Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$255.16 +6.34 (+2.55%)

Closing price 05/15/2026 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$256.00 +0.84 (+0.33%)

As of 05/15/2026 08:00 PM Eastern

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Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 19 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
8

Buy
11

Based on 19 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 19 analysts, 8 have given a hold rating, 10 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$259.44
1.68% Upside

According to the 19 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $259.44. The highest price target for MPC is $335.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $192.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 1.68% from the current price of $255.16.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 5/17/25 to 5/17/26	1 Month Ago 4/17/25 to 4/17/26	3 Months Ago 2/16/25 to 2/16/26	1 Year Ago 5/17/24 to 5/17/25
Strong Buy	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	2 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	10 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)	10 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)
Hold	8 Hold rating(s)	8 Hold rating(s)	9 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$259.44	$237.50	$202.19	$175.29
Forecasted Upside	1.68% Upside	11.31% Upside	-0.56% Downside	6.84% Upside
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Marathon Petroleum	Energy Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.63	2.41	2.52
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Hold	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	1.68% Upside	36.60% Upside	17.90% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent MPC News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export

Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
5/13/2026	BMO Capital Markets 4 of 5 stars		Boost Target	Outperform	$255.00 ➝ $290.00	+15.48%
5/7/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group 3 of 5 stars	Neil Mehta 5 of 5 stars	Boost Target	Buy	$264.00 ➝ $291.00	+21.54%
5/6/2026	Weiss Ratings Not Rated		Downgrade	Hold (C+) ➝ Hold (C)
5/6/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Manav Gupta Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Set Target		$285.00	+14.97%
5/6/2026	Raymond James Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Justin Jenkins Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Outperform
5/6/2026	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Vikram Bagri Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$243.00 ➝ $257.00	-1.36%
5/6/2026	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Theresa Chen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$230.00 ➝ $270.00	+3.63%
5/6/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target		$235.00 ➝ $257.00	+6.98%
5/6/2026	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Sam Margolin Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$335.00	+28.58%
5/6/2026	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Jason Gabelman Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy	$320.00	+22.82%
Get the Latest News and Ratings for MPC and Related Stocks Enter your email address below to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Marathon Petroleum and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter.
4/24/2026	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Joe Laetsch Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$200.00 ➝ $233.00	+5.37%
4/22/2026	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Betty Zhang Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Sector Outperform	$174.00 ➝ $210.00	-4.56%
4/13/2026	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy	$263.00 ➝ $279.00	+25.61%
4/9/2026	Piper Sandler Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Ryan Todd Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$197.00 ➝ $228.00	-1.52%
4/7/2026	Zacks Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Strong-Buy
3/17/2026	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Nitin Kumar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$205.00 ➝ $224.00	-3.91%
9/19/2025	Evercore Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Stephen Richardson Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	In-Line	$170.00 ➝ $210.00	+13.77%
9/3/2025	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Doug Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$184.00 ➝ $192.00	+7.07%
7/28/2025	Dbs Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Moderate Buy
7/14/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Doug Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Peer Perform
2/4/2025	Tudor Pickering Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	M. Blair Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong Sell ➝ Hold

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 03:35 PM ET.

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, May 11, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

The current stock price is around $246, reflecting a strong market position and investor interest.
Recent upgrades from analysts, including a price target increase from Goldman Sachs, indicate positive market sentiment and potential for growth.
The company has a solid earnings report, with earnings per share exceeding analyst expectations, showcasing its profitability and operational efficiency.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging and financial stability.
The recent quarterly dividend of $1.00 per share represents a consistent return for investors, with a yield of approximately 1.7%, indicating a commitment to shareholder value.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

The stock has experienced fluctuations, with a 12-month high of $255.77 and a low of $137.30, indicating potential volatility in the market.
Despite recent earnings growth, the company's revenue showed a slight decline year-over-year, which could raise concerns about future performance.
Analysts have mixed ratings, with some holding a "neutral" stance, suggesting uncertainty about the stock's future trajectory.
The company's beta of 0.53 indicates lower volatility compared to the market, which may limit potential high returns for aggressive investors.
Market conditions for oil and gas can be unpredictable, influenced by global events and economic factors, which may impact Marathon Petroleum Co.'s performance.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 19 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $259.44, with a high forecast of $335.00 and a low forecast of $192.00.

19 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last year. There are currently 8 hold ratings, 10 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MPC shares.

According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted upside of 1.68% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Marathon Petroleum's stock had 3 upgrades and 2 downgrades by analysts.

Marathon Petroleum has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, BMO Capital Markets, Citigroup, Jefferies Financial Group, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Raymond James Financial, Scotiabank, TD Cowen, The Goldman Sachs Group, UBS Group, Weiss Ratings, Wells Fargo & Company, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Marathon Petroleum more than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating for Marathon Petroleum is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "energy" companies is Hold. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 5/17/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.

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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target