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NVR (NVR) Stock Forecast & Price Target

NVR logo
$5,982.03 -144.35 (-2.36%)
Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$5,997.41 +15.38 (+0.26%)
As of 07:31 PM Eastern
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NVR - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
2
Hold
3
Buy
3

Based on 8 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for NVR in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 8 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 3 have given a hold rating, and 3 have given a buy rating for NVR.

Consensus Price Target

$6,809.67
13.84% Upside
According to the 8 analysts' twelve-month price targets for NVR, the average price target is $6,809.67. The highest price target for NVR is $7,675.00, while the lowest price target for NVR is $5,058.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 13.84% from the current price of $5,982.03.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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NVR Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/2/25 to 10/2/26
1 Month Ago
9/2/25 to 9/2/26
3 Months Ago
7/4/25 to 7/4/26
1 Year Ago
10/2/24 to 10/2/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
3 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
2 Buy rating(s)
1 Buy rating(s)
Hold
3 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
3 Hold rating(s)
Sell
2 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$6,809.67$7,224.20$7,649.33$8,783.33
Forecasted Upside13.84% Upside14.15% Upside13.52% Upside8.72% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldHoldHold

NVR Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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NVR Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

NVR Stock vs. The Competition

TypeNVRConsumer Discretionary CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.13
2.19
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside13.73% Upside231.71% Upside21.53% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent NVR News
Neutral News
Neutral News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/1/2026
Morgan Stanley logo
Morgan Stanley
3 of 5 stars
Adam Kramer
2 of 5 stars
Initiated CoverageUnderweight$5,058.00-17.88%
9/22/2026
BTIG Research logo
BTIG Research
3 of 5 stars
Ryan Gilbert
2 of 5 stars
Set Target$7,125.00+13.42%
9/21/2026
Zacks Research logo
Zacks Research
4 of 5 stars
 DowngradeHold ➝ Strong Sell
9/14/2026 UpgradeHold (C-) ➝ Hold (C)
7/24/2026Lower TargetNeutral$7,700.00 ➝ $7,400.00+15.58%
7/24/2026Lower TargetHold$6,600.00 ➝ $6,400.00-0.38%
7/20/2026Lower TargetBuy$7,600.00 ➝ $7,200.00+12.33%
7/7/2026UpgradeHold ➝ Buy
7/24/2025Boost TargetNeutral$7,200.00 ➝ $7,600.00-2.63%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 10:34 PM ET.


Should I Buy NVR Stock? NVR Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Friday, October 2, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these NVR pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

NVR
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in NVR, Inc.:

  • The stock is currently trading at $5,982.03, which is significantly below the consensus price target of $7,160.00 set by Wall Street analysts, suggesting potential for substantial upside if the company meets its performance expectations.
  • NVR, Inc. demonstrated strong profitability in its most recent quarterly report, achieving a return on equity of 31.02% and a net margin of 12.26%, indicating efficient capital management and strong earnings generation relative to its revenue.
  • The company maintains a conservative balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 and a current ratio of 5.28, providing a robust financial cushion that can help navigate economic downturns or rising interest rates without excessive financial risk.
  • Recent insider activity shows confidence in the company's future, as Director George Oliver purchased 63 shares at an average price of $6,431.51 in August 2026, a transaction that often signals that company leadership believes the stock is undervalued.
  • With a beta of 0.90, NVR, Inc. exhibits slightly lower volatility than the broader market, making it a potentially stable addition to a diversified portfolio that seeks to mitigate overall market risk.

NVR
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in NVR, Inc. for these reasons:

  • Revenue has been declining significantly, with the most recent quarter showing a year-over-year decrease of 10.5% and the prior quarter down 21.7%, indicating a challenging demand environment for homebuilding that may continue to pressure top-line growth.
  • Zacks Research recently downgraded NVR, Inc. to a "Strong Sell" rating and reduced its earnings per share estimates for upcoming quarters, reflecting a pessimistic outlook on the company's ability to maintain profitability in the current market conditions.
  • The stock has experienced a notable decline from its 52-week high of $8,200.00 to its current price of $5,982.03, representing a drop of over 27%, which may signal ongoing investor concerns about the company's long-term trajectory.
  • Short interest in the stock has increased, with shares shorted rising to 130,731 in the most recent reporting period, suggesting that a growing number of traders are betting against the stock's future performance.
  • The company's earnings per share for the most recent quarter, while beating consensus, were lower than the same period last year, with EPS of $83.96 compared to $108.54 a year ago, indicating a trend of declining earnings power.

NVR Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 8 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for NVR is $6,809.67, with a high forecast of $7,675.00 and a low forecast of $5,058.00.

8 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for NVR in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 3 hold ratings and 3 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "hold" NVR shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in NVR, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, NVR's stock has a predicted upside of 13.84% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, NVR's stock had 4 upgrades and 2 downgrades by analysts.

NVR has been rated by research analysts at Bank of America, BTIG Research, Morgan Stanley, Truist Financial, UBS Group, Weiss Ratings, Zacks Research, and Zelman & Associates in the past 90 days.

Analysts like NVR less than other "consumer discretionary" companies. The consensus rating score for NVR is 2.13 while the average consensus rating score for "consumer discretionary" companies is 2.19. Learn more on how NVR compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for NVR analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 10/1/2026.
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