Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$243.11 +0.20 (+0.08%)

Closing price 06/18/2026 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$243.09 -0.02 (-0.01%)

As of 06/18/2026 07:57 PM Eastern

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Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 19 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
9

Buy
10

Based on 19 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 19 analysts, 9 have given a hold rating, and 10 have given a buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$272.94
12.27% Upside

According to the 19 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $272.94. The highest price target for MPC is $344.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $210.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 12.27% from the current price of $243.11.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 6/21/25 to 6/21/26	1 Month Ago 5/22/25 to 5/22/26	3 Months Ago 3/23/25 to 3/23/26	1 Year Ago 6/21/24 to 6/21/25
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	10 Buy rating(s)	10 Buy rating(s)	10 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)
Hold	9 Hold rating(s)	8 Hold rating(s)	9 Hold rating(s)	7 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$272.94	$259.44	$205.44	$175.80
Forecasted Upside	12.27% Upside	1.65% Upside	-11.69% Downside	4.07% Upside
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Marathon Petroleum	Energy Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.53	2.39	2.52
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Hold	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	12.27% Upside	50.98% Upside	15.89% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent MPC News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

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Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
6/17/2026	Zacks Research Not Rated		Downgrade	Strong-Buy ➝ Hold
6/15/2026	Wells Fargo & Company 3 of 5 stars	Sam Margolin Not Rated	Reiterated Rating	Overweight	$344.00	+30.75%
6/12/2026	BMO Capital Markets 3 of 5 stars		Reiterated Rating	Outperform
6/12/2026	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Joe Laetsch Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$233.00 ➝ $265.00	+1.70%
6/10/2026	Raymond James Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Justin Jenkins Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Outperform	$285.00 ➝ $300.00	+14.44%
5/27/2026	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Nitin Kumar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$224.00 ➝ $284.00	+14.21%
5/26/2026	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy	$279.00 ➝ $296.00	+15.63%
5/26/2026	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target		$224.00 ➝ $260.00	+1.57%
5/7/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Neil Mehta Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$264.00 ➝ $291.00	+21.54%
5/6/2026	Weiss Ratings Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Hold (C+) ➝ Hold (C)
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5/6/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Manav Gupta Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Set Target		$285.00	+14.97%
5/6/2026	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Vikram Bagri Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$243.00 ➝ $257.00	-1.36%
5/6/2026	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Theresa Chen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$230.00 ➝ $270.00	+3.63%
5/6/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target		$235.00 ➝ $257.00	+6.98%
5/6/2026	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Jason Gabelman Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$320.00	+22.82%
4/22/2026	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Betty Zhang Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Sector Outperform	$174.00 ➝ $210.00	-4.56%
4/9/2026	Piper Sandler Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Ryan Todd Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$197.00 ➝ $228.00	-1.52%
9/19/2025	Evercore Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Stephen Richardson Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	In-Line	$170.00 ➝ $210.00	+13.77%
7/28/2025	Dbs Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Moderate Buy
7/14/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Doug Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Peer Perform
2/4/2025	Tudor Pickering Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	M. Blair Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong Sell ➝ Hold

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 12:03 PM ET.

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, June 15, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

The current stock price is around $244, which reflects a strong performance in the market and may indicate potential for further growth.
Marathon Petroleum Co. reported impressive quarterly earnings, with earnings per share significantly exceeding analysts' expectations, showcasing strong financial health.
The company has a solid return on equity of 16.22%, indicating effective management and profitability relative to shareholder equity.
With a market capitalization of approximately $76 billion, Marathon Petroleum Co. is a major player in the energy sector, providing stability and potential for long-term growth.
The recent dividend announcement, with a yield of 1.5% and a payout ratio of 26.11%, suggests a commitment to returning value to shareholders while maintaining a healthy balance sheet.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.31, which indicates a higher level of debt compared to equity, potentially increasing financial risk.
Despite recent revenue growth, the net margin of 3.36% suggests that profitability may be limited, which could impact future earnings.
Market volatility in the energy sector can affect stock performance, and external factors such as oil prices can lead to unpredictable fluctuations.
Analysts have mixed ratings, with a consensus of "Moderate Buy," indicating some uncertainty about the stock's future performance.
The quick ratio of 0.73 suggests that the company may face challenges in meeting short-term liabilities, which could raise concerns for investors about liquidity.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 19 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $272.94, with a high forecast of $344.00 and a low forecast of $210.00.

19 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last twelve months. There are currently 9 hold ratings and 10 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MPC shares.

According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted upside of 12.27% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Marathon Petroleum's stock had 2 upgrades and 2 downgrades by analysts.

Marathon Petroleum has been rated by research analysts at Bank of America, Barclays, BMO Capital Markets, Citigroup, Jefferies Financial Group, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Raymond James Financial, Scotiabank, TD Cowen, The Goldman Sachs Group, UBS Group, Weiss Ratings, Wells Fargo & Company, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Marathon Petroleum more than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating for Marathon Petroleum is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "energy" companies is Hold. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 6/21/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.

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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target