Hold rating(s)	9 Hold rating(s)	9 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$241.81	$219.19	$198.81	$174.21
Forecasted Upside	-7.19% Downside	-9.01% Downside	1.60% Upside	20.25% Upside
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Marathon Petroleum	Energy Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.63	2.40	2.52
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Hold	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	-7.19% Downside	31.57% Upside	14.74% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent MPC News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export

Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
4/24/2026	Morgan Stanley 3 of 5 stars	Joe Laetsch Not Rated	Boost Target	Overweight	$200.00 ➝ $233.00	+5.37%
4/22/2026	Scotiabank 4 of 5 stars	Betty Zhang Not Rated	Boost Target	Sector Outperform	$174.00 ➝ $210.00	-4.56%
4/13/2026	Jefferies Financial Group 2 of 5 stars		Boost Target	Buy	$263.00 ➝ $279.00	+25.61%
4/10/2026	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Neutral	$210.00 ➝ $243.00	+9.30%
4/10/2026	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Theresa Chen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$194.00 ➝ $230.00	+3.45%
4/10/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy	$239.00 ➝ $264.00	+18.74%
4/9/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Neutral	$184.00 ➝ $235.00	+1.51%
4/9/2026	Piper Sandler Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Ryan Todd Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$197.00 ➝ $228.00	-1.52%
4/7/2026	Zacks Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Strong-Buy
4/7/2026	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Outperform	$230.00 ➝ $255.00	+11.47%

4/2/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Manav Gupta Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$221.00 ➝ $280.00	+16.36%
4/1/2026	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy	$198.00 ➝ $299.00	+26.68%
3/25/2026	Raymond James Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Justin Jenkins Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Outperform	$210.00 ➝ $270.00	+12.08%
3/19/2026	Weiss Ratings Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy (B-) ➝ Hold (C+)
3/17/2026	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Nitin Kumar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$205.00 ➝ $224.00	-3.91%
2/4/2026	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Sam Margolin Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$213.00 ➝ $217.00	+16.02%
9/19/2025	Evercore Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Stephen Richardson Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	In-Line	$170.00 ➝ $210.00	+13.77%
9/3/2025	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Doug Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$184.00 ➝ $192.00	+7.07%
7/28/2025	Dbs Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Moderate Buy
7/14/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Doug Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Peer Perform
2/4/2025	Tudor Pickering Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	M. Blair Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong Sell ➝ Hold

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 01:28 AM ET.

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

The current stock price is around $246.77, reflecting a strong market position and potential for growth.
Recent upgrades from multiple analysts, including a price target increase from Goldman Sachs, indicate positive market sentiment and confidence in the company's future performance.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has reported strong earnings, exceeding analysts' expectations, which suggests robust operational efficiency and profitability.
The company has a solid dividend yield of approximately 1.7%, providing investors with a steady income stream in addition to potential capital appreciation.
With a market capitalization of over $72 billion, Marathon Petroleum Co. is well-positioned to leverage its scale in the competitive energy sector.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

The company's net margin is relatively low at 2.99%, which may indicate challenges in maintaining profitability amidst fluctuating oil prices.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.27, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment.
Despite recent positive earnings, the company's revenue showed a slight decline year-over-year, raising concerns about long-term growth sustainability.
Market volatility in the energy sector can impact stock performance, making it a potentially risky investment for those averse to fluctuations.
Analysts have mixed ratings, with some holding a "neutral" stance, indicating uncertainty about the stock's future trajectory.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 19 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $241.81, with a high forecast of $299.00 and a low forecast of $192.00.
: 19 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last twelve months. There are currently 8 hold ratings, 10 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MPC shares.
: According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted downside of -7.19% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, Marathon Petroleum's stock had 3 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.
: Marathon Petroleum has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, BMO Capital Markets, Citigroup, Jefferies Financial Group, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Raymond James Financial, Scotiabank, TD Cowen, The Goldman Sachs Group, UBS Group, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Marathon Petroleum more than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating for Marathon Petroleum is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "energy" companies is Hold. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 5/6/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.

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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

MPC Price Targets by Month

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Marathon Petroleum Recommendations

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Stock Ideas and Recommendations

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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

MPC Price Targets by Month

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

Marathon Petroleum Bull Case

Marathon Petroleum Bear Case

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Marathon Petroleum Recommendations

MarketBeat All Access Features

Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring

Stock Ideas and Recommendations

Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case