Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$145.21 -1.07 (-0.73%)

Closing price 07/22/2025 03:58 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$145.07 -0.13 (-0.09%)

As of 07/22/2025 07:59 PM Eastern

Valero Energy - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 17 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
5

Buy
12

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Valero Energy in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 17 analysts, 5 have given a hold rating, 10 have given a buy rating, and 2 have given a strong buy rating for VLO.

Consensus Price Target

$153.80
5.92% Upside

According to the 17 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Valero Energy, the average price target is $153.80. The highest price target for VLO is $172.00, while the lowest price target for VLO is $135.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 5.92% from the current price of $145.21.

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VLO Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 7/23/24 to 7/23/25	1 Month Ago 6/23/24 to 6/23/25	3 Months Ago 4/24/24 to 4/24/25	1 Year Ago 7/24/23 to 7/23/24
Strong Buy	2 Strong Buy rating(s)	2 Strong Buy rating(s)	2 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	10 Buy rating(s)	13 Buy rating(s)	11 Buy rating(s)	11 Buy rating(s)
Hold	5 Hold rating(s)	2 Hold rating(s)	2 Hold rating(s)	3 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$153.80	$150.88	$151.93	$171.47
Forecasted Upside	5.92% Upside	10.06% Upside	34.05% Upside	16.75% Upside
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

VLO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

VLO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Valero Energy Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Valero Energy	Energy Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.82	2.67	2.53
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	5.92% Upside	52.49% Upside	10.19% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent VLO News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
7/22/2025	Piper Sandler 2 of 5 stars	Ryan Todd Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$160.00 ➝ $159.00	+8.82%
7/22/2025	TD Cowen 4 of 5 stars	Jason Gabelman Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Buy ➝ Hold	$118.00 ➝ $140.00	-4.17%
7/16/2025	Morgan Stanley 3 of 5 stars		Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$145.00 ➝ $160.00	+7.36%
7/16/2025	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Vikram Bagri Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Buy ➝ Neutral	$134.00 ➝ $150.00	+0.65%
7/15/2025	Raymond James Financial Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Justin Jenkins Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Strong-Buy ➝ Strong-Buy	$155.00 ➝ $172.00	+15.62%
7/14/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Doug Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Peer Perform
7/9/2025	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Roger Read Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$151.00 ➝ $168.00	+13.03%
7/8/2025	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Manav Gupta Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$150.00 ➝ $164.00	+11.66%
6/18/2025	Evercore ISI Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Stephen Richardson Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Initiated Coverage	In-Line	$135.00	-4.82%
5/13/2025	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Nitin Kumar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$158.00 ➝ $166.00	+24.22%
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5/13/2025	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	N. Mehta Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Buy	$127.00 ➝ $154.00	+18.03%
5/12/2025	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Theresa Chen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$140.00 ➝ $141.00	+8.06%
4/28/2025	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	John Royall Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$152.00 ➝ $147.00	+28.38%
4/11/2025	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Paul Cheng Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Sector Outperform ➝ Sector Outperform	$156.00 ➝ $136.00	+22.98%
2/4/2025	Tudor Pickering Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	M. Blair Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold ➝ Strong-Buy
10/17/2024	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Neutral	$150.00	+10.68%
10/4/2024	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$175.00 ➝ $165.00	+16.62%
5/16/2024	Argus Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Hold
10/30/2023	Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Hold	$150.00 ➝ $130.00	+6.29%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 04:25 AM ET.

Should I Buy Valero Energy Stock? VLO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Valero Energy pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Valero Energy
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Valero Energy Co.:

The current stock price is around $148.63, which may present a buying opportunity for investors looking for value in the energy sector.
Valero Energy Co. has recently received multiple upgrades from analysts, indicating strong market confidence, with target prices reaching as high as $168.00.
The company has a solid dividend yield of approximately 3.03%, providing a steady income stream for investors.
Valero Energy Co. has a significant presence in the oil and gas market, with operations across various regions, which diversifies its revenue sources.
Despite a recent earnings miss, the company reported revenue of $28.76 billion, exceeding expectations, showcasing its strong market position.

Valero Energy
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Valero Energy Co. for these reasons:

The company reported a net margin of only 0.72%, which may indicate challenges in profitability compared to competitors.
Valero Energy Co. experienced a decline in quarterly revenue by 4.7% compared to the same period last year, raising concerns about growth potential.
The payout ratio is notably high at 159.72%, suggesting that the company is distributing more in dividends than it earns, which could be unsustainable.
Recent earnings per share were $0.89, missing the consensus estimate, which may signal operational difficulties or market challenges.
With 78.69% of the stock owned by institutional investors, there may be less room for retail investors to influence stock performance.

VLO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Valero Energy is $153.80, with a high forecast of $172.00 and a low forecast of $135.00.
: 17 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Valero Energy in the last year. There are currently 5 hold ratings, 10 buy ratings and 2 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" VLO shares.
: According to analysts, Valero Energy's stock has a predicted upside of 5.92% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, Valero Energy's stock had 3 downgrades and 2 upgrades by analysts.
: Valero Energy has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Citigroup, Evercore ISI, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Raymond James Financial, TD Cowen, The Goldman Sachs Group, UBS Group, Wells Fargo & Company, and Wolfe Research in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Valero Energy more than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating score for Valero Energy is 2.82 while the average consensus rating score for "energy" companies is 2.67. Learn more on how VLO compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:VLO) was last updated on 7/23/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff

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Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Forecast & Price Target